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Saputo Inc. (TSE:SAP)
TSX:SAP
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Saputo Inc. (SAP) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:SAP

Saputo Inc.

(TSX:SAP)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
C$35.00
â–²(5.17% Upside)
Saputo Inc.'s overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and positive earnings call highlights, despite concerns over valuation and financial performance. The company's robust revenue growth and cash flow management are offset by negative net income and profitability challenges.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Saputo's steady revenue growth, driven by higher selling prices and sales volume, indicates strong market demand and effective pricing strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.
Product Innovation
Continuous product innovation helps Saputo meet evolving consumer preferences, strengthening its competitive position and driving future revenue growth.
Cash Flow Management
Improved cash flow management enhances Saputo's financial flexibility, enabling reinvestment in growth initiatives and providing a buffer against economic uncertainties.
Negative Factors
Higher Costs in Argentina
Rising input costs in key markets like Argentina can erode margins and reduce competitiveness, posing a risk to Saputo's cost management strategies.
International Sector Challenges
Declining international revenues highlight geographic vulnerabilities and market-specific challenges, potentially impacting overall growth and profitability.
Profitability Challenges
Negative profitability margins indicate operational inefficiencies and cost pressures, which could hinder Saputo's ability to generate sustainable profits and shareholder value.

Saputo Inc. (SAP) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Saputo Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSaputo Inc. is a Canadian dairy company and one of the top ten dairy processors in the world. Founded in 1954 and headquartered in Montreal, Quebec, Saputo operates in several sectors, including fluid milk, cheese, cream, and other dairy products, as well as dairy ingredients and specialty packaged products. The company serves a wide array of markets including retail, foodservice, and industrial clients, and is known for its commitment to quality and sustainability.
How the Company Makes MoneySaputo Inc. generates revenue primarily through the manufacturing and sale of dairy products, including cheese, fluid milk, extended shelf-life milk and cream products, cultured products, and dairy ingredients. The company's key revenue streams include sales to retail grocery chains, foodservice distributors, and industrial clients who use Saputo's products as ingredients in their own food products. Saputo's earnings are influenced by factors such as global dairy market trends, the availability and cost of raw materials like milk, and consumer demand for dairy products. The company also engages in strategic acquisitions to expand its portfolio and market reach, thereby enhancing its revenue potential.

Saputo Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Saputo's earnings call highlighted a strong start to fiscal 2026 with record adjusted EBITDA and robust revenue growth in key markets like Canada and the U.S. The company also demonstrated successful cost management and product innovation. However, challenges in the international sector, particularly with reduced milk availability in Australia and higher costs in Argentina, tempered the positive outlook.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record First Quarter Adjusted EBITDA
Saputo reported a record first quarter adjusted EBITDA of $426 million, which was 11% higher compared to last year.
Solid Revenue Growth
Consolidated revenues increased to $4.6 billion, a 1% increase compared to last year, driven by higher selling prices and sales volume.
Strong Performance in Canada and U.S.
Canada and U.S. operations delivered meaningful improvements. Canada saw a 5% revenue increase, while U.S. revenues increased by 2%.
Improved Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns
Cash flow from operating activities was robust at $317 million, up 66% year-over-year. The company returned $202 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.
SG&A Cost Efficiency
The company achieved significant SG&A cost efficiency due to cost optimization measures across various sectors.
Successful Product Innovation
Saputo introduced new products like Saputo's spicy mozzarella and expanded its Cheese Heads brand with successful launches.
Negative Updates
Challenges in International Sector
Revenue in the international sector fell by 14% compared to last year due to lower sales volume and unfavorable conditions in Australia.
Higher Milk Costs in Argentina
In Argentina, higher milk costs affected results, although the company managed to mitigate some impacts through favorable alignments.
Reduced Milk Availability in Australia
Milk availability in Australia was reduced due to ongoing drought conditions, impacting efficiency and fixed cost absorption.
Company Guidance
During the Saputo First Quarter 2026 Financial Results Call, the company provided guidance on various financial metrics, reflecting a strong start to the fiscal year. Consolidated revenues reached $4.6 billion, marking a 1% increase from last year, driven by higher selling prices and robust sales volumes, despite some commodity market challenges. The adjusted EBITDA was reported at $426 million, an 11% increase year-over-year, while net earnings totaled $165 million, with adjusted net earnings at $184 million, up 10%. Adjusted EPS grew by 13% to $0.44 per share, bolstered by share repurchases under the NCIB program. Operating cash flow surged by 66% to $317 million, supported by improved EBITDA and efficient working capital management. Capital expenditures amounted to $65 million, aligning with strategic investment plans. The company also improved its net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio to 2.03, highlighting strong financial health. Looking forward, Saputo remains focused on sustainable growth, enhancing shareholder value, and expanding EPS through strategic commercial execution, cost discipline, and portfolio optimization, while continuing to invest in innovation and customer engagement.

