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Avnet (AVT)
NASDAQ:AVT

Avnet (AVT) AI Stock Analysis

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AVAvnet
(NASDAQ:AVT)
68Neutral
Avnet's overall stock score reflects a balance of stable financial performance with profitability and liquidity challenges, fair valuation, and cautious optimism from the earnings call. Technical indicators suggest a lack of upward momentum, while valuation metrics provide some support.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
AVT delivered F1Q revenue of $5.6 billion, above the high end of its guidance range and versus Street at $5.4 billion, and an EPS of $0.92 which was also above the high end of guidance and versus Street at $0.86.
Leadership and Strategy
Avnet remains confident in an eventual return to double-digit EBIT% with new leadership and additional cost optimization plans.
Negative Factors
Inventory and Supply Chain
Negative impact from mix, inventory correction ongoing.
Margins
Farnell's catalog business has much weaker margins than expected, with operating margin at 0.5% versus an expectation for flat at 4.0%.
Market Demand
The demand environment is seen as weak, especially in Europe.

Avnet (AVT) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Avnet Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAvnet, Inc. (AVT) is a global technology solutions company headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona. It operates primarily in the electronic components and technology distribution sectors. Avnet provides a wide range of products and services, including electronic components distribution, technical design support, and supply chain services to a variety of industries such as automotive, industrial, and consumer electronics. The company plays a crucial role in helping manufacturers bring their technological innovations to market efficiently.
How the Company Makes MoneyAvnet makes money through its distribution and sales of electronic components, which form the core of its business model. It sources components from leading technology suppliers and distributes them to a broad customer base ranging from small businesses to large enterprises. Avnet's key revenue streams include the sale of semiconductors, interconnects, passives, and electromechanical devices. Additionally, Avnet offers value-added services such as design chain and supply chain solutions, which help clients optimize their product development and manufacturing processes. Strategic partnerships with major technology companies and a strong global logistics network further contribute to Avnet's revenue streams by enhancing its ability to deliver comprehensive solutions to its customers.

Avnet Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Avnet's financial performance is characterized by stable revenue growth but profitability challenges. The balance sheet shows strength in equity but is burdened by significant debt levels. Cash flow generation has been inconsistent, posing a potential risk to liquidity.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Avnet shows a mixed performance on the income statement. The company has demonstrated solid revenue growth over the years, albeit with some fluctuations. The gross profit margin is relatively stable, reflecting effective cost management. However, the net profit margin has been declining, partly due to increasing operational costs. The TTM EBIT margin shows a downward trend, indicating a challenge in maintaining profitability levels.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a strong equity base with a healthy equity ratio. However, the company carries a significant amount of debt, as indicated by a moderately high debt-to-equity ratio. The return on equity has been under pressure due to declining profitability. Overall, the balance sheet suggests a stable yet leveraged financial position.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis indicates that Avnet has experienced volatile operating cash flows over the years. The free cash flow growth is positive in the latest period but has shown variability in previous years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting good cash conversion, though the free cash flow to net income ratio indicates some challenges in translating profits into free cash.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
22.48B23.76B26.54B24.31B19.53B17.63B
Gross Profit
2.52B2.77B3.18B2.97B2.24B2.06B
EBIT
692.15M896.92M1.19B939.01M281.41M220.60M
EBITDA
771.00M1.06B1.38B1.09B451.10M237.53M
Net Income Common Stockholders
317.71M498.70M770.83M692.38M193.11M-29.53M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
172.14M310.94M288.23M153.69M199.69M477.04M
Total Assets
11.94B12.21B12.48B10.39B8.93B8.11B
Total Debt
2.79B3.13B3.30B1.87B1.51B1.73B
Net Debt
2.62B2.82B3.01B1.71B1.31B1.25B
Total Liabilities
7.10B7.28B7.73B6.20B4.84B4.38B
Stockholders Equity
11.94B4.93B4.75B4.19B4.08B3.73B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.09B463.51M-908.38M-268.21M40.59M656.67M
Operating Cash Flow
1.22B689.98M-713.70M-219.31M90.95M730.18M
Investing Cash Flow
-128.56M-225.48M-211.55M51.30M-61.20M-135.02M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.17B-433.80M1.05B156.06M-314.01M-644.55M

Avnet Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price49.15
Price Trends
50DMA
51.39
Negative
100DMA
52.62
Negative
200DMA
52.29
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.64
Positive
RSI
39.95
Neutral
STOCH
14.33
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AVT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 49.15 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 50.33, below the 50-day MA of 51.39, and below the 200-day MA of 52.29, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.64 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.33 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AVT.

