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Uber Technologies (UBER)
NYSE:UBER

Uber Technologies (UBER) AI Stock Analysis

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UB

Uber Technologies

(NYSE:UBER)

Rating:85Outperform
Price Target:
$108.00
▲(26.17%Upside)
Uber Technologies demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and profitability improvements. The strategic acquisitions and partnerships, combined with robust cash flow, support a positive outlook. While technical indicators suggest caution due to overbought conditions, the company's valuation remains moderate. Overall, Uber's strategic positioning and financial performance provide a solid foundation for future growth.
Positive Factors
Market Expansion
Uber continues to expand internationally with the purchase of Denmark's largest Taxi company, Dantaxi.
Strategic Leadership
Andrew Macdonald's appointment as President and COO is expected to strengthen Uber’s strategic leadership and operational efficiency across Mobility, Delivery, and AV businesses.
Technology and Innovation
Uber leverages excess cash and cash flow to drive growth and long-term value creation through ongoing investments in innovation and new product development, strategic acquisitions, partnerships, and minority investments to expand its services platform and product offerings.
Negative Factors
Market Competition
The potential near-term overhang is created by the impending Tesla launch, which poses a headline risk for UBER.

Uber Technologies (UBER) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Uber Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUber Technologies, Inc. develops and operates proprietary technology applications in the United States, Canada, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It connects consumers with independent providers of ride services for ridesharing services; and connects riders and other consumers with restaurants, grocers, and other stores with delivery service providers for meal preparation, grocery, and other delivery services. The company operates through three segments: Mobility, Delivery, and Freight. The Mobility segment provides products that connect consumers with mobility drivers who provide rides in a range of vehicles, such as cars, auto rickshaws, motorbikes, minibuses, or taxis. It also offers financial partnerships, transit, and vehicle solutions offerings. The Delivery segment allows consumers to search for and discover local restaurants, order a meal, and either pick-up at the restaurant or have the meal delivered; and offers grocery, alcohol, and convenience store delivery, as well as select other goods. The Freight segment connects carriers with shippers on the company's platform and enable carriers upfront, transparent pricing, and the ability to book a shipment, as well as transportation management and other logistics services offerings. The company was formerly known as Ubercab, Inc. and changed its name to Uber Technologies, Inc. in February 2011. Uber Technologies, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyUber makes money primarily through three main segments: Mobility, Delivery, and Freight. The Mobility segment generates revenue by charging service fees to drivers for connecting them with riders, as well as through dynamic pricing models that adjust fares based on demand. The Delivery segment, primarily through Uber Eats, earns revenue by charging restaurants a service fee for order delivery and from delivery fees paid by consumers. The Freight segment generates revenue by providing shippers with a logistics platform to connect with carriers for freight transportation. Additionally, Uber engages in strategic partnerships and investments, such as in autonomous vehicle technology and partnerships with car rental companies, to expand its service offerings and customer base. These diversified streams contribute significantly to Uber's overall earnings.

Uber Technologies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Monthly Active Platform Customers
Monthly Active Platform Customers
Tracks the number of unique users engaging with Uber's platform each month, reflecting customer loyalty and the company's ability to grow its user base.
Chart InsightsUber's monthly active platform customers have shown a robust recovery and growth trajectory, reaching 170 million by early 2025, a 14% increase year-on-year. This aligns with Uber's strategic partnerships and international expansion efforts, as highlighted in their earnings call. The growth is supported by strong performance in both mobility and delivery sectors, despite competitive pressures and insurance cost challenges. Uber's focus on strategic alliances, like those with Waymo and Open Table, and the acquisition of Trendyol Go, are pivotal in sustaining this upward trend.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Uber Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.27%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Uber's first quarter 2025 earnings call reflected a strong performance with significant growth in audience, trips, and financial metrics like EBITDA and free cash flow. The successful launch of partnerships, particularly with Waymo, and the profitability in the delivery segment were significant positives. However, competitive pressures and ongoing challenges with insurance costs in the U.S. were notable concerns. Overall, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Growth in Key Metrics
Audience grew 14% to 170 million monthly active consumers, trips up 18%, retention rates at all-time highs globally, and gross bookings grew in line with trips. Record adjusted EBITDA of $1.9 billion, up 35% year-on-year, and free cash flow of $2.3 billion.
Waymo Partnership Success
Launch with Waymo in Austin with high utilization of nearly 100 cars. Waymos are busier than 99% of Austin drivers in terms of trips per day, with plans to increase vehicle count.
Delivery Business Profitability
Delivery margins at 3.7% EBITDA, up 70 basis points year-over-year, driven by advertising and operational leverage. Grocery and retail hit breakeven in Q4 of last year and now accretive.
International Expansion
Signed partnership with Open Table, Delta SkyMiles partnership, and announced acquisition of Trendyol Go for growth in Turkey.
Negative Updates
Competitive Intensity
Intense competition in global markets for both mobility and delivery, especially from Lyft in the U.S., Bolt in Europe, and DiDi in Latin America.
Insurance Costs Impact
Despite a favorable insurance cost environment, ongoing legal system abuse in the U.S. contributes to higher insurance costs compared to international markets.
Company Guidance
During Uber's first quarter 2025 earnings call, key guidance metrics highlighted include a 14% increase in monthly active consumers to 170 million and an 18% rise in trips, contributing to a record adjusted EBITDA of $1.9 billion, which marks a 35% year-on-year growth. Free cash flow also reached $2.3 billion. Gross bookings matched the 18% trip growth, with strength in both mobility and delivery sectors. The call emphasized Uber's strategic partnerships, including those with Waymo and Open Table, and the acquisition of Trendyol Go to boost future growth in Turkey. Looking ahead, Uber projected strong top-line growth and even stronger profitability growth for Q2, with expectations of significant performance in the seasonally stronger second half of the year.

