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i-80 Gold Corp (TSE:IAU)
TSX:IAU

i-80 Gold Corp (IAU) AI Stock Analysis

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TSi-80 Gold Corp
(TSX:IAU)
48Neutral
i-80 Gold Corp's overall score reflects significant financial and operational challenges, with negative profitability and cash flow issues weighing heavily. While recent capital raises and an ambitious development plan provide some positive prospects, the company's current financial instability and market momentum present substantial risks, resulting in a cautious outlook.
Positive Factors
Leadership
Richard Young brings extensive financial, development, and operational expertise to i-80.
Strategic Planning
Management has initiated a two-phase recapitalization plan to generate free cash flow and reschedule or refinance existing debt obligations.
Negative Factors
Financial Challenges
The biggest risk to this new plan is the outside capital required over the next 12 months, with $300m needed to support ongoing and planned development activities as well as service debt obligations through 2027.

i-80 Gold Corp (IAU) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

i-80 Gold Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Descriptioni-80 Gold Corp (IAU) is a mining company engaged in the exploration, development, and production of gold and other precious metals. The company operates primarily in North America, with a focus on maximizing production efficiency and discovering new mineral resources. Through its strategic operations, i-80 Gold Corp aims to become a leading mid-tier gold producer by leveraging its rich portfolio of assets and advanced mining techniques.
How the Company Makes Moneyi-80 Gold Corp generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of gold and other precious metals. The company's revenue model revolves around mining operations where it explores and develops mineral-rich properties. Once the gold is extracted, it is processed and sold at market prices, which can fluctuate based on global demand and supply dynamics. Key revenue streams include the sale of mined gold and any by-products obtained during the mining process. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other mining companies or stakeholders may also contribute to its revenue by enhancing operational capabilities and expanding market reach.

i-80 Gold Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
i-80 Gold Corp faces significant profitability challenges with persistent negative margins across income statement metrics. The balance sheet indicates moderate leverage but negative returns, while cash flow issues suggest potential liquidity concerns. The company needs to focus on improving operational efficiency and cash generation to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company has shown negative profitability with a declining gross profit margin and net profit margin in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Revenue growth is volatile, and both EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, indicating operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The debt-to-equity ratio is moderate, suggesting some level of financial leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting lack of profitability. The equity ratio is stable, indicating a reasonable proportion of equity financing.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow from operations is negative, indicating potential liquidity challenges. Free cash flow has improved marginally but remains negative. The operating cash flow to net income ratio reflects weak cash flow generation relative to reported losses.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
52.94M54.91M36.96M0.000.0010.46M
Gross Profit
-13.90M-5.14M3.57M-387.00K-314.00K4.96M
EBIT
-68.97M-68.80M-68.67M111.03M-6.29M-3.89M
EBITDA
-79.61M-35.97M-62.48M-24.07M-6.06M-3.24M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-122.53M-65.20M-79.20M88.22M-12.49M-8.10M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
16.28M48.28M87.66M26.21M
Total Assets
723.69M641.96M656.35M162.25M
Total Debt
70.60M180.27M115.88M41.44M70.60M70.68M
Net Debt
70.60M164.00M67.60M-46.22M70.60M44.47M
Total Liabilities
159.77M297.43M308.55M249.37M159.77M176.36M
Stockholders Equity
426.26M333.41M406.98M-14.11M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-82.54M-94.13M-96.06M-19.02M-2.97M22.60M
Operating Cash Flow
-63.27M-54.62M-45.84M-13.01M4.62M55.53M
Investing Cash Flow
-14.76M-42.51M-54.73M-137.59M-9.38M-31.69M
Financing Cash Flow
61.39M65.16M61.43M222.90M-6.22M-4.55M

i-80 Gold Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.92
Price Trends
50DMA
0.90
Negative
100DMA
0.98
Negative
200DMA
1.21
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
39.81
Neutral
STOCH
16.70
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:IAU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.92 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.04, above the 50-day MA of 0.90, and below the 200-day MA of 1.21, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.70 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:IAU.

i-80 Gold Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (47)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSAEM
80
Outperform
$70.51B27.349.42%1.62%26.99%-6.63%
TSNGD
68
Neutral
$3.17B22.8011.14%18.32%
TSBTO
54
Neutral
$4.96B-18.54%5.99%-4.17%-318.18%
TSIAU
48
Neutral
C$348.12M-27.79%31.32%8.28%
47
Neutral
$2.64B-4.00-31.55%3.33%2.93%-29.90%
TSG
27
Underperform
$85.93M-24.84%-128.74%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:IAU
i-80 Gold Corp
0.92
-1.16
-55.77%
TSE:NGD
New Gold
4.01
1.82
83.11%
TSE:BTO
B2Gold
3.90
0.60
18.33%
TSE:AEM
Agnico Eagle
140.20
67.01
91.55%
TSE:G
Augusta Gold
1.00
0.06
6.38%

