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Wal-Mart de Mexico (WMMVY)
OTHER OTC:WMMVY

Wal-Mart de Mexico (WMMVY) AI Stock Analysis

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Wal-Mart de Mexico

(OTC:WMMVY)

77Outperform
Wal-Mart de Mexico demonstrates robust financial performance with consistent revenue growth and solid profitability metrics, supporting a strong financial foundation. While the current technical indicators suggest caution due to short-term bearish trends, the stock's valuation remains fair with a healthy dividend yield. The recent earnings call highlights strategic growth initiatives, although challenges in margin pressures and inventory management need attention. Overall, the company's strong market positioning in the retail sector and strategic investments provide a solid basis for future growth, resulting in a favorable stock score.

Wal-Mart de Mexico (WMMVY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Wal-Mart de Mexico Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. owns and operates self-service stores in Mexico and Central America. The company operates discount warehouses and stores, hypermarkets, supermarkets, and membership self-service wholesale stores. It operates 2,198 Bodega Aurrerá discount stores, 294 Walmart hypermarkets, 14 Superama supermarkets, 85 Walmart Express supermarkets, and 165 Sam's Club membership self-service wholesale stores. The company also operates 572 Despensa Familiar and Palí discount stores; 98 Paiz, La Despensa de Don Juan, La Unión, and Más x Menos supermarkets; 158 Bodegas, Maxi Bodega, and Maxi Palí stores; and 36 Walmart hypermarkets in Costa Rica, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, and El Salvador. In addition, it imports and sells goods; develops properties; and manages real estate companies. The company was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico. Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. is a subsidiary of Intersalt, S. De R.l. De C.v.
How the Company Makes MoneyWal-Mart de Mexico generates revenue primarily through the sale of goods across its various retail formats. The company capitalizes on its extensive network of physical stores and its growing e-commerce platform to reach a broad customer base. Key revenue streams include direct sales of merchandise, membership fees from its wholesale format, and financial services offered to consumers, such as credit cards. Strategic partnerships with suppliers and an efficient supply chain also play critical roles in maintaining competitive pricing and product availability, contributing to higher sales volumes and profitability.

Wal-Mart de Mexico Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Wal-Mart de Mexico exhibits strong financial health with consistent growth in revenue and profitability, supported by solid margins and efficient operations. The balance sheet is stable with manageable leverage, and the cash flow generation remains robust. The company is well-positioned in the retail sector, but careful monitoring of debt levels and cash flow trends will be crucial for sustaining its financial performance.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Wal-Mart de Mexico has demonstrated strong performance with consistent revenue growth, achieving a revenue increase of 8.1% from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin is healthy at 24.1%, and the net profit margin stands at 5.6%, indicating solid profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also strong at 8.1% and 9.6% respectively, showcasing effective cost management. The steady growth in revenue and profitability metrics reflects robust operational efficiency and market positioning.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a solid financial structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.34, indicating a balanced use of debt and equity financing. The return on equity is commendable at 23.1%, highlighting efficient utilization of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is 47.1%, showing a strong equity base relative to total assets. While the financial leverage is manageable, a slight increase in total debt warrants monitoring to ensure continued financial stability.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow generation remains robust, with free cash flow reaching MXN 37.9 billion. However, there was a decline in operating cash flow from the previous year. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.70, indicating healthy cash generation relative to earnings. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.35, reflecting strong cash conversion. Despite a decrease in capital expenditures, the company continues to maintain a positive cash flow trajectory, supporting its growth investments.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
958.51B886.52B819.17B736.04B701.73B
Gross Profit
231.47B210.56B191.40B171.84B162.04B
EBIT
77.36B73.81B68.01B62.91B57.45B
EBITDA
91.57B97.06B89.78B82.08B73.81B
Net Income Common Stockholders
53.83B51.59B48.97B44.14B33.43B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
36.51B40.67B47.43B42.82B35.67B
Total Assets
493.89B436.55B418.81B394.39B361.88B
Total Debt
79.73B75.25B73.35B64.69B59.74B
Net Debt
43.22B34.58B25.92B21.87B24.07B
Total Liabilities
261.02B237.46B216.34B208.51B192.76B
Stockholders Equity
232.88B199.09B202.47B185.88B169.12B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
37.87B56.33B43.17B44.42B44.64B
Operating Cash Flow
72.64B85.12B64.47B64.88B61.37B
Investing Cash Flow
-30.53B-29.76B-20.32B-19.13B-16.53B
Financing Cash Flow
-49.80B-58.55B-39.64B-37.50B-39.70B

