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Rivalry Corp (TSE:RVLY)
:RVLY

Rivalry Corp (RVLY) AI Stock Analysis

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Rivalry Corp

(RVLY)

40Underperform
Rivalry Corp's stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial health, characterized by persistent losses and high leverage. While there are positive strategic efforts in terms of product development and crypto market expansion, they are overshadowed by current financial instability and valuation challenges. Technical indicators further suggest cautious optimism without strong upward momentum, and recent corporate initiatives highlight potential future growth areas.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Average net revenue per user has reached a record high, up 51% compared to the 2024 average, and up 70% from the trailing 3-year average.
User Engagement
RVLY's crypto/token users exhibit 2x+ the value of non-crypto users and 30% higher retention rates.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
RVLY reported lower-than-expected 3Q24 results as the company prioritized significant cost reductions and accelerated its strategic realignment.

Rivalry Corp (RVLY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Rivalry Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRivalry Corp (RVLY) is a leading online sports betting and entertainment company, primarily focused on the esports and traditional sports sectors. The company is known for its innovative platform that offers betting services on a wide range of esports events, including popular games like League of Legends, Dota 2, and CS:GO, as well as conventional sports. Rivalry's user-friendly interface and engaging content have positioned it as a popular choice for a younger demographic interested in interactive and digital sports experiences.
How the Company Makes MoneyRivalry Corp generates revenue primarily through its online betting platform. The company's main revenue stream comes from the commissions and margins on bets placed by users on esports and traditional sports events. Additionally, Rivalry may engage in partnerships with esports organizations, game developers, and advertising networks, which can provide additional revenue opportunities through sponsorships and promotional activities. The company also focuses on expanding its market reach by obtaining licenses in various jurisdictions, enhancing its ability to attract a global customer base and increase its earnings potential through geographical diversification.

Rivalry Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Rivalry Corp faces significant financial challenges with persistent losses, high leverage, and negative cash flows. While there is some revenue growth, the company struggles with cost management and profitability. The negative equity and high debt levels increase financial risk, suggesting the need for strategic shifts to improve financial health and operational efficiencies.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Rivalry Corp shows a concerning financial trajectory with negative profit margins across multiple years. The TTM gross profit margin is positive at 68.5%, but the net profit margin is negative at -115.1%, indicating high costs relative to revenues. Revenue growth from 2023 to TTM was 34.1%, which is positive, but previous years have shown inconsistency. The persistent negative EBIT and EBITDA margins reflect operational inefficiencies, suggesting a challenging path to profitability.
Balance Sheet
20
Very Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant risks with a negative equity position in the TTM, exposing the company to financial instability. The debt-to-equity ratio is not meaningful due to negative equity, indicating high leverage. A negative return on equity further underscores financial challenges. While the cash position has decreased significantly, liabilities have increased, straining financial health.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows continuous negative operating and free cash flow, indicating sustainability issues. The operating cash flow to net income and free cash flow to net income ratios are negative, pointing to cash flow inefficiencies. While there was a slight reduction in free cash flow deficit from 2023 to TTM, overall cash management remains weak.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
21.77M16.24M26.63M11.08M1.55M517.83K
Gross Profit
14.92M-3.47M9.81M2.19M690.31K-1.20M
EBIT
-23.01M-22.59M-30.14M-24.71M-6.81M-3.61M
EBITDA
-23.91M-24.31M-30.90M-24.08M-6.59M-3.55M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-25.04M-23.80M-31.12M-24.72M-6.90M-3.79M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
620.16K10.54M12.19M35.45M620.16K3.54M
Total Assets
7.62M15.08M18.06M40.46M7.62M4.90M
Total Debt
320.64K10.23M484.99K139.20K320.64K407.47K
Net Debt
-299.52K-309.00K-11.71M-35.31M-299.52K-3.13M
Total Liabilities
814.62K13.15M3.36M1.47M814.62K751.34K
Stockholders Equity
6.81M-1.11M14.70M38.98M6.81M4.15M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-16.92M-21.55M-21.39M-10.93M-12.06M-3.66M
Operating Cash Flow
-16.82M-21.48M-21.28M-10.87M-12.03M-3.48M
Investing Cash Flow
-141.81K-105.13K-606.22K-58.76K-25.96K-320.51K
Financing Cash Flow
13.64M20.64M-124.39K45.30M9.31M-251.84K

Rivalry Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.08
Price Trends
50DMA
0.13
Negative
100DMA
0.15
Negative
200DMA
0.25
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Positive
RSI
29.34
Positive
STOCH
1.90
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:RVLY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.10, below the 50-day MA of 0.13, and below the 200-day MA of 0.25, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.34 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 1.90 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:RVLY.

Rivalry Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSSCR
77
Outperform
C$5.80B9.6010.83%2.81%796.07%-35.52%
74
Outperform
C$141.38M-7.16%7.29%-31.64%
59
Neutral
$12.18B11.09-1.08%3.77%1.26%-19.82%
48
Neutral
$10.35M-95.51%-44.89%42.48%
TSTGO
45
Neutral
C$19.60M-119.27%1.15%25.39%
40
Underperform
C$7.61M
-29.40%15.55%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:RVLY
Rivalry Corp
0.08
-0.88
-91.67%
TSE:BRAG
Bragg Gaming Group Inc
5.17
-3.67
-41.52%
TSE:SCR
Strathcona Resources
25.07
-7.10
-22.07%
TSE:TGO
TeraGo Inc.
0.98
-0.90
-47.87%
TSE:EGLX
Enthusiast Gaming Holdings
0.06
-0.12
-66.67%

