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Brixmor Property (BRX)
NYSE:BRX

Brixmor Property (BRX) AI Stock Analysis

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BRBrixmor Property
(NYSE:BRX)
78Outperform
Brixmor Property Group presents a solid investment case with strong financial performance, healthy cash flow, and a robust balance sheet free of debt. The company's strategic leasing and acquisitions have driven growth, despite some tenant-related challenges. Technical indicators suggest caution, yet the dividend yield remains attractive. Overall, the company's strengths in financial performance and earnings outlook support a favorable stock score.
Positive Factors
Growth Potential
Brixmor has a significant pipeline of projects that could fuel future growth, including potential earnings upside and multiple expansion.
Valuation
Brixmor Property Group's valuation is inexpensive, making it a compelling investment opportunity.
Negative Factors
Tenant Risk
Concerns about increased bad debt have previously impacted stock performance due to Brixmor's higher tenant exposure compared to peers.

Brixmor Property (BRX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Brixmor Property Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBrixmor Property Group (BRX) is a publicly traded real estate investment trust (REIT) that specializes in the ownership and management of open-air shopping centers across the United States. The company owns and operates a diverse portfolio of approximately 400 retail properties, which are strategically located primarily in densely populated suburban areas. Brixmor aims to create attractive shopping environments by enhancing tenant mix and improving property conditions, focusing on convenience and value for consumers.
How the Company Makes MoneyBrixmor Property Group generates revenue primarily through the leasing of retail space within its shopping centers to a diverse array of tenants, which include national, regional, and local retailers. The company's revenue model is based on collecting base rent from tenants, which often includes additional charges for common area maintenance, taxes, and insurance. Brixmor also benefits from percentage rent, where tenants pay a portion of their sales revenue once certain thresholds are met. The company focuses on maintaining high occupancy rates and optimizing tenant mix to maximize rental income. Additionally, Brixmor may engage in property redevelopments and improvements, which can lead to increased rental rates and attract higher quality tenants. Strategic partnerships with key retailers and collaborative leasing strategies also contribute to Brixmor's income by ensuring a steady and diversified revenue stream.

Brixmor Property Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Brixmor Property demonstrates strong financial health with robust revenue growth, high profit margins, and a solid balance sheet free from debt. The cash flow position is strong, supporting business operations and growth. The company is well-positioned in the REITs industry with a focus on efficiency and profitability. However, attention is needed on improving EBIT margins to sustain long-term growth.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Brixmor Property has shown a consistent increase in total revenue over the years, with a revenue growth rate of 3.21% in the most recent year. The company maintains a strong gross profit margin of 87.21% and a solid net profit margin of 26.41%. However, the decline in EBIT margin from 64.89% to 35.73% indicates potential inefficiencies or increased costs. EBITDA margin remains robust at 65.39%.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The company exhibits a strong equity position with no total debt in the latest period, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0. The return on equity has improved to 11.37%, reflecting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 33.49%, indicating a balanced asset structure with significant shareholder equity.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Operating cash flow is strong at $624.69M, supporting a healthy free cash flow position. The free cash flow growth rate surged by 6.09%, showcasing improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.84, indicating efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also favorable at 1.84.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.29B1.25B1.22B1.15B1.05B
Gross Profit
1.12B925.05M906.28M854.49M772.64M
EBIT
459.04M807.92M440.69M421.81M333.78M
EBITDA
936.67M858.10M785.42M748.97M669.37M
Net Income Common Stockholders
339.27M305.09M161.77M75.48M-73.82M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
397.92M20.78M38.16M316.86M388.22M
Total Assets
8.91B8.33B8.44B8.38B8.34B
Total Debt
5.34B4.93B5.45B5.20B5.21B
Net Debt
4.96B4.93B5.43B4.90B4.84B
Total Liabilities
5.92B5.48B5.57B5.66B5.66B
Stockholders Equity
2.98B2.85B2.87B2.72B2.68B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
624.69M588.79M236.03M243.66M158.34M
Operating Cash Flow
624.69M588.79M566.38M552.24M443.10M
Investing Cash Flow
-437.02M-163.08M-462.45M-331.00M-167.25M
Financing Cash Flow
172.12M-428.07M-380.41M-293.58M72.71M

Brixmor Property Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price27.28
Price Trends
50DMA
26.88
Positive
100DMA
27.59
Negative
200DMA
25.91
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.24
Negative
RSI
50.72
Neutral
STOCH
68.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BRX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 27.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.20, above the 50-day MA of 26.88, and above the 200-day MA of 25.91, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for BRX.

