tiprankstipranks
Banca Mediolanum (BNCDY)
OTHER OTC:BNCDY
US Market

Banca Mediolanum (BNCDY) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
7 Followers

Top Page

BN

Banca Mediolanum

(OTC:BNCDY)

68Neutral
Banca Mediolanum's strong financial growth and attractive valuation are offset by operational inefficiencies and potential regulatory challenges. While the company is well-positioned for continued growth, addressing cash flow and operational efficiency is crucial for sustaining long-term performance.

Banca Mediolanum (BNCDY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Banca Mediolanum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBanca Mediolanum (BNCDY) is an Italian banking group that operates in the financial services sector. The company offers a comprehensive range of banking products and services, including savings accounts, loans, mortgages, insurance, and investment solutions. Banca Mediolanum primarily targets retail clients, providing personalized financial advisory services through its network of financial advisors, as well as through digital platforms to ensure accessibility and convenience for its customers.
How the Company Makes MoneyBanca Mediolanum generates revenue through a diverse range of financial services. The company earns interest income from loans and mortgages offered to its clients. Additionally, it collects fees and commissions from the distribution of financial products, such as insurance policies and investment funds. Banca Mediolanum also benefits from asset management services, where it charges management fees for overseeing clients' investment portfolios. The company's strategic partnerships with insurance and investment firms further enhance its product offerings and contribute to its earnings. Moreover, a focus on digital banking services helps the bank reduce operational costs and attract tech-savvy customers, boosting its revenue potential.

Banca Mediolanum Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Banca Mediolanum's financial performance demonstrates strong revenue and profit growth, underpinned by a high gross profit margin and improved net profit margin. However, negative EBITDA and cash flow issues suggest operational and liquidity challenges that need addressing.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Banca Mediolanum has demonstrated a robust revenue growth trajectory, with a significant increase in total revenue from 2022 to 2023. The Gross Profit Margin is exceptionally high at 135.9% for 2023, indicating strong profitability. However, the negative EBITDA in 2023 is a concern, suggesting potential operational inefficiencies or non-cash expenses impacting earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. The Net Profit Margin improved significantly to 43.9% in 2023, reflecting effective cost management or revenue growth. Overall, the income statement reflects strong growth but with some operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet of Banca Mediolanum shows a stable financial position with a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 2.41, which is relatively high but typical in the banking industry due to high leverage. The Return on Equity improved to 23.8% in 2023, indicating efficient use of equity to generate profits. The Equity Ratio remains low at 4.4%, which points to a high reliance on debt financing, a common characteristic in banking. Overall, the balance sheet reflects stability with a focus on leveraging debt for growth.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
The cash flow statement raises some concerns, with a negative Free Cash Flow in 2023 indicating challenges in generating cash from operations after capital expenditures. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is negative, suggesting issues in converting accounting profits into cash flows. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income ratio also reflects negative performance, highlighting potential liquidity constraints. Despite the company's growth, cash flow management appears to be a critical area for improvement.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.64B1.87B1.46B5.73B3.11B5.76B
Gross Profit
1.19B2.54B545.36M4.81B2.33B5.00B
EBIT
1.21B1.16B741.41M890.47M531.42M738.99M
EBITDA
556.93M-10.20M741.41M890.47M531.42M738.99M
Net Income Common Stockholders
908.46M821.87M506.83M713.05M434.46M565.43M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
508.51M188.13M2.75B5.32B664.61M563.43M
Total Assets
47.37B77.83B73.60B73.52B59.03B53.44B
Total Debt
109.22M8.32B372.29M68.01M74.38M148.06M
Net Debt
-399.29M-384.78M-2.38B-5.25B-590.24M-415.37M
Total Liabilities
45.31B74.38B70.66B70.64B56.29B51.09B
Stockholders Equity
2.06B3.45B2.94B2.88B2.74B2.34B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
40.18M-1.81B2.24B848.49M-49.76M328.05M
Operating Cash Flow
40.18M-1.75B2.30B909.30M-7.00M363.26M
Investing Cash Flow
0.00-23.93M-34.06M-38.14M-38.16M-16.37M
Financing Cash Flow
0.00-385.65M-428.66M-737.97M4.92M-294.27M

Banca Mediolanum Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price32.12
Price Trends
50DMA
28.92
Positive
100DMA
26.41
Positive
200DMA
24.80
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.26
Negative
RSI
73.62
Negative
STOCH
95.99
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BNCDY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 32.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.86, above the 50-day MA of 28.92, and above the 200-day MA of 24.80, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.62 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.99 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BNCDY.

