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Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri As (TKC)
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Turkcell Iletisim (TKC) Risk Factors

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Public companies are required to disclose risks that can affect the business and impact the stock. These disclosures are known as “Risk Factors”. Companies disclose these risks in their yearly (Form 10-K), quarterly earnings (Form 10-Q), or “foreign private issuer” reports (Form 20-F). Risk factors show the challenges a company faces. Investors can consider the worst-case scenarios before making an investment. TipRanks’ Risk Analysis categorizes risks based on proprietary classification algorithms and machine learning.

Turkcell Iletisim disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Turkcell Iletisim reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.

Risk Overview Q4, 2023

Risk Distribution
28Risks
29% Finance & Corporate
25% Macro & Political
18% Production
11% Tech & Innovation
11% Legal & Regulatory
7% Ability to Sell
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
This chart displays the stock's most recent risk distribution according to category. TipRanks has identified 6 major categories: Finance & corporate, legal & regulatory, macro & political, production, tech & innovation, and ability to sell.

Risk Change Over Time

2020
Q4
S&P500 Average
Sector Average
Risks removed
Risks added
Risks changed
Turkcell Iletisim Risk Factors
New Risk (0)
Risk Changed (0)
Risk Removed (0)
No changes from previous report
The chart shows the number of risks a company has disclosed. You can compare this to the sector average or S&P 500 average.

The quarters shown in the chart are according to the calendar year (January to December). Businesses set their own financial calendar, known as a fiscal year. For example, Walmart ends their financial year at the end of January to accommodate the holiday season.

Risk Highlights Q4, 2023

Main Risk Category
Finance & Corporate
With 8 Risks
Finance & Corporate
With 8 Risks
Number of Disclosed Risks
28
+13
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 31
28
+13
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 31
Recent Changes
14Risks added
1Risks removed
9Risks changed
Since Dec 2023
14Risks added
1Risks removed
9Risks changed
Since Dec 2023
Number of Risk Changed
9
+7
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 3
9
+7
From last report
S&P 500 Average: 3
See the risk highlights of Turkcell Iletisim in the last period.

Risk Word Cloud

The most common phrases about risk factors from the most recent report. Larger texts indicate more widely used phrases.

Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 28

Finance & Corporate
Total Risks: 8/28 (29%)Below Sector Average
Share Price & Shareholder Rights3 | 10.7%
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1
Added
Summary of Risk Relating to our American Depositary Shares
- We have two major shareholders whose interests may not be aligned with those of other shareholders. - The price of our American Depositary Shares may be volatile, and purchasers of American Depositary Shares could incur substantial losses. Holders of American Depositary Shares are not entitled to attend shareholders' meetings, and they may only vote through the depositary.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2
Added
We have two major shareholders whose interests may not be aligned with those of other shareholders.
In October 2020, Turkiye Varlik Fonu ("TWF"), the wealth fund of the Republic of Turkiye, acquired control of 26.2% of the outstanding shares of our Company. This stake is held through its wholly owned company, TVF Bilgi Teknolojileri Iletisim Hizmetleri Yatirim Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. ("TVF BTIH"), now our largest shareholder. The current Chairman of TWF is the President of the Republic of Turkiye. TWF is an important investor in the Turkish economy and holds important stakes in numerous other major Turkish companies, including companies with which that we have business relationships with. This includes several major banks and financial services companies, including Borsa Istanbul A.S. ("Borsa Istanbul" or "BIST"), the operator of the Istanbul Stock Exchange, Turksat, and certain energy and infrastructure operators. In 2022, TWF acquired an additional 55% stake in our main competitor Turk Telekom, in addition to 6.68% they held in the past, and the Ministry of Treasury and Finance of the Republic of Turkiye has a golden share in that company. Turk Telekom is our main competitor in the Turkish fixed line business and is one of our two main competitors in the mobile business. We can give no assurance regarding the positions that TWF will take as a controlling shareholder of Turk Telekom and of our Company, and that it will not in some instances favor Turk Telekom or decisions which are impacted by its positioning across the Turkish economy. Following the amendment of our Articles of Association at the general assembly on October 21, 2020, a new class of Group A shares was created with special rights. TVF BTIH, as the sole holder of shares in this class, has the right to appoint a total of five of the nine members of our Board of Directors, including its Chairman. Under the Board's current quorum rules, the affirmative vote of at least five members is required for a decision to be taken. In the event that the Group A shares cease to be held by a single shareholder, all privileges in voting and nomination for the election of the Board of Directors members granted under the Articles of Association to the Group A shares shall automatically terminate. The Group A shares owned by TVF BTIH were subject to a three-year lock-up agreement, during which TVF BTIH was required to use its reasonable endeavors to cause Turkcell not to terminate its ADR program. The three-year lock-up agreement ended in October 2023. The Turkish law establishing TWF exempts it from a number of laws, notably certain capital markets and competition laws, which may negatively affect minority shareholders' rights. For example, mandatory takeover rules will not apply to TWF's group and TWF group companies are not to be bound by a commercial law that requires compensation of minority shareholders if the controlling shareholder pursues detrimental policies. Our other main shareholder is IMTIS Holdings which is part of the LetterOne group, holding a 19.8% share in Turkcell. Two of the indirect beneficiaries of IMTIS Holdings and LetterOne have recently been added to the lists of persons subject to US, EU and UK sanctions on Russia arising from the situation in Ukraine. While IMTIS Holdings has assured us that it believes that it is not controlled by these persons and that it is thus not itself subject to such sanctions, no assurance can be given that US, EU and/or UK authorities will not take a contrary position or that the scope of the US, EU, UK or other sanctions will not evolve in a way that would subject IMTIS Holdings to sanctions. Furthermore, no assurance can be given that the relevant beneficiaries of IMTIS Holdings or IMTIS Holdings itself or other LetterOne group entities directly or indirectly controlling IMTIS Holdings will not be added to the EU, UK, US or other sanctions lists. If IMTIS Holdings or other LetterOne group entities directly or indirectly controlling IMTIS Holdings were to be subject to sanctions, we could be deemed to be in violation of such sanctions as a result of our interactions with it in its capacity as a shareholder of our Company, including the payment of dividends to IMTIS Holdings and, although we believe that it is highly unlikely, we too could be subject to sanctions. In addition, we have been subject to shareholder activism campaign in the past. We believe that such actions may be damaging to our reputation and that responding to such actions could be costly. Perceived uncertainties as to our future direction as a result of such shareholder activism may lead to the perception of a change in the direction of the business or other instability and may make it more difficult to attract and retain qualified personnel and business partners and may adversely affect our relationships with vendors, customers and other third parties.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3
Changed
The price of our American Depositary Shares may be volatile, and purchasers of American Depositary Shares could incur substantial losses. Holders of American Depositary Shares are not entitled to attend shareholders' meetings, and they may only vote through the depositary.
