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Expion360, Inc. (XPON)
NASDAQ:XPON
US Market

Expion360, Inc. (XPON) AI Stock Analysis

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Expion360, Inc.

(NASDAQ:XPON)

41Neutral
Expion360, Inc. is currently facing considerable financial challenges, reflected in its poor financial performance and negative valuation metrics, which weigh heavily on its overall score. Despite a few positive signals from recent earnings calls, such as revenue growth and new partnerships, the stock is technically weak, and valuation remains unattractive. The company needs to significantly improve its financial health and operational execution to enhance stock performance.

Expion360, Inc. (XPON) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Expion360, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionExpion360 Inc. designs, assembles, manufactures, and sells lithium iron phosphate batteries and supporting accessories under the VPR 4EVER name for recreational vehicles, marine, golf, industrial, residential, and off-the-grid applications. It also provides various models of industrial tiedowns; battery monitors; terminal blocks; and bus bars. The company also engages in the development of e360 Home Energy Storage systems. It serves dealers, wholesalers, and original equipment manufacturers in the United States and internationally. The company was formerly known as Yozamp Products Company, LLC and changed its name to Expion360 Inc. in November 2021. Expion360 Inc. was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Redmond, Oregon.
How the Company Makes MoneyExpion360, Inc. generates revenue primarily through the sale of its lithium-ion batteries and battery systems. The company's key revenue streams include direct sales to consumers, who purchase products for personal use in recreational vehicles and marine applications, as well as sales to businesses and industrial clients seeking customized or bulk energy storage solutions. Additionally, Expion360 may engage in partnerships or collaborations with manufacturers, distributors, or retailers to expand its market reach and drive sales. Factors contributing to its earnings include the increasing demand for sustainable and efficient energy solutions, technological advancements in battery performance, and the growth of renewable energy applications. The company's revenue model is heavily influenced by its ability to innovate and maintain competitive pricing in a rapidly evolving market.

Expion360, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Expion360, Inc. is facing severe financial difficulties, with declining revenues, negative profit margins, high leverage, and negative cash flows. These factors indicate significant financial instability and high risk.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Expion360, Inc. has shown declining revenue in the TTM period compared to the previous annual period, indicating negative growth. The company operates with negative margins, with a particularly low gross profit margin of 18.45% TTM and a significant negative net profit margin of -342.67% TTM. Such financial performance highlights ongoing profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company has a high total debt compared to its equity, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.43 TTM. Stockholders' equity has decreased significantly, impacting the equity ratio, which stands at 25.12% TTM. This suggests potential financial instability and high leverage risk.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Expion360, Inc. is experiencing negative operating and free cash flows, with free cash flow deteriorating further in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting cash generation struggles relative to net losses. These factors suggest liquidity issues.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
7.00M5.98M7.16M4.52M1.57M1.41M
Gross Profit
2.56M1.58M2.29M1.65M302.97K495.54K
EBIT
-4.41M-7.17M-5.95M-1.26M-673.89K-102.06K
EBITDA
-7.16M-7.12M-5.77M-4.10M-661.04K-88.27K
Net Income Common Stockholders
-9.13M-7.46M-7.54M-4.72M-876.48K-201.27K
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
290.68K3.93M7.20M773.24K290.68K139.51K
Total Assets
1.60M11.91M16.70M6.53M1.60M838.88K
Total Debt
2.67M5.96M4.56M3.62M2.67M1.22M
Net Debt
2.37M2.03M-2.65M2.84M2.37M1.08M
Total Liabilities
2.98M6.56M5.09M4.27M2.98M1.34M
Stockholders Equity
-1.38M5.35M11.61M2.26M-1.38M-503.18K
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-5.89M-5.55M-6.04M-4.01M-1.16M-132.07K
Operating Cash Flow
-5.71M-5.53M-5.47M-3.90M-1.12M-122.27K
Investing Cash Flow
-183.94K16.58K-515.69K-113.69K-36.75K-9.80K
Financing Cash Flow
15.56M2.25M12.41M4.49M1.31M177.57K

Expion360, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.90
Price Trends
50DMA
1.20
Negative
100DMA
1.74
Negative
200DMA
17.28
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Negative
RSI
35.09
Neutral
STOCH
27.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XPON, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.96, below the 50-day MA of 1.20, and below the 200-day MA of 17.28, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 35.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for XPON.