Banca Mediolanum Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AMAMP
79
Outperform
$46.38B14.6568.31%1.22%11.38%39.25%
75
Outperform
$24.40B23.3142.26%0.37%23.20%2.38%
68
Neutral
$11.87B9.8825.12%3.54%11.63%29.42%
PFPFG
66
Neutral
$19.03B12.6414.28%3.38%18.02%171.70%
MEMET
65
Neutral
$54.70B13.5115.41%2.71%6.10%225.22%
63
Neutral
$14.35B9.948.94%4.37%16.34%-11.76%
PRPRU
61
Neutral
$39.53B14.899.79%4.70%34.25%11.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BNCDY
Banca Mediolanum
32.52
11.66
55.90%
AMP
Ameriprise Financial
494.36
63.74
14.80%
LPLA
LPL Financial
338.40
76.27
29.10%
MET
Metlife
82.49
11.03
15.44%
PFG
Principal Financial
85.15
2.34
2.83%
PRU
Prudential Financial
112.71
0.92
0.82%

Banca Mediolanum Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 6, 2025 | % Change Since: 17.35% | Next Earnings Date: May 8, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Banca Mediolanum's strong financial performance, with record net income and significant growth in managed assets and customer acquisition. However, concerns about regulatory impacts and increased funding costs pose challenges. Despite these lowlights, the overall outlook remains positive with strong market positioning and strategic growth initiatives.
Highlights
Record-Breaking Financial Performance
Net income reached EUR 674.3 million, exceeding last year's 9-month results by 18%. Q3 alone reported EUR 224.4 million, with a significant double-digit growth in net commission income up 13% to over EUR 874 million.
Strong Asset Under Management Growth
Managed assets achieved a notably positive trend, reaching EUR 5.44 billion, almost doubling last year's figure, and total net inflows marked a 28% increase for the 9 months.
Customer and Digital Channel Expansion
Record acquisition of 149,000 new bank customers, a 7% increase, with the digital channel Selfy contributing 21,200 new customers, a 5% increase.
Positive Market Conditions and Net Inflows
Market effects contributed to net income with positive mark-to-market and performance fees totaling EUR 51 million compared to a negligible amount last year, and total assets surged to EUR 133 billion, a 13% increase.
Strong Performance in Spain
Net income in Spain grew by 10% to EUR 54.4 million, with total assets increasing by 15% and managed assets by 22%.
Lowlights
Potential Impact of Regulatory Changes
The implementation of Basel III regulations in 2025 is projected to reduce the CET1 ratio by around 2 percentage points, indicating a potential future challenge.
Higher Funding Costs
The higher than expected inflows due to promotional offers led to increased funding costs, impacting the net interest income growth projections.
Market Dependency and Future Uncertainties
Future performance heavily depends on market conditions, with potential competition from BTPs and rate fluctuations affecting managed asset inflows and NII projections.
Company Guidance
During Banca Mediolanum's Q3 2024 earnings call, the company provided guidance on several key financial metrics, highlighting a strong performance and positive outlook. Net income reached EUR 674.3 million, marking an 18% increase compared to the same period last year, with Q3 alone contributing EUR 224.4 million. Net interest income remained robust at over EUR 630 million, despite initial ECB rate cuts, and is projected to grow by 8% in 2024. The bank's net commission income experienced a significant 13% rise, totaling over EUR 874 million, with recurring fees hitting a record EUR 1.13 billion, up 14.5%. The operating margin soared to EUR 848 million, a 16% increase, while the cost/income ratio improved to 38.3%. Total net inflows over the first nine months were EUR 7.16 billion, a 28% increase, with managed assets contributing EUR 5.44 billion. The company's CET1 ratio stood strong at 23.4%, and an interim dividend of EUR 0.37 per share was announced. With a positive market outlook and strategic promotional efforts, Banca Mediolanum anticipates maintaining strong inflows and leveraging higher commission income to offset potential net interest income reductions in 2025.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.