The market price of our American Depositary Shares ("ADSs") may be highly volatile and could be subject to wide fluctuations, in particular due to the fact that trading in the ADSs take place in different currencies (U.S. dollars on the New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE") and Turkish Lira on the Borsa Istanbul), and mostly at different times (resulting from different time zones, different trading days and different public holidays in the United States and Turkiye), resulting in different trading prices of these securities differing on the two markets. Securities markets worldwide experience significant price and volume fluctuations. Market volatility, as well as general economic, market or political conditions, could reduce the market price of our ADSs, regardless of our operating performance. In addition, our operating results could be below the expectations of public market analysts and investors due to a number of potential factors, including changes in our quarterly operating results or dividends, additions or departures of key management personnel, failure to meet analysts' earnings estimates, publication of negative research reports about our industry, failure of securities analysts to cover our stock or changes in financial estimates by analysts, litigation and government investigations, changes or proposed changes in laws or regulations or differing interpretations or enforcement thereof affecting our business, adverse market reaction to any indebtedness we may incur or securities we may issue in the future, changes in market valuations of similar companies or speculation in the press or investment community, announcements by our competitors of significant contracts, acquisitions, dispositions, strategic partnerships, joint ventures or capital commitments, adverse publicity about the industry we operate in or individual scandals. Consequently, in response to these events, the market price of our ADSs could decrease significantly, and purchasers of ADSs could incur substantial losses. In addition, share sales by major shareholders, and the perception that significant sales could occur, may have an adverse impact on the price of our shares and ADRs. In addition, holders of ADSs may face more difficulties in exercising their voting rights as shareholders than they would if they held ordinary shares directly. For instance, under the Turkish Commercial Code and the relevant provisions of our Company's internal regulations, the shareholders whose names are stipulated in the attendance list or the representatives thereof shall have the right to attend a shareholders' meeting by submitting their ID cards and/or their letter of proxy at the place of meeting. A holder of ADSs will not be able to meet these requirements and, accordingly, is not entitled to attend shareholders' meetings. Instead, a holder of ADSs is entitled to instruct the depositary as to how to vote the shares represented by ADSs, in accordance with procedures provided for in the deposit agreements, but a holder of ADSs will not be able to vote its shares directly at a shareholders' meeting. Because of the extra procedural step involving the depositary, the process for exercising voting rights will take longer for holders of ADSs than for holders of ordinary shares. ADSs for which the depositary does not receive timely voting instructions will not be voted at any meeting.
Accounting & Financial Operations2 | 7.1%
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 1
Although we maintain and regularly review our internal control over financial reporting, there are inherent limitations on the effectiveness of our controls, particularly as our Company grows and enters into new businesses.
We maintain and regularly review internal control over our financial reporting. However, internal control over financial reporting has inherent limitations and there is no assurance that a system of internal control over financial reporting, including one determined to be effective, will prevent or detect all misstatements on a timely basis. A control system, no matter how well-designed and operated, can provide only reasonable, not absolute, assurance regarding financial statement preparation and presentation. This risk is exacerbated by our rapid growth into new activities, which creates additional challenges in identifying risks and designing and implementing systems to control them. In addition, we have entered into an agreement with a vendor that will provide a software solution for replicating accounting data from a variety of systems into a single system to obtain consolidated financial reports, which creates risks associated with transition and implementation and can further complicate the process of identifying risks and designing and implementing systems. Furthermore, we operate in a decentralized structure in which most compliance functions are managed at the level of our operating companies rather than at the parent company level, which can further complicate the process of identifying risks and designing and implementing systems. Our systems may not always allow us to detect and prevent fraud or other misconduct by our employees, representatives, agents, suppliers, dealers or other third parties. We may be exposed to fraud or other misconduct committed by our employees, representatives, agents, suppliers, dealers or other third parties that could subject us to litigation, financial losses and sanctions imposed by governmental authorities, as well as affect our reputation. Such misconduct could include misappropriating funds, conducting transactions that are outside of authorized limits, engaging in misrepresentation or fraudulent, deceptive or otherwise improper activities, including in return for any type of benefits or gains or otherwise not complying with applicable laws or our internal policies and procedures. Our latest review as of December 31, 2023, similar to last year, has revealed certain deficiencies in our controls, although none that we believe constitutes a "material weakness." Our controls have, in the past, suffered from deficiencies and no assurance can be given that others will not emerge in the future. A failure to detect or correct deficiencies and weaknesses in a timely manner could have an adverse effect on the accuracy of our financial reporting and on our operations and may also cause financial losses.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 2
Changed
We have a material amount of deferred tax assets which is subject to significant judgement by our management, and we face risks with regard to the recognition and recoverability of these assets.
