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i-80 Gold Corp (TSE:IAU)
TSX:IAU

i-80 Gold Corp (IAU) AI Stock Analysis

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i-80 Gold Corp

(TSX:IAU)

45Neutral
i-80 Gold Corp's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, highlighted by negative profitability and cash flow metrics. Despite strategic initiatives and positive corporate events, the financial instability, bearish technical indicators, and unattractive valuation weigh heavily on the score. While there are steps towards future growth, the immediate financial and operational hurdles are substantial.
Positive Factors
Company Strategy
Management has initiated a two-phase recapitalization plan to generate free cash flow and reschedule or refinance existing debt obligations.
Leadership
Richard Young brings extensive financial, development, and operational expertise to i-80.
Negative Factors
Asset Value
The company's NAV has decreased by 30% to $2.16/sh, indicating a significant drop in asset value.
Funding Challenges
The biggest risk to this new plan is the outside capital required, with $300m needed to support ongoing and planned development activities as well as service debt obligations.
Production Challenges
Gold sales of 3.063koz fell below the estimate due to underground water issues.

i-80 Gold Corp (IAU) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

i-80 Gold Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Descriptioni-80 Gold Corp., a mining company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of gold and silver mineral deposits in the United States. It holds a 100% interest in the Lone Tree property covering an area of approximately 12,000 acres located in Battle Mountain-Eureka, Northern Nevada; Ruby Hill property located in Battle Mountain Trend, Northern Nevada; McCoy-Cove project covering 31,000 acres located in Battle Mountain Trend, Nevada; and Buffalo Mountain property located in Battle Mountain Trend, Northern Nevada as well as controls Granite Creek Project located in Getchell Trend, Northern Nevada. The company was incorporated in 2020 and is headquartered in Reno, Nevada.
How the Company Makes Moneyi-80 Gold Corp generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of gold and other precious metals. The company's revenue model revolves around mining operations where it explores and develops mineral-rich properties. Once the gold is extracted, it is processed and sold at market prices, which can fluctuate based on global demand and supply dynamics. Key revenue streams include the sale of mined gold and any by-products obtained during the mining process. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other mining companies or stakeholders may also contribute to its revenue by enhancing operational capabilities and expanding market reach.

i-80 Gold Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
i-80 Gold Corp faces significant profitability challenges with persistent negative margins across income statement metrics. The balance sheet indicates moderate leverage but negative returns, while cash flow issues suggest potential liquidity concerns. The company needs to focus on improving operational efficiency and cash generation to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company has shown negative profitability with a declining gross profit margin and net profit margin in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Revenue growth is volatile, and both EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, indicating operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The debt-to-equity ratio is moderate, suggesting some level of financial leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting lack of profitability. The equity ratio is stable, indicating a reasonable proportion of equity financing.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow from operations is negative, indicating potential liquidity challenges. Free cash flow has improved marginally but remains negative. The operating cash flow to net income ratio reflects weak cash flow generation relative to reported losses.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
52.94M54.91M36.96M0.000.0010.46M
Gross Profit
-13.90M-5.14M3.57M-387.00K-314.00K4.96M
EBIT
-68.97M-68.80M-68.67M111.03M-6.29M-3.89M
EBITDA
-79.61M-35.97M-62.48M-24.07M-6.06M-3.24M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-122.53M-65.20M-79.20M88.22M-12.49M-8.10M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
16.28M48.28M87.66M26.21M
Total Assets
723.69M641.96M656.35M162.25M
Total Debt
70.60M180.27M115.88M41.44M70.60M70.68M
Net Debt
70.60M164.00M67.60M-46.22M70.60M44.47M
Total Liabilities
159.77M297.43M308.55M249.37M159.77M176.36M
Stockholders Equity
426.26M333.41M406.98M-14.11M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-82.54M-94.13M-96.06M-19.02M-2.97M22.60M
Operating Cash Flow
-63.27M-54.62M-45.84M-13.01M4.62M55.53M
Investing Cash Flow
-14.76M-42.51M-54.73M-137.59M-9.38M-31.69M
Financing Cash Flow
61.39M65.16M61.43M222.90M-6.22M-4.55M

i-80 Gold Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.76
Price Trends
50DMA
0.95
Negative
100DMA
0.88
Positive
200DMA
1.14
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
35.04
Neutral
STOCH
7.96
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:IAU, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.76 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.88, below the 50-day MA of 0.95, and below the 200-day MA of 1.14, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.96 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:IAU.

