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Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd. (TSE:GLXY)
TSX:GLXY

Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY) AI Stock Analysis

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Galaxy Digital Holdings

(TSX:GLXY)

63Neutral
Galaxy Digital Holdings presents a mixed outlook. Strong profitability and strategic growth initiatives contrast with financial stability concerns and technical indicators suggesting potential stock price weakness. Legal settlements and anticipated short-term losses add risk, while the company's valuation appears reasonable. Strategic expansions into AI and regulatory developments are promising, but market volatility remains a key challenge.
Positive Factors
Profitability
The company expects to realize adjusted EBITDA margins of 90% or higher on the revenue it generates from the CoreWeave agreement.
Revenue Growth
Galaxy Digital Holdings signed a 15-year lease agreement with CoreWeave to provide 133 MW of data center capacity, expecting to generate ~$4.5bn of revenue over the agreement’s term.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Management guided to a pre-tax loss in the quarter of ~$300M at the midpoint.
Legal Issues
GLXY reached an agreement with the New York State Attorney General to make $200m in installment payments through 2028 to settle civil claims related to promoting Terraform Labs' Luna cryptocurrency.

Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Galaxy Digital Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGalaxy Digital Holdings Ltd. is a diversified financial services and investment management company focused on the digital asset, cryptocurrency, and blockchain technology sectors. The company operates through multiple business lines, including trading, asset management, principal investments, and advisory services. Galaxy Digital is known for its expertise in blockchain technology and its active involvement in the development and growth of the digital asset ecosystem.
How the Company Makes MoneyGalaxy Digital Holdings generates revenue through several key streams. Its trading division engages in proprietary trading and market making activities in digital assets, earning profits from buying and selling cryptocurrency. The asset management sector manages a portfolio of digital asset investment funds, earning fees based on assets under management and performance. Principal investments involve deploying capital directly into promising blockchain and cryptocurrency ventures, generating returns through strategic exits. Additionally, the advisory services division provides consulting and strategic guidance to businesses within the digital asset space, earning fees for their expertise. Significant partnerships with other financial institutions and technology firms enhance Galaxy Digital's ability to access new opportunities and expand its market presence.

Galaxy Digital Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Galaxy Digital Holdings shows strong revenue growth and high profitability with a robust balance sheet characterized by substantial equity and zero debt. However, negative cash flows suggest liquidity challenges, and operational efficiency requires improvement, as indicated by the negative EBIT margin.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
The company's TTM revenue stands at $280.5 million, indicating a significant increase from previous periods with zero revenue, reflecting strong growth. The net profit margin is exceptionally high at 364%, driven by a notable TTM net income of $1.02 billion. However, EBIT margin is negative at -2.6%, suggesting operational challenges. EBITDA margin is strong at 113.7%, alleviating some concerns about operational profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a robust equity position with a debt-free structure, as indicated by a debt-to-equity ratio of 0. The equity ratio is healthy at 90.7%, providing stability. Return on equity (ROE) is substantial at 106.4%, driven by high net income, indicating effective use of equity. The overall financial health appears stable and well-capitalized.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The company reports negative operating cash flow of -$17.8 million in the TTM period, indicating cash constraints. Free cash flow is also negative, suggesting potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash conversion challenges. Despite this, financing cash flow is positive, possibly due to external financing activities.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
280.46M0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit
173.15M0.000.000.000.000.00
EBIT
-7.17M493.26M256.04M-6.78M12.42M137.07M
EBITDA
319.06M493.24M-460.77M-4.25M-1.90M-132.52M
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.02B454.76K-522.68M402.08M103.39M-270.88M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.34M833.00K10.05M26.82M0.000.00
Total Assets
1.41M875.24M394.27M888.78M267.77M81.04M
Total Debt
0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Net Debt
-1.34M-833.00K-10.05M-26.82M0.000.00
Total Liabilities
20.98K94.20M94.97M102.48M20.78M0.00
Stockholders Equity
1.39M781.03M299.31M786.29M246.99M81.04M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-17.79M-16.52M-76.77M-19.55M103.39M-169.00
Operating Cash Flow
-17.79M-16.52M-76.77M-19.55M103.39M-169.00
Investing Cash Flow
-64.16M6.86M107.40M12.24M-49.28M0.00
Financing Cash Flow
112.09M439.00K-47.40M34.13M49.28M0.00

Galaxy Digital Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price14.35
Price Trends
50DMA
20.62
Negative
100DMA
23.95
Negative
200DMA
20.43
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.62
Negative
RSI
30.82
Neutral
STOCH
7.94
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GLXY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.42, below the 50-day MA of 20.62, and below the 200-day MA of 20.43, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.62 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 30.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.94 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:GLXY.

