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Ashford Hospitality Trust (AHT)
NYSE:AHT

Ashford Hospitality (AHT) AI Stock Analysis

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Ashford Hospitality

(NYSE:AHT)

44Neutral
Ashford Hospitality Trust's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including persistent losses and negative equity, which weigh heavily on the company's outlook. Although strategic initiatives and recent corporate events are positive, they are not sufficient to offset the financial instability and technical bearish trends. The company's valuation metrics further compound the challenges, making it a risky investment in its current state.

Ashford Hospitality (AHT) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Ashford Hospitality Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAshford Hospitality Trust, Inc. (AHT) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) primarily engaged in the investment and ownership of upscale, full-service hotels located across the United States. The company's diverse portfolio includes properties affiliated with well-known brands such as Hilton, Marriott, and Hyatt. Ashford Hospitality focuses on acquiring and managing hotel properties to maximize long-term value and shareholder returns.
How the Company Makes MoneyAshford Hospitality Trust generates revenue primarily through the ownership and operation of its hotel properties. The company's income streams include room revenue from hotel stays, food and beverage sales from on-site restaurants and bars, and other ancillary services such as conference facilities and parking. Additionally, AHT benefits from strategic partnerships with major hotel brands that enhance brand recognition and operational efficiency. The company also seeks to optimize its portfolio by acquiring high-performing assets and disposing of underperforming ones, thereby enhancing overall profitability.

Ashford Hospitality Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ashford Hospitality shows high leverage and inconsistent profitability, with operational challenges reflected in its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Ashford Hospitality's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is modest, and net income has returned to positive territory, indicating some recovery. However, the revenue growth rate over recent years is inconsistent with notable fluctuations. Net profit margins remain relatively low, and historical EBIT and EBITDA margins demonstrate volatility, reflecting ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant financial leverage, with a high debt-to-equity ratio due to negative stockholders' equity. The equity ratio is also unfavorable, indicating a risky capital structure. Return on Equity cannot be evaluated positively due to negative equity. These factors highlight financial instability and potential risk exposure.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Ashford Hospitality's cash flow statement reflects some challenges, with operating cash flow turning negative in the TTM period. Free cash flow has shown volatility, with growth rates fluctuating significantly. The operating and free cash flow to net income ratios suggest inefficiencies in cash generation relative to accounting profit, raising concerns about cash management.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.22B1.37B1.24B805.41M508.24M1.50B
Gross Profit
170.63M334.04M287.63M108.39M-56.15M402.34M
EBIT
53.05M130.44M76.25M-138.82M-465.37M114.73M
EBITDA
198.04M305.61M294.17M110.00M-66.53M389.54M
Net Income Common Stockholders
34.51M-178.49M-141.06M-271.05M-633.22M-142.68M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
341.03M178.93M417.06M592.11M92.91M277.23M
Total Assets
4.69B3.46B3.92B4.10B3.73B4.69B
Total Debt
3.93B3.46B3.90B3.93B3.77B4.16B
Net Debt
3.61B3.29B3.48B3.34B3.68B3.90B
Total Liabilities
4.15B3.69B4.05B4.08B3.99B4.35B
Stockholders Equity
452.49M-261.14M-150.39M-2.65M-283.62M268.76M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-66.41M13.79M-64.53M-144.28M-164.92M176.73M
Operating Cash Flow
-59.35M14.39M39.22M-144.19M-149.53M177.21M
Investing Cash Flow
188.03M-89.75M-70.33M-34.04M-7.60M-253.19M
Financing Cash Flow
-251.65M-172.13M-101.51M702.56M-73.76M34.38M

Ashford Hospitality Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.45
Price Trends
50DMA
8.05
Negative
100DMA
8.13
Negative
200DMA
8.50
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.21
Positive
RSI
41.86
Neutral
STOCH
19.38
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AHT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.45 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.73, below the 50-day MA of 8.05, and below the 200-day MA of 8.50, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.38 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AHT.

Ashford Hospitality Risk Analysis

Ashford Hospitality disclosed 111 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ashford Hospitality reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ashford Hospitality Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$3.21B15.026.50%7.20%6.52%14.45%
61
Neutral
$4.75B18.23-3.59%10.86%6.00%-21.50%
DRDRH
60
Neutral
$1.66B43.652.98%1.52%5.12%-49.88%
PEPEB
58
Neutral
$1.23B-0.16%0.39%2.35%57.81%
RLRLJ
58
Neutral
$1.28B30.732.94%5.95%3.31%-15.16%
XHXHR
54
Neutral
$1.26B80.991.24%3.85%1.33%-10.65%
AHAHT
44
Neutral
$41.15M-25.85%-14.26%84.97%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AHT
Ashford Hospitality
7.45
-5.35
-41.80%
DRH
Diamondrock
7.93
-1.15
-12.67%
PEB
Pebblebrook Hotel
10.50
-4.80
-31.37%
RLJ
RLJ Lodging
8.48
-2.55
-23.12%
XHR
Xenia Hotels & Resorts
12.67
-1.83
-12.62%
APLE
Apple Hospitality REIT
13.38
-1.82
-11.97%

