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NCR Voyix (VYX)
NYSE:VYX

NCR Voyix (VYX) AI Stock Analysis

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VYNCR Voyix
(NYSE:VYX)
44Neutral
NCR Voyix's overall stock score reflects significant financial and operational challenges, notably declining revenues and poor cash flow performance. The company's high leverage and operational inefficiencies are critical concerns. Technical analysis shows a bearish trend, compounded by a negative valuation outlook due to a lack of profitability. Despite positive corporate events and some promising strategic initiatives highlighted in the earnings call, the stock remains risky with a downward pressure expected in the near term.
Positive Factors
Earnings
VYX posted solid 4Q results despite challenges from contract terminations and hardware refresh cycles.
Growth Strategy
Management is adding new logos and converting existing customers to its cloud-based platform, scaling active sites effectively.
Negative Factors
Operational Challenges
The Ennoconn ODM agreement is taking longer than expected to become operational.

NCR Voyix (VYX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

NCR Voyix Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNCR Voyix (VYX) is a technology company specializing in providing innovative solutions for the financial and retail sectors. Its core offerings include advanced software platforms, hardware solutions, and services designed to enhance operational efficiency, customer engagement, and data management for businesses. The company leverages its expertise in digital transformation, cloud computing, and analytics to deliver tailored solutions that meet the evolving needs of its clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyNCR Voyix generates revenue through a combination of software licensing, hardware sales, and ongoing service contracts. Key revenue streams include subscription fees for its cloud-based platforms, sales of point-of-sale terminals and other hardware solutions, and professional services such as consulting and technical support. The company often forms strategic partnerships with banks, retailers, and technology providers to expand its market reach and enhance its service offerings. Additionally, NCR Voyix benefits from long-term contracts and recurring revenue models that provide a stable financial foundation.

NCR Voyix Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NCR Voyix is facing significant financial challenges, including declining revenues, negative margins, and poor cash flow performance. High leverage remains a concern despite a slight improvement in equity. Overall, the company needs to address operational inefficiencies and improve its cash flow management to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
35
Negative
NCR Voyix has experienced significant revenue decline from 2023 to 2024, with a negative revenue growth rate. The company's gross profit margin improved slightly from the previous year, but it still remains low at 20.5% in 2024. The net profit margin shows volatility, improving from a significant loss in 2023 to a positive margin in 2024, but this is due to extraordinary items rather than operational efficiency. EBIT and EBITDA margins turned negative, indicating operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.44 in 2024, signifying high leverage which poses financial risk. Stockholders' equity increased, improving the equity ratio to 20.9%, indicating a slight enhancement in financial stability. However, the return on equity has fluctuated, reflecting inconsistent financial performance and profitability concerns.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
The operating cash flow turned negative in 2024, representing a concerning trend from positive cash flow a year earlier. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, indicating deteriorating cash generation. Additionally, both operating and free cash flow to net income ratios are unfavorable, suggesting inefficiencies in converting income into cash.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.83B3.83B7.84B7.16B6.21B
Gross Profit
579.00M962.00M1.86B1.89B1.52B
EBIT
-37.00M37.00M489.00M474.00M221.00M
EBITDA
232.00M530.00M783.00M455.00M528.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
943.00M-423.00M60.00M97.00M-79.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
724.00M262.00M505.00M447.00M338.00M
Total Assets
4.45B4.99B11.51B11.64B8.41B
Total Debt
1.35B2.89B6.02B5.95B3.60B
Net Debt
622.00M2.63B5.51B5.50B3.27B
Total Liabilities
3.25B4.69B9.75B10.11B7.09B
Stockholders Equity
1.21B301.00M1.75B1.53B1.32B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-132.00M317.00M70.00M729.00M378.00M
Operating Cash Flow
-132.00M694.00M447.00M1.08B641.00M
Investing Cash Flow
2.19B-290.00M-387.00M-2.83B-277.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.56B-839.00M1.00M2.18B-514.00M

NCR Voyix Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price10.33
Price Trends
50DMA
12.49
Negative
100DMA
13.21
Negative
200DMA
13.22
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.58
Positive
RSI
29.56
Positive
STOCH
26.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VYX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.33 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.58, below the 50-day MA of 12.49, and below the 200-day MA of 13.22, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.58 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.56 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VYX.

NCR Voyix Risk Analysis

NCR Voyix disclosed 16 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NCR Voyix reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

NCR Voyix Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$162.08B56.9717.43%0.64%13.73%9.93%
78
Outperform
$12.43B23.8934.88%0.70%11.19%51.03%
ADADP
77
Outperform
$123.28B31.9783.72%1.87%7.09%11.51%
77
Outperform
$13.86B34.4921.90%1.15%5.36%8.62%
GPGPN
73
Outperform
$24.04B16.356.94%0.99%4.68%63.39%
59
Neutral
$22.39B11.53-18.05%2.31%5.00%-25.89%
VYVYX
44
Neutral
$1.43B-20.40%-56.83%-591.98%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VYX
NCR Voyix
10.33
-2.32
-18.34%
ADP
Automatic Data Processing
302.99
62.19
25.83%
GPN
Global Payments
93.25
-38.67
-29.31%
INTU
Intuit
586.71
-71.89
-10.92%
JKHY
Jack Henry & Associates
190.15
20.52
12.10%
PAYC
Paycom
217.02
31.64
17.07%

