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Parex Resources (TSE:PXT)
TSX:PXT

Parex Resources (PXT) AI Stock Analysis

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TSParex Resources
(TSX:PXT)
66Neutral
Parex Resources demonstrates strong cash flow and balance sheet stability, bolstered by positive earnings call sentiment and strategic initiatives. However, technical indicators show a bearish trend, and profitability challenges require strategic adjustments. The company's reasonable valuation and attractive dividend yield offer potential for income-focused investors.
Positive Factors
Earnings Guidance
With Q4 earnings, the company reaffirmed 2025 guidance, allowing investors to move forward with confidence.
Valuation
Current valuation appears quite attractive and should bring in new investors as the company reiterates consistent results.
Negative Factors
Geopolitical Risk
Colombia hasn't been kind to Canadian-listed E&P names. Government regulation, drilling exploration risk, and social unrest have historically warranted caution.

Parex Resources (PXT) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Parex Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionParex Resources Inc. is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company headquartered in Calgary, Alberta, Canada. The company primarily focuses on the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of crude oil in Colombia. Parex Resources operates in the energy sector, leveraging its expertise in exploration and production to optimize its oil assets and deliver value to its stakeholders.
How the Company Makes MoneyParex Resources makes money through the exploration, development, and production of crude oil, primarily in Colombia. The company's revenue model is centered around the sale of oil produced from its various fields. Key revenue streams include the sale of crude oil to international and local markets. Parex Resources' earnings are influenced by factors such as global oil prices, production volumes, and operational efficiency. Strategic partnerships with local and international firms, as well as a focus on cost management and operational excellence, contribute to the company's financial performance.

Parex Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Parex Resources shows strong cash flow and balance sheet stability with low leverage, providing a cushion against market volatility. However, challenges in revenue growth and profitability necessitate strategic adjustments to enhance margins and growth.
Income Statement
64
Positive
Parex Resources has shown fluctuating revenue trends with recent decline in gross profit margins from 54.1% in 2022 to 42.6% in 2023. The net profit margin also decreased from 37.2% in 2022 to 4.7% in 2023, indicating a significant contraction in profitability. However, the company managed to maintain a positive EBITDA margin of 41.1% in 2023, despite the absence of EBIT, which is a concern. Revenue decreased by 21.4% from 2022 to 2023, indicating a need for growth strategies.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company maintains a solid equity position with an equity ratio of 85.0% in 2023, suggesting low leverage and strong financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio remained low at 0.05 in 2023, indicating conservative use of debt. However, the return on equity (ROE) dropped significantly from 35.6% in 2022 to 3.3% in 2023, reflecting reduced profitability on shareholder investments.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Parex Resources demonstrated significant operating cash flow generation, with $569.9 million in 2023, resulting in a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 9.39. Free cash flow grew substantially from $26.1 million in 2022 to $343.9 million in 2023, indicating improved cash generation efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 5.67 highlights a robust cash flow position despite lower net income.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.29B1.17B1.64B1.06B587.52M
Gross Profit
549.07M889.83M1.02B659.64M302.59M
EBIT
0.00454.24M889.24M529.14M192.26M
EBITDA
529.40M659.18M952.60M625.22M287.16M
Net Income Common Stockholders
60.68M459.31M611.37M303.11M99.32M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
98.02M140.35M419.00M378.34M330.56M
Total Assets
2.16B2.42B2.31B1.78B1.54B
Total Debt
64.62M95.74M6.08M4.51M1.82M
Net Debt
-33.40M-44.62M-412.92M-373.83M-328.74M
Total Liabilities
323.74M459.90M599.38M390.53M200.60M
Stockholders Equity
1.83B1.96B1.71B1.39B1.34B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
343.89M26.11M453.36M322.15M173.10M
Operating Cash Flow
569.91M376.47M983.60M534.30M290.02M
Investing Cash Flow
-392.24M-535.51M-638.10M-229.04M-179.80M
Financing Cash Flow
-214.90M-130.63M-291.98M-252.35M-168.44M

Parex Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price12.62
Price Trends
50DMA
14.27
Negative
100DMA
13.96
Negative
200DMA
15.47
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.44
Positive
RSI
34.93
Neutral
STOCH
15.37
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PXT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 12.62 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.94, below the 50-day MA of 14.27, and below the 200-day MA of 15.47, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.44 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.37 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:PXT.