Expion360, Inc. Risk Analysis

Expion360, Inc. disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Expion360, Inc. reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Expion360, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$27.76B15.8568.78%0.91%21.20%311.29%
68
Neutral
$8.26B84.6911.30%-41.92%-76.24%
62
Neutral
$8.08B13.633.82%3.13%3.58%-14.35%
51
Neutral
$980.79M-116.01%-68.86%-4917.87%
43
Neutral
$1.27B-90.88%-29.45%-10.79%
41
Neutral
$2.89M-342.64%-31.26%-19.68%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XPON
Expion360, Inc.
0.88
-227.12
-99.61%
BLDP
Ballard Power Systems
1.09
-2.10
-65.83%
ENPH
Enphase Energy
62.52
-58.26
-48.24%
MPWR
Monolithic Power
590.65
-47.58
-7.45%
PLUG
Plug Power
1.32
-1.83
-58.10%
SEDG
SolarEdge Technologies
16.83
-51.94
-75.53%

Expion360, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 31, 2025 | % Change Since: -4.26% | Next Earnings Date: May 9, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant revenue growth and strategic partnerships, signaling positive future prospects. However, these are tempered by challenges such as decreased annual revenue, lower gross profit margins, and increased net loss, resulting in a balanced sentiment.
Highlights
Significant Revenue Growth in Q4 2024
Revenue in the fourth quarter of 2024 increased by 131% to $2 million from $0.9 million in the prior year period, driven by increased OEM sales.
Reduction in Net Loss
Net loss in the fourth quarter of 2024 totaled $251,647, an 88% improvement from a net loss of $2.2 million in the same year-ago period.
Strategic Partnerships and Collaborations
Exploring a partnership with NeoVolta to establish a US-based state-of-the-art battery manufacturing facility and partnership with Scout Campers to equip campers with Expion360 batteries.
Progress in Home Energy Storage Solutions (HESS) Vertical
Shipments for HESS began in January 2025, aiming to benefit from incentives and tax credits from California and the federal government.
OEM Market Penetration and New Partnerships
New partnerships with RV OEMs like Scout Campers, K-Z Recreational Vehicles, and anticipated incremental revenue of approximately $5 million for fiscal year 2025.
Lowlights
Decrease in Full Year 2024 Revenue
Revenue for the full year 2024 decreased by 6% to $5.6 million from $6 million in the prior year, primarily due to a downturn in the RV market.
Lower Gross Profit Margins
Gross profit for the full year 2024 decreased to 20.5% of revenue from 26.3% in the prior year due to lower sales volumes and liquidation of non-core products.
Increased Net Loss for Full Year 2024
Net loss for the year ended December 31, 2024, was $13.5 million, compared to a net loss of $7.5 million in the prior year, influenced by a $5 million one-time expense.
Cash and Cash Equivalents Decline
Cash and cash equivalents decreased from $3.9 million in December 2023 to $0.5 million in December 2024.
Company Guidance
During the Expion360 Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Financial Results Conference Call, CEO and interim CFO Brian Schaffner outlined the company's growth strategies and financial performance. The company reported a 131% increase in fourth-quarter revenue to $2 million, driven by increased OEM sales, and a gross profit of $438,552, which accounted for 22.1% of revenue. Despite a full-year revenue decrease of 6% to $5.6 million, primarily due to a decline in the consumer market, Expion360 achieved an 88% improvement in net loss for the fourth quarter, totaling $251,647. The fiscal year 2024 saw a net loss of $13.5 million, influenced by a $5 million one-time expense related to a warrant feature. Expion360 anticipates generating approximately $5 million in incremental revenue for fiscal year 2025 from new OEM partnerships and distributors, with expected gross profit growth of $1.4 million. The company is also focusing on its Home Energy Storage Solutions (HESS) vertical, leveraging incentives from California's Self Generation Incentive Program and federal tax credits. Additionally, Expion360 is exploring a potential collaboration with NeoVolta for US-based manufacturing, aiming to address tariff challenges and enhance its product offerings, including new Edge batteries featuring vertical heat conduction technology.

Expion360, Inc. Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Expion360’s COO Paul Shoun Returns from Medical Leave
Neutral
Feb 14, 2025

On November 16, 2024, Paul Shoun, Co-Founder and President of Expion360 Inc., took a temporary medical leave from his role as Chief Operating Officer but continued his duties as President and Chairman of the Board. He has since returned to his COO responsibilities, with no changes to his compensation or biographical details. During his absence, Carson Heagan temporarily filled the COO role and has now returned to his position as Vice President of Operations.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.