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Astrazeneca Plc (AZN)
NASDAQ:AZN

AstraZeneca (AZN) AI Stock Analysis

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AstraZeneca

(NASDAQ:AZN)

73Outperform
AstraZeneca's overall stock score of 72.67 reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights, but is tempered by bearish technical trends and high valuation. Significant revenue growth, successful product developments, and strategic pipeline advancements are offset by challenges in the China market and increased operating expenses. The stock's premium valuation and downward technical indicators suggest caution despite the company's robust financial health and future growth prospects.
Positive Factors
Clinical Trial Success
DESTINY-Breast09 demonstrated a highly statistically significant and clinically meaningful improvement in PFS for Enhertu + pertuzumab vs the control arm standard of care in patients with 1L HER2+ metastatic breast cancer.
Product Pipeline
AZN has promising new products and pipeline, and participates in many large, high-growth markets.
Negative Factors
Market Challenges
Decreasing roxadustat China sales are expected in subsequent years due to expected VBP inclusion.
Regulatory Risks
Current investor concerns mainly revolve around risks to the China business due to alleged improper practices by former employees.

AstraZeneca (AZN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

AstraZeneca Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAstraZeneca PLC, a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery, development, manufacture, and commercialization of prescription medicines. The company's marketed products include Tagrisso, Imfinzi, Lynparza, Calquence, Enhertu, Orpathys, Truqap, Zoladex, Faslodex, Farxiga, Brilinta, Lokelma, Roxadustat, Andexxa, Crestor, Seloken, Onglyza, Bydureon, Fasenra, Breztri, Symbicort, Saphnelo, Tezspire, Pulmicort, Bevespi, and Daliresp for cardiovascular, renal, metabolism, and oncology. Its marketed products also comprise Vaxzevria, Beyfortus, Synagis, FluMist, Soliris, Ultomiris, Strensiq, Koselugo, and Kanuma for covid-19 and rare disease. The company serves primary care and specialty care physicians through distributors and local representative offices in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, the Americas, Asia, Africa, and Australasia. It has a collaboration agreement with Neurimmune AG to develop and commercialize NI006; BenevolentAI for drug discovery for systemic lupus erythematosus; Lunit for developing AI-Powered Digital Pathology Risk Assessment Tools for NSCLC; and Absci Corporation for AI-driven drug discovery against an oncology target. The company was formerly known as Zeneca Group PLC and changed its name to AstraZeneca PLC in April 1999. AstraZeneca PLC was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Cambridge, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyAstraZeneca generates revenue primarily through the sale of its pharmaceutical products. The company makes money by developing, manufacturing, and marketing prescription drugs globally, with a significant focus on its key therapeutic areas. AstraZeneca's revenue streams are largely driven by the commercial success of its proprietary medicines, which include blockbuster drugs in oncology and other therapeutic areas. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical and biotechnology firms to enhance its research and development capabilities, often resulting in milestone payments, royalties, and shared revenues. Additionally, AstraZeneca invests in expanding its market presence through acquisitions and licensing agreements, further contributing to its overall earnings.

AstraZeneca Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AstraZeneca demonstrates a strong financial position characterized by significant revenue growth, solid profitability margins, and effective cash flow management. The company maintains a balanced capital structure with manageable debt levels and strong equity. While leveraging is relatively high, the firm's consistent profitability and cash flows provide a stable foundation for continued growth and financial health.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
AstraZeneca's income statement shows strong revenue growth with total revenue growing from $45.8 billion in 2023 to $54.1 billion in 2024, a growth rate of 18.1%. The company maintains a robust gross profit margin of 81.1% in 2024. The net profit margin improved to 13.0% in 2024, up from 13.0% in 2023, indicating increased profitability. Both EBIT and EBITDA margins show positive trends, reflecting operational efficiency and strong earnings performance.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reveals solid financials with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.74 in 2024, showing manageable leverage. Stockholders' equity increased to $40.8 billion, supporting a stable equity ratio of 39.2%. Return on equity improved to 17.2%, highlighting effective use of equity in generating profits. Despite a high total debt, the company's equity position remains robust.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
AstraZeneca's cash flow statement indicates healthy cash generation with operating cash flow increasing to $11.9 billion in 2024. The free cash flow to net income ratio is satisfactory, showing effective cash management. Free cash flow growth from $6.6 billion in 2023 to $7.3 billion in 2024 indicates good cash flow growth. Operating cash flow covers net income well, suggesting strong cash conversion.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
54.07B45.81B44.35B37.42B26.62B
Gross Profit
43.87B37.77B31.96B24.98B21.32B
EBIT
10.00B8.19B3.76B1.06B5.16B
EBITDA
17.12B13.91B9.09B5.11B8.08B
Net Income Common Stockholders
7.04B5.96B3.29B112.00M3.20B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
5.65B5.86B6.41B6.40B7.99B
Total Assets
104.03B101.12B96.48B105.36B66.73B
Total Debt
30.11B28.62B29.23B30.78B20.38B
Net Debt
24.63B22.78B23.07B24.45B12.55B
Total Liabilities
63.16B61.95B59.42B66.08B51.09B
Stockholders Equity
40.79B39.14B37.04B39.27B15.62B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
7.28B6.57B7.24B3.76B2.19B
Operating Cash Flow
11.86B10.35B9.81B5.96B4.80B
Investing Cash Flow
-7.98B-4.06B-2.96B-11.06B-285.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-4.00B-6.57B-6.82B3.65B-2.20B