The recognition of deferred tax assets is based upon whether it is probable that future taxable profits will be available against which unrecognized tax losses and temporary differences can be utilized. Recognition, therefore, involves judgment regarding the future financial performance of the particular legal entity in which the deferred tax asset has been recognized. For the year 2020, a TRY 647.9 million (not restated for IAS 29) deferred tax asset was recognized in Ukraine in respect of accumulated tax losses. The balance of deferred tax asset with respect to accumulated tax losses has increased to TRY 1,177 million (not restated for IAS 29) at December 31, 2023 due to foreign currency movements. Given the signature of the Share Transfer Agreement for the sale of our Ukrainian assets, our Ukrainian assets and liabilities are classified as held for sale and our Ukrainian operations have been classified as discontinued in our audited Consolidated Financial Statements for 2023. If the closing of the Share Transfer Agreement with respect to our assets in Ukraine occurs successfully, the deferred tax asset will pass to the purchaser. Although there are currently no restrictions on utilization of the tax losses carried forward, large taxpayers in Ukraine are entitled to utilize only up to 50% accumulated tax losses carried forward from previous reporting years in their current tax return. The balance of unutilized tax losses is carried forward to future periods until fully utilized. If the amount of tax losses is not more than 10% of the financial result, then such tax losses may be utilized in full. We cannot ensure that, if we were to retain our Ukrainian assets in the absence of closing of the Share Transfer Agreement, that we would be able to fully utilize this deferred tax asset, in particular since the taxable income generated by such assets, the recoverability of the assets due to current status in Ukraine and the current tax regulations in Ukraine may be subject to change.
Debt & Financing1 | 3.6%
Debt & Financing - Risk 1
Reduction in cash generated from operations and increased capital needs may increase our borrowing requirements, which may increase our financing costs and our exposure to the risks associated with borrowing.
We continue to experience challenging macroeconomic, regulatory and competitive conditions in our markets that may reduce cash generated from operations, and we expect to continue to face increased funding needs, in particular to finance our technological expansion and investments. Increased funding needs and reduced liquidity may lead to an increase in our borrowing requirements and thus our borrowing costs. Our borrowings may expose us to foreign exchange rate risk, interest rate risk and possibly, to increases in our total interest expense, each of which could have a material adverse effect on our consolidated financial condition and results of operations. We expect to continue to experience moderate cash outflows in relation to capital expenditures for mobile and fiber investments, investments in data centers and renewable energy, investments in network in preparation for a further possible earthquake, the second installment of the donation for Southeastern Turkiye Earthquakes victims, and dividend payments. In addition, if we are successful in acquiring a 5G license whenever the application process occurs, we may need to make significant outflows for any required payment for 5G license authorization, and network investments. Our liquidity position may also be negatively impacted if our shareholders request dividend payments which are higher than the trend of our historic dividend pay-outs. Our working capital requirements have increased in recent years, in particular after our Financell subsidiary began its operations. The BRSA's existing regulation imposing a cap on the number of installments with regard to consumer loans for mobile phones significantly decreased the demand for new loans and thus has reduced our related working capital requirement accordingly in the recent years. However, working capital requirements could once again increase should the BRSA increase the maximum number of installments on mobile phone related loans, which it has already done for refurbished phones, which could drive the demand up considerably. These cash outflows have in the past reduced, and may continue to reduce, our liquidity. Additionally, significant developments in the local borrowing market have tightened access by corporates to Turkish Lira loans after several decisions which were taken by the BRSA and the CBRT between May and November 2022, which also increased interest rates in the market, which may impact our borrowing costs and overall interest expenses. Turkcell and some of its subsidiaries are subject to credit constraints according to the year-end financials due to CBRT decisions, which may negatively impact our overall investments and growth of our group companies. In addition to local bank borrowings, we are actively utilizing capital market instruments to secure Turkish Lira borrowings from the market. As of December 31, 2023, the outstanding debt securities issued in capital markets total 3.13 billion TL, comprised of 1.73 billion TL in bonds and 1.40 billion TL in sukuk. The issuance of the securities is subject to obtaining the necessary approvals from regulatory authorities such as the Capital Markets Board of Turkiye ("CMB") and/or the BRSA, and there can be no assurance that any such approvals would be obtained. As of December 31, 2023, our total debt (including lease liabilities, and as restated in accordance with IAS 29) was TRY 84,084.2 million, of which TRY 52,933.3 million consisted of financing obligations paying interest at fixed rates. The remainder of our debt portfolio pays interest at floating rates, which has been increasing within the last year and expose us to increased costs. Since 2015, we have arranged a number of financing facilities with a principal amount of approximately USD 2.3 billion (partly in U.S. Dollars and in Euro, (not restated for IAS 29) for the financing needs of the Company and our subsidiaries, to fund infrastructure investments and other potential investments and to finance procurement from global vendors, which has significantly increased our indebtedness. Of those, the major ones are issuances of two 10-year Eurobonds in 2015 and 2018 with a principal amount of USD 500 million (not restated for IAS 29) each and a EUR 500 million (not restated for IAS 29) loan package with CDB in 2020 and 2021. We may re-issue or redeem the 10-year bond that we issued in 2015, which has a maturity date of October 15, 2025. No assurance can be given that unexpected cash outflows will not be required, which could further erode liquidity and therefore increase borrowing requirements. For more information on our debt portfolio, please See "Item 5. Operating and Financial Review and Prospects-B. Liquidity and Capital Resources." In recent years, we have also borrowed to finance the business of Financell, our finance company and the working capital requirements of our subsidiary in Ukraine. We may continue borrowing to finance our infrastructure investments, our finance company (depending on how the market evolves), loan repayments and any other potential investment opportunities. Additionally, we have continued to make excess TRY cash of Turkcell available to other group companies located in Turkiye as short-term TRY loans on an arm's length basis in line with prevailing market conditions under the framework shareholder loan agreement signed with respective group companies in 2018. Some of our borrowing agreements contain cross default clauses, which could trigger an event of default under such agreements in the event of a default by a Group company under its own borrowing agreements (such default by that Group company being subject to certain thresholds). With respect to currency risk, we enter into derivative transactions and endeavor to keep our cash in hard currencies to manage the risk relating to the Turkish Lira. For the year ended December 31, 2023, as a result of fair value changes in derivative instruments, net derivative assets of TRY 1,690.3 million (as restated in accordance with IAS 29) are recognized in our Consolidated Financial Statements. However, derivative transactions have costs which in the current environment are increasing and may not fully cover all the risks faced by the Group, and significant judgment is used by our management to determine the fair value of these instruments due to the use of an internally-developed model, which includes significant assumptions related to the treasury curves and credit spreads. For a discussion of our critical accounting policies, see "Item 5. Operating and Financial Review and Prospects-E. Critical Accounting Estimates." Furthermore, no assurance can be given that we will continue to have access to financing, or be able to conduct derivative transactions, on terms that are economically viable, or at all.
