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Premium Brands (TSE:PBH)
TSX:PBH

Premium Brands (PBH) AI Stock Analysis

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Premium Brands

(TSX:PBH)

68Neutral
Premium Brands demonstrates strong revenue growth and strategic initiatives, particularly in the U.S., which boosts its outlook. However, challenges in operating profitability, high financial leverage, and a premium valuation pose risks. Positive earnings call sentiment and strong liquidity position contribute to a balanced overall score.
Positive Factors
Acquisition Growth
The company has a long runway for acquisition growth, indicating potential for expansion and increased market presence.
Consumer Trends
The company is well-positioned to benefit from long-term and emerging consumer trends, which are expected to provide support for organic growth across Premium Brands' businesses.
Financial Flexibility
Premium Brands completed a $150 million convertible debenture offering, which increases financial flexibility.
Negative Factors
Customer Onboarding Delays
Customer onboarding delays have pushed some growth into the following year, suggesting potential short-term challenges.
Sales Challenges
Sales challenges at a major QSR customer drove the 3Q EBITDA miss while the new sales pipeline remains strong.
Tariff Risks
Tariff noise introduces some near-term risk with significant topline sales exposure.

Premium Brands (PBH) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Premium Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPremium Brands Holdings Corporation, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes food products primarily in Canada and the United States. It operates in two segments, Specialty Foods and Premium Food Distribution. The company provides meat products and snacks, deli products, beef jerky and halal, sandwiches, pastries, specialty and gourmet products, salads and kettle products, entrees, panini, wraps, subs, hamburgers, burgers, muffins, breads, pastas, and baking and sushi products, as well as processed meat products and ready-to-eat meals. It is also involved in the distribution of food products, including meat, seafood, and halal food products; operation of retail/convenience store and concessionary; and provision of food and seafood processing, and cold storage services. The company operates under the brand names of Grimm's, Freybe, Piller's, Black Kassel, MarcAngelo, Oberto, Bavarian Meats, McSweeney's, Cattleman's Cut, Harvest Meats, Hempler's, Pacific Gold Country, Prime Meats, Isernio's, Fletcher's (U.S.), Leadbetters, Mclean Meats, Shahir, Expresco, Fresh Additions, Lou's Kitchen, WestEnd, Cobblestone, Yorkshire Valley Farms, Premier Meats, Black River Angus, La Maison Du Gibier, Belmont Meats, Purely Crafted, Cowboy, Connie's Kitchen, Skoulakis, Premier Healthy Living, Raybern's, Hygaard, Quality Fast Foods, Buddy's, Bread Garden Go, Stovers Kitchen, Deli Chef, Leonetti's, Island City, Stuyver's, La Boulangerie, Vero Vero, Alive & Rise, Partners, Audrey's, Duso's, Gourmet Chef, Smart Soup, Clearwater, Hancock Gourmet, Diana's Seafood, Marco Polo, Seafood Lover, Ready Brothers, Cold Cracked Lobster, Maximum Seafood, Rocky Point. It serves chains and large format retailers, independent and specialty retailers, foodservice operators, foodservice distributors, and other food manufacturers and food brokers. The company was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Richmond, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyPremium Brands makes money primarily through the manufacturing and distribution of specialty food products. The company's revenue streams include the sale of ready-to-eat products, fresh and processed meats, and premium specialty foods to a diverse customer base. Key revenue sources are its specialty food manufacturing, which involves producing high-quality, branded food products, and its food distribution business, which delivers these products to retailers, foodservice operators, and other customers. The company benefits from strategic partnerships with retailers and foodservice operators, as well as acquisitions of complementary businesses that expand its market reach and product offerings. Additionally, Premium Brands emphasizes innovation and brand development to drive growth and maintain a competitive edge in the specialty food market.