Avnet Risk Analysis

Avnet disclosed 19 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Avnet reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Avnet Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
SNSNX
78
Outperform
$11.22B16.728.42%1.23%1.56%18.79%
HPHPE
72
Outperform
$24.81B9.8911.21%2.75%3.30%25.00%
WCWCC
70
Outperform
$8.35B13.1214.34%0.96%-2.53%-4.03%
AVAVT
68
Neutral
$4.25B13.916.45%2.61%-12.21%-51.31%
ARARW
66
Neutral
$5.53B14.556.78%-15.66%-54.03%
59
Neutral
$22.39B11.53-18.05%2.31%5.00%-25.89%
49
Neutral
$93.05M-56.63%-100.00%-24.28%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AVT
Avnet
49.15
3.73
8.21%
ARW
Arrow Electronics
105.88
-14.15
-11.79%
SNX
TD SYNNEX Corporation
129.32
26.48
25.75%
WCC
Wesco International
167.87
9.63
6.09%
HPE
Hewlett Packard Enterprise
17.96
0.44
2.51%
ANIX
Anixa Biosciences
2.92
-0.33
-10.15%

Avnet Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Jan 29, 2025 | % Change Since: -5.61% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed outlook with significant challenges such as sales and margin declines, particularly in Europe and the Americas, and ongoing inventory issues. However, there are positive aspects, including strong cash flow, growth in Asia, and improved cost management at Farnell. Overall, the sentiment is cautiously optimistic about overcoming current challenges and leveraging growth opportunities.
Highlights
Strong Cash Flow Generation
Generated over $300 million of cash flow from operations in the quarter, demonstrating effective working capital management.
Asia Pacific Sales Growth
Asia Pacific region showed year-over-year sales growth of 8%, indicating strong market performance despite global challenges.
Sequential Improvement in Farnell Operating Margin
Farnell operating margin improved by 47 basis points quarter-over-quarter, reflecting effective cost management.
Positive Demand Creation Trends
Demand creation revenues increased sequentially by 5%, with design registrations and wins also increasing, indicating future revenue potential.
Debt Reduction and Improved Leverage
Reduced debt by $385 million during the quarter, bringing gross leverage to 2.9 times, showcasing financial discipline.
Lowlights
Sales Decline Year-over-Year
Overall sales decreased by 9% year-over-year, with notable declines in EMEA (25%) and the Americas (14%).
Gross Margin Decline
Gross margin decreased by 86 basis points year-over-year and 32 basis points sequentially, partly due to a sales mix shift to Asia.
Weak Market Conditions in Europe
Continued weak demand in Europe due to economic and geopolitical factors, affecting Farnell sales and overall market performance.
Prolonged Inventory Challenges
Persistent high inventory levels, with certain regions and products experiencing excess and aged inventory, impacting financial metrics.
Guidance Indicates Further Decline
Guidance for the next quarter suggests a sequential sales decline of 6% to 11%, reflecting ongoing market and demand challenges.
Company Guidance
In the Avnet Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 earnings call, the company reported sales of $5.7 billion and an adjusted EPS of $0.87, both surpassing the midpoint of their guidance. The results were driven by robust performance in Asia, counterbalanced by weaker markets in the West, particularly Europe. Avnet generated over $300 million in cash flow from operations, with a global book-to-bill ratio remaining below parity, indicating continued pressure on backlog due to shorter lead times and ongoing customer destocking. Despite this, cancellations have stayed at normal levels. The company focuses on optimizing inventory and cost management while investing in business growth and operational capabilities. Avnet’s guidance for the third quarter anticipates sales between $5.05 billion and $5.35 billion, with diluted EPS in the range of $0.65 to $0.75, assuming persistent market conditions and an effective tax rate between 22% and 26%.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.