Corporate Activity and Growth2 | 7.1%
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 1
Changed
Our growth strategy is partly dependent on making investments in new opportunities, in particular outside of our core telecommunications activities, which may not be successful and which could affect our business and financial condition.
In addition to growing our existing business, our strategy for growth involves seeking out new investment opportunities and participating in those meeting our criteria. This includes external growth opportunities principally in, but not limited to, Turkiye. Our new investments have included, and are likely to continue to include, investments in new business and services in areas outside of the scope of our core business. These new investments may require significant expenditures, including new debt financing, and may not achieve expected returns or returns that are in line with those of our core business in Turkiye, which could result in value erosion for our shareholders. These businesses are subject to risks that are in many respects different from those of our telecom business and may be dependent on additional parent company funding. In order to succeed in these businesses, we will need to obtain the expertise required to compete and operate in these areas, which may be costly, and in certain cases obtain new licensing. Such businesses include the following: - Our finance business, Financell, which manages the bad debt expenses arising from the demand in the Turkish market for bundled offers featuring both communications services and a communications device, particularly a smartphone or a tablet, carried a total of TRY 6.2 billion in loans outstanding as of December 31, 2023 (as restated in accordance with IAS 29). Our cost of risk may increase in the event that our various lending criteria fail to preserve the quality of our assets, and/or in the event of an economic slowdown in Turkiye, as well as due to catastrophic events like natural disasters or pandemics that affect large portions of the population. Such economic volatility could lead to an increase in non-performing loans, as well as to losses and the eventual tightening of lending criteria, which in turn may lead to a reduction of our loan portfolio, which is likely to affect the profitability of our finance company. This activity may be negatively affected by financial conditions, particularly interest rates and foreign exchange rates, since the pricing of most devices is largely dependent on hard currencies, More generally, the financing sector is rapidly evolving and no assurance can be given that we will be able to adapt to market trends and that new competitors will not emerge. We are diversifying Financell's portfolio with new products in the consumer segment, such as shopping credits via Paycell or vehicle credits, as well as in the corporate segment, for digital infrastructure needs or renewable energy investments. The return on investment for these new products may not meet our expectations, which would prevent us from realizing the synergies that we expect from our finance business. Additionally, see "-Changes in the regulatory environment in the sectors in which we operate could adversely affect our business and financial condition."- Given our focus on providing techfin services as part of our complete portfolio of digital services, we submitted an application for incorporation of a digital banking company to the Banking Regulation and Supervision Agency ("BRSA") in Turkiye in June 2022, and the approval process is still continuing. After obtaining the incorporation permit, an operating permit application would need to be submitted to the BRSA again with the completion of required infrastructure and organizational preparations. The review of the BRSA may result in the regulator asking for additional requirements to approve the license application, delays in the license process, ultimate rejection of the whole license application, or partial rejection of the license application, any of which may prevent us from achieving our strategic goals. If and when these processes are approved by the related authority, this business may expose us, notably, to liquidity and market risk, credit risk, fraud risk, regulatory penalty risk and cyber-attack risks, in particular with respect to personal information that we process and store. - Our subsidiary Global Tower operates a large portfolio of telecommunication towers in several countries, exposing us to risks associated with the expiry, non-renewal or termination of certain concessions or licenses of Turkcell, in which case Turkcell may be forced to transfer to the ICTA the tower assets it owns where ground lease agreements are executed by Global Tower, which would lead to a loss of revenue and have an adverse effect on our business and results of operations. In 2023, we continued to see increased competition from the local and international tower companies, which put pressure on our pricing ability and tenancy ratios. The price increases in our tenant contracts are indexed to inflation. High inflation rates may result in our customers renting less towers, which may impact tenancy ratio. Increasing commodity prices, especially for metals, and high inflation impacting personnel and other main costs may pressure our cost margins while building new towers. Our mobile telecom subsidiaries outside of Turkiye also face similar risks in their respective markets and, in addition, in Ukraine, the military actions undertaken and the uncertainties regarding future territorial control place our towers and equipment there at risk. - We are offering services to other operators through our subsidiary Lifecell Ventures. Lifecell Ventures' business model is based on charging for implementation, support, maintenance, revenue sharing and license fees for the provision of digital service technology and know-how to other operators with re-branding option. We cannot ensure the commercial success or profitability of this business, which depends on our and our partners' ability to compete against global and local players in these markets, as well as the local competitive environment, consumer trends and preferences and market conditions, all of which may be significantly different from the Turkish market. Furthermore, as this business grows and expands into new markets, namely through additional digital services commercial agreements and similar agreements, we will face increasing reputational, regulatory and commercial risks in those new markets, both directly and through our local partners. - We are a part of a joint venture in electric and connected cars (Togg), for which our Company acts as the technology partner. Our participation in this joint venture brings us new risks, namely in relation to development, technology and the manufacturing process, as well as financial risks. The initial capital agreed upon is EUR 500 million (not restated for IAS 29), with all parties committed to contributing according to their respective stakes. Turkcell has committed EUR 115 million, and the payment has been completed. - Our subsidiary Turkcell Enerji is engaged in electricity trading and wholesale and retail sales, which exposes us to risks related to energy prices that are directly impacted by exchange rates and energy regulation, as well as other regulatory and market risks, including the risk of trading electricity on commercially non-viable terms for short periods. In addition, the owned capacity in renewable energy investments of Turkcell Enerji increased after the acquisition of Boyut Enerji, which brought additional operational, financial, regulatory and other risks related to the power generation business. The profit margin in the energy business is currently lower than that of our telecommunications businesses and may not rise to the levels that we expect. - In order to partially match its electricity consumption, Turkcell has undertaken an investment program into renewable electricity production sources, mainly from solar power plants, for the 2023-2026 period. In 2022, the related authorities facilitated renewable energy investment practice with certain regulatory provisions which enable corporates to generate electricity to offset their own consumption. However, there are a number of risks relating to the process, which include the potential inability