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W. P. Carey Inc. (WPC)
NYSE:WPC

W. P. Carey Inc. (WPC) AI Stock Analysis

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WPW. P. Carey Inc.
(NYSE:WPC)
72Outperform
W. P. Carey Inc. demonstrates strong financial performance with solid revenue growth and effective cost management. Technical indicators suggest positive momentum, although valuation metrics point to possible overvaluation. The company’s strategic investments and liquidity are strengths, but economic uncertainties and conservative guidance temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Financial Strategy
WPC's capacity to raise debt in Europe at favorable rates and sell non-core assets to reinvest is a strategic advantage.
Growth Potential
Analyst upgrades WPC to Outperform, indicating confidence in its performance and potential for growth.
Negative Factors
Tenant Issues
Several tenant credit issues have plagued share sentiment of late and have been an emphasis on recent earnings calls.

W. P. Carey Inc. (WPC) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

W. P. Carey Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionW. P. Carey Inc. (WPC) is a leading global real estate investment trust (REIT) that specializes in providing long-term sale-leaseback and build-to-suit financing solutions. With a diverse portfolio of properties primarily in the industrial, warehouse, office, retail, and self-storage sectors, W. P. Carey operates predominantly in North America and Europe. The company is recognized for its expertise in managing and investing in net lease commercial properties, ensuring stable cash flows and risk-adjusted returns for its investors.
How the Company Makes MoneyW. P. Carey Inc. generates revenue primarily through the acquisition and leasing of real estate properties. As a REIT, the company earns income from rental payments made by tenants occupying its properties under long-term net lease agreements. These leases typically require tenants to cover property-related expenses such as taxes, insurance, and maintenance, thereby securing a predictable income stream for W. P. Carey. Additionally, the firm benefits from property appreciation and strategic dispositions, further enhancing profitability. W. P. Carey also leverages strategic partnerships and capital markets to finance acquisitions and growth, contributing to its earnings and shareholder value.

W. P. Carey Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
W. P. Carey Inc. shows strong financial health with robust revenue and profit growth, efficient cost management, and a stable capital structure. The company's balance sheet and cash flow are solid, though there are some limitations in the latest data.
Income Statement
68
Positive
W. P. Carey Inc. has shown robust revenue growth with an increase from $1.21 billion in 2020 to $1.74 billion in 2023, indicating a strong upward trajectory. The net profit margin has improved significantly, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the gross profit margin is unavailable for the latest year, limiting the full assessment of profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have remained strong, contributing to a solid financial performance.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company maintains a strong equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio that has improved over recent years, indicating prudent financial management. Return on equity has been consistently healthy, enhancing shareholder value. The equity ratio suggests a stable financial structure, though total assets have seen a slight decrease, which should be monitored.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
W. P. Carey Inc. has shown consistent free cash flow generation, with growth in operating cash flow over the years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates strong cash conversion, while the free cash flow to net income ratio suggests robust financial health. Lack of data for the latest period limits full assessment, but historical performance has been solid.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.58B1.74B1.48B1.33B1.21B
Gross Profit
1.41B945.25M1.33B1.21B1.09B
EBIT
52.24M814.72M855.80M614.71M581.99M
EBITDA
1.30B1.67B1.36B1.09B1.02B
Net Income Common Stockholders
460.84M708.33M599.14M409.99M455.36M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
640.37M633.86M168.00M165.43M248.66M
Total Assets
17.54B17.98B18.10B15.48B14.71B
Total Debt
8.04B8.14B7.88B6.79B6.70B
Net Debt
7.40B7.51B7.71B6.63B6.45B
Total Liabilities
9.10B9.27B9.09B7.90B7.83B
Stockholders Equity
8.43B8.70B8.99B7.58B6.88B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.83B1.07B899.12M812.86M594.28M
Operating Cash Flow
1.83B1.07B1.00B926.48M801.54M
Investing Cash Flow
-1.13B-905.88M-1.05B-1.57B-539.93M
Financing Cash Flow
-688.47M292.56M57.89M557.05M-210.71M

W. P. Carey Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price63.96
Price Trends
50DMA
57.33
Positive
100DMA
56.62
Positive
200DMA
56.63
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.30
Negative
RSI
70.40
Negative
STOCH
78.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WPC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 63.96 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 61.05, above the 50-day MA of 57.33, and above the 200-day MA of 56.63, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.40 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WPC.

