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Emerge Commerce Ltd (TSE:ECOM)
:ECOM
Canadian Market

Emerge Commerce Ltd (ECOM) AI Stock Analysis

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Emerge Commerce Ltd

(ECOM)

51Neutral
Emerge Commerce Ltd. displays notable strengths in recent earnings improvements and positive momentum in technical analysis. However, the company remains burdened by financial instability and valuation challenges, which weigh heavily on the overall score. The recent strides in operational efficiency and debt reduction offer some optimism for future performance.

Emerge Commerce Ltd (ECOM) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Emerge Commerce Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEmerge Commerce Ltd (ECOM) is a diversified acquirer and operator of niche e-commerce brands. The company operates in the e-commerce sector, focusing on acquiring and growing direct-to-consumer businesses. Its core products and services include providing a range of online marketplaces and platforms that cater to various consumer needs, such as food delivery, pet supplies, and other specialized retail categories.
How the Company Makes MoneyEmerge Commerce Ltd generates revenue primarily through the acquisition and operation of niche e-commerce platforms. The company's revenue model is based on the sales of products and services through its various online marketplaces. Key revenue streams include commissions from sales transactions, subscription fees for premium services, and advertising revenue from partner brands featured on its platforms. Significant partnerships with suppliers and vendors enhance its product offerings and contribute to its earnings by expanding its customer base and increasing sales volume. Additionally, Emerge leverages economies of scale and operational efficiencies to maximize profitability across its portfolio of e-commerce brands.

Emerge Commerce Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Emerge Commerce Ltd faces significant financial headwinds, highlighted by declining revenues, poor profitability, and a weak balance sheet. The company's reliance on non-operational cash inflows adds to the financial risk, making it a challenging environment in the discretionary retail sector.
Income Statement
35
Negative
The income statement reveals a significant decline in revenue with a negative growth trend. Gross profit margins have also decreased substantially. The company has been consistently unprofitable, with negative EBIT and net income margins, indicating ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
25
Negative
The balance sheet shows high leverage with a negative stockholders' equity, indicating financial instability. The debt-to-equity ratio is concerning, and the negative equity ratio further reflects the company's precarious financial position. The return on equity is negative due to losses.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The cash flow statement indicates volatile free cash flow with recent deterioration. Operating cash flows are negative, but investing activities provided significant cash inflows recently. This suggests reliance on asset sales or similar activities to generate cash, rather than sustainable operational cash flow.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
21.01M23.83M58.17M34.83M9.20M4.16M
Gross Profit
8.33M11.88M23.79M15.11M7.17M3.36M
EBIT
-1.06M175.03K-4.21M-4.37M-2.56M-1.53M
EBITDA
-16.56M-15.66M-4.41M-1.16M-1.03M-1.24M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-19.26M-21.26M-17.38M-6.56M-4.43M-3.05M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.76M2.54M5.88M7.77M12.39M8.72M
Total Assets
8.00M22.99M59.75M80.28M43.46M29.08M
Total Debt
8.18M18.25M25.98M24.50M7.68M7.22M
Net Debt
5.42M15.71M20.10M16.74M-4.72M-1.50M
Total Liabilities
17.72M32.86M49.63M53.27M25.38M24.32M
Stockholders Equity
-9.73M-9.87M10.11M27.00M18.07M4.77M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-875.00K2.02M1.02M-3.47M-254.43K3.60M
Operating Cash Flow
-874.15K2.03M1.06M-3.43M-186.11K3.89M
Investing Cash Flow
11.14M7.10M-44.60K-27.34M-5.61M-6.32M
Financing Cash Flow
-10.88M-9.55M-3.09M26.18M9.54M9.67M

Emerge Commerce Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.04
Price Trends
50DMA
0.05
Negative
100DMA
0.05
Negative
200DMA
0.05
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
52.76
Neutral
STOCH
83.33
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ECOM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.05, below the 50-day MA of 0.05, and below the 200-day MA of 0.05, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.33 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:ECOM.

Emerge Commerce Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
C$141.68B50.6919.58%27.85%1400.97%
64
Neutral
C$129.60M-7.16%10.79%-30.99%
59
Neutral
C$1.71B-5.18%23.95%39.68%
59
Neutral
$11.20B10.09-1.41%3.96%1.31%-16.95%
51
Neutral
C$6.26M204.61%-37.94%16.06%
TSCVO
50
Neutral
C$503.87M-7.32%8.86%56.67%
TSDTC
31
Underperform
C$53.08M281.56%71.24%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ECOM
Emerge Commerce Ltd
0.04
-0.02
-33.33%
TSE:SHOP
Shopify
109.42
8.42
8.34%
TSE:BRAG
Bragg Gaming Group Inc
5.17
-3.45
-40.02%
TSE:LSPD
Lightspeed POS Inc
11.18
-7.99
-41.68%
TSE:DTC
Defence Therapeutics
0.97
-0.56
-36.60%
TSE:CVO
Coveo Solutions
5.23
-4.62
-46.90%