to acquire the land which will be used for solar panel installations from the owner, failure to obtain zoning for the land in the future, delay or failure to obtain official approvals for solar power plant installations, failure to complete the energy transmission line project within the planned time frames and delays due to EPC (engineering, procurement and construction) firms. Any of these factors could delay the project plan and result in additional costs. Also, there is a risk of legal sanctions that may occur after injuries and deaths resulting from any non-compliance with the Occupational Health and Safety rules during the installation of the solar power plant. Lastly, since the equipment to be used in the solar energy investments is mostly imported products, the costs in Turkish Lira will be directly affected by the changes in the currency exchange rates. Moreover, there is a regulatory risk that, if the regulation that enables companies to offset their own electricity consumption with their production is suspended, these investments may not achieve their expected returns. - We established a venture capital investment fund (the "VCIF" or "Turkcell GSYF") in March 2022 with a professional fund management company, in order to invest in ventures that we believe are in line with our Company's business model and can create synergies with our Group's strategic focus areas. Our Company has invested around TRY 355 million (not restated for IAS 29) through our fund to date. Our Board of Directors has authorized us to invest up to TRY 500 million in total. In connection with these investments, we may face risks of illiquidity or loss of capital along with other market risks, as well as operational risks relating to the businesses in which the VCIF invests. Through these and other investments, we are exposed to markets, regulators, suppliers, competitors and consumers that are outside of our core telecommunication businesses, in areas in which we may have less expertise and experience than in those core businesses. These investments require significant management time and financial resources, and failure may damage our reputation. In a number of these cases, our investments are made through joint ventures and partnerships, as well as through the funds in our VCIF structure, none of which do we fully control, and which expose us to risks associated with the other participants in these ventures and partnerships. This includes in particular the risk of strategic disagreement with them and the risk of their financial default. Furthermore, as a minority participant in an investment, we might encounter difficulties in protecting our shareholder rights. We may also face risks in respect of the actions of the other parties in the investment or venture, for example violating anti-corruption laws such as the U.S. Foreign Corrupt Practices Act ("FCPA") and European Union regulations as well as applicable economic sanctions and embargoes and other risks. For further information relating to the corruption and sanctions laws to which we are subject, see "-If we, our local partners or any of our key suppliers fail to comply with laws and regulations regarding unethical business practices, including bribery and corruption, or were to be subject to international sanctions, this could adversely affect our business and financial condition." below. We also pursue opportunities which include alliances, such as MVNOs, management service agreements, branding and know-how support services, digital services cooperation and marketing partnerships. In addition, if an asset in which we have invested does not provide the expected returns, we may consider disposal at a sale price that may be below carrying value or liquidation. In addition to the foregoing, the Turkish Commercial Code and related legislation may require us to provide new capital or other financial support to certain of our controlled subsidiaries, which may divert resources from other needs. Any of the factors listed above may inhibit us from effectively pursuing our strategy, which would adversely affect our business.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 2
Added
Risk Factors Summary Summary of Risks relating to Turkiye
- The majority of our business and assets are in Turkiye, and thus deterioration in the economy in Turkiye, any devaluation of the Turkish Lira, or any instability in the political environment, may have an adverse effect on our business and financial condition. - If the current levels of inflation continue, the Turkish economy and our financial position and business could be adversely affected. - Since March 2022, the Turkish Lira has been qualified as a currency of a hyperinflationary economy under IAS 29, and we are required to apply inflationary adjustments to our financial statements. Any further adjustments could adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition and those of our Turkish subsidiaries. - Foreign exchange rate risks could affect the Turkish macroeconomic environment and could significantly affect our results of operation and financial position in future periods.
Macro & Political
Total Risks: 7/28 (25%)Above Sector Average
Economy & Political Environment2 | 7.1%
Economy & Political Environment - Risk 1
Added
If the current levels of inflation continue, the Turkish economy and our financial position and business could be adversely affected.
Significant inflation could have a material adverse effect on Turkiye's economy and in turn could increase our costs of operation and may negatively affect our business, financial condition and results of operations. Inflation in Turkiye has accelerated since the end of 2021, reaching a peak of 85.51% in October 2022. The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkiye ("CBRT") implemented a new economic model, aimed at decreasing inflation and maintaining gross domestic product (GDP) by increasing the value of Turkish Lira. The policy rate gradually increased from 8.50% to 42.50% in 2023, and then further to 50.0% in March 2024. As the strong economic management was implemented, inflation decreased to 64.77% towards the end of 2023. Expectations for local inflation stand out as a decline in the second half of 2024. The sharp rise in deposit interest rates starting from 2024 and the sharp decline in demand for currency protected time deposit products are followed as an obstacle to the depreciation of the Turkish lira. Inflation may result in a significant deterioration in purchasing power and/or in the spending patterns of our customers (both individual and corporate) and could negatively affect the affordability of some of our products and services, as well as an increase in our non-performing loans. In such conditions, customers may reduce purchases of our products and services, downsize their tariffs/plans or choose lower-cost products and services offered by other companies as was seen in 2022 and, to a lesser extent, in 2023. These conditions may impact our ability to increase the prices of our services and limit our revenue and ARPU growth. Furthermore, our ability to increase prices in response to inflation, for postpaid customers, fixed broadband customers and for some of our digital services, may be further limited by the duration of their contracts. We have contracts with our mobile subscribers (around 12 months) and fixed broadband subscribers (12-24 months). Although we implement price increases multiple times throughout the year due to the contract-based nature of our business, price increases are reflected in our growth performance with a time lag. Even though we try to implement sequential price increases, their reflection in our topline growth is shown on a gradual basis. These factors may cause our revenues to decrease in real terms, may limit our revenue growth and may contract our margins. At the same time, our costs may be increased by factors such as currency depreciation in the Turkish Lira and inflationary impacts on rising wages and electricity costs, reducing our profitability and adversely impacting our margins
Economy & Political Environment - Risk 2
Changed
The majority of our business and assets are in Turkiye, and thus deterioration in the economy in Turkiye, any depreciation of the Turkish Lira, or any instability in the political environment, may have an adverse effect on our business and financial condition.