W. P. Carey Inc. Risk Analysis

W. P. Carey Inc. disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. W. P. Carey Inc. reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

W. P. Carey Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
OO
80
Outperform
$51.81B59.202.40%5.39%29.49%-22.38%
NNNNN
79
Outperform
$8.06B19.979.32%5.36%4.97%-0.26%
EPEPR
78
Outperform
$4.06B33.276.11%6.37%-1.01%-18.46%
ADADC
72
Outperform
$8.10B42.473.53%3.97%14.90%5.28%
WPWPC
72
Outperform
$14.24B31.135.38%5.37%-9.09%-36.58%
LXLXP
67
Neutral
$2.73B70.872.04%5.69%5.27%58.15%
61
Neutral
$4.91B18.99-3.12%7.77%6.71%-19.69%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WPC
W. P. Carey Inc.
63.96
9.84
18.18%
ADC
Agree Realty
74.94
19.82
35.96%
NNN
National Retail Properties
42.77
2.47
6.13%
O
Realty Income
57.33
7.30
14.59%
LXP
LXP Industrial Trust
9.17
0.55
6.38%
EPR
EPR Properties
52.80
13.32
33.74%

W. P. Carey Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 11, 2025 | % Change Since: 13.93% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 25, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture. On one hand, W. P. Carey reported record investment volume, a strong liquidity position, and improved tenant credit situations. On the other hand, there were concerns about economic uncertainties and conservative guidance due to market conditions. The sentiment is balanced with significant achievements but also notable challenges.
Highlights
Record Quarterly Investment Volume
W. P. Carey closed a record quarterly investment volume of over $840 million in Q4 2024, bringing the total annual investment volume to approximately $1.6 billion.
Successful Exit from Office Sector
Successfully exited the office sector, establishing a new baseline for AFFO and setting the foundation for future growth.
Strong Balance Sheet and Liquidity
Ended 2024 with total liquidity of approximately $2.6 billion, with significant flexibility and manageable debt maturity profile.
Improved Tenant Credit Position
Resolved credit risk with True Value and saw no change in credit risk for other significant tenants like HELDIG and Hearthside.
AFFO Growth and Guidance
Reported a strong AFFO of $4.70 per share for 2024, with guidance for 2025 AFFO of between $4.82 and $4.92 per share, implying about 3.6% growth at the midpoint.
Lowlights
Economic Uncertainty and Conservative Guidance
Conservative initial guidance on investment volume and tenant credit due to uncertainties around interest rates, inflation, and economic conditions.
Challenges in Specific Tenant Situations
Continued monitoring of tenants like HELDIG and Hearthside due to operational headwinds and bankruptcy proceedings.
Potential Transaction Volume Slowdown
Acknowledgment of potential transaction volume slowdown due to rising ten-year treasury rates and economic uncertainties.
Company Guidance
In the 2024 earnings call, W. P. Carey provided comprehensive guidance for the upcoming year, highlighting several key metrics. The company anticipates a mid-three percent range growth in AFFO, which is expected to support a total return of around ten percent, bolstered by a dividend yield of over six percent. The fourth quarter saw a record investment volume of over $840 million, bringing the total for the year to $1.6 billion, with average cash cap rates in the mid to low sevens. The company plans to fund new investments without issuing equity, instead utilizing accretive asset sales. For 2025, AFFO guidance is set between $4.82 and $4.92 per share, implying approximately 3.6% growth at the midpoint. Key assumptions include investment volume between $1 billion and $1.5 billion, with expected dispositions totaling $500 million to $1 billion. Additionally, the company plans to maintain a leverage target with debt to gross assets in the mid to low forties.

W. P. Carey Inc. Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
W. P. Carey Reports 2024 Financial Results and Strategy
Neutral
Feb 11, 2025

On February 11, 2025, W. P. Carey Inc. released its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, highlighting a pivotal year marked by a strategic exit from the office sector. The company’s net income for the fourth quarter was $47.0 million, a significant decrease from the previous year, while AFFO per diluted share slightly increased. The total investment volume for 2024 reached $1.6 billion with record investment activity in the fourth quarter. Despite revenue declines, W. P. Carey achieved a $1.21 AFFO per share in Q4, reflecting rent escalations and net investment activity. The company announced a cash dividend of $0.880 per share for the fourth quarter and provided a 2025 AFFO guidance range, suggesting a cautious approach amid economic uncertainties.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
W. P. Carey Inc. Announces $1.6 Billion Investment Plan
Positive
Jan 8, 2025

W. P. Carey Inc. announced a total investment volume of $1.6 billion for 2024, with a record fourth-quarter investment volume of $845 million. The company focused on acquiring high-quality warehouse and industrial properties, with a significant portion of investments located in North America. The fourth quarter saw major investments in discount retail stores, an industrial facility for Canadian Solar, a manufacturing campus in Mexico, and a data center in New Jersey. This strategic acquisition approach positions the company to benefit from rent escalations and strengthens its financial base for future growth, without needing to issue equity.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.