Ashford Hospitality Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 25, 2025 | % Change Since: -10.35% | Next Earnings Date: May 6, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted strong revenue growth, successful strategic initiatives, and effective refinancing activities. However, significant net losses and high floating rate debt exposure were concerning. Overall, the positive achievements in operations and strategy slightly outweigh the financial challenges.
Highlights
RevPAR and Revenue Growth
The fourth quarter saw a 3.1% growth in comparable RevPAR, 4.6% growth in comparable total revenue, and 6.2% growth in comparable hotel EBITDA. December total revenue growth of 7.7% outpaced RevPAR growth by 350 basis points.
Successful Hotel Conversions
The conversion of La Concha Hotel in Key West and La Pavillion Hotel in New Orleans led to significant RevPAR premiums and impressive revenue growth, with La Pavillion posting over 45% year-over-year revenue growth in January.
Capital Markets and Financing
Refinancing of mortgage loans and the sale of the Courtyard Boston Downtown for $123 million contributed to deleveraging efforts and improved financial position.
Grow AHT Initiative
The newly announced Grow AHT initiative aims to add $50 million to corporate EBITDA by focusing on G&A reduction, revenue maximization, and operational efficiency.
Lowlights
Net Loss and AFFO
Reported a net loss attributable to common stockholders of $131.1 million for the quarter and $82.5 million for the full year. AFFO per diluted share was negative $2.01 for the quarter and negative $4.84 for the full year.
Floating Rate Debt Exposure
Approximately 77% of the company's debt is effectively floating, which poses a risk in fluctuating interest rate environments.
Company Guidance
During the Ashford Hospitality Trust fourth quarter 2024 results conference call, several key metrics and strategic initiatives were highlighted. The company reported a 3.1% growth in comparable RevPAR, a 4.6% increase in total revenue, and a 6.2% increase in comparable hotel EBITDA for the quarter. They also discussed the successful conversions of the La Concha Hotel in Key West and the La Pavillion Hotel in New Orleans to Marriott's Autograph Collection and Tribute Portfolio, respectively, expecting RevPAR premiums of 20%-30% and 10%-20%. Additionally, the company completed significant financial transactions, such as the refinancing of the Marriott Crystal Gateway Hotel mortgage loan and the sale of the Courtyard Boston Downtown for $123 million. Looking forward, Ashford Trust aims to transform its operations through the Grow AHT initiative, targeting a $50 million increase in run rate corporate EBITDA by focusing on G&A reduction, revenue maximization, and operational efficiency.

Ashford Hospitality Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Ashford Hospitality Proposes Amendment to Advisory Agreement
Positive
Mar 21, 2025

On March 21, 2025, Ashford Hospitality Trust announced a proposed amendment to its advisory agreement with Ashford Inc., aiming to reduce the base advisory fee as part of its ‘GRO AHT’ initiative. This amendment could lead to significant cost savings, potentially exceeding $3 million in 2025 and more than $11 million annually if the company’s enterprise value remains stable. The proposed changes include eliminating the Net Asset Fee Adjustment and reducing the Base Advisory Fee calculation, which underscores Ashford Inc.’s commitment to improving EBITDA and enhancing shareholder value.

Business Operations and Strategy
Ashford Hospitality Implements Cost-Cutting Measures for Growth
Positive
Mar 20, 2025

On March 20, 2025, Ashford Hospitality Trust announced that its largest property manager, Remington, has implemented several cost-cutting measures, including headcount reductions and reduced travel expenses, as part of the company’s ‘GRO AHT’ initiative. These efforts are expected to contribute over $11 million in incremental Hotel EBITDA, aligning with Ashford Trust’s strategic vision to optimize performance and create long-term shareholder value, with a goal of achieving $50 million in annual run-rate EBITDA improvement.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ashford Hospitality Announces Cost-Cutting Measures for 2025
Positive
Mar 12, 2025

On March 12, 2025, Ashford Hospitality Trust announced a reduction in corporate administrative and general expenses as part of its ‘GRO AHT’ initiative, aiming to enhance EBITDA and improve financial performance. The company expects these measures, which include cuts in legal, accounting, and consulting fees, to save over $4 million annually and contribute to more than $18 million in incremental EBITDA, reinforcing its commitment to operational efficiency and shareholder value.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ashford Hospitality Cuts Board and Management Compensation
Positive
Feb 28, 2025