With a substantial portion of our revenues, assets and business derived from and located in Turkiye, and denominated in Turkish Lira, adverse developments in the Turkish economy and political environment have had and are likely to continue to have a material adverse effect on our business and financial condition. Any deterioration in the general economic outlook for Turkiye may negatively affect our businesses. Turkiye has, from time to time, experienced volatile political, economic and social conditions. The COVID-19 pandemic caused a significant downturn in the Turkish economy in 2021 and 2022, which was visible in the precipitous declines in investments, exports, and industrial output, followed by the impact on the Turkish economy of the Southeastern Turkiye earthquakes in 2023. In addition, worsening economic conditions, such as increased inflation, the Turkish Lira's depreciation, any potential tax increases or other governmental measures affecting consumption levels, may cause a considerable decline in the purchasing power of our customers and have a detrimental impact on the affordability of some of our goods and services, affecting our revenues and limiting our growth. Domestic political factors are another source of uncertainty and impose further risks on the country's economy. These various factors have had a negative influence on our share price, and no assurance can be given that they will not continue to do so. The performance of the Turkish economy has been and may continue to be affected by global, regional and domestic economic and political developments. In our view, the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine, the ongoing war between Israel and Hamas, continuing regional conflicts (such as in Syria, Armenia/Azerbaijan) and uncertainties surrounding global inflation and commodity, oil, and food prices, pose serious challenges to the Turkish economy as well as to the global economy in 2024. There can be no assurance that these and other global economic, political and geopolitical factors, such as any ramifications of any domestic elections or the U.S. presidential elections, will not have an impact on Turkiye and will not cause further deterioration of the Turkish economy and, in turn, of our business, financial condition and results of operations. Furthermore, Turkiye is a well-known tourism destination and we observe a correlation between tourist inflow and our net subscriber additions. Any factors that may affect the number of foreign tourists visiting the country may adversely affect the growth of our subscribers, business and our financial condition. Continuing unfavorable economic conditions, including inflation, currency depreciation (particularly the Turkish Lira), rising wages and energy prices and the other factors cited above, are also expected to continue to increase our costs, reducing our profitability and adversely impacting our margins. In addition, these global and domestic macroeconomic, political and social volatilities may adversely impact execution of our strategies, including our ability to take strategic actions with respect to the composition of our portfolio of our assets.
International Operations1 | 3.6%
International Operations - Risk 1
Changed
We hold interests in several companies outside of Turkiye that expose us to various local economic, business, political, social, financial, liquidity, regulatory and legal risks of doing business in such countries. These investments may not provide the benefits that we expect, and our pursuit of acquisition opportunities may increase these risks and we may be unable to divest such investments successfully.
The Turkcell Group has investments in several emerging or developing markets, including Ukraine, Belarus and the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus and has activities that involve other emerging or developing markets. Legal systems, institutions, commercial practices and economies in those markets tend to be relatively underdeveloped and some may also suffer from relatively high rates of fraud and corruption. Were we to be affected by fraud or corruption, we could incur significant penalties under applicable anti-corruption legislation, including the FCPA, as well as reputational harm. The Turkcell Group also retains potential liability with regards to its divested businesses in such countries. There can be no assurance that political, legal, economic, social or other actions or developments in these countries or involving such companies will not have an adverse impact on our investments and businesses in these countries. In particular, Ukraine has been in conflict with Russian military forces since 2022, while Belarus has been the subject of sanctions over the last three years. Recent issues in our international operations include the following: - Our company decided to sell all of its operations in Ukraine (Lifecell LLC, LLC Global Bilgi and LLC UkrTower) to NJJ Capital and signed a share transfer agreement on December 29, 2023 ("Share Transfer Agreement"). See "Item 4. Information on the Company-B. Business Overview-IX. International and Domestic Subsidiaries-Ukraine-lifecell" below. The sale remains subject to the approval of the Ukrainian authorities and satisfaction of conditions to closing, and there is no guarantee that it will be completed in the time frame anticipated, or at all. Although we believe that the sale of our Ukrainian businesses will provide financial, operational and other benefits to us and our stockholders, we cannot provide assurance that we will achieve the full strategic and financial benefits expected from the sale. Further, such benefits, if ultimately achieved, may be delayed. The actions undertaken by Russian military forces against Ukraine since the beginning of 2022 have put our Ukrainian businesses (lifecell, UkrTower, Global LLC and Paycell LLC) at risk and are creating and are likely to continue to create substantial disruptions in the region. A number of our BTS sites have been damaged and our control over our BTS sites and business may be compromised by any further degradation in Ukraine's territorial integrity, whether as a result of military action or any ensuing situation. Occupation by Russia of the territories in Luhansk, Donetsk, Kherson, Kharkiv and Zaporizhzhia regions and so-called referendums to join Russia, led to impairment of lifecell and Ukrtower assets. Due to the lack of access to sites on the occupied territories, it is impossible to reliably establish their loss or damage. In total, a reversal of impairment loss of TRY 25.9 million (not restated for IAS 29) has been recognized in 2023 in relation to the assets on Ukraine liberated territories or assets whose operational activity was restored. However, the ongoing war may lead to an impairment of the value of our assets in Ukraine. Russian missile attacks on energy and other critical infrastructure have led and may continue to lead to country-wide electricity cuts, which in turn result in lower lifecell network availability. Although we are unable to predict the likely course or duration of these continuing events, the war in Ukraine could materially disrupt our Ukrainian operations, including our financial and banking transactions, lead to a decrease in revenue and subscriber base, increase our costs through, inter alia, increased costs of compliance, impact cash flows, cause harm to our team members and otherwise impair their ability to work for extended periods of time, as well as disrupting banks and other critical infrastructure necessary to conduct business in Ukraine. In addition, under conditions of martial law, mobile operators are likely to attract increased interest from criminals, including politically motivated actors, increasing the risks of system failure or cyber security breaches. Ukraine's largest mobile operator was targeted in a powerful cyberattack in December 2023, causing a technical failure that temporarily disrupted communication services and internet access for Ukrainians over a period of several days. As of the end of December 2023, 97% of the daily average stores across the country are open. The continuation of the war might increase the