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Uber Technologies (UBER)
NYSE:UBER

Uber Technologies (UBER) AI Stock Analysis

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UBUber Technologies
(NYSE:UBER)
79Outperform
Uber's strong financial performance and positive earnings call results are significant contributors to its overall score. The company has shown robust growth in income and cash flow, supported by sound technical indicators. While valuation appears reasonable, the absence of a dividend yield could be a drawback for certain investors. Challenges in AV commercialization and FX headwinds are noted, but the overall outlook remains positive, driven by strategic growth and operational efficiencies.
Positive Factors
Market Adoption
Waymo is completing over 200,000 paid trips weekly in cities like SF, LA, and Phoenix, indicating increasing adoption of the service.
Partnerships and Expansion
Uber is the sole Waymo distribution and fleet management partner in Austin, expanding its AV opportunity and partnership with Waymo.
Negative Factors
Competition
Austin will be a critical market with Tesla's mobility network launch expected, likely creating direct competition between Waymo/Uber and Tesla.

Uber Technologies (UBER) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Uber Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFounded in 2009, Uber Technologies, Inc. is a San Francisco, California-based transportation networking company that offers a ride-hailing service. It also has a food order and delivery business called Uber Eats, and a freight transportation business called Uber Freight.
How the Company Makes MoneyUber makes money primarily through its ride-hailing, food delivery, and freight services. The ride-hailing segment generates revenue by taking a commission from each ride booked through its platform, which typically involves connecting drivers with passengers. Uber Eats earns revenue by charging delivery and service fees on food orders, as well as taking a percentage cut from the restaurants listed on its platform. Uber Freight generates income by matching shippers with carriers and taking a fee for facilitating these logistics services. Additionally, Uber has strategic partnerships and collaborations in various regions that enhance its market presence and contribute to its earnings. The company also explores new revenue streams through its expansion into areas like autonomous vehicles and other mobility solutions.

Uber Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Uber Technologies has shown significant improvement across all financial metrics. The income statement reflects strong growth and improved profitability, while the balance sheet shows a healthy financial position with low leverage and high returns on equity. Cash flow metrics are equally positive, indicating efficient cash management and strong free cash flow generation. These factors collectively position the company well for future growth, though vigilance in maintaining operational efficiencies and managing leverage will be crucial to sustaining this trajectory.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Uber's income statement shows strong performance with a remarkable revenue growth rate of 17.96% from the previous year and a robust net profit margin of 22.42% TTM. The company has significantly improved its profitability, transitioning from losses in prior years to substantial profits, evidenced by the net income increase. EBIT and EBITDA margins of 6.69% and 10.67% respectively, indicate effective cost management and operational efficiencies.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid financial structure with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.067, signifying conservative leverage. The equity ratio stands at 42.07%, showing a well-capitalized position. Return on Equity (ROE) is impressive at 45.72%, indicating strong returns on shareholders' investments. The company has demonstrated significant improvement in its equity base over the year, enhancing financial stability.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Uber's cash flow statement reveals a positive trajectory with a substantial increase in free cash flow, growing at 106.76% over the year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.73, suggesting efficient conversion of net income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio stands at 0.71, highlighting effective cash generation aligned with profitability. Overall, the cash flow position is robust, supporting future growth initiatives and reducing financial risk.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
43.98B37.28B31.88B17.45B11.14B
Gross Profit
17.33B14.82B12.22B8.10B5.99B
EBIT
2.80B1.11B-1.83B-3.83B-4.86B
EBITDA
4.29B1.93B-7.91B360.00M-5.91B
Net Income Common Stockholders
9.86B1.89B-9.24B-533.00M-6.75B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
6.98B5.41B4.31B4.29B6.83B
Total Assets
51.24B38.70B32.11B38.77B33.25B
Total Debt
9.98B11.83B11.14B11.11B9.28B
Net Debt
4.08B6.34B6.93B6.81B3.63B
Total Liabilities
28.77B26.02B23.61B23.43B19.50B
Stockholders Equity
21.56B11.25B7.34B14.46B12.27B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
6.89B3.36B390.00M-743.00M-3.36B
Operating Cash Flow
7.14B3.58B642.00M-445.00M-2.75B
Investing Cash Flow
-3.18B-3.23B-1.64B-1.20B-2.87B
Financing Cash Flow
-2.09B-95.00M15.00M1.78B1.38B

Uber Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price76.48
Price Trends
50DMA
69.79
Positive
100DMA
71.26
Positive
200DMA
70.55
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.52
Positive
RSI
55.26
Neutral
STOCH
30.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UBER, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 76.48 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 76.51, above the 50-day MA of 69.79, and above the 200-day MA of 70.55, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.52 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for UBER.