Wal-Mart de Mexico Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price27.65
Price Trends
50DMA
27.38
Positive
100DMA
27.29
Positive
200DMA
29.11
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.25
Negative
RSI
51.68
Neutral
STOCH
58.55
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WMMVY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 27.65 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 27.60, above the 50-day MA of 27.38, and below the 200-day MA of 29.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WMMVY.

Wal-Mart de Mexico Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$50.69B17.7225.62%3.10%4.53%0.84%
KRKR
73
Outperform
$46.75B19.2626.59%1.77%-1.94%24.13%
WMWMT
73
Outperform
$699.55B36.2822.23%0.98%5.07%25.86%
71
Outperform
$429.08B56.4632.89%0.48%6.13%12.14%
DGDG
65
Neutral
$20.77B18.4615.89%2.50%4.96%-32.41%
63
Neutral
$20.94B14.39-10.05%3.13%1.25%3.11%
TGTGT
54
Neutral
$42.95B10.6429.12%4.73%-0.79%-0.90%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WMMVY
Wal-Mart de Mexico
27.65
-11.35
-29.10%
COST
Costco
916.48
208.54
29.46%
DG
Dollar General
92.62
-61.11
-39.75%
KR
Kroger Company
67.18
13.00
23.99%
TGT
Target
95.72
-68.91
-41.86%
WMT
Walmart
83.19
24.08
40.74%

Wal-Mart de Mexico Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 13, 2025 | % Change Since: -3.42% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive outlook with significant market share gains and strategic investments in growth and efficiency. However, there are challenges with gross margin pressures and inventory management that the company needs to address.
Highlights
Market Share Gains
Walmart de México Centroamérica achieved significant market share gains, with a notable 200 basis points increase versus ANTAD in 2024, compared to 50 basis points in 2023 and 10 basis points the year before.
Consistent Performance in Key Formats
Bodega and Sam's Club consistently gained market share, while Walmart Super Centers and Walmart Express showed improvement, demonstrating the strength of the company's portfolio.
Walmart Connect Growth
Walmart Connect, the company's advertising business, grew by 22% this quarter and is projected to grow fourfold in the next five years.
Expansion and Investment Plans
Walmart plans to double its business faster than in the past and is investing in new distribution centers set to open in 2027 to improve efficiency and automation.
Lowlights
Gross Margin Pressure
The company's price investments to help customers during a soft economic environment led to a temporary dip in gross margins.
Inventory Management Challenges
There was an increase in inventory days on hand, indicating a need for improvement in inventory management to enhance cash flow.
Economic Environment Impact
The soft economic environment and increased promotional activity led to pressures on profitability and competitive dynamics.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call for Walmex, the company provided guidance on various aspects of their business performance and future strategies. They emphasized their focus on gaining market share by investing in pricing, particularly in response to a softer consumption environment observed in the latter half of the fiscal year. This investment strategy was reflected in improved traffic and market share gains for formats like Bodega and Sam's Club, with consistent performance from Walmart Super Centers and Walmart Express. The contribution from new businesses, including Walmart Connect, was noted to have added 20 basis points to the gross margin, despite a slight dip from previous quarters due to seasonal factors. The company also highlighted their strategic investments in distribution centers aimed at enhancing automation and efficiency, with plans to open new automated centers by 2027. Additionally, Walmex plans to accelerate store openings across various formats as part of their growth strategy. The management reiterated their commitment to leveraging their Walmex 1 ecosystem to capture a higher share of the wallet and emphasized the long-term goal of doubling the business by optimizing the balance between strategic investments and operational efficiencies.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.