shop destructions. We also face a risk of loss of control or expropriation of our assets. In Ukraine, the National Bank of Ukraine ("NBU") fixed the official UAH/USD exchange rate at 36.5686 as of July 21, 2022, and NBU shifted to the regime of managed flexibility of the exchange rate on October 3, 2023. As of 2023-year end, UAH/USD was at 37.9824. In 2023, inflation fell faster than expected, closing the year at 5.1%, due to higher harvests and thus more food supply, as well as due to further reduction of pressure on business costs. As of March 2024, the inflation figure was announced at 3.2%. In view of the current situation, it is not possible to make any reliable assessment of the outlook for the Ukrainian economy. Weaknesses of state institutions, civil unrest and economic turbulence have also adversely affected the overall economic situation in Ukraine. In addition to the political risks in relation to the military actions underway and the risks of economic instability, our operations in Ukraine could also expose us to operational, competitive, regulatory and legal risks, as well as the political risk of nationalization of some or all of our assets, or the risk of restrictions on our ability to upstream cash, in particular if the sale of such operations is not successfully completed. - We also carry out business in Belarus through 100% stake in BeST. See "Item 4. Information on the Company-B. Business Overview-IX. International and Domestic Subsidiaries-BeST." After the controversial presidential election held in 2020, which caused protests and strikes, the US, the UK, Canada and the EU imposed a broad range of sanctions against Belarus and certain Belarussian entities and persons and certain sectors in Belarus. In 2022 and 2023, the EU, US, UK and certain other countries broadened this scope, imposing significant sanctions on Belarusian persons and entities, visa restrictions, import bans and wide-ranging export controls, stemming from both the presidential election and Belarus's ongoing involvement in Russia's invasion of Ukraine and targeting a wide range of industries and goods. We may face risks of violations in cases where domestic regulations conflict with these sanctions' restrictions. The imposed sanctions and limitations affect the economic climate in Belarus, and also affect our access to, and the cost of, imported equipment and software, notably our base station and office software. These factors may lead to a decline in our operating performance, our ability to make investments and an impairment of the value of our assets there. In particular, due to these sanctions and the limitations thereof, we face difficulties in making the investments required under the Investment Agreement between Turkcell and Belarus (See "Item 4 Information on the Company-B. Business Overview-IX. International and Domestic Subsidiaries-BeST") due to both the lack of imported hardware and software (and vendor support) and the challenges with banking operations or international transactions resulting from the sanctions placed by the aforementioned countries on some Belarusian banks. We may also face difficulties in making the required USD 100 million installment payment pursuant to the Investment Agreement. Our failure to implement the investment project within the agreed timeline and/or comply with the investment amount may result in penalties, termination of the Investment Agreement and/or compensation to Belarus for the benefits granted under the Investment Agreement, any of which could have an adverse effect on our business and results of operations in the mid-to-long term. In Belarus, annual inflation for 2023 was 5.8%, while for the first quarter of 2024 inflation was reported as 2.2%. The National Bank gradually decreased the refinancing rate from 12% to 9.5%, effective from June 2023. As of December 31, 2023, the local currency had devaluated by 16.1%, based on the National Bank of Republic of Belarus, as compared to closing rates on December 31, 2022. Macroeconomic stability is currently fragile due to the country's reliance on the Russian economy and domestic political instability. There can be no assurance that such economic, political, regulatory and operational difficulties will evolve favorably in the future. These risks have affected and could adversely affect our reputation and results of operations. - In the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (the "Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus" or "TRNC"), our subsidiary Kibris Telekom holds 247 MHz bandwidth on 700 MHz, 800 MHz, 900 MHz, 1800 MHz, 2100 MHz, 2600 MHz and 3600 MHz frequencies. If Kibris Telekom fails to comply with the terms and conditions of its license agreements, we may incur penalties, which could have an adverse effect on our business and results of operations. Additionally, the incumbent telecom operator, TRNC Telecommunications Office, may be restructured as a public-private partnership. If the restructuring were to be awarded to one of our main competitors, or to include the issuance of a third mobile license, this would adversely affect our growth and our competitiveness in the region. Furthermore, due to its designation as an operator having significant market power in the mobile access and call origination markets, Kibris Telekom is obliged to provide access and call origination services to MVNOs. Any of these factors may increase competition in the market and adversely affect our business and financial condition. In the past, there have been political discussions regarding the reunification of Cyprus, which, if resumed, may bring growth opportunities for our subsidiary, but may also lead to risks including unfavorable changes in applicable regulations, an increase in competition, an increase in capital expenditure requirements and loss of revenues. Our international subsidiaries may not benefit us in the way we expect for the reasons cited above, as well as for other reasons, including general macroeconomic conditions, poor management and legal, regulatory or political obstacles, all of which may be further impacted by war or other conflict. For example, foreign exchange controls in Ukraine have included, for example, a ban on the purchase and cross-border transfer of currency for the purpose of paying dividends. Although such restrictions are being lifted, they are being replaced by monthly limitations on dividend payments. Such restrictions may be further expanded in these countries, or other restrictions may be imposed on the ability of our subsidiaries to pay dividends or to make distributions to us, or on our ability to repatriate funds, any of which could restrict Turkcell's ability to receive funds from those operations. For some of these subsidiaries, we do not expect to achieve desired levels of profitability in the near or mid-term. We may also in response to such conditions consider increasing, restructuring or exiting certain of our investments and we may be required to establish new legal entities or engage in new business lines due to our business needs or recently introduced regulations. In addition, if an asset in which we have invested does not provide the expected returns, we may choose to dispose of it at a sale price that may be below its carrying or liquidation value. These factors could have an adverse effect on the implementation of our strategy, our financial condition and the demand for and the price of our shares. In this regard, we have and are likely to continue to experience issues in some of our international businesses that adversely affect our Company. In addition to investing in our international operations, we also engage in business through roaming agreements in a number of countries. In international markets in which monopoly or duopoly markets exist, such as Monaco, the United Arab Emirates or the Maldives, operators tend to increase their roaming prices despite the overall global trend of declining roaming prices, which could increase our roaming costs. Moreover, the terms on which we enter into roaming agreements may change over time, adversely affecting our ability to sustain or enter into such agreements on commercially viable terms.