i-80 Gold Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (47)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
47
Neutral
$2.44B-2.84-22.09%3.51%4.02%-28.91%
TSIAU
45
Neutral
C$323.65M-30.59%-6.60%-35.75%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:IAU
i-80 Gold Corp
0.88
-0.75
-46.01%
AEM
Agnico Eagle
117.65
57.40
95.27%
NGD
New Gold
3.57
1.77
98.33%
BTG
B2Gold
3.06
0.32
11.68%
AUGG
Augusta Gold
0.67
-0.16
-19.28%

i-80 Gold Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Apr 1, 2025 | % Change Since: -10.59% | Next Earnings Date: May 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mix of positive strategic developments, such as new project assessments and financing initiatives, alongside production challenges and financial reporting adjustments. While there are significant positive steps towards future growth, current operational challenges and financial losses present a balanced view.
Highlights
New Development Plan and Economic Assessments
i-80 Gold Corp. announced a new development plan for its portfolio of three underground and two open pit gold projects. Preliminary economic assessments for these projects have been filed, indicating a combined net present value of $1.6 billion at $2,175 per ounce and $4.5 billion at $2,900 per ounce.
Safety and Environmental Compliance
The company achieved a loss time injury frequency rate of 1.27 and maintained a clean environmental record with no violation notices, marking the fourth consecutive year of compliance.
Financing Initiatives
i-80 Gold Corp. entered into new financial arrangements with National Bank of Canada and Aramet International to enhance liquidity and balance sheet flexibility, including a new gold and silver purchase agreement and a working capital facility for up to $12 million.
Production and Future Outlook
For 2025, the company expects to produce between 30,000 and 40,000 ounces of gold, with Granite Creek Underground contributing between 20,000 to 30,000 ounces and heap leach operations contributing approximately 10,000 ounces.
Lowlights
Production Challenges at Granite Creek
Granite Creek Underground mined approximately 38,000 ounces of gold or 71% of the internal target, with production 60% lower than planned due to higher than anticipated water ingress delaying progress on the main decline.
Financial Reporting Adjustments
Transition to US GAAP resulted in adjustments, including a capitalization reversal of $80 million for underground development work, and a reclassification of $13.8 million from equity to noncurrent liabilities.
Net Loss Position
The company concluded both the quarter and the full year in a net loss position due to ongoing development expenditures and lower volumes sold, despite higher average realized gold prices.
Company Guidance
During the 2024 fourth quarter call, i-80 Gold Corp. provided guidance on their development plans and financial outlook. They announced the filing of preliminary economic assessments for five gold projects, with a combined net present value ranging from $1.6 billion at a gold price of $2,175 per ounce to $4.5 billion at $2,900 per ounce. They aim to produce between 30,000 to 40,000 ounces of gold in 2025, with significant contributions expected from the Granite Creek Underground and heap leach operations at Ruby Hill and Lone Tree. The company is advancing feasibility studies and a recapitalization plan, which includes potential senior debt facilities and other financing options. The anticipated capital expenditure for refurbishment of an autoclave is included, reflecting changes in toll milling agreements. Operationally, they achieved a loss time injury frequency rate of 1.27 and maintained a clean environmental record. Financially, i-80 transitioned to US GAAP reporting, with a net loss due to ongoing development activities. They secured new financing arrangements with National Bank of Canada and Aramet International to support near-term liquidity. The company targets producing 400,000 to 500,000 ounces per year by the early 2030s, emphasizing improvements in project economics and strategic planning for continued growth.

i-80 Gold Corp Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
i-80 Gold Corp. Announces Executive Transition as COO Steps Down
Neutral
Apr 11, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp. announced that Matthew Gili, the President and Chief Operating Officer, will be stepping down from his role, with CEO Richard Young assuming the President position temporarily. Gili, who has been instrumental since the company’s inception in 2021, contributed significantly to advancing the company’s projects, including the Granite Creek Underground project. The company has initiated a search for a new COO to continue its growth trajectory and maintain its development timelines, ensuring the transition does not disrupt its strategic objectives.