Parex Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSWCP
74
Outperform
$4.69B6.8514.51%8.18%3.34%-6.99%
TSMEG
72
Outperform
$5.83B12.0411.22%0.92%-8.92%-5.46%
TSBTE
68
Neutral
$2.20B9.925.99%3.26%39.63%-132.36%
TSCNE
68
Neutral
$127.27M4.316.70%6.72%14.77%-96.89%
TSPXT
66
Neutral
$1.24B15.573.20%12.62%-0.35%-51.88%
57
Neutral
$8.34B5.35-5.98%7.29%0.20%-69.45%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PXT
Parex Resources
12.62
-6.59
-34.30%
TSE:BTE
Baytex Energy
2.84
-1.38
-32.64%
TSE:MEG
MEG Energy
22.70
-6.09
-21.15%
TSE:CNE
Canacol Energy
3.73
-1.79
-32.43%
TSE:WCP
Whitecap Resources
8.30
-0.52
-5.86%

Parex Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 5, 2025 | % Change Since: 0.32% | Next Earnings Date: May 7, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call outlined a strong financial and operational performance with significant progress in reserves and strategic initiatives. Tax and pricing improvements, alongside a robust plan for shareholder returns, further contribute to a positive outlook. Despite a minor decrease in PDP reserves, the overall sentiment is optimistic.
Highlights
Strong Financial Performance
Generated $275 million in free funds flow, the third highest in the company's history, and $141 million in funds flow provided by operations for the quarter.
Positive Reserves Report
Grew 1P and 2P reserves per share in 2024, with strategic application of technology leading to increased recovery factors in key assets like LLA-34 and Cabrestero.
Operational Progress
Production averaged 45,297 BOE per day, meeting the revised guidance. Significant progress in waterflood and polymer activities and gas exploration plans.
Tax and Pricing Improvements
Achieved a $6 million current tax recovery, with an expected lower effective tax rate of 3% to 6% in 2025. Vasconia differential improved to below $2 per barrel.
Shareholder Returns
Returned C$1.5 billion to shareholders over the past five years, more than the current market cap, with plans to continue strengthening returns.
Best Safety Performance
2024 marked the company's best safety performance, highlighting employee dedication.
Lowlights
Slight Decrease in PDP Reserves
While 1P and 2P reserves per share grew, PDP reserves per share decreased slightly.
Company Guidance
During Parex Resources' 2024 year-end conference call, the company reported robust financial and operational performance despite facing headwinds throughout the year. Key metrics highlighted include generating $275 million in free funds flow, achieving a quarterly funds flow of $141 million, and maintaining a production average of 45,297 BOE per day. Their 2024 results also saw a growth in 1P and 2P reserves per share, although PDP per share decreased slightly. Operational efforts included advancing waterflood and polymer injection techniques at key blocks, contributing to improved recovery factors. The company anticipates a reduced effective tax rate of 3% to 6% for 2025 at $70 per barrel Brent, alongside a Vasconia differential currently below $2 per barrel, down from the 2024 average of $5 per barrel. Looking forward, Parex plans to ramp up to four rigs in the second quarter of 2025 and focus on low-risk activities to enhance shareholder returns, which have amounted to C$1.5 billion over the past five years.

Parex Resources Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Parex Resources Reports Strong 2024 Results and Strategic Advancements
Positive
Mar 5, 2025

Parex Resources announced its 2024 financial results, highlighting a strong performance with $622 million in funds flow and a net income of $61 million. The company declared a Q1 2025 dividend and appointed a new CFO, Cameron Grainger. Parex achieved strategic milestones, including successful waterflood implementations and polymer injection pilots, and expanded its exploration activities in the Llanos Foothills. The company aims to maintain steady production and shareholder returns while preparing for future exploration opportunities.

Parex Resources Unveils 2025 Guidance and Strategic Production Plans
Jan 14, 2025

Parex Resources has announced its 2025 guidance, projecting average production to reach between 43,000 and 47,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day. The company plans to spend up to $315 million on capital expenditures, focusing on lower-risk activities and sustainable growth. The program includes drilling up to 30 wells and targets shareholder returns while exploring new opportunities in areas like the Putumayo Blocks. Parex also aims to strengthen its financial position through dividends, share repurchases, and capital management, supported by a favorable tax position.

Parex Resources Expands Partnership with Ecopetrol
Dec 11, 2024

Parex Resources has strengthened its strategic partnership with Ecopetrol by securing a 50% working interest in multiple blocks in Colombia, enhancing its exploration and production capabilities. This collaboration is expected to boost Parex’s oil recovery efforts and aligns with its strategy to expand in areas with significant potential. The company also reported stable production figures and remains on track to meet its annual production targets.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.