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Knight Therapeutics (TSE:GUD)
TSX:GUD

Knight Therapeutics (GUD) AI Stock Analysis

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Knight Therapeutics

(TSX:GUD)

59Neutral
Knight Therapeutics' stock score is driven by mixed financial performance with revenue growth offset by profitability challenges. A strong balance sheet provides stability, while technical analysis indicates slight positive momentum. Valuation metrics are weak due to negative earnings. The earnings call adds some optimism with highlighted revenue growth and strategic initiatives, though tempered by margin declines and currency issues.
Positive Factors
Future Outlook
Mid-term outlook for Knight Therapeutics is strengthening.
Product Performance
Oncology/hematology product sales grew 18% to $36.8M driven by continued growth of key promoted products.
Revenue Growth
Knight reported 3Q-2024 results that beat consensus revenue estimates, with revenues growing 13% year over year.
Negative Factors
Product Sales
Declining sales of mature innovative and branded generic products.
Profitability
EBITDA margin was lower despite the revenue growth.

Knight Therapeutics (GUD) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Knight Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKnight Therapeutics Inc. (GUD) is a Canadian-based specialty pharmaceutical company focused on acquiring, in-licensing, and commercializing innovative pharmaceutical products for the Canadian and select international markets. The company operates in the healthcare sector, offering a portfolio of prescription and over-the-counter medicines that address unmet medical needs.
How the Company Makes MoneyKnight Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through the sale of its pharmaceutical products. The company acquires and in-licenses innovative drugs and medical products, subsequently managing their regulatory approval, marketing, and distribution within targeted markets. Key revenue streams include the sales of branded and specialty pharmaceuticals, leveraging partnerships with other pharmaceutical companies to expand its product offerings. Knight Therapeutics' earnings are significantly influenced by its ability to successfully commercialize its portfolio and establish strategic partnerships to enhance market reach and product accessibility.

Knight Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Knight Therapeutics shows a mixed financial picture. Revenue growth is positive, but profitability is challenged by consistent net losses. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, but declining free cash flow and negative net income are concerns. Improvements in cost management and operational efficiency are needed.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company has shown revenue growth with a 6.23% increase from the previous year. However, profitability metrics such as the net profit margin and EBIT margin are concerning, with a negative net income of -$30.73M for the TTM period. Gross profit margin for the TTM is 38.59%, which indicates some ability to cover the cost of goods sold but is not translating into net profits.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity base with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.08, indicating low leverage. The equity ratio stands at 80.42%, suggesting financial stability. However, the return on equity is negative due to the net loss, limiting the overall effectiveness of the equity.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Free cash flow has decreased from the previous year, with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -53.9%. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating that operating cash flow is robust relative to the net loss. The company demonstrates some ability to generate cash from operations despite profitability challenges.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
348.64M328.20M293.56M243.48M199.52M47.46M
Gross Profit
134.61M152.65M138.06M115.41M81.69M26.92M
EBIT
10.33M-2.89M-2.40M-5.32M-3.44M13.99M
EBITDA
30.98M40.90M25.26M42.59M67.56M27.16M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-30.73M-16.84M-29.89M15.68M31.76M14.52M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
703.82M154.42M191.22M162.99M411.34M430.62M
Total Assets
1.05B945.49M1.05B991.89M1.04B1.31B
Total Debt
0.0069.09M77.70M40.96M56.19M62.18M
Net Debt
-244.78M10.33M6.02M-45.01M-173.40M-107.09M
Total Liabilities
21.80M198.62M228.98M149.87M153.44M390.20M
Stockholders Equity
1.03B746.87M825.86M842.02M886.24M810.73M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
11.98M25.98M14.66M-179.56M-32.87M1.65M
Operating Cash Flow
43.06M35.94M40.48M44.62M-12.21M4.60M
Investing Cash Flow
-7.37M29.34M-63.08M-105.28M101.35M-11.86M
Financing Cash Flow
-43.10M-81.00M1.76M-78.31M-29.23M-62.80M

Knight Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.00
Price Trends
50DMA
5.55
Positive
100DMA
5.46
Positive
200DMA
5.60
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
70.29
Negative
STOCH
35.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GUD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.60, above the 50-day MA of 5.55, and above the 200-day MA of 5.60, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.29 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:GUD.

Knight Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (49)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSNEO
67
Neutral
C$322.89M-0.53%5.15%-21.32%82.85%
TSMBX
66
Neutral
C$51.95M25.706.85%2.72%-47.79%
TSHLS
63
Neutral
C$124.63M-24.49%-8.60%21.06%
TSGUD
59
Neutral
$598.29M-3.84%3.87%-378.27%
49
Neutral
$6.90B-0.08-53.01%2.43%24.84%-3.06%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:GUD
Knight Therapeutics
6.00
0.72
13.64%
TSE:HLS
HLS Therapeutics Inc
3.92
-0.42
-9.68%
TSE:NEO
Neo Performance Materials Inc
7.73
1.18
18.02%
TSE:MBX
Microbix Biosystms
0.36
-0.02
-5.26%

Knight Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Nov 7, 2024 | % Change Since: 4.53% | Next Earnings Date: Mar 20, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted record revenue growth and successful product launches, along with a strong pipeline. However, challenges such as declining gross margins, decreased adjusted EBITDA, and currency depreciation were noted.
Highlights
Record Revenue and Growth
For the 9 months ended September 30, 2024, Knight Therapeutics delivered record revenues of over $271 million and adjusted EBITDA of over $42 million, with a growth of 17% on a constant currency basis driven by key products.
Successful Product Launches and Pipeline Advancements
The company launched Imvexxy and Bijuva in Canada, Minjuvi in Brazil, and received regulatory approval for Minjuvi in Mexico. The pipeline has been expanded with 18 products expected to generate over $150 million in revenue.
Revenue Growth in Key Segments
Oncology and hematology portfolio revenues grew by 18%, and the infectious disease portfolio grew by 16% compared to the same period last year.
Financial Assets Gain
Knight recorded a total net unrealized gain of $11.7 million on financial assets, driven by the revaluation of Synergy shares following their IPO.
Lowlights
Gross Margin Decline
Gross margin decreased to 47% of revenues from 52% in the same period last year, primarily due to product mix changes.
Decrease in Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 13% in the third quarter compared to last year, impacted by higher operating expenses from new product launches.
Currency Depreciation Impact
Foreign exchange depreciation impacted results, with a 7-13% depreciation against the Canadian dollar in Q3 2024 compared to Q3 2023.
Company Guidance
During the Knight Therapeutics Q3 2024 earnings call, the company highlighted robust financial performance and strategic initiatives. For the nine months ending September 30, 2024, Knight reported record revenues of over $271 million and adjusted EBITDA of over $42 million, with a growth of 17% in their innovative promoted portfolio on a constant currency basis. Key products driving this growth included Lenvima, Trelstar, AKYNZEO, and Cresemba, alongside recent launches like Imvexxy and Bijuva in Canada and Minjuvi in Brazil. The company also reported purchasing 437,500 common shares at an average price of $5.65 under their NCIB. The Q3 2024 revenues were over $91 million, a 12% increase from the previous year, with oncology and hematology revenues contributing approximately $37 million, a growth of 18%. Knight's infectious disease portfolio saw revenues of around $34 million, a 16% increase, primarily due to AmBisome orders and Cresemba's growth. Despite currency headwinds, the company maintains its 2024 guidance of $355 million to $365 million in revenues, with adjusted EBITDA expected to be approximately 16% of revenues.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.