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United Rentals (URI)
NYSE:URI

United Rentals (URI) AI Stock Analysis

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URUnited Rentals
(NYSE:URI)
75Outperform
United Rentals' stock is supported by strong financial performance and positive growth outlook from the earnings call. While technical indicators suggest caution, the company's valuation remains attractive. Strategic decisions around acquisitions and share buybacks further enhance shareholder value.
Positive Factors
Acquisition Benefits
The acquisition will unlock revenue, margin, and earnings opportunities through network effects, specialty cross-selling, and purchasing benefits over multiple years.
Industry Utilization
Improving industry capacity utilization amid supply cuts is seen as beneficial for United Rentals.
Negative Factors
Core Profitability Challenges
Core GenRent profitability remains weak, with a significant drop in gross margin and further compression in adjusted EBITDA margin.

United Rentals (URI) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

United Rentals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUnited Rentals, Inc. (URI) is the largest equipment rental company in the world, operating in the industrial and construction sectors. The company offers a comprehensive range of equipment for rent, including aerial work platforms, earthmoving equipment, forklifts, and general tools, serving a diverse customer base from construction and industrial companies to utilities and government agencies. United Rentals also provides related services, such as safety training and 24/7 equipment service and support, ensuring that customers have the equipment and expertise needed to complete their projects efficiently.
How the Company Makes MoneyUnited Rentals makes money primarily through the rental of equipment to various industries, including construction, industrial, and commercial sectors. The company's revenue model is based on leasing equipment to customers for short-term and long-term projects, which generates a steady income stream. Additionally, United Rentals sells new and used equipment, adding another revenue stream to its business model. The company also offers value-added services such as equipment repair, maintenance, and safety training, which contribute to its earnings. Strategic partnerships with equipment manufacturers and continuous expansion into new markets further enhance United Rentals' revenue potential.

United Rentals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
United Rentals demonstrates strong financial performance with robust revenue growth, impressive profit margins, and efficient cash flow management. However, moderate leverage suggests a need for cautious debt management.
Income Statement
90
Very Positive
United Rentals has demonstrated robust growth with a strong revenue growth rate of 7.06% from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin stands at 40.08%, and the net profit margin is healthy at 16.78%, indicating effective cost management and profitability. The EBIT margin of 26.49% and EBITDA margin of 29.43% further highlight its operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 1.68, reflecting moderate leverage, which is manageable but should be monitored. Return on Equity (ROE) is impressive at 29.86%, showcasing strong profitability relative to equity. The equity ratio of 30.60% indicates a balanced capital structure but leaves room for improvement in reducing liabilities.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
United Rentals has a solid cash flow position, with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 616.56% from 2023 to 2024, mainly due to low capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.76 suggests efficient cash generation from operations. However, sustained free cash flow may be contingent on maintaining low capital expenditures.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
15.35B14.33B11.64B9.72B8.53B
Gross Profit
6.15B5.81B5.00B3.85B3.18B
EBIT
4.07B3.83B3.23B2.28B1.80B
EBITDA
4.52B6.63B5.46B2.64B2.19B
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.58B2.42B2.10B1.39B890.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
457.00M363.00M106.00M144.00M202.00M
Total Assets
28.16B25.59B24.18B20.29B17.87B
Total Debt
14.49B12.66B12.01B10.31B10.23B
Net Debt
14.04B12.30B11.91B10.16B10.03B
Total Liabilities
19.54B17.46B17.12B14.30B13.32B
Stockholders Equity
8.62B8.13B7.06B5.99B4.54B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
419.00M634.00M743.00M491.00M1.50B
Operating Cash Flow
4.55B4.70B4.43B3.69B2.66B
Investing Cash Flow
-4.15B-2.98B-5.02B-3.61B-223.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-274.00M-1.47B552.00M-140.00M-2.29B

United Rentals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price628.76
Price Trends
50DMA
711.92
Negative
100DMA
768.61
Negative
200DMA
734.48
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-33.27
Positive
RSI
35.76
Neutral
STOCH
35.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For URI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 628.76 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 681.72, below the 50-day MA of 711.92, and below the 200-day MA of 734.48, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -33.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for URI.

United Rentals Risk Analysis

United Rentals disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. United Rentals reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

United Rentals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TETEX
78
Outperform
$2.59B7.8819.13%1.68%-0.47%-34.74%
OSOSK
77
Outperform
$6.20B9.2817.34%1.97%11.36%13.78%
URURI
75
Outperform
$41.40B16.3930.74%1.05%7.07%9.56%
72
Outperform
$3.46B28.0421.26%1.16%3.22%-27.67%
62
Neutral
$8.11B13.341.17%3.02%4.16%-15.14%
61
Neutral
$473.54M52.111.07%1.69%-2.02%-80.76%
58
Neutral
$349.66M11.694.68%12.25%-71.53%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
URI
United Rentals
628.76
-41.34
-6.17%
CMCO
Columbus Mckinnon
17.94
-24.17
-57.40%
HEES
H&E Equipment Services
94.15
36.83
64.25%
OSK
Oshkosh
98.34
-13.97
-12.44%
TEX
Terex
40.97
-16.83
-29.12%
TITN
Titan Machinery
15.55
-9.62
-38.22%