Galaxy Digital Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$13.46B9.449.34%4.72%16.14%-8.80%
63
Neutral
$5.26B15.118.74%-82.47%
52
Neutral
$343.06M-2.15%27.99%90.99%
TSHUT
49
Neutral
C$1.85B3.512.56%199.41%
46
Neutral
$42.68M-15.61%17.68%-278.21%
38
Underperform
C$6.66M-41.72%-19.38%78.11%
36
Underperform
$618.42M-11.98%33.77%61.73%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:GLXY
Galaxy Digital Holdings
14.35
0.80
5.90%
TSE:HIVE
HIVE Digital Technologies
2.00
-2.10
-51.22%
TSE:DMGI
DMG Blockchain Solutions
0.20
-0.33
-62.26%
TSE:BITF
Bitfarms
1.09
-1.53
-58.40%
TSE:CSTR
CryptoStar Corp
0.02
-0.02
-50.00%
TSE:HUT
Hut 8
16.40
5.32
48.01%

Galaxy Digital Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 28, 2025 | % Change Since: -17.72% | Next Earnings Date: May 20, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Galaxy Digital reported a strong performance in 2024 with significant growth in its operating businesses and expansion into AI data centers. However, the positive results were offset by legal settlement charges and challenges in the crypto market affecting Q1 2025. The company is optimistic about the future despite short-term market volatility.
Highlights
Record Operating Business Performance in 2024
Galaxy Digital achieved over $400 million in operating revenue, marking the first year of profitability for its combined operating businesses.
AI Data Center Expansion with CoreWeave
Galaxy Digital announced a transformative 15-year lease agreement with CoreWeave to develop one of the largest AI data centers in the U.S., expected to generate $4.5 billion in revenue over the term.
Strong Growth in Trading and Lending
The markets business generated $250 million in counterparty trading and advisory revenue, a 107% increase from 2023. The lending business saw a 72% growth year-over-year.
Significant Growth in Staking Business
Galaxy's staking business grew from $240 million to $4.2 billion in assets under stake, with a 147% increase in net blockchain rewards quarter-over-quarter.
Launch of New Investment Products
The company launched two crypto ETFs with Invesco and two ETPs with DWS, along with a new crypto venture fund raising nearly $150 million.
Lowlights
Legal Settlement with New York Attorney General
Galaxy Digital incurred a $166 million charge from a legal settlement with the New York Attorney General, impacting net income.
Q1 2025 Preliminary Loss
Galaxy expects a pretax loss between $275 million and $325 million in Q1 2025 due to increased crypto market volatility and reduced digital asset values.
Challenges in Crypto Asset Valuation
Crypto market volatility in Q1 2025 led to reduced client activity, lower assets under management, and reduced value of net digital assets held on the balance sheet.
Transitioning Bitcoin Mining Operations
Galaxy is discontinuing mining activity at its Helios campus in Q2 2025, which may lead to short-term revenue impacts as it transitions to AI data centers.
Company Guidance
In the Galaxy Digital Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Call, CEO Mike Novogratz highlighted the company's significant achievements and challenges. Galaxy Digital reported over $400 million in revenue and a net income of $365 million or $1.02 per diluted share for the year, despite a $166 million legal settlement with the New York Attorney General. Excluding the settlement, net income was $532 million or $1.49 per share. The firm also ended 2024 with $7.2 billion in total assets and $2.3 billion in equity capital. The company observed notable growth in its markets and lending businesses, with the markets business generating $250 million in revenue, a 107% increase from the previous year. Additionally, Galaxy announced a significant 15-year lease agreement with CoreWeave to develop one of the largest AI data centers in the U.S., expected to generate $4.5 billion in revenue over the term. Looking ahead, Novogratz expressed optimism about the potential impacts of regulatory changes under the Trump administration, including stablecoin legislation and expanded cryptocurrency regulations, anticipating these could positively influence the market.