Saputo Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Saputo Inc. shows strong revenue growth and effective cash flow management, which are positive indicators. However, negative net income and declining profitability margins are significant concerns. The balance sheet is stable, but negative ROE highlights challenges in generating shareholder value.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Saputo Inc. has shown a mixed performance in its income statement. The company experienced a significant revenue growth rate of 13.1% in the TTM period, indicating strong top-line growth. However, the net profit margin is negative at -0.92%, reflecting a net loss, which is a concern. The gross profit margin has decreased from previous years, and both EBIT and EBITDA margins have declined, suggesting pressure on profitability. Overall, while revenue growth is a positive sign, the declining profitability metrics and net loss weigh heavily on the score.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet of Saputo Inc. shows moderate financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.52, indicating a manageable level of leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -2.46%, which is concerning as it reflects the company's inability to generate positive returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is relatively stable, suggesting a balanced capital structure. While the leverage is under control, the negative ROE impacts the overall score.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Saputo Inc.'s cash flow statement presents a mixed picture. The free cash flow growth rate is strong at 23.35%, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.34, showing that the company is generating cash from operations despite the net loss. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.62, suggesting that the company is managing its cash flow effectively. The positive cash flow metrics provide a cushion against the net loss, resulting in a relatively favorable score.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue19.09B19.06B17.34B17.84B15.04B14.29B
Gross Profit1.61B1.56B1.51B1.55B1.16B1.47B
EBITDA1.48B1.43B1.37B1.42B1.02B1.37B
Net Income-153.00M-176.00M265.00M622.00M274.00M626.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.25B13.91B14.26B14.43B13.68B13.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments256.00M257.00M466.00M263.00M165.00M308.70M
Total Debt3.52B3.59B3.99B4.04B4.25B4.11B
Total Liabilities6.60B6.94B7.21B7.29B7.18B6.68B
Stockholders Equity6.65B6.98B7.05B7.14B6.50B6.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow840.00M681.00M537.00M384.00M195.00M645.10M
Operating Cash Flow1.22B1.10B1.19B1.02B693.00M1.08B
Investing Cash Flow-330.00M-285.00M-652.00M-632.00M-799.00M-387.40M
Financing Cash Flow-1.03B-1.03B-343.00M-369.00M-72.00M-704.70M

Saputo Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price33.28
Price Trends
50DMA
33.16
Positive
100DMA
30.16
Positive
200DMA
27.37
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.10
Positive
RSI
50.94
Neutral
STOCH
27.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SAP, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 33.28 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.51, above the 50-day MA of 33.16, and above the 200-day MA of 27.37, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:SAP.

Saputo Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
C$3.50B19.4611.29%2.67%5.44%1391.43%
67
Neutral
C$479.04M7.4512.01%4.88%1.05%13.40%
65
Neutral
C$4.30B45.815.36%3.51%8.42%-17.99%
63
Neutral
C$13.69B42.30-2.20%2.30%7.58%-155.93%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:SAP
Saputo Inc.
33.46
6.36
23.47%
TSE:HLF
High Liner Foods
16.50
3.55
27.41%
TSE:MFI
Maple Leaf Foods
27.82
8.75
45.88%
TSE:PBH
Premium Brands
97.00
6.43
7.10%

Saputo Inc. Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Saputo Inc. Announces Successful Election of Directors
Positive
Aug 8, 2025

Saputo Inc. announced the election of its board of directors at the annual shareholders’ meeting held on August 8, 2025. All ten nominees proposed by the board were successfully elected, with high approval rates, indicating strong shareholder support. This election is significant for Saputo as it reinforces the company’s governance structure and may impact its strategic direction and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SAP) stock is a Buy with a C$37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saputo Inc. stock, see the TSE:SAP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Saputo Inc. Reports Strong Q1 Fiscal 2026 Results
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

Saputo Inc. reported strong financial results for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, with revenues reaching $4.631 billion, a 0.5% increase from the previous year. The company’s adjusted EBITDA rose by 11.2% to $426 million, driven by higher selling prices and operational improvements. Despite unfavorable US dairy market conditions, Saputo achieved significant gains in international markets and maintained robust cash flow, enabling continued investment and shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SAP) stock is a Buy with a C$35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saputo Inc. stock, see the TSE:SAP Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Saputo Inc. Reports Stable Fiscal 2025 Results Amidst Challenges
Positive
Jun 5, 2025

Saputo Inc. reported its fiscal 2025 results, highlighting stable performance amidst challenging conditions. The company achieved year-over-year growth in adjusted EBITDA and revenues in Canada, USA, and Europe, despite facing issues like the unfavorable milk-cheese spread in the USA and currency devaluation in Argentina. Saputo’s strategic investments in focus brands and infrastructure are expected to support future growth, while restructuring efforts and share buybacks reflect ongoing optimization and shareholder value enhancement.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SAP) stock is a Buy with a C$37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saputo Inc. stock, see the TSE:SAP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025