NCR Voyix Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 27, 2025 | % Change Since: -11.78% | Next Earnings Date: May 1, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive and negative aspects. While there were significant achievements in terms of platform growth, strong revenue retention, and strategic partnerships to enhance payment capabilities, there were also notable challenges including a decline in hardware revenue and delays in the ODM transition. Overall, the positive developments were somewhat balanced by the challenges faced.
Highlights
Strong Revenue Retention
Maintained strong revenue retention of 98% over the last three years, highlighting long-term customer relationships.
Platform Growth
Approximately 74,000 sites on the platform, an increase of 26% from the prior year, with 110 billion API calls by the end of 2024.
Payments Expansion
Entered into a 5-year non-exclusive agreement with Worldpay to enhance payment capabilities, addressing $500 billion of U.S. customer payments.
New Customer Wins
Signed more than 200 new software and services customers in the restaurant segment and more than 35 in retail, leading to nearly 700 additional sites.
Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA increased by 75% to $114 million in the fourth quarter, with a margin expansion of 850 basis points to 16.7%.
Lowlights
Hardware Revenue Decline
Reported a decline of 14% in normalized revenue due to expected weakness in hardware sales.
Challenges with ODM Transition
Delay in ODM transition with Ennoconn, leading to continued hardware revenue recognition through most of 2025.
One-Time Software License Revenue Decrease
Software revenue decreased by 3%, primarily due to a decline in one-time perpetual software license revenue.
Q1 Revenue Decline Expected
Q1 revenue expected to decline in the mid-teens due to a significant hardware refresh from a large retail customer in the prior year.
Company Guidance
During the NCR Voyix Q4 2024 earnings call, several key metrics and guidance details were discussed to outline the company's performance and future outlook. NCR Voyix reported a 26% increase in platform sites to approximately 74,000, with software ARR and total segment ARR growing by 4% and 5%, respectively. The company anticipates mid to high single-digit growth in ARR and platform sites for 2025. Despite a 14% decline in reported revenue to $682 million due to hardware sales weakness, adjusted EBITDA rose by 75% to $114 million, with a margin expansion of 850 basis points to 16.7%. NCR Voyix aims to transition to a primarily recurring revenue model, targeting a shift from approximately 60% to 75% recurring revenue once the ODM is operational. The guidance for 2025 includes currency-neutral revenue between $2.575 billion and $2.65 billion and adjusted EBITDA ranging from $420 million to $445 million, reflecting an increase of 21% to 28%. The company also highlighted significant partnerships and contract expansions, including a 5-year non-exclusive agreement with Worldpay and a $335 million government contract with the Defense Commissary Agency.

NCR Voyix Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsStock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
NCR Voyix Reports Q4 2024 Financial Results
Neutral
Feb 27, 2025

NCR Voyix reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, showing a decrease in revenue to $682 million for the quarter and $2.8 billion for the year, compared to the previous year. Despite the revenue decline, the company reduced its net loss significantly and improved its adjusted EBITDA. The company continues to execute its transformation initiatives, including the sale of its Digital Banking unit and improvements in cost structure. Recent leadership changes include appointing James G. Kelly as CEO and Darren Wilson as Executive Vice President. The company also completed a $100 million share repurchase. Looking ahead, NCR Voyix has provided a 2025 outlook with expectations for revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
NCR Voyix Appoints Jeffrey Sloan to Board
Positive
Feb 27, 2025

On February 25, 2025, NCR Voyix Corporation announced the appointment of Jeffrey S. Sloan to its Board of Directors, effective March 3, 2025. Sloan, a seasoned executive with over 30 years in the financial technology industry, previously led Global Payments Inc. as CEO, significantly increasing its revenue through strategic initiatives. His expertise is expected to support NCR Voyix’s growth and value creation efforts as the company continues to expand its digital commerce solutions.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
NCR Voyix Announces Leadership Transition in Retail Sector
Positive
Feb 11, 2025

On February 11, 2025, NCR Voyix announced that Eric Schoch, the Executive Vice President and President of Retail, would transition to a new role focusing on product strategy, while Darren Wilson would succeed him as the Executive Vice President and President, Retail and Payments. This leadership change is aimed at driving the company’s growth strategy in retail and payments through enhanced sales and customer satisfaction globally. The announcement reflects NCR Voyix’s commitment to strengthening its position as a leading global technology provider, leveraging Mr. Schoch’s foundational work in product strategy and Mr. Wilson’s proven leadership experience.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
NCR Voyix Appoints New CEO Amid Leadership Changes
Positive
Feb 5, 2025

NCR Voyix announced the appointment of James G. Kelly as President and CEO, effective February 4, 2025, succeeding David Wilkinson, who has stepped down from his roles. Kelly, who has extensive experience in technology and payments, aims to focus on growth as a product-led software and services company. The company also reaffirmed its revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2024, reflecting stability and confidence in its strategic direction. As part of the leadership transition, Kevin Reddy was named non-executive Chair of the Board, replacing his previous role as Lead Director.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.