Spark’s Take on TSE:IAU Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:IAU is a Neutral.

i-80 Gold Corp’s overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, highlighted by negative profitability and cash flow metrics. Despite strategic initiatives and positive corporate events, the financial instability, bearish technical indicators, and unattractive valuation weigh heavily on the score. While there are steps towards future growth, the immediate financial and operational hurdles are substantial.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:IAU stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
i-80 Gold Corp. Files Technical Reports for Key Nevada Projects
Positive
Apr 1, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp. has filed independent technical reports for its Cove, Ruby Hill, Granite Creek, and Lone Tree projects in Nevada. These reports, prepared in accordance with industry standards, support the company’s disclosures and highlight the economic potential of its mineral resources, reinforcing its strategic position in the gold mining industry.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
i-80 Gold Corp Reports 2024 Results and Strategic Developments
Neutral
Apr 1, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp reported its financial and operational results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, highlighting a strategic shift with a new development plan and recapitalization initiatives. The company aims to ramp up its Granite Creek Underground Project and strengthen its balance sheet to support growth. Despite lower revenue due to decreased sales volumes, the company has initiated a recapitalization plan and updated Preliminary Economic Assessments for its projects, positioning itself for future growth and improved economic outcomes.

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
i-80 Gold Corp. Updates Reporting Schedule for 2024
Neutral
Mar 26, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp. has announced an updated schedule for filing its technical reports and financial results for Q4 and the full year 2024. The company will file eight technical reports, including those for its Lone Tree property, on March 31, 2025, in compliance with relevant regulations. Additionally, as a new US domestic issuer, i-80 Gold will transition from IFRS to US GAAP and file its Form 10-K on the same date. A conference call and webcast to discuss the financial results will be held on April 1, 2025. This announcement underscores i-80 Gold’s commitment to transparency and regulatory compliance as it continues to develop its gold projects in Nevada.

Business Operations and Strategy
i-80 Gold Corp. Secures Key Processing Agreements to Boost Operations
Positive
Mar 19, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp. has finalized two third-party processing agreements for toll milling and ore sales of refractory and oxide material, effective until December 31, 2027. These agreements are crucial for advancing the development of two of the company’s underground gold mines and the refurbishment of its Lone Tree autoclave facility, which is expected to become the central processing hub for its mining operations. The completion of these agreements supports i-80 Gold’s strategic growth and operational efficiency in the competitive Nevada gold mining industry.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
i-80 Gold Corp. Ends Equity Program, Prepares Economic Assessments for Gold Projects
Neutral
Mar 12, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp. announced the expiration of its at-the-market equity program, which was initially set up to provide financial flexibility for growth. The company remains in a trading blackout and is engaging with debt providers to advance its recapitalization plan, aiming to maximize shareholder value. Additionally, i-80 Gold plans to file Preliminary Economic Assessments for its five gold projects by the end of March 2025, highlighting the significant value of its gold portfolio.

Business Operations and Strategy
i-80 Gold Corp Reports Positive Economic Assessment for Granite Creek Project
Positive
Mar 5, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp has announced a positive preliminary economic assessment for its Granite Creek Underground Project in Nevada, projecting significant economic potential with an after-tax NPV of $155 million at a gold price of $2,175/oz. The project is expected to produce an average of 60,000 ounces of gold annually over its eight-year mine life, with substantial resource growth potential. The company plans to enhance production and cash flow by refurbishing its Lone Tree autoclave by 2028, which will improve gold recovery rates. The project is strategically located near major gold complexes, offering extensive exploration opportunities.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
i-80 Gold Advances Recapitalization with Key Amendments and Placement
Positive
Mar 1, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp has completed amendments to its $65 million convertible debenture indenture and closed a concurrent private placement, as part of its recapitalization plan. These steps are aimed at improving the company’s liquidity and refinancing flexibility, aligning its capital structure with its long-term growth and development plans. The amendments include revised conversion price definitions, subordinate security rights, and a redemption right for the company.

Business Operations and Strategy
i-80 Gold Corp. to Host Investor Day on March 6, 2025
Neutral
Feb 27, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp. has announced an Investor Day event scheduled for March 6, 2025, in Toronto, where the company will present its growth strategy and recapitalization plan. This event, which includes a live webcast and Q&A sessions with the management team, aims to provide insights into the company’s future direction and its portfolio of gold projects, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder interests.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
i-80 Gold Corp Announces Positive Economic Assessment for Cove Project
Positive
Feb 21, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp has announced a positive updated Preliminary Economic Assessment (PEA) for its Cove Project in Nevada, indicating a strong potential for integration into the company’s broader mining strategy. The updated 2025 PEA shows an after-tax NPV of $271 million and an after-tax IRR of 30%, suggesting significant profitability at a gold price of $2,175/oz. This development marks a pivotal step in i-80 Gold’s regional strategy, with plans to later update assessments for other projects. The project has a life of mine of approximately 8 years, with expected annual gold production of 100,000 ounces and substantial economic benefits under varying market conditions.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
i-80 Gold Corp Unveils Promising Economic Assessment for Nevada’s Mineral Point Project
Positive
Feb 21, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp has announced positive results from the preliminary economic assessment (PEA) of its Mineral Point Open Pit Project located in the Ruby Hill Complex in Nevada. The project is expected to become a flagship asset, offering significant production scale with an estimated life of mine of 17 years and an annual production of approximately 280,000 ounces of gold equivalent. With an after-tax NPV of $614 million and an IRR of 12% based on a gold price of $2,175/oz, the project demonstrates robust economic potential. The company plans to fund the project through a combination of cash flow from existing operations and a corporate debt facility, aiming to enhance its industry positioning as a mid-tier gold producer.

