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Endeavour Mining Ord (TSE:EDV)
TSX:EDV

Endeavour Mining (EDV) AI Stock Analysis

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TSEndeavour Mining
(TSX:EDV)
49Neutral
Endeavour Mining shows a mixed financial performance with consistent net losses and increasing debt levels as key concerns, balanced by strong operational cash flow. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and valuation is pressured by a negative P/E ratio, though a solid dividend yield is a positive factor. The earnings call provided mixed sentiment, with operational achievements overshadowed by production and cost challenges.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Endeavour boasts a sector-leading FCF/EV yield of ~16% for 2025, indicating strong financial performance.
Growth Opportunities
The Tanda-Iguela project in Côte d'Ivoire is seen as having potential for significant valuation upside.
Negative Factors
Operational Challenges
Operational expectations at Sabodala-Massawa are potentially being reset, which lowers free cash flow estimates for 2025 and 2026.

Endeavour Mining (EDV) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Endeavour Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEndeavour Mining (EDV) is a leading gold producer operating in West Africa. The company is engaged in gold mining, exploration, and development activities across several countries, including Côte d’Ivoire, Burkina Faso, and Senegal. Endeavour Mining focuses on sustainable and responsible mining practices, with a portfolio of high-quality assets and a strong commitment to social and environmental stewardship.
How the Company Makes MoneyEndeavour Mining generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of gold. The company's key revenue streams include the extraction and processing of gold ore from its mining operations, followed by the sale of refined gold to various buyers, including financial institutions and metal traders. Endeavour's earnings are significantly influenced by gold market prices, production volumes, and operational efficiencies. The company also engages in exploration activities to expand its resource base and extend the life of its mines. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures may enhance its operational capabilities and access to new resources, contributing to its revenue generation.

Endeavour Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Endeavour Mining presents a mixed financial outlook. Revenue growth suggests potential, yet profitability remains a concern due to consistent net losses. The balance sheet is stable, but increasing debt levels could pose risks. Cash flow from operations is robust, but high capital expenditures impact free cash flow.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company shows a mixed performance in the TTM period. While total revenue increased from the previous annual period, gross profit and net income have declined. The gross profit margin is approximately 30.66%, but the net profit margin is negative due to consistent net losses, indicating profitability challenges. Revenue growth from the previous year is moderate, showing some potential for future growth.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates a stable financial position with an equity ratio of approximately 50.71%, showing a healthy capital structure. However, the debt-to-equity ratio has increased slightly to 0.42, reflecting a rise in debt levels. Return on equity is negative due to net losses, which is a concern for long-term sustainability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The company's operating cash flow is strong relative to net income, with a high operating cash flow to net income ratio, suggesting operational efficiency. However, free cash flow remains low, influenced by high capital expenditures, although there is an improvement from negative free cash flow in the previous year to positive free cash flow in the TTM period.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.31B2.11B2.51B2.78B1.42B886.37M
Gross Profit
709.70M745.30M759.70M890.80M490.04M210.03M
EBIT
291.00M442.70M587.70M710.00M338.23M127.48M
EBITDA
893.40M1.10B1.20B1.14B700.37M324.70M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-343.20M-208.90M-31.00M215.50M133.87M-136.77M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
533.30M517.20M962.30M906.20M644.97M189.89M
Total Assets
5.94B5.86B6.41B6.77B3.88B1.87B
Total Debt
1.35B1.11B871.80M893.00M725.47M725.81M
Net Debt
892.00M593.40M-79.30M-13.20M80.50M535.92M
Total Liabilities
2.51B2.31B2.33B2.39B1.64B1.06B
Stockholders Equity
3.09B3.23B3.66B3.92B2.06B717.87M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
43.20M-116.10M503.70M643.60M507.64M67.99M
Operating Cash Flow
796.00M646.50M1.02B1.17B748.93M301.88M
Investing Cash Flow
-727.80M-820.80M-521.40M-511.70M-160.11M-251.53M
Financing Cash Flow
-382.10M-276.60M-385.00M-431.10M-70.71M15.12M

Endeavour Mining Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price30.21
Price Trends
50DMA
28.95
Positive
100DMA
28.95
Positive
200DMA
29.26
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.21
Positive
RSI
51.05
Neutral
STOCH
66.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:EDV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 30.21 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.78, above the 50-day MA of 28.95, and above the 200-day MA of 29.26, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:EDV.

