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Fairfax Financial Holdings (TSE:FFH)
TSX:FFH

Fairfax Financial Holdings (FFH) AI Stock Analysis

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Fairfax Financial Holdings

(TSX:FFH)

73Outperform
Fairfax Financial Holdings shows a strong financial foundation with impressive profitability and cash flow metrics. The earnings call further confirmed robust results and growth prospects. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to current bearish trends. Valuation metrics present an opportunity, given the low P/E ratio. Despite challenges like unrealized bond losses and catastrophe impacts, the overall outlook remains positive.

Fairfax Financial Holdings (FFH) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Fairfax Financial Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFairfax Financial Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty insurance and reinsurance, and investment management services in the United States, Canada, Asia, and internationally. The company operates through Insurance and Reinsurance, Run-off, and Non-Insurance Companies segments. It insures against losses to property from fire, explosion, earthquake, windstorm, flood, boiler explosion, machinery breakdown, and construction defects, as well as underwrites automobile, commercial and personal property, and crop insurance. The company also offers workers' compensation, employer's liability, accident and health, medical malpractice, professional liability, and umbrella coverage insurance products; marine, aerospace, surety risk, and other risks and liabilities insurance products; and reinsurance products. In addition, it retails home improvement goods, toys and baby products, golf equipment, sports apparel and accessories, housewares and home décors, and tableware and gifts; invests in retail business; and owns and operates holiday resorts. Further, the company provides integrated travel and travel-related financial services; originates, processes, and distributes pulses and staple foods; creates, produces, and distributes entertainment content; and provision of pet medical insurance and database services, as well as media and marketing solutions. The company was formerly known as Markel Financial Holdings Limited and changed its name to Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited in 1987. Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited was incorporated in 1951 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyFairfax Financial Holdings generates revenue primarily through its insurance and reinsurance operations, along with investment income. The company's insurance subsidiaries underwrite property and casualty risks, collecting premiums from policyholders. These premiums constitute a significant portion of Fairfax's revenue. The reinsurance segment involves assuming risk from other insurance companies in exchange for premiums, further diversifying revenue streams. Investment income is another critical revenue source, as Fairfax invests in a diversified portfolio of equities, fixed-income securities, and alternative investments. The company's investment strategy, led by seasoned professionals, aims to achieve superior returns while managing risk. Strategic acquisitions and partnerships in the insurance and investment sectors also contribute to Fairfax's earnings, allowing for expansion and increased market presence.

Fairfax Financial Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fairfax Financial Holdings exhibits a solid financial position with strong profitability and improving cash flows. While revenue growth has fluctuated, the company has managed to enhance its profit margins and cash flow generation. The strategic management of debt and equity also reflects positively on its financial health. However, operational performance fluctuations and reliance on liabilities warrant monitoring.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Fairfax Financial Holdings has demonstrated strong revenue and profit growth over recent years. The net profit margin has remained robust, supported by a significant increase in net income from the previous year. Despite a decline in total revenue from 2023 to 2024, the company maintains high gross profit margins, indicating operational efficiency. However, the absence of EBIT in 2024 suggests volatility in operational performance.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company has maintained a stable equity position, with an improving debt-to-equity ratio reflecting better leverage management. The return on equity has been strong, supported by increasing net income. However, the equity ratio suggests moderate reliance on liabilities to finance assets, posing a potential risk in high-interest environments.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Fairfax Financial Holdings has shown a significant improvement in free cash flow, reversing from negative values in previous years to a substantial positive in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates strong cash generation relative to earnings, enhancing liquidity and financial flexibility. This positive cash flow trajectory provides a strong buffer against potential future financial challenges.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
28.45B31.83B25.82B25.80B19.79B
Gross Profit
28.45B25.80B25.82B25.80B19.79B
EBIT
0.0031.40B1.34B-1.03B-4.29B
EBITDA
7.04B6.09B2.03B-100.50M1.47B
Net Income Common Stockholders
3.87B4.38B1.15B3.40B37.40M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
7.28B7.96B11.70B25.34B16.30B
Total Assets
96.78B91.99B92.13B86.65B74.05B
Total Debt
13.06B10.80B9.32B7.75B8.81B
Net Debt
5.83B5.04B-2.38B-17.59B-7.49B
Total Liabilities
68.43B64.28B71.79B65.33B56.53B
Stockholders Equity
24.07B22.95B16.68B16.39B13.86B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
3.59B-553.50M-4.84B6.29B-133.50M
Operating Cash Flow
3.99B-39.40M-4.42B6.64B139.80M
Investing Cash Flow
-1.32B92.00M384.80M1.84B-46.80M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.56B-1.07B-1.29B-1.19B436.90M

Fairfax Financial Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1936.74
Price Trends
50DMA
2014.46
Negative
100DMA
1991.54
Negative
200DMA
1813.71
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
9.60
Negative
RSI
60.79
Neutral
STOCH
83.29
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:FFH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1936.74 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2011.16, below the 50-day MA of 2014.46, and above the 200-day MA of 1813.71, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 9.60 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.29 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:FFH.