Galaxy Digital Holdings Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesShareholder MeetingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Galaxy Digital Moves Forward with U.S. Nasdaq Listing Plans
Positive
Apr 7, 2025

Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd. announced that the SEC has approved its registration statement, marking a significant step towards its reorganization and U.S. listing on Nasdaq. This move is expected to enhance Galaxy’s market presence and operational capabilities, with a special shareholder meeting scheduled for May 9, 2025, to approve the reorganization.

Spark’s Take on TSE:GLXY Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:GLXY is a Neutral.

Galaxy Digital Holdings demonstrates strong profitability and strategic growth initiatives, notably in AI and digital assets. Financial stability issues and recent market challenges present risks, but the company’s optimistic outlook and reasonable valuation support a solid overall score.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:GLXY stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Galaxy Digital Expands UK Operations with FCA License
Positive
Apr 2, 2025

Galaxy Digital Holdings has secured a license from the UK’s Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) for its UK subsidiary, Galaxy Digital UK Ltd, to execute derivatives trading in London. This significant regulatory approval expands Galaxy’s global trading operations and strengthens its investment banking and asset management services in the UK. The license enhances Galaxy’s ability to meet the growing institutional demand for digital assets, reinforcing its position as a leading player in the digital assets ecosystem. The UK’s regulatory framework for crypto assets is seen as a leader in the global digital asset landscape, attracting innovation and investment to the region.

Delistings and Listing ChangesLegal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Galaxy Digital Reports Strong 2024 Financial Results and Strategic Developments
Positive
Mar 28, 2025

Galaxy Digital Holdings reported a net income of $174 million for Q4 2024 and $365 million for the full year, despite a legal settlement with the New York Attorney General impacting results. The company is progressing with its reorganization to become a Delaware-incorporated entity and plans to list on Nasdaq, subject to regulatory approvals. Additionally, Galaxy entered a significant 15-year lease agreement with CoreWeave to support AI and HPC infrastructure, expected to generate $4.5 billion in revenue. The company also saw substantial growth in its trading and advisory services, driven by increased derivatives activity and institutional demand.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
GK8 Enhances Institutional Access to DeFi with Avalanche Integration
Positive
Mar 13, 2025

GK8 by Galaxy has integrated its unlimited MPC (uMPC) technology with the Avalanche blockchain, enhancing institutional access to DeFi applications. This integration allows institutions to securely engage with DeFi through MetaMask Institutional, leveraging Avalanche’s low transaction fees and rapid finality. The uMPC technology supports all EVM-compatible chains, ensuring secure asset management without compromising transaction speed, thereby fostering greater institutional participation in DeFi.

Financial Disclosures
Galaxy Digital to Announce Q4 and Full Year 2024 Financial Results
Neutral
Mar 13, 2025

Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd. announced that it will release its fourth quarter and full year 2024 financial results on March 28, 2025, before the Toronto Stock Exchange opens. CEO Michael Novogratz and management will host a conference call to discuss the results and provide updates to shareholders. This announcement is significant as it provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial health and strategic direction, potentially impacting investor confidence and market positioning.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
GK8 Enhances Institutional DeFi Access with Avalanche Integration
Positive
Mar 13, 2025

GK8 by Galaxy has integrated its unlimited MPC (uMPC) technology with the Avalanche blockchain, enhancing institutional access to decentralized finance (DeFi) applications. This integration allows users to securely deploy digital assets into various DeFi services via MetaMask Institutional, leveraging Avalanche’s low fees and fast transaction times. The move is expected to bolster institutional trust and participation in DeFi by ensuring secure and efficient interactions with blockchain-based financial services.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Galaxy Digital Partners with BitGo to Enhance Staking Services
Positive
Feb 4, 2025

Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd. has partnered with BitGo Trust Company to offer staking services, allowing investors to use staked digital assets as collateral for loans and other financial products. This collaboration enhances capital efficiency for BitGo’s clients, leveraging Galaxy’s blockchain infrastructure and BitGo’s custodial solutions to unlock the potential of digital assets, demonstrating Galaxy’s commitment to innovation and security in digital asset management.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Galaxy Asset Management Reports Decrease in December 2024 AUM
Negative
Jan 21, 2025

Galaxy Asset Management, a part of Galaxy Digital Holdings, announced a preliminary assets under management (AUM) of $5.7 billion as of December 31, 2024, marking a 6.5% decrease from the prior month due to market depreciation and net outflows from its Passive Funds. The company also stated that AUM figures would now be published quarterly instead of monthly, aligning with Galaxy’s earnings releases, which may impact stakeholders’ access to timely financial data.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.