i-80 Gold Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Nov 12, 2024 | % Change Since: -26.98% | Next Earnings Date: Mar 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook with a strong new development plan and promising ore reconciliation results. However, the company faces significant financial challenges, including balance sheet constraints and operational issues at Granite Creek. While the strategic plan is ambitious and positions the company for future growth, immediate financial and operational hurdles present substantial risks.
Highlights
New Development Plan
The company introduced a new development plan focused on ramping up, permitting, and developing five gold deposits, including three underground mines and two large oxide open pit deposits. This is expected to transform the company into a mid-tier gold producer by the early 2030s.
Positive Ore Control Reconciliation
At Granite Creek, the ore control reconciliation showed positive results with more tons (+40%), better grade (+37%), and more ounces (+90%) than initially planned.
Potential of Mineral Point
Mineral Point is anticipated to become a flagship mine with a large gold and silver resource and has the potential for multi-hundred thousand ounce production at solid costs.
Organizational Strengthening
The company has promoted four senior technical personnel and hired four new senior positions to support the new development plan and reduce execution risk.
Lowlights
Balance Sheet Constraints
The company is facing significant balance sheet constraints and requires recapitalization, as current cash flows do not match debt obligations.
Granite Creek Dewatering Issues
Production at Granite Creek was negatively impacted due to groundwater ingress, necessitating additional pumping capacity and delaying positive cash flow until late 2025 or early 2026.
Decreased Revenue
Quarterly revenue decreased to $11.5 million from $13.2 million in the previous year, driven by lower volumes sold despite higher gold prices.
Termination of Ruby Hill Joint Venture Discussions
The company terminated joint venture discussions for Ruby Hill, which were seen as potentially impacting the advancement of existing gold deposits and balance sheet restructuring.
Company Guidance
During the i-80 Gold Corp. earnings call for Q3 2024, the executives provided comprehensive guidance on the company's strategic direction and financial outlook. They outlined a new development plan to transform i-80 Gold into a mid-tier gold producer, targeting annual production of 400,000 to 500,000 ounces by the early 2030s. The plan includes ramping up and developing five gold projects, with a focus on near-term cash flow generation. The projects include three underground mines and two large oxide open-pit deposits, emphasizing low capital intensity and leveraging existing infrastructure. Financially, i-80 Gold is engaged in a two-step recapitalization process to align debt obligations with cash flow capabilities, with the goal of completing this process by Q1 2025. The third quarter saw revenues of $11.5 million, with gold sales totaling 3,063 ounces at an average realized price of $2,422 per ounce. The company recorded a loss per share of $0.10, attributed to derivative losses and increased costs. i-80 Gold ended the quarter with $21.8 million in cash, down $26 million from the previous quarter, and is actively managing its capital requirements to support its development strategy.

i-80 Gold Corp Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
i-80 Gold Corp. Completes C$22.57 Million Prospectus Offering
Positive
Jan 31, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp. has successfully closed its upsized prospectus offering, raising approximately C$22.57 million through the issuance of over 28 million common shares. This capital raise is aimed at supporting the company’s strategic objectives, potentially enhancing its position within the gold mining industry and creating value for stakeholders by expanding its operations in Nevada.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
i-80 Gold Upsizes Share Offering to Bolster Growth
Positive
Jan 27, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp. has filed a prospectus supplement for an upsized offering of common shares, aiming to raise up to C$29 million. This offering, increased from US$10 million to US$20 million, is expected to close by January 31, 2025, and is pending regulatory approvals. Concurrently, a private placement involving key company insiders is set to raise additional funds, with proceeds earmarked for working capital and corporate purposes. This financial maneuver is part of i-80 Gold’s broader strategy to strengthen its operational and market position as it progresses towards becoming a mid-tier Nevada gold producer.

i-80 Gold Corp. Prices Prospectus Offering to Advance Nevada Projects
Jan 17, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp. has announced the pricing of its prospectus offering of common shares, set at C$0.80, intended to raise US$10,000,000. The proceeds will support the development of the company’s projects in Nevada and facilitate the second phase of its recapitalization plan. The offering is subject to regulatory approvals and customary closing conditions, and no commission or finder’s fee will be paid. This move is part of i-80 Gold’s strategy to enhance its positioning in the Nevada gold mining sector as a mid-tier producer.

i-80 Gold Amends Credit Agreement and Launches Financing Initiative
Jan 16, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp. has successfully amended and restated its convertible credit agreement with Orion Mine Finance, including extending the maturity date and issuing five million common share purchase warrants. This move is part of i-80 Gold’s broader recapitalization plan, which includes a US$10 million financing initiative to fund Nevada project developments and support working capital, with significant participation anticipated from major shareholders.

i-80 Gold Advances Recapitalization with Debenture Amendments
Jan 13, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp. has reached an agreement with certain convertible debenture holders to amend the terms of its convertible debentures, marking a significant step in the second phase of its recapitalization plan. These amendments, which include adjustments to conversion prices, aim to facilitate the company’s financial restructuring efforts, expected to be completed by the first quarter of 2025, thereby potentially enhancing its operational stability and market positioning.

i-80 Gold Corp’s Strategic Recapitalization Moves
Jan 2, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp has deferred its December gold and January silver deliveries to March 2025 as part of a strategic recapitalization plan. The company is working with financial partners to restructure debt and develop its Nevada gold projects, aiming to become a mid-tier producer. Key developments include planned economic assessments for its projects and an updated mineral resource report.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.