Uber Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Uber Technologies has demonstrated significant improvement across all financial metrics. The income statement reflects strong growth and improved profitability, while the balance sheet shows a healthy financial position with low leverage and high returns on equity. Cash flow metrics are equally positive, indicating efficient cash management and strong free cash flow generation. These factors collectively position the company well for future growth, though vigilance in maintaining operational efficiencies and managing leverage will be crucial to sustaining this trajectory.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Uber's income statement shows strong performance with a remarkable revenue growth rate of 17.96% from the previous year and a robust net profit margin of 22.42% TTM. The company has significantly improved its profitability, transitioning from losses in prior years to substantial profits, evidenced by the net income increase. EBIT and EBITDA margins of 6.69% and 10.67% respectively, indicate effective cost management and operational efficiencies.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial structure with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.067, signifying conservative leverage. The equity ratio stands at 42.07%, showing a well-capitalized position. Return on Equity (ROE) is impressive at 45.72%, indicating strong returns on shareholders' investments. The company has demonstrated significant improvement in its equity base over the year, enhancing financial stability.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Uber's cash flow statement reveals a positive trajectory with a substantial increase in free cash flow, growing at 106.76% over the year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.73, suggesting efficient conversion of net income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio stands at 0.71, highlighting effective cash generation aligned with profitability. Overall, the cash flow position is robust, supporting future growth initiatives and reducing financial risk.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
43.98B37.28B31.88B17.45B11.14B
Gross Profit
17.33B14.82B12.22B8.10B5.99B
EBIT
2.80B1.11B-1.83B-3.83B-4.86B
EBITDA
4.29B1.93B-7.91B360.00M-5.91B
Net Income Common Stockholders
9.86B1.89B-9.24B-533.00M-6.75B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
6.98B5.41B4.31B4.29B6.83B
Total Assets
51.24B38.70B32.11B38.77B33.25B
Total Debt
9.98B11.83B11.14B11.11B9.28B
Net Debt
4.08B6.34B6.93B6.81B3.63B
Total Liabilities
28.77B26.02B23.61B23.43B19.50B
Stockholders Equity
21.56B11.25B7.34B14.46B12.27B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
6.89B3.36B390.00M-743.00M-3.36B
Operating Cash Flow
7.14B3.58B642.00M-445.00M-2.75B
Investing Cash Flow
-3.18B-3.23B-1.64B-1.20B-2.87B
Financing Cash Flow
-2.09B-95.00M15.00M1.78B1.38B

Uber Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price85.60
Price Trends
50DMA
80.24
Positive
100DMA
76.57
Positive
200DMA
73.99
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.73
Positive
RSI
52.80
Neutral
STOCH
33.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UBER, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 85.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 87.47, above the 50-day MA of 80.24, and above the 200-day MA of 73.99, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.73 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for UBER.

Uber Technologies Risk Analysis

Uber Technologies disclosed 64 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Uber Technologies reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
We cannot guarantee that our share repurchase program will be fully consummated or that it will enhance long-term stockholder value. Q4, 2024

Uber Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
85
Outperform
$174.51B14.7674.39%17.60%758.07%
76
Outperform
$24.21B182.6011.06%26.72%
NENET
74
Outperform
$59.24B-7.35%27.79%56.19%
69
Neutral
$20.68B111,914.296.85%16.11%
67
Neutral
$20.45B903.570.38%17.24%
62
Neutral
$11.75B10.58-7.10%2.91%7.47%-7.95%
60
Neutral
$8.23B-34.18%24.11%21.87%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UBER
Uber Technologies
85.60
16.29
23.50%
NTNX
Nutanix
77.11
24.74
47.24%
NET
Cloudflare
179.67
108.94
154.02%
GRAB
Grab
5.17
1.50
40.87%
CFLT
Confluent
24.36
-1.42
-5.51%
TOST
Toast Inc
44.01
21.99
99.86%

Uber Technologies Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Uber Acquires Majority Stake in Trendyol GO
Positive
May 6, 2025

On May 6, 2025, Uber Technologies announced an agreement to acquire an 85% controlling stake in Trendyol GO, a leading online meal and grocery delivery service in Türkiye, for approximately $700 million. This acquisition, pending regulatory approval, is expected to enhance Uber’s growth and strengthen its delivery sector presence in Türkiye, benefiting consumers, couriers, and small businesses.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.