Business Operations and Strategy
i-80 Gold Corp Reports Positive Economic Assessment for Archimedes Project
Positive
Feb 18, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp announced a positive Preliminary Economic Assessment (PEA) for its Archimedes Underground Project in Nevada, revealing a significant potential contribution to the company’s hub-and-spoke strategy. The project boasts a 10-year mine life with an estimated annual production of 100,000 ounces of gold and highlights the company’s leverage to gold prices. With an after-tax NPV of $127 million and an IRR of 23% at a gold price of $2,175/oz, the project is set to enhance i-80 Gold’s regional positioning despite higher costs and lower grades compared to other projects.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
i-80 Gold’s Cove Project Shows Strong Economic Potential in Updated Assessment
Positive
Feb 12, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp has released an updated Preliminary Economic Assessment (PEA) for its Cove Project in Nevada, indicating a robust financial outlook with an after-tax NPV of $271 million and an IRR of 30% at a gold price of $2,175/oz. This update reflects improved mining geometry, revised costs, and precious metal pricing, enhancing the company’s position in the mining industry. The assessment underscores the potential for the Cove Project to become a significant contributor to the company’s regional mining strategy, with plans to integrate high-grade material from multiple mines into a central processing facility. The PEA also highlights the project’s long-term viability, with a mine life of approximately 8 years and potential for extension through further exploration.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
i-80 Gold Corp. Completes C$22.57 Million Prospectus Offering
Positive
Jan 31, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp. has successfully closed its upsized prospectus offering, raising approximately C$22.57 million through the issuance of over 28 million common shares. This capital raise is aimed at supporting the company’s strategic objectives, potentially enhancing its position within the gold mining industry and creating value for stakeholders by expanding its operations in Nevada.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
i-80 Gold Upsizes Share Offering to Bolster Growth
Positive
Jan 27, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp. has filed a prospectus supplement for an upsized offering of common shares, aiming to raise up to C$29 million. This offering, increased from US$10 million to US$20 million, is expected to close by January 31, 2025, and is pending regulatory approvals. Concurrently, a private placement involving key company insiders is set to raise additional funds, with proceeds earmarked for working capital and corporate purposes. This financial maneuver is part of i-80 Gold’s broader strategy to strengthen its operational and market position as it progresses towards becoming a mid-tier Nevada gold producer.

i-80 Gold Corp. Prices Prospectus Offering to Advance Nevada Projects
Jan 17, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp. has announced the pricing of its prospectus offering of common shares, set at C$0.80, intended to raise US$10,000,000. The proceeds will support the development of the company’s projects in Nevada and facilitate the second phase of its recapitalization plan. The offering is subject to regulatory approvals and customary closing conditions, and no commission or finder’s fee will be paid. This move is part of i-80 Gold’s strategy to enhance its positioning in the Nevada gold mining sector as a mid-tier producer.

i-80 Gold Amends Credit Agreement and Launches Financing Initiative
Jan 16, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp. has successfully amended and restated its convertible credit agreement with Orion Mine Finance, including extending the maturity date and issuing five million common share purchase warrants. This move is part of i-80 Gold’s broader recapitalization plan, which includes a US$10 million financing initiative to fund Nevada project developments and support working capital, with significant participation anticipated from major shareholders.

i-80 Gold Advances Recapitalization with Debenture Amendments
Jan 13, 2025

i-80 Gold Corp. has reached an agreement with certain convertible debenture holders to amend the terms of its convertible debentures, marking a significant step in the second phase of its recapitalization plan. These amendments, which include adjustments to conversion prices, aim to facilitate the company’s financial restructuring efforts, expected to be completed by the first quarter of 2025, thereby potentially enhancing its operational stability and market positioning.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.