Uber Technologies Risk Analysis

Uber Technologies disclosed 64 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Uber Technologies reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Uber Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$2.16T37.7324.29%10.99%91.61%
79
Outperform
$157.22B16.6960.08%17.96%410.17%
78
Outperform
$875.02B136.9310.52%0.95%-52.81%
72
Outperform
$81.25B736.151.68%24.17%
61
Neutral
$5.19B241.413.48%31.39%
59
Neutral
$22.39B11.53-18.05%2.31%5.00%-25.89%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UBER
Uber Technologies
76.48
-2.16
-2.75%
AMZN
Amazon
208.36
34.85
20.09%
TSLA
Tesla
279.10
102.56
58.09%
LYFT
Lyft
12.36
-5.94
-32.46%
DASH
DoorDash
195.08
62.95
47.64%

Uber Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 5, 2025 | % Change Since: 9.65% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Uber continues to demonstrate strong growth across its key metrics, particularly in gross bookings, membership expansion, and EBITDA growth. However, challenges remain in the areas of AV commercialization, FX headwinds, and insurance costs. Despite these challenges, the company's performance and strategic positioning suggest a positive outlook.
Highlights
Strong Growth in Gross Bookings
Uber reported a 21% year-over-year increase in gross bookings for Q4 2024, which exceeded their guidance and marked the fourth time in five quarters that they've achieved this level of growth.
Uber One Membership Expansion
Uber added five million new members to its Uber One program in Q4, bringing the total to 30 million, up nearly 60% year over year.
Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA grew 60% year over year, surpassing their target of high thirties to forty percent CAGR.
High Free Cash Flow Conversion
The company achieved an annual free cash flow conversion as a percentage of EBITDA of 106%, exceeding their target of 90 plus percent.
Mobility Segment Growth
Mobility segment showed impressive growth with a 24% increase in Q4 on a constant currency basis, driven by supply incentives and operational efficiency.
Lowlights
Autonomous Vehicle Commercialization Delays
Uber acknowledged that while AV technology is advancing, commercialization will take significantly longer than anticipated.
Foreign Exchange Headwinds
The company is facing increased FX headwinds, with a 5.5 percentage point impact on Q1 2025 guidance compared to 3 points in Q4 2024.
Insurance Cost Challenges
Despite some easing, Uber's insurance costs remain high, with expectations of high single-digit per trip cost increases in 2025.
Company Guidance
During the fourth quarter and full-year 2024 earnings call for Uber Technologies, Inc., CEO Dara Khosrowshahi highlighted the company's strong performance and growth metrics. Gross bookings growth surpassed expectations, with a 21% increase on a constant currency basis, exceeding the mid to high teens CAGR commitment. Adjusted EBITDA grew by 60% year-on-year, surpassing the high thirties to forty percent CAGR guidance. The company also achieved a 106% free cash flow conversion as a percentage of EBITDA, against a target of 90%. Uber's multi-product use reached an all-time high of 37% of consumers, and the Uber One membership program expanded by five million members, reaching a total of 30 million, marking a 60% year-on-year growth. Looking ahead to Q1 2025, Uber anticipates 17% to 21% growth in gross bookings, despite FX headwinds, and continued profit expansion. The company is also heavily investing in autonomous vehicle (AV) technology, aiming to become a key go-to-market partner for AV players, with significant developments expected in cities like Austin and Atlanta.

Uber Technologies Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Uber Technologies Announces Board Member Departure
Neutral
Feb 7, 2025

Uber Technologies announced that Wan Ling Martello, a board member since 2017, will not seek re-election at the 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders in May. Her decision was not due to any disagreements with the company, and her departure was acknowledged with gratitude by Ron Sugar, the independent chairperson of the board, for her significant contributions.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.