Emerge Commerce Ltd Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Nov 28, 2024 | % Change Since: 0.00% | Next Earnings Date: May 5, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant positive trends in GMS growth, revenue increase, and improved profitability metrics, complemented by a strong debt reduction strategy. However, the continued negative adjusted EBITDA and net loss from operations indicate areas needing further improvement. Overall, the positive aspects and strategic shifts outweigh the negatives.
Highlights
Gross Merchandise Sales (GMS) Growth
GMS accelerated to 10% organic growth year-over-year, reaching $7.4 million in Q3 2024 compared to $6.8 million in Q3 2023.
Revenue Increase
Revenue increased to $4.6 million in Q3 2024 from $4.4 million in Q3 2023, marking a 5% increase. Excluding Carnivore Club, revenue grew approximately 8%.
Improvement in Gross Margin
Gross margin improved to 39.3% in Q3 2024 from 38.9% in Q3 2023, driven by initiatives like price increases and renegotiated vendor costs.
Reduction in Adjusted EBITDA Losses
Adjusted EBITDA losses reduced to $280,000 in Q3 2024 from $560,000 in Q3 2023, attributed to revenue growth, improved gross margin, and reduced expenses.
Debt Reduction and Improved Financial Standing
Senior debt facility reduced to $5.85 million from $15.85 million, with a net debt position approaching $5.5 million, down from $27.8 million.
Lowlights
Adjusted EBITDA Still Negative
Despite improvements, adjusted EBITDA remains negative at $280,000 for Q3 2024.
Net Loss from Continuing Operations
Net loss from continuing operations was $0.7 million in Q3 2024, slightly decreased from $0.8 million in the prior year.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2024 earnings call for EMERGE Commerce, CEO Ghassan Halazon and CFO Kyle Burt-Gerrans provided a comprehensive overview of the company's financial performance and strategic direction. Key highlights included a 10% increase in gross merchandise sales (GMS) year-over-year, reaching $7.4 million, and a 5% rise in revenue to $4.6 million. Excluding the Carnivore Club, revenue grew by 8%. The company reported a gross profit increase of over 6% to $1.8 million, with gross margins improving to 39.3%. Adjusted EBITDA losses were reduced by approximately half compared to the previous year, coming in at negative $280,000. Additionally, EMERGE achieved significant debt reduction, bringing net debt down to $5.5 million after a $10 million debt paydown. The company also implemented cost reductions expected to yield $500,000 in annual savings, which will be fully realized in 2025. These efforts underscore EMERGE's focus on organic growth, operational efficiency, and enhanced profitability as they transition into the new year.

Emerge Commerce Ltd Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
EMERGE Commerce Ltd. Achieves Financial Milestones in Q4 2024
Positive
Jan 27, 2025

EMERGE Commerce Ltd. reported significant financial improvements in Q4 2024, achieving a 17% year-over-year increase in gross merchandise sales and a 15% rise in revenue. The company realized positive adjusted EBITDA for the quarter, marking a turnaround from a loss in the previous year, and increased its cash position to over $3 million. This growth is attributed to successful strategic shifts and the sale of non-core assets, positioning EMERGE for continued momentum in 2025.

EMERGE Commerce Sells Carnivore Club to Enhance Growth Focus
Jan 16, 2025

EMERGE Commerce Ltd. has completed the sale of its non-core asset, Carnivore Club, for $500,000, including $350,000 in cash and a $150,000 seller note. This transaction aligns with EMERGE’s strategy to focus on its larger, more profitable brands and enhances its cash position, which exceeded $3 million following the sale of its SHOP domains to Shopify. The additional funds from the sale are intended to drive both organic and inorganic growth in 2025, particularly in its expanding grocery and golf businesses.

EMERGE Sells Shop Domains to Shopify, Refocuses on Core Brands
Jan 7, 2025

EMERGE Commerce Ltd. announced the sale of its premium web domains, Shop.ca and Shop.us, to Shopify Inc. for US$375,000. This transaction allows EMERGE to redirect its focus on its core business areas, specifically in the grocery and golf sectors, while boosting its cash reserves to over $3 million. The sale concludes a transformative year for EMERGE, characterized by renewed organic revenue growth, improved profitability, and reduced debt. The company plans to continue monetizing non-core assets to strengthen its financial position and support growth in the coming year.

EMERGE Commerce Announces New Interim CFO
Dec 20, 2024

EMERGE Commerce Ltd. is undergoing a management transition, with Dasha Enenko set to take over as interim CFO in February 2025, succeeding Kyle Burt-Gerrans. Dasha, a seasoned financial expert with a history at EMERGE, will ensure a smooth transition as the company continues its growth and financial improvements.

EMERGE Commerce Sees Strong Black Friday Sales
Dec 4, 2024

EMERGE Commerce Ltd. reported a successful Black Friday-Cyber Monday period with gross merchandise sales reaching $1.04 million, marking a 10% year-over-year growth. The company saw significant transactions across its e-commerce sites, driven by strong performances in the grocery and golf sectors, notably with truLOCAL and UnderPar. This growth highlights EMERGE’s operational momentum and promising outlook for the upcoming holiday season.

Emerge Commerce Reports Strong Q3 Results
Nov 28, 2024

Emerge Commerce Ltd. reported a 10% increase in gross merchandise sales (GMS) for Q3 2024, marking their highest growth rate of the year. The company achieved its second consecutive quarter of positive organic revenue growth, driven by brands like truLOCAL and its golf business. Emerge’s new centralized strategy has improved topline and bottom-line metrics, showcasing enhanced profitability and operational efficiency.

Emerge Commerce to Announce Q3 2024 Financial Results
Nov 5, 2024

Emerge Commerce Ltd. is set to release its third quarter 2024 financial results on November 28, 2024, before market open. The company will host a conference call on the same day to discuss these results, featuring insights from CEO Ghassan Halazon and CFO Kyle Burt-Gerrans. Emerge operates a premium e-commerce brand portfolio across grocery and golf verticals in Canada and the U.S.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.