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Addus HomeCare Corporation (ADUS)
:ADUS

Addus Homecare (ADUS) AI Stock Analysis

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Addus Homecare

(NASDAQ:ADUS)

61Neutral
Addus Homecare's stock score is buoyed by strong earnings growth and strategic acquisitions, notably the Gentiva acquisition, which expands market reach. However, the balance sheet's high leverage and negative equity pose significant risks, while technical indicators suggest bearish momentum. The moderate valuation reflects balanced potential and risks.
Positive Factors
Financial Health
ADUS finished with a net debt to annualized EBITDA ratio of less than 1x, indicating strong financial health.
Revenue Growth
The company remains committed to long-term revenue growth of over 10%, even on a larger base, and is focused on smaller transactions that fit its strategy.
Negative Factors
Gross Margin
Gross margin is expected to decline approximately 200 basis points quarter over quarter in 1Q.

Addus Homecare (ADUS) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Addus Homecare Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAddus HomeCare Corporation (ADUS) is a leading provider of comprehensive home and community-based health services. Operating primarily in the United States, the company offers a range of services including personal care, home health, and hospice care. Addus HomeCare focuses on improving the quality of life for vulnerable populations, such as the elderly, chronically ill, and disabled, by providing assistance with daily living activities and medical care in the comfort of their homes.
How the Company Makes MoneyAddus HomeCare makes money primarily through reimbursed healthcare services, which are funded by a combination of government programs and private pay sources. Key revenue streams include personal care services, which involve non-medical assistance with activities such as bathing, dressing, and meal preparation. This segment is largely reimbursed through Medicaid and other similar state-managed programs. In addition, the company earns revenue from its home health services, offering skilled nursing and therapy services, which are reimbursed by Medicare, Medicaid, and private insurance. Hospice care, another significant revenue stream, provides end-of-life care and is reimbursed through Medicare, Medicaid, and private insurance as well. Addus HomeCare's earnings are influenced by its ability to maintain contracts with state and federal programs, manage regulatory compliance, and expand its service network through strategic acquisitions and partnerships.

Addus Homecare Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Addus Homecare showcases strong revenue growth, improving profit margins, and healthy cash flow generation. However, the balance sheet presents a risk with high leverage and negative equity in 2024, which threatens financial stability. The company's operational efficiency and cash conversion abilities are commendable, but cautious monitoring of debt levels and equity restoration is recommended.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Addus Homecare demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a Revenue Growth Rate of 9.06% from 2023 to 2024. The Gross Profit Margin and Net Profit Margin have shown consistent improvement, reaching 32.48% and 6.37% in 2024, respectively. The EBIT Margin increased to 8.89%, indicating efficient cost management and operational profitability. These metrics reflect robust financial health and growth potential.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company exhibits a high Debt-to-Equity Ratio due to negative equity in 2024, which is a concerning financial risk. The Return on Equity (ROE) is not meaningful due to negative equity. However, the company has managed its debt levels well historically, but the 2024 balance sheet indicates potential stability issues. The Equity Ratio fell to negative, highlighting significant financial leverage and risk.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Addus Homecare shows a solid Free Cash Flow Growth Rate of 7.38% from 2023 to 2024, underscoring strong cash generation capabilities. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is robust, reflecting efficient cash operations. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio indicates that the company efficiently converts its earnings into cash. However, high investing outflows in 2024 could suggest aggressive growth strategies or capital expenditures.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
904.88M1.15B1.06B951.12M864.50M764.77M
Gross Profit
285.63M375.02M339.88M299.74M269.85M226.24M
EBIT
67.13M102.69M90.96M68.74M65.94M44.51M
EBITDA
81.94M120.61M106.56M83.14M80.70M57.18M
Net Income Common Stockholders
44.35M73.60M62.52M46.02M45.13M33.13M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
98.91M0.0064.79M79.96M168.90M145.08M
Total Assets
1.41B1.41B1.02B937.99M947.59M892.58M
Total Debt
54.68M3.22M175.18M178.05M253.77M230.39M
Net Debt
-44.23M3.22M110.39M98.09M84.88M85.31M
Total Liabilities
442.14M442.14M317.73M304.45M373.24M373.91M
Stockholders Equity
970.49M-2.58M706.69M633.54M574.34M518.68M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
100.97M110.38M102.79M96.81M34.84M102.58M
Operating Cash Flow
105.31M116.43M112.25M105.11M39.49M109.41M
Investing Cash Flow
-126.11M-354.61M-119.24M-106.59M-42.02M-214.24M
Financing Cash Flow
2.32M272.30M-8.18M-87.45M26.34M138.19M

Addus Homecare Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price94.71
Price Trends
50DMA
117.52
Negative
100DMA
121.73
Negative
200DMA
122.68
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-7.10
Positive
RSI
25.21
Positive
STOCH
33.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ADUS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 94.71 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 103.37, below the 50-day MA of 117.52, and below the 200-day MA of 122.68, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -7.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 25.21 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ADUS.