On February 27, 2025, Ashford Hospitality Trust announced significant reductions in board and management compensation as part of its ‘GRO AHT’ initiative, aimed at improving annual run-rate EBITDA by $50 million and enhancing shareholder value. The company’s strategic moves, including a 50% reduction in board compensation and a decrease in executive incentive awards, are expected to generate over $11 million in incremental EBITDA, supporting its commitment to financial discipline and operational efficiency.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ashford Hospitality Reports Strong Q4 2024 Earnings Growth
Positive
Feb 26, 2025

In its fourth quarter 2024 earnings call held on February 26, 2025, Ashford Hospitality Trust reported a 3.1% growth in Comparable RevPAR, 4.6% growth in total revenue, and a 6.2% increase in Comparable Hotel EBITDA. The company highlighted its strategic initiatives, including the conversion of hotels to Marriott’s Autograph Collection and Tribute Portfolio, which led to significant revenue growth. Ashford also completed refinancing and asset sales to strengthen its financial position and launched the ‘GRO AHT’ initiative aimed at boosting EBITDA by $50 million through cost reduction, revenue maximization, and operational efficiency. These efforts are expected to enhance shareholder value and improve the company’s market positioning.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ashford Hospitality Extends Mortgage Loan for Hotel Indigo
Positive
Feb 26, 2025

On February 26, 2025, Ashford Hospitality Trust announced the successful extension of its mortgage loan for the Hotel Indigo Atlanta Midtown. Originally set to mature in December 2024, the loan now has an initial maturity in February 2026, with an option for a one-year extension until February 2027, maintaining a balance of $12.3 million at a floating interest rate of SOFR + 2.85%. This extension provides Ashford Trust with enhanced financial flexibility and stability in managing its real estate investments, potentially strengthening its market position in the upscale hotel sector.

Private Placements and Financing
Ashford Hospitality Closes $580 Million Refinancing Deal
Positive
Feb 12, 2025

On February 12, 2025, Ashford Hospitality Trust, Inc. announced it has closed a $580 million refinancing deal secured by 16 hotels. This refinancing replaces previous loans totaling approximately $438.7 million and offers a two-year term with potential extensions and a floating interest rate. The company utilized $72 million of the excess proceeds to pay off existing strategic financing and allocated the remainder for transaction costs and future capital expenditures, thereby addressing pending loan maturities and eliminating corporate-level debt.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ashford Hospitality Completes Strategic Financing Payoff
Positive
Feb 12, 2025

On February 12, 2025, Ashford Hospitality Trust announced that it has fully paid off its strategic financing, which dates back to early 2021 and was crucial in aiding the company’s recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic. This financial achievement strengthens the company’s position by eliminating corporate-level debt and aligns with its ‘GRO AHT’ initiative to enhance asset performance and increase shareholder value.

DividendsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Ashford Hospitality Announces 2024 Preferred Share Tax Details
Neutral
Jan 27, 2025

On January 27, 2025, Ashford Hospitality Trust, Inc. announced the tax reporting information for its 2024 preferred share distributions. The release detailed the income tax treatment for various series of preferred stocks, including Series D, F, G, H, I, J, and K. This information is crucial for stockholders as it impacts their taxable income declarations for the year 2024, with specific distributions reportable in either 2024 or 2025 depending on the payment dates.

Executive/Board Changes
Ashford Hospitality Announces Director Resignation and Payout
Neutral
Jan 24, 2025

On January 24, 2025, Ashford Hospitality Trust’s Board of Directors accepted the resignation of Mr. Kamal Jafarnia, following a substantial change in his primary occupation. His departure was not due to any disagreements with the company’s operations or policies. As part of the company’s director retirement program, Mr. Jafarnia will receive a cash payout of $120,000 for his service.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ashford Hospitality Sells Courtyard Boston Downtown for $123M
Positive
Jan 14, 2025

On January 10, 2025, Ashford Hospitality Trust’s subsidiary, HH FP Portfolio LLC, completed the sale of the 315-room Courtyard Boston Downtown for $123 million to 275 Tremont Owner, LLC. This sale is expected to deleverage the company’s BAML Highland Pool loan and lead to significant capital savings, aligning with the positive sentiment in the transaction and financing markets.

Dividends
Ashford Hospitality Trust Declares 2025 Preferred Stock Dividends
Positive
Jan 13, 2025

Ashford Hospitality Trust has announced dividends for several series of its cumulative preferred stocks for the first quarter of 2025. These dividends indicate stable returns for stockholders and reflect the company’s ongoing commitment to providing value to its investors, potentially strengthening its position in the hospitality investment market.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ashford Hospitality Announces Board Member Resignation
Neutral
Dec 27, 2024

Ashford Hospitality Trust, Inc. announced that Mr. Alan Tallis has resigned from its Board of Directors, effective December 31, 2024, as part of the company’s strategy to reduce overhead and improve financial performance. Following his resignation, Mr. Tallis will receive a payout for his service and will enter a consulting agreement with the company, highlighting a transition to a leaner board structure while maintaining his advisory role.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.