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Allete Inc (ALE)
NYSE:ALE

Allete (ALE) AI Stock Analysis

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ALAllete
(NYSE:ALE)
73Outperform
Allete's overall score is primarily driven by its strong financial performance and positive technical indicators, which reflect solid profitability and market momentum. The approval of a significant merger adds a positive outlook, although the company must address revenue growth and cash flow challenges for sustained success.

Allete (ALE) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Allete Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAllete Inc. (ALE) is an energy company based in Duluth, Minnesota, primarily engaged in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity. The company operates through several segments, including Regulated Operations, which encompasses its utility operations in Minnesota and Wisconsin through Minnesota Power and Superior Water, Light and Power, and its Clean Energy segment, BNI Energy, which provides lignite coal to Minnesota Power and other industrial customers. Allete is committed to providing sustainable energy solutions, including investments in renewable energy projects and infrastructure.
How the Company Makes MoneyAllete makes money primarily through its Regulated Operations segment, which involves the sale of electricity to retail and wholesale customers in Minnesota and Wisconsin. This segment generates revenue through regulated electricity rates approved by state regulatory commissions. Additionally, Allete's Clean Energy segment contributes to its revenue by engaging in renewable energy projects, including wind and solar, which are sold under long-term power purchase agreements. The company's BNI Energy unit provides additional revenue by supplying lignite coal under long-term contracts. Allete's financial performance is also influenced by its strategic investments in renewable energy assets and infrastructure, aiming to meet the growing demand for clean energy.

Allete Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Allete shows strong profitability with a high net profit margin and stable balance sheet indicative of a regulated utility. However, the company faces challenges with declining revenue and free cash flow, suggesting a need for improved growth and cash flow management strategies.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Allete has shown a mixed performance in terms of revenue growth. The revenue decreased from $1.88B in 2023 to $1.53B in 2024, indicating a decline. However, the net profit margin improved as net income increased to $179.3M despite the revenue drop, suggesting effective cost management. The gross profit margin is strong at 76.4%, but the decline in EBIT margin from the previous year suggests some operational challenges. Overall, solid profitability but issues with growth need addressing.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Allete's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.63, indicating a reasonable leverage level for a regulated utility company. The equity ratio is stable at 42.2%, reflecting a sound capital structure. The return on equity is 6.3%, showing moderate efficiency in using shareholder capital. The balance sheet is stable, but the moderate ROE suggests room for improvement in generating profits from equity.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.55 indicates strong cash generation relative to net income, a positive sign of liquidity. However, the free cash flow has declined significantly from $314.1M in 2023 to $102.2M in 2024, reflecting increased capital expenditures. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.57, showing a drop in cash available after capital investments. While liquidity is strong, the decline in free cash flow is a concern.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.53B1.88B1.57B1.42B1.17B
Gross Profit
1.17B489.90M446.80M453.50M424.80M
EBIT
160.10M180.90M134.20M151.30M150.90M
EBITDA
486.30M539.40M417.50M411.70M405.50M
Net Income Common Stockholders
179.30M247.10M131.30M169.20M174.20M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
32.80M71.90M36.40M45.10M44.30M
Total Assets
6.75B6.66B6.85B6.43B6.08B
Total Debt
1.80B1.79B1.93B1.99B1.82B
Net Debt
1.77B1.72B1.90B1.95B1.77B
Total Liabilities
3.36B3.25B3.50B3.49B3.28B
Stockholders Equity
2.85B2.81B2.69B2.41B2.29B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
102.20M314.10M800.00K-209.80M-418.00M
Operating Cash Flow
457.10M585.30M221.30M263.50M299.80M
Investing Cash Flow
-340.70M-283.60M-384.00M-485.20M-812.80M
Financing Cash Flow
-140.60M-262.50M155.20M204.20M485.70M

Allete Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price65.27
Price Trends
50DMA
64.89
Positive
100DMA
64.18
Positive
200DMA
62.95
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.16
Positive
RSI
50.38
Neutral
STOCH
14.33
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ALE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 65.27 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 65.40, above the 50-day MA of 64.89, and above the 200-day MA of 62.95, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.33 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ALE.

Allete Risk Analysis

Allete disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Allete reported the most risks in the “Production” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Allete Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CMCMS
78
Outperform
$21.63B21.7412.72%2.91%0.71%11.07%
IDIDA
74
Outperform
$6.13B20.689.27%3.01%3.48%6.67%
ALALE
73
Outperform
$3.79B21.116.34%4.36%-18.62%-27.88%
AEAEP
73
Outperform
$55.13B18.5111.37%3.53%2.76%31.53%
LNLNT
72
Outperform
$16.28B23.6110.01%3.13%-1.12%-3.22%
XEXEL
69
Neutral
$39.49B19.9910.43%3.24%-5.25%7.11%
65
Neutral
$12.05B15.926.71%4.32%8.04%3.76%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ALE
Allete
65.27
10.01
18.11%
LNT
Alliant Energy
62.49
14.85
31.17%
AEP
American Electric Power
104.62
23.89
29.59%
CMS
CMS Energy
73.08
14.68
25.14%
IDA
IdaCorp
113.19
26.71
30.89%
XEL
Xcel Energy
68.00
18.87
38.41%

Allete Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Allete Announces CFO Steven Morris’ Retirement Plan
Neutral
Jan 24, 2025

Allete, Inc. announced the planned retirement of Steven W. Morris, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective July 18, 2025. Mr. Morris, who has been with the company in various financial roles since 2014, will remain through the transition period, ensuring an orderly handover of responsibilities.

M&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Allete’s $6.2 Billion Merger Gains Regulatory Approval
Positive
Dec 19, 2024

ALLETE, Inc. announced that the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission has approved its proposed transaction with Canada Pension Plan Investment Board and Global Infrastructure Partners. This approval is a major step towards finalizing the $6.2 billion merger, expected to close in mid-2025, which will see ALLETE becoming a subsidiary of Alloy Parent LLC. The transaction is anticipated to enhance long-term energy and infrastructure investments while maintaining local management and regulatory oversight. Importantly, the acquisition is not expected to affect retail or municipal rates for utility customers.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.