Addus Homecare Risk Analysis

Addus Homecare disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Addus Homecare reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Addus Homecare Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (49)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
EHEHC
72
Outperform
$9.98B22.2624.52%0.64%11.91%28.47%
CHCHE
70
Outperform
$8.76B30.0127.12%0.32%7.37%11.17%
HUHUM
67
Neutral
$30.20B25.167.40%1.41%10.70%-49.85%
66
Neutral
$3.02B70.683.93%5.01%
61
Neutral
$1.72B22.378.78%9.06%10.68%
BKBKD
51
Neutral
$1.13B-65.55%3.95%-5.53%
49
Neutral
$6.90B-0.08-53.01%2.43%24.84%-3.06%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ADUS
Addus Homecare
94.71
-3.87
-3.93%
AMED
Amedisys
92.09
-1.05
-1.13%
BKD
Brookdale Senior Living
5.63
-0.54
-8.75%
CHE
Chemed
598.50
-43.14
-6.72%
EHC
Encompass Health
96.99
20.60
26.97%
HUM
Humana
250.20
-91.09
-26.69%

Addus Homecare Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 24, 2025 | % Change Since: -12.98% | Next Earnings Date: May 5, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial growth and successful strategic acquisitions, notably the Gentiva acquisition, which expanded market reach. However, there are concerns regarding potential Medicaid funding changes and operational challenges related to weather and seasonal factors. Despite some challenges, the company's strategic positioning and financial health appear robust.
Highlights
Revenue Growth
Total revenue for Q4 2024 was $297.1 million, an increase of 7.5% compared to Q4 2023. For the full year 2024, total revenue was $1.2 billion, an increase of 9.1% compared to 2023.
Adjusted Earnings and EBITDA Increase
Adjusted earnings per share for Q4 2024 was $1.38, a 4.6% increase from Q4 2023. Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 was $37.8 million, a 10.3% increase from Q4 2023.
Successful Acquisition of Gentiva
Addus completed its largest acquisition to date with Gentiva, adding approximately $280 million in annualized revenues and significantly expanding market coverage.
Strong Cash Flow
Consistent cash flow with $100 million on hand at the end of 2024 and a conservative leverage position under one times Adjusted EBITDA.
Lowlights
Potential Medicaid Funding Changes
Concerns about proposed changes to Medicaid funding, which could impact states, although Addus believes their services are less likely to be affected.
Corporate Office Lease Write-off
A one-time write-off of approximately $4.9 million related to excess space at the corporate office.
Weather and Seasonal Challenges
Weather-related disruptions and seasonal impacts in Q1 2025 could affect personal care services, though specifics were not quantified.
Company Guidance
During Addus HomeCare's fourth quarter 2024 earnings call, the company provided several financial metrics and guidance. Total revenue for the quarter increased by 7.5% to $297.1 million compared to the same quarter in 2023. Adjusted earnings per share rose by 4.6% to $1.38, while adjusted EBITDA increased by 10.3% to $37.8 million. For the full year 2024, Addus reported a 9.1% revenue increase to $1.2 billion, with adjusted earnings per share up by 14.9% to $5.26, and adjusted EBITDA up by 15.9% to $140.3 million. The company ended the year with approximately $100 million in cash on hand and a conservative leverage position of just under one times adjusted EBITDA. Addus also highlighted the successful integration of its largest acquisition to date, Gentiva Personal Care, which contributed to the revenue growth. The company expects the Illinois rate increase effective January 1, 2025, to contribute approximately $23 million in annualized revenue with a margin in the low 20% range. Looking ahead, Addus anticipates maintaining its targeted minimum annual revenue growth of 10%, supported by strategic acquisitions and favorable reimbursement support for personal care services.

Addus Homecare Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Addus HomeCare Announces President’s Planned Retirement
Neutral
Mar 11, 2025

On March 10, 2025, Addus HomeCare announced the planned retirement of W. Bradley Bickham, its President and COO, effective March 10, 2026. His retirement is amicable, and he will remain in his role for another year to ensure a smooth leadership transition. Additionally, Addus extended CEO R. Dirk Allison’s employment agreement for three more years, emphasizing the company’s commitment to stable leadership as it continues its growth strategy. The company also granted restricted shares to executives, aligning with its compensation plans.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Addus HomeCare Reports Strong Q4 2024 Financial Results
Positive
Feb 24, 2025

On February 24, 2025, Addus HomeCare Corporation announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2024. The company reported a 7.5% increase in net service revenues for the quarter, reaching $297.1 million, and a 9.1% increase for the year, totaling $1.15 billion. The acquisition of Gentiva’s personal care operations significantly expanded Addus’s market coverage, contributing to its strategic growth. The company emphasized its strong financial performance, driven by robust demand for home-based care services and strategic acquisitions, positioning it well for continued growth in 2025.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.