United Rentals Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Jan 29, 2025 | % Change Since: -16.90% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call conveyed a strong overall performance with record revenues and growth in key areas such as specialty rentals and used equipment sales. The company demonstrated financial strength with significant free cash flow and shareholder returns, and provided positive guidance for 2025. Despite some margin compression due to market normalization, the highlights significantly outweighed the lowlights.
Highlights
Record Revenue and Growth
United Rentals reported record total revenue for Q4 2024, growing 9.8% year-over-year to almost $4.1 billion. Rental revenue grew by 9.7% to $3.4 billion, both setting fourth quarter records.
Specialty Business Expansion
Specialty rental revenue grew by more than 30% year-over-year, with organic growth of 18% excluding recent acquisitions. The company added 15 cold-starts in the quarter, totaling 72 for the full year.
Strong Used Equipment Market
United Rentals sold over $850 million of original equipment cost in the quarter, a record for any quarter in its history, demonstrating strong demand in the used market.
Record Adjusted EBITDA and EPS
Adjusted EBITDA reached a fourth quarter record of $1.9 billion, with a margin over 46%. Adjusted EPS also set a record at $11.59.
Financial Returns and Shareholder Value
Free cash flow totaled nearly $2.1 billion, with a healthy free cash flow margin over 13%. The company returned over $1.9 billion to shareholders through share buybacks and dividends, and announced a 10% increase in the quarterly dividend to $1.79 per share.
Positive 2025 Guidance
United Rentals expects 2025 to be another year of growth, led by large project growth. Total revenue is expected to range from $15.6 billion to $16.1 billion, implying full year growth of 3.3% at midpoint.
Lowlights
Used Market EBITDA Impact
The ongoing normalization of the used equipment market drove a 9% decline in used gross profit dollars, translating to a $21 million headwind to adjusted EBITDA in the quarter.
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Compression
The fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA margin was 46.4%, implying 210 basis points of compression due to factors like used equipment sales and new equipment sales which came with lower margins.
Company Guidance
During the United Rentals' Investor Conference Call, the company provided guidance for 2025, expecting another year of growth, driven by large projects and a strong demand pipeline. They forecast total revenue in the range of $15.6 billion to $16.1 billion, indicating a growth of approximately 3.3% at the midpoint. The adjusted EBITDA is projected to be between $7.2 billion and $7.45 billion, with anticipated flow-through rates in the 40s, excluding used sales impact. The company also plans a gross CapEx of $3.65 billion to $3.95 billion and expects to generate free cash flow between $2 billion and $2.2 billion. Despite pausing their share repurchase program ahead of the H&E acquisition closing, they announced a 10% increase in their quarterly dividend to $1.79 per share.

United Rentals Corporate Events

M&A Transactions
United Rentals Receives Termination Fee After Merger Ends
Negative
Feb 19, 2025

On February 19, 2025, United Rentals, Inc. and its subsidiary UR Merger Sub VII Corporation withdrew their cash tender offer to purchase H&E Equipment Services, Inc. due to the termination of their merger agreement. As part of the termination, H&E will pay United Rentals a termination fee of over $63 million, and the bridge facility commitment letter associated with the merger has also been terminated.

M&A TransactionsStock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
United Rentals Ends Acquisition Pursuit, Resumes Buybacks
Positive
Feb 18, 2025

On February 18, 2025, United Rentals announced its decision not to pursue a revised acquisition proposal for H&E Equipment Services, opting instead to allow the merger agreement to be terminated following a superior offer received by H&E. This decision underlines United Rentals’ commitment to financial discipline and its strategy to focus on profitable growth and shareholder value. Subsequently, United Rentals will resume its share repurchase program, which is a key component of its capital return strategy, with $250 million remaining from its authorized $1.5 billion program.

Business Operations and Strategy
United Rentals to Present at Global Tech Conference
Neutral
Feb 12, 2025

On February 12, 2025, United Rentals announced its participation in Citi’s 2025 Global Industrial Tech and Mobility Conference on February 19, 2025. The company’s CEO Matt Flannery and CFO Ted Grace will present, potentially discussing the company’s business and prospects. This participation highlights United Rentals’ engagement with key industry stakeholders and its active role in the industrial tech and mobility sectors.

M&A TransactionsDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
United Rentals Reports Record Q4 Results and 2025 Outlook
Positive
Jan 29, 2025

On January 29, 2025, United Rentals announced record financial results for the fourth quarter of 2024, with total revenue of $4.095 billion and a net income of $689 million. The company also introduced a 2025 outlook expecting continued growth, with projected revenues between $15.6 billion and $16.1 billion. United Rentals reported a 10% increase in quarterly dividends, reflecting strong shareholder returns. Despite challenges such as inflation and cost variability affecting margins, the company remains focused on profitable growth and strategic acquisitions, including the anticipated acquisition of H&E Equipment Services.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
United Rentals Expands Board with Julie Brandt Appointment
Positive
Jan 17, 2025

On January 17, 2025, United Rentals, Inc. announced the appointment of Julie Brandt to its board of directors, expanding its composition to 11 members. Brandt’s extensive experience in the construction industry and leadership in global operations is expected to enhance the company’s strategic goals. Her role at Johnson Controls, where she drives strategic vision in commercial and field operations, is indicative of her capability to contribute significantly to United Rentals’ board.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
United Rentals Announces Acquisition of H&E Equipment
Positive
Jan 14, 2025

On January 13, 2025, United Rentals, Inc. announced a definitive agreement to acquire H&E Equipment Services, Inc. for $92 per share in cash, valuing the transaction at approximately $4.8 billion. This acquisition, approved by both companies’ boards, aims to expand United Rentals’ capacity and offerings in key U.S. markets while leveraging cost synergies and enhancing shareholder value. The merger agreement includes a 35-day go-shop period allowing H&E to explore alternative proposals. The transaction is expected to close in the first quarter of 2025, with the integration of H&E expected to drive efficiency and new business opportunities for United Rentals.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.