Natural and Human Disruptions2 | 7.1%
Natural and Human Disruptions - Risk 1
Added
Our business is subject to risks arising from natural disasters and catastrophic accidents.
Our main geographical focus is in Turkiye. A significant portion of Turkiye's population and most of its economic resources are located in a first-degree earthquake risk zone. On February 6, 2023, two high-magnitude earthquakes, centered in Kahramanmaras (the "Southeastern Turkiye Earthquakes"), impacted 11 cities across Southeastern Turkiye and affected the lives of 14 million people, accounting for 16% of Turkiye's population. The earthquakes caused widespread devastation to property and infrastructure in the affected regions. At the time of the Southeastern Turkiye Earthquakes, we had around 6.5 million subscribers in the affected regions. During 2023, Turkcell incurred restoration costs directly related to the damage caused by the disaster to our sites, as well as investments for recovery. In addition, an investigation was initiated against our Company in connection with the Southeastern Turkiye Earthquakes relating to our communications infrastructure. Within the scope of the investigation, several violations were identified by the Supervisory Board regarding our alleged failure to take necessary measures to ensure uninterrupted communication during disasters and emergencies. In the event that our defenses are not accepted, there is a risk of material administrative fines being imposed on our company. Notably, any earthquake may result in significant damages to the IT and NT systems, as well as our datacenters, on which our business depends. In particular, any earthquake affecting Istanbul, where a high number of our sites and key management personnel are located, may result in significant damage to our sites and disruption to our services. The continuity of our network and service ability during catastrophic natural disasters largely depends on non-controllable external resources such as electricity outages, fuel logistics, and transportation infrastructure. Long-term power outages pose a risk to the continuity of services. Batteries and generators, which back up electricity outages, can provide network continuity only for a limited time. Additionally, the lack of fuel or fuel logistic problems in affected areas might impact the energy production of generators, which could eventually affect our operations or cause a suspension of services. In case of a disaster, due to disruptions in transportation infrastructure and traffic congestion, our network teams may arrive late at our sites, which could postpone service recovery. Furthermore, the rooftop sites, which are generally built on top of residential buildings, might be impacted due to the heavy damage and destruction caused by natural disasters. These factors also put at risk the inventory that we hold which, if damaged, could adversely affect business continuity and our results of operations. Although we have insurance policies with relevant coverage, such policies will not offset the full amount of the operational expense and capital expenditure requirements for recovery. Furthermore, in an event of a major earthquake, the potential destruction would cause both a major disturbance to the network topology and a shift of population to new living areas, which in turn could necessitate a reevaluation of network investments, leading to potentially significant increased investment requirements. Additionally, since telecommunication services are perceived as a critical service during catastrophic events, suspension of services may lead to reputational risk. The 2023 Southeastern Turkiye Earthquakes, or another future earthquake or natural disaster, have had and may in the future have other economic consequences, including a reduction in overall demand by consumers and businesses in Turkiye. This may continue to adversely affect our sales and increase costs, negatively impacting our operating results and financial condition. In particular, an earthquake in the Marmara region, where our headquarters are located, might create a management gap, impact sustainability of services, and restrain the implementation of crisis management plans. Moreover, a massive natural disaster may also disrupt the fragile economic conditions in Turkiye, further widening budget deficits. We might be faced with state of emergency measures which can directly impact our business. In light of the increased cost of recovery and reconstructions in the affected regions and the impact on the population, the authorities might apply one-time taxes or permanent tax increases or donation programs, or required forgiveness measures for consumer debts, as was done in 2023. See "Item 5. Operating and Financial Review and Prospects-II. Taxation Issues in the Telecommunications Sector and Other Sectors in which the Company Operates." and "Item 5. Operating and Financial Review and Prospects-III. The Southeastern Turkiye Earthquakes." Overall, we cannot assess the potential financial and operational risks of any such events in the future, any of which could materially adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition.
Natural and Human Disruptions - Risk 2
Added
Environmental risks and climate change could significantly impact our businesses.
Risks induced by climate change, including temperature changes, increases in energy consumption and/or energy prices, can directly affect Turkcell's business operations. In particular, extreme weather events precipitated by long-term climate change have the potential to directly damage network facilities, disrupt our ability to build and maintain portions of our network, disrupt suppliers' ability to provide the products and services we require to provide reliable network coverage or cause us to incur significant expenditures to improve the climate resiliency of our infrastructure and otherwise prepare for, respond to and mitigate the effects of climate change. Any such disruption or preventive or remedial response could delay network deployment plans, interrupt service for our customers, increase our costs and have a negative effect on our operating results. In addition, adapting sustainable solutions and technological changes in the ICT sector requires profound R&D studies and expenditures. Importing these know-hows may be costly, especially due to the increasing demand for R&D studies, may create legal or patent issues, or present obstacles in terms of accessing the most updated technology. On the other hand, continuous improvement of operational processes (such as monitoring energy consumption) or the development of new products (such as more efficient network and terminal devices) may increase investment costs. Turkcell has taken, and continues to take, measures against extreme weather events and natural disaster risks caused by climate change. Studies are being made in light of the expected increases in average temperatures in the long term in order to guide our investment strategy aimed at mitigating such risks. For example, rising average temperatures could increase our energy costs due to the need to maintain temperature stability at our data centers, or to relocate such data centers to colder climates, in particular in the event of energy price increases or energy shortages. Turkcell is also making major investments in solar energy and solar power plants as part of its goal to reduce Scope 1, 2 and 3 emissions by 2030 and to be a net zero company by 2050. Furthermore, Turkcell has been investing in mobile base stations with solar panels on top of the vehicles in order to provide service in places where electricity is not available or where there is a need for additional capacity; as well as serving Turkcell's proposed energy solution goals. Turkcell plans to continue such investments, though there can be no guarantee such investments will provide sufficient power for Turkcell's operations at a reasonable cost, or that we will be able to achieve our emissions reductions goals in the timeframe we have announced. If the frequency of climate-related disasters increases, Turkcell's responsiveness may be diminished, potentially jeopardizing service continuity and raising concerns regarding the security of Turkcell's field personnel. Furthermore, any such disasters could lead to escalated operational costs