Premium Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Premium Brands shows solid revenue growth and operational efficiency. However, the high leverage and negative free cash flow present financial risks, necessitating improvements in cash flow management and profitability.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Premium Brands has shown consistent revenue growth, with a notable increase from $6.02 billion in 2022 to $6.39 billion TTM. The gross profit margin for TTM stands at 17.01%, and the net profit margin is 1.55%. However, there is a slight decline in the EBITDA margin from 7.48% in 2022 to 8.49% TTM. The company maintains strong EBIT and EBITDA margins, reflecting operational efficiency. Still, the low net profit margin indicates room for improving bottom-line efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.63 TTM, indicating significant leverage, which can be a risk factor. The equity ratio is moderate at 32.81%, indicating a balanced reliance on equity to finance assets. Return on equity is relatively low at 5.69% TTM, suggesting limited effectiveness in generating returns on shareholder investments.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Operating cash flow decreased from $433.9 million in 2023 to $338.6 million TTM. The free cash flow is negative at -$77.5 million TTM, indicating challenges in maintaining liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 3.41 TTM, suggesting strong cash generation relative to net income, but the negative free cash flow highlights potential cash management issues.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
6.39B6.26B6.03B4.93B4.07B3.65B
Gross Profit
1.09B1.05B1.10B901.90M780.20M725.30M
EBIT
346.40M338.20M322.00M285.90M189.40M194.70M
EBITDA
542.20M468.50M483.50M387.30M295.60M288.60M
Net Income Common Stockholders
99.20M94.20M160.10M132.70M83.70M84.20M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
19.40M27.60M11.40M16.50M363.00M18.40M
Total Assets
2.45B5.16B5.08B4.41B3.54B2.94B
Total Debt
1.13B2.63B2.56B1.94B1.33B1.33B
Net Debt
1.11B2.61B2.55B1.92B966.70M1.32B
Total Liabilities
1.63B3.39B3.27B2.63B1.94B1.87B
Stockholders Equity
823.90M1.77B1.81B1.77B1.60B1.07B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-77.50M34.20M-131.90M-76.90M134.70M76.30M
Operating Cash Flow
338.60M433.90M96.50M66.30M227.30M164.20M
Investing Cash Flow
-323.30M-299.20M-343.60M-808.90M-242.90M-185.70M
Financing Cash Flow
-46.80M-118.50M242.00M396.10M360.20M20.50M

Premium Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price78.13
Price Trends
50DMA
77.93
Positive
100DMA
78.47
Negative
200DMA
84.05
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.31
Negative
RSI
49.91
Neutral
STOCH
41.16
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PBH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 78.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 78.10, above the 50-day MA of 77.93, and below the 200-day MA of 84.05, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.31 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.16 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:PBH.

Premium Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSMRU
80
Outperform
C$21.54B22.7513.78%1.41%1.59%-1.98%
TSATD
77
Outperform
C$66.16B18.5818.66%1.03%11.62%-8.08%
TSNWC
69
Neutral
C$2.35B17.9418.50%3.22%3.28%1.42%
TSPBH
68
Neutral
C$3.51B28.556.86%4.35%3.35%28.80%
63
Neutral
$20.68B14.36-12.41%3.14%1.24%2.53%
TSSAP
56
Neutral
C$10.35B42.30-2.28%3.05%9.20%-147.37%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PBH
Premium Brands
78.13
-8.52
-9.83%
LBLCF
Loblaw Companies
137.56
27.72
25.24%
TSE:ATD
Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc
69.78
-5.13
-6.85%
TSE:MRU
Metro Inc.
97.75
26.33
36.87%
TSE:NWC
North West
49.10
11.69
31.25%
TSE:SAP
Saputo Inc.
24.58
-1.18
-4.58%

Premium Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 21, 2025 | % Change Since: 3.83% | Next Earnings Date: May 19, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a positive outlook with record sales and EBITDA growth, driven by strategic acquisitions and strong U.S. market performance. Despite challenges from tariff uncertainty and temporary sales issues, the company maintains a strong liquidity position and forecasts record growth for 2025.
Highlights
Record Sales and EBITDA Growth
Sales for the year increased by $210 million or 3.3% to $6.5 billion, with adjusted EBITDA margins expanding by 30 basis points to 9.2%. This marks the third consecutive year of EBITDA margin expansion.
Strong Performance in U.S. Markets
Organic volume growth from U.S.-focused sales initiatives contributed $55 million, with U.S. sales initiatives in Protein, Sandwich, and Bakery Groups driving over 20% growth in organic volume.
Strategic Acquisitions
Recent acquisitions of Casa, NSP Quality Meats, Italia Salami Company, and Denmark Sausage expand capacity in high-growth categories benefiting from favorable consumer trends.
Projected Record Growth in 2025
Projected revenue growth to $7.2 billion - $7.4 billion and adjusted EBITDA to $680 million - $700 million for 2025, driven by U.S. sales initiatives and recent acquisitions.
Strong Liquidity Position
Company finished the quarter with $583 million in unused credit capacity, and an offering of convertible debentures resulted in net proceeds of $144 million.
Lowlights
Impact of Tariff Uncertainty
Current uncertainty around tariffs has led to a decision to hold off on increasing the dividend rate for 2025 until there is better clarity.
Temporary Sales Challenges
Lower lobster sales due to poor Maine fishery and postponed customer orders, along with a decline in sandwich volumes with a major foodservice customer.
Increased Debt Leverage
Senior debt to EBITDA ratio increased to 3.5:1 and total debt to EBITDA ratio to 4.5:1, due to a weakening Canadian dollar affecting U.S. denominated debt.
Higher Cost Environment
Higher depreciation, interest, and lease costs associated with major capacity expansion projects, and a higher interest rate environment affected earnings.
Company Guidance
During the 2024 Year-End Conference Call, Premium Brands reported solid financial performance and strategic progress. Sales increased by $210 million or 3.3% to reach $6.5 billion, while adjusted EBITDA margins expanded by 30 basis points to 9.2%. The company's U.S.-focused initiatives, particularly in the Protein, Sandwich, and Bakery Groups, were key drivers, with U.S. sales rising by over 20% in some categories. Despite challenges like lower lobster sales and reduced sandwich volumes with a major customer, the company achieved quarterly sales of $1.64 billion, up 5.4% from the previous year. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter rose 8.4% to $148.7 million, and adjusted earnings per share increased to $1.05 from $0.85. The company maintained a strong financial position with $583 million in unused credit capacity and plans to manage debt levels, which were slightly impacted by currency fluctuations. Looking forward, Premium Brands projects 2025 revenues between $7.2 billion and $7.4 billion and expects both adjusted earnings and earnings per share to reach record levels, driven by ongoing U.S. sales initiatives and market stabilization in Canada.