Endeavour Mining Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (47)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSAGI
80
Outperform
$14.00B35.828.74%0.42%33.75%32.86%
TSSSL
70
Outperform
$2.61B137.391.00%0.91%0.80%137.87%
TSNGD
68
Neutral
$3.17B22.8011.14%18.32%
TSOR
56
Neutral
$4.84B220.071.33%1.02%1.62%-232.31%
TSBTO
54
Neutral
$4.96B-18.54%5.99%-4.17%-318.18%
TSEDV
49
Neutral
C$7.48B-9.94%3.60%3.28%-159.45%
47
Neutral
$2.64B-4.00-31.55%3.33%2.93%-29.90%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:EDV
Endeavour Mining
30.21
5.43
21.91%
TSE:AGI
Alamos Gold
33.29
15.05
82.51%
TSE:SSL
Sandstorm Gold
8.81
2.51
39.73%
TSE:OR
Osisko Gold Royalties
25.91
4.49
20.94%
TSE:NGD
New Gold
4.01
1.82
83.11%
TSE:BTO
B2Gold
3.76
0.46
14.08%

Endeavour Mining Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 6, 2025 | % Change Since: -1.47% | Next Earnings Date: May 1, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial performance with record free cash flow and increased shareholder returns, driven by increased production and successful exploration. However, challenges remain with operational issues at Sabodala-Massawa and increased expenses.
Highlights
Record Free Cash Flow Generation
Endeavor Mining achieved a record free cash flow of $268 million in Q4 2024, bringing total free cash flow to $365 million in H2 2024.
Significant Production Increase
The company produced 1.1 million ounces of gold in 2024, marking a 34% increase in Q4 as growth projects hit nameplate capacity.
Strong Financial Health and Deleveraging
Endeavor Mining reduced its leverage to 0.55 times net debt to EBITDA by the end of the year, with expectations to reach the target of less than 0.5 times soon.
Increased Shareholder Returns
Declared a record dividend for 2024 of $240 million, supplemented with $37 million of share buybacks, totaling $277 million in shareholder returns.
Improved Sustainability Performance
Achieved an improved 17.3 low-risk rating from Sustainalytics, positioning Endeavor as the best-rated gold producer on the platform.
Exploration Success
Increased group reserves by 32% to 18.4 million ounces and achieved a five-year resource discovery target a year early.
Lowlights
Challenges at Sabodala-Massawa
Faced lower recovery rates and grade issues due to low availability of high-quality ore and transitional refractory ore during the BIOX ramp-up.
Higher Operating and Other Expenses
Operating and other expenses increased by $202 million in Q4 due to higher royalties and increased mining and processing costs.
Non-cash Impairment Charges
Recognized a $200 million non-cash impairment related primarily to the Kalana property in Mali and the Golden Hill permit in Burkina Faso.
Company Guidance
In the call, Endeavor Mining provided guidance for strong operational and financial performance in 2024. The company produced 1.1 million ounces of gold at all-in sustaining costs of $1,218 per ounce, achieving a record free cash flow of $268 million in Q4, totaling $365 million in H2 2024. This financial strength allowed for a dividend of $240 million supplemented by $37 million in share buybacks, leading to a total shareholder return of $277 million. Endeavor's net debt to EBITDA ratio was reduced to 0.55 times, with a target of less than 0.5 times soon. The company aims to increase production by up to 14% in 2025, with stable all-in sustaining costs and a decrease in total mine capital by 27% to $440 million. Exploration efforts added 12.2 million ounces of resources since 2021, with a discovery cost of less than $25 per ounce. The 2024 sustainability report highlighted a low-risk 17.3 rating from Sustainalytics, marking Endeavor as the best-rated gold producer on their platform. Looking ahead to 2030, Endeavor expects to increase production by up to 36% from 2024 levels to about 1.5 million ounces.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.