AstraZeneca Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price68.51
Price Trends
50DMA
72.88
Negative
100DMA
69.73
Negative
200DMA
73.01
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.80
Positive
RSI
42.96
Neutral
STOCH
86.63
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AZN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 68.51 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 69.35, below the 50-day MA of 72.88, and below the 200-day MA of 73.01, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.80 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.63 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AZN.

AstraZeneca Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
NVNVS
80
Outperform
$212.50B18.6826.33%2.96%1.08%-17.73%
MRMRK
74
Outperform
$195.90B11.5640.81%4.06%6.85%4577.79%
AZAZN
73
Outperform
$209.32B29.9117.60%2.24%18.03%18.11%
SNSNY
70
Outperform
$125.03B21.437.34%2.90%-4.57%2.96%
PFPFE
68
Neutral
$127.78B15.999.05%7.50%8.77%272.80%
GSGSK
65
Neutral
$73.46B22.6919.11%4.20%6.28%-47.11%
51
Neutral
$5.20B3.18-40.80%2.96%17.66%1.94%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AZN
AstraZeneca
68.51
-1.29
-1.85%
GSK
GlaxoSmithKline
37.03
-2.28
-5.80%
MRK
Merck & Company
78.97
-44.37
-35.97%
NVS
Novartis
110.13
14.67
15.37%
PFE
Pfizer
22.39
-2.33
-9.43%
SNY
Sanofi
53.02
7.79
17.22%

AstraZeneca Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 6, 2025 | % Change Since: -2.07% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects strong overall performance with significant revenue growth, successful product approvals, and strategic pipeline advancements. However, challenges in the China market, anticipated headwinds from VBP and IRA, and increased operating expenses highlight areas of concern. The sentiment is balanced between strong growth prospects and operational challenges.
Highlights
Strong Revenue Growth
Total revenue increased by 21% in 2024, with a core EPS growth of 19%. This exceeded the twice updated guidance range of a high teens percentage increase.
Successful Product Launches and Approvals
Eight new medicines have been approved to date, including Datroway, with significant contributions from oncology products like Tagrisso, Enhertu, and Imfinzi.
Emerging Markets Growth
Emerging market growth was strong at 22% in 2024, with substantial opportunities noted in China and other emerging markets.
Pipeline Advancements
Nine high-value pivotal trials readouts in 2024, representing over $5 billion in non-risk adjusted peak year revenue, with more anticipated in 2025.
Dividend Increase
AstraZeneca increased its full-year 2024 dividend to $3.10 per share and plans to increase the 2025 dividend to $3.20.
Lowlights
China Market Challenges
Ongoing investigations in China regarding suspected unpaid importation taxes totaling $900,000, which could result in fines of up to five times the amount.
Quarter 4 Revenue Decline in China
China's revenue growth was 11% for 2024 but saw a decline of 3% in the fourth quarter due to hospital ordering dynamics and mild winter affecting respiratory products.
Impact of VBP and IRA
Headwinds anticipated from VBP inclusion for several medicines in China and the impact of Part D redesign in the U.S., affecting revenue and gross margins.
Increased Operating Expenses
Core operating expense increased by 14% in 2024, and while below the revenue growth, it indicates rising costs alongside strong revenue performance.
Net Debt Increase
Net debt increased by $2.1 billion to $24.6 billion, with significant deal-related payments anticipated in 2025.
Company Guidance
During the call, AstraZeneca provided detailed guidance on its performance and future outlook. In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue increase of 21% and a core EPS growth of 19%. Core operating expenses rose by 14%, indicating efficient leverage relative to revenue growth. The company initiated nine high-value pivotal trials, projected to generate over $5 billion in peak revenue. AstraZeneca aims to launch 20 new medicines by 2030, with eight already approved. For 2025, the company anticipates a high single-digit percentage increase in total revenue and a low double-digit percentage increase in core EPS. The company also expects a 70 basis points decline in product sales growth margin due to factors such as IRA in the U.S. and VBP inclusion in China. AstraZeneca plans to increase CapEx by approximately 50% in 2025 to support manufacturing and technology investments. Despite challenges, such as ongoing investigations in China and potential import duty fines, AstraZeneca remains focused on sustaining growth through its diverse product portfolio and strategic investments.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.