Fairfax Financial Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSIFC
78
Outperform
C$49.82B22.5713.38%1.77%5.02%77.36%
TSPOW
75
Outperform
C$31.09B11.6612.45%4.74%-7.62%25.47%
TSFFH
73
Outperform
$48.15B8.3316.48%1.10%13.82%-6.68%
TSGWO
73
Outperform
C$48.77B12.5415.52%4.34%-2.40%42.24%
64
Neutral
$13.46B9.449.34%4.72%16.14%-8.80%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:FFH
Fairfax Financial Holdings
1,936.74
475.69
32.56%
MFC
Manulife Financial
27.30
5.06
22.75%
SLF
Sun Life Financial
54.26
5.47
11.21%
TSE:GWO
Great-West Lifeco
51.53
13.08
34.02%
TSE:IFC
Intact Financial Corporation
277.39
62.39
29.02%
TSE:POW
Power Corp of Canada
48.80
14.20
41.04%

Fairfax Financial Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 13, 2025 | % Change Since: -3.16% | Next Earnings Date: May 1, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong financial performance with record earnings and underwriting income, alongside significant growth in premiums and book value per share. However, the company faced challenges from currency fluctuations, unrealized bond losses due to rising interest rates, and significant catastrophe losses from wildfires.
Highlights
Record Underwriting Income and Earnings
Fairfax earned $3.9 billion after taxes with record underwriting income of $1.8 billion and record interest and dividend income of $2.5 billion.
Significant Growth in Book Value Per Share
Book value per share increased by 14.5%, adjusted for a $15 dividend, to $1,060.
Strong Premium Growth
Insurance and reinsurance operations wrote $32.5 billion of gross premium in 2024, an all-time high, up 12.6% versus 2023.
Favorable Reserve Development
For the 18th consecutive year, the company recorded favorable reserve development of $594 million, providing a benefit of 2.4 points on the combined ratio.
Investment Performance
Fairfax's investment return for 2024 was 6.7%, driven by increased interest and dividend income, strong share of profits of associates, and net gains on equities.
Lowlights
Currency Losses Impact
A loss of $477 million in other comprehensive income due to currency losses was reported, primarily from the strengthening of the U.S. dollar.
Unrealized Bond Losses
Unrealized losses on the bond portfolio totaled $731 million, driven by rising interest rates.
Catastrophe Losses
Fourth quarter catastrophe losses were significant, with fires in Southern California resulting in estimated net losses of $500 million to $750 million.
Company Guidance
During the 2024 year-end results call, Fairfax reported impressive financial metrics, including a $3.9 billion net income after taxes, record underwriting income of $1.8 billion, and interest and dividend income of $2.5 billion. The company's book value per share rose by 14.5% to $1,060, adjusted for a $15 dividend. The insurance and reinsurance operations wrote $32.5 billion in gross premiums, marking a 12.6% increase from 2023. Fairfax's combined ratio for the year was 92.7%, with an underwriting profit of $1.8 billion, despite $1.1 billion in catastrophe losses. The investment portfolio yielded a return of 6.7%, despite $731 million in unrealized bond losses due to rising interest rates. The company also highlighted significant acquisitions, including Sleep Country Canada and Peak Achievement, and noted a strong position for future growth in international markets.

Fairfax Financial Holdings Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings
Fairfax Financial Holdings Announces Details of Hybrid Annual Shareholders’ Meeting
Neutral
Mar 31, 2025

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited has announced the details of its upcoming hybrid annual shareholders’ meeting, which will be held both in-person and virtually on April 10, 2025. The meeting will include a presentation by Chairman and CEO Prem Watsa, followed by a Q&A session. Shareholders can attend and vote through a web-based platform, and are encouraged to submit questions in advance. This hybrid format aims to increase accessibility and engagement among stakeholders.

Dividends
Fairfax Financial Announces Quarterly Dividends for Preferred Shares
Neutral
Mar 3, 2025

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited has announced the declaration of quarterly dividends for its series of preferred shares, with specific dividend amounts and payment dates provided. Additionally, the company has set the quarterly dividend rates for its floating rate preferred shares for the upcoming period. This announcement reflects Fairfax’s ongoing financial strategies and commitments to its shareholders, potentially impacting investor perceptions and market positioning.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Fairfax Financial Holdings Achieves Record Underwriting Profit Amid Decreased Net Earnings for 2024
Neutral
Feb 13, 2025

Fairfax Financial Holdings reported a net earnings decrease to $3,874.9 million for 2024 from $4,381.8 million in 2023, despite achieving a record underwriting profit of $1.8 billion and a consolidated combined ratio of 92.7%. The company’s property and casualty operations reported strong performance with adjusted operating income of $4.8 billion. Premium growth was fueled by the acquisition of Gulf Insurance, contributing significantly to the annual figures. However, unrealized foreign currency losses impacted comprehensive income, and the company undertook significant share repurchases. Fairfax ended the year with a robust financial position, including $2.5 billion in cash and investments, underscoring its strategic focus on financial stability.

Fairfax Financial Pledges $1 Million for California Wildfire Relief
Jan 15, 2025

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited has announced a donation of US$1 million to the American Red Cross to aid the relief efforts for the recent wildfires in Southern California. This contribution underscores Fairfax’s commitment to supporting communities in distress, reflecting its broader corporate responsibility ethos and potentially enhancing its stakeholder relations by demonstrating solidarity with affected residents.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.