Premium Brands Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Premium Brands Closes Additional $22.5 Million Debenture Offering
Neutral
Mar 25, 2025

Premium Brands Holdings Corporation announced the successful closing of an additional $22.5 million in convertible unsecured subordinated debentures, following the exercise of an over-allotment option by a syndicate of underwriters. This brings the total issuance to $172.5 million, which will be used to temporarily reduce existing indebtedness and increase available credit for further financial obligations, potentially impacting the company’s financial flexibility and market positioning.

M&A TransactionsDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Premium Brands Reports Record Q4 Sales and Strategic Acquisition
Positive
Mar 21, 2025

Premium Brands Holdings Corporation reported record fourth quarter sales and adjusted EBITDA for 2024, with revenue reaching $1.64 billion, a 5.4% increase from the previous year. The company also announced the acquisition of Denmark Sausage, LLC, and declared a first quarter dividend of $0.85 per share for 2025. The strong performance was driven by significant growth in the U.S. market, particularly in protein and baked goods, although challenges persisted in the foodservice channel. The company remains optimistic about overcoming these challenges and continuing its growth trajectory.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Premium Brands Expands Financial Flexibility with Over-Allotment Option
Positive
Mar 20, 2025

Premium Brands Holdings Corporation announced the exercise of the over-allotment option related to its recent $150 million public offering of 5.50% convertible unsecured subordinated debentures. The additional $22.5 million raised will be used to temporarily reduce existing indebtedness under its revolving credit facility, thereby increasing available funds to partially pay off 4.65% convertible unsecured debentures due in April 2025. This move is expected to enhance the company’s financial flexibility and support its strategic financial management.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Premium Brands Completes $150 Million Debenture Offering to Enhance Liquidity
Positive
Mar 20, 2025

Premium Brands Holdings Corporation has successfully completed a $150 million public offering of 5.50% convertible unsecured subordinated debentures. The proceeds from this offering will be used to reduce existing indebtedness, thereby increasing available credit to fund the payout of its 4.65% debentures due in April 2025. This financial maneuver is expected to enhance the company’s liquidity and operational flexibility, potentially impacting its market positioning positively.

Private Placements and Financing
Premium Brands Files Prospectus for $150 Million Debenture Offering
Neutral
Mar 15, 2025

Premium Brands Holdings Corporation has announced the filing of a final short form prospectus for a $150 million financing of convertible unsecured subordinated debentures. This financing, co-led by major financial institutions, includes an over-allotment option that could increase total proceeds to $172.5 million, potentially impacting the company’s financial flexibility and market positioning.

Financial Disclosures
Premium Brands to Announce Q4 2024 Financial Results
Neutral
Mar 10, 2025

Premium Brands Holdings Corporation is set to release its fourth quarter 2024 financial results on March 21, 2025. The release will include management’s pre-recorded remarks, financial statements, and an investor presentation, all available on the company’s website. Additionally, a live question and answer session will be hosted by the company’s President and CEO, George Paleologou, and CFO, Will Kalutycz, providing stakeholders with an opportunity to engage directly with the company’s leadership.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Premium Brands Secures $150 Million in Convertible Debenture Financing
Positive
Mar 5, 2025

Premium Brands Holdings Corporation has announced a $150 million financing deal through the issuance of convertible unsecured subordinated debentures. The proceeds will be used to repay existing debt, fund future acquisitions, and support capital projects, enhancing the company’s financial flexibility and strategic growth opportunities.

Premium Brands Expands with New Acquisitions
Dec 30, 2024

Premium Brands Holdings Corporation has expanded its portfolio by acquiring three specialty food manufacturers: NSP Quality Meats, Casa Di Bertacchi, and Italia Salami, expecting these transactions to boost its 2025 earnings. Additionally, the company has generated significant funds through the sale and leaseback of its Washington deli meats facility.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.