Rivalry Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Nov 29, 2024 | % Change Since: -33.33% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant improvements in product offerings and operational efficiency, with record increases in net revenue per user and successful cost reductions. However, these achievements were tempered by a decrease in betting handle and a slight increase in net loss. The positive developments in the crypto segment and successful capital raise indicate a strong foundation for future growth.
Highlights
Record Increase in Net Revenue Per User
Average net revenue per user hit all-time records, increasing by 51% compared to the 2024 year-to-date average and by 70% compared to the trailing 3-year average.
Successful Product Overhaul
Completed the largest product overhaul in Rivalry's history, including a revamped registration flow, sportsbook, new crypto-first cashier, redesigned casino offering, and a comprehensive VIP rewards program.
Cost Reduction and Efficiency Improvements
Reduced operating expenses by approximately 50% and achieved a more robust and higher output organization with measurable output climbing over 200%.
Positive Developments in Crypto Segment
Rivalry's native crypto token, NUTZ, generated $3 million in deferred revenue in Q3, signaling positive market reception among target audiences.
Successful Capital Raise
Closed the second tranche of a non-broker private placement, raising $3 million, strengthening the balance sheet and supporting the trajectory to profitability.
Lowlights
Decrease in Betting Handle
Betting handle was $79.9 million in the third quarter, representing a 9% sequential decrease from quarter 2 of 2024, primarily due to a reduction in marketing expenses.
Net Loss Increase
Net loss of $5.8 million, representing a small increase of $0.2 million from quarter 3 of 2023.
Decline in 9-Month Net Revenue
The 9-month ended net revenue was $12.1 million, down 8% from the comparable period in 2023, attributed to a reduction in marketing spend.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2024 earnings call for Rivalry Corp (RVLY.V), significant guidance was provided on the company's strategic realignment and financial performance. The executives highlighted a dramatic reduction in operating expenses by approximately 50% and a substantial organizational overhaul, including a 50% reduction in headcount. The company completed a major product overhaul within 90 days, featuring a revamped registration flow, sportsbook, and a new crypto-first cashier, which contributed to a 51% increase in average net revenue per user compared to the 2024 year-to-date average. Additionally, Rivalry's native crypto token, NUTZ, generated $3 million in deferred revenue during Q3. The company also reported a 9% sequential decrease in betting handle to $79.9 million and adjusted revenue of $6 million, including the deferred revenue from NUTZ. These efforts align with Rivalry's aim to capture crypto gambling market share and achieve near-term profitability.

Rivalry Corp Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Rivalry Corp Expands Crypto Payment Options with $TRUMP
Positive
Jan 20, 2025

Rivalry Corp has announced its strategy to incorporate meme coins into its crypto payment options, starting with the addition of the Solana-based cryptocurrency $TRUMP. This move highlights Rivalry’s quick response to market trends and positions the company at the center of pop culture-driven financial transactions, offering new marketing and revenue opportunities. Ahead of the U.S. Presidential Inauguration, Rivalry users can now deposit and wager using $TRUMP, with exclusive rewards for those participating, demonstrating the company’s innovative approach to leveraging cultural moments for growth.

Rivalry Corp Embraces $TRUMP Meme Coin as New Payment Method
Jan 19, 2025

Rivalry Corp has introduced the Solana-based cryptocurrency $TRUMP as a payment method on its platform, becoming the first betting operator to accept it. This move, coinciding with the U.S. Presidential Inauguration, represents Rivalry’s strategy to capitalize on cultural moments and expand its crypto gambling offerings, enhancing its market position and offering exclusive rewards to users. The acceptance of $TRUMP signifies Rivalry’s commitment to a crypto-first approach, enabling broader engagement with its user base and continuous expansion in the crypto gambling segment.

Rivalry Corp. Raises $3.32 Million in Private Placement
Dec 30, 2024

Rivalry Corp. has successfully completed a non-brokered private placement, raising approximately $3.32 million through the issuance of over 22 million units at $0.15 each. The funds from this offering will be used for corporate development and general working capital, supporting the company’s operations in the digital-first sports betting and iGaming sector.

Rivalry Corp. Expands with New Fundraising Round
Dec 6, 2024

Rivalry Corp. has successfully closed the third tranche of its non-brokered private placement, raising $334,688 by issuing over 2.2 million units. The funds are earmarked for corporate development and general working capital, as the company continues to expand its presence in the digital betting arena.

Rivalry Corp Embraces Crypto Focus in Strategic Revamp
Nov 29, 2024

Rivalry Corp has reported a significant organizational realignment and product revamp to focus on the crypto-gambling market, achieving a 51% increase in average net revenue per user. The company has also reduced its operating expenses by 50% and strengthened its financial position with a $3 million funding round.

Rivalry Corp Raises $1.94 Million in Private Placement
Nov 26, 2024

Rivalry Corp has successfully closed the initial tranche of a non-brokered private placement, raising approximately $1.94 million, with the potential to reach up to $3 million. The funds will be used for corporate development and general working capital, highlighting strong insider and shareholder support. Each unit sold includes a voting share and half a warrant, offering potential future investment growth.

Rivalry Corp. Announces Q3 2024 Financial Results Date
Nov 15, 2024

Rivalry Corp., a leader in sportsbook and iGaming for Gen Z, will release its third quarter 2024 financial results on November 29 before the stock market opens. The company, which operates globally in over 20 countries with a focus on esports and traditional sports betting, will also hold a conference call to discuss these results with investors.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.