Brixmor Property Risk Analysis

Brixmor Property disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Brixmor Property reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Brixmor Property Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
BRBRX
78
Outperform
$8.55B25.1011.37%3.95%3.41%10.54%
FRFRT
72
Outperform
$8.89B30.119.31%4.15%6.21%22.32%
REREG
71
Outperform
$13.93B36.1448.20%3.49%10.15%3.36%
AKAKR
65
Neutral
$2.78B120.691.05%3.23%1.69%-7.10%
KIKIM
63
Neutral
$14.62B38.943.86%4.40%14.51%-45.53%
61
Neutral
$4.91B18.99-3.12%7.77%6.71%-19.69%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BRX
Brixmor Property
27.28
5.55
25.54%
KIM
Kimco Realty
21.51
2.83
15.15%
REG
Regency Centers
76.35
17.40
29.52%
AKR
Acadia Realty
22.81
6.88
43.19%
FRT
Federal Realty
103.02
5.30
5.42%

Brixmor Property Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 10, 2025 | % Change Since: 4.20% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted a strong financial performance with significant growth in NOI and FFO, alongside successful leasing activity and strategic acquisitions. However, there were concerns about the impact of tenant bankruptcies on occupancy and potential future disruptions. Overall, the positive aspects of growth and financial strength outweigh the challenges posed by tenant disruptions.
Highlights
Strong Financial Performance
Brixmor Property Group reported a 5% growth in both NOI and FFO, with NAREIT FFO per share reaching $2.13, representing an almost 5% increase from the previous year.
High Leasing Activity
Executed 1.5 million square feet of new and renewal leases at a blended cash spread of 21%, including 830,000 square feet of new leases, marking the highest quarterly output in two years.
Robust Same Property NOI Growth
Same property NOI grew 5% for the year, with a base rent growth contributing 600 basis points to same property NOI growth in Q4.
Successful Dispositions and Acquisitions
Completed $212 million of dispositions and $290 million of value-add acquisitions, including assets in core markets like Hartford, Tampa, and Boston.
Improved Balance Sheet
Credit rating upgraded to BAA2 by Moody's, with no debt maturities until June 2026 and total liquidity of $1.6 billion.
Record Occupancy Levels
Anchor occupancy reached 97.2% with a record 81% of ABR derived from grocery-anchored centers.
Lowlights
Impact of Bankruptcy Activity
Bankruptcy activity impacted occupancy by 70 basis points for the year, with specific challenges from tenants like Big Lots and Party City.
Short-term Occupancy Challenges
Overall occupancy grew 50 basis points year over year to 95.2%, but faced a 70 basis point impact from bankruptcy activity.
Tenant Disruption Concerns
Guidance for same property NOI growth includes a 200 basis point drag at the midpoint due to tenant disruptions, with potential for further lease rejections.
Company Guidance
During Brixmor Property Group Inc.'s fourth quarter 2024 earnings call, key financial metrics were highlighted, showcasing the company's solid performance and future outlook. The company reported a 5% year-over-year growth in both net operating income (NOI) and funds from operations (FFO), with FFO per share reaching $2.13 for the year. Same property NOI grew by 5%, contributing to a fourth-quarter FFO of $0.53 per share. Leasing activity was robust, with $118 million in new and renewal lease average base rent (ABR) signed during the year, including $32 million in the fourth quarter, and overall occupancy increased to 95.2%. Small shop occupancy reached record levels, and grocery-anchored centers accounted for 81% of ABR, reflecting strong tenant demand. The company's redevelopment efforts yielded $205 million of reinvestment at an average incremental return of 9%, with a future pipeline nearing $400 million at a 10% return. Looking ahead, Brixmor anticipates 2025 same property NOI growth between 3.5% and 4.5%, despite anticipated tenant disruptions. The company maintains strong liquidity with $1.6 billion available and a debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 5.7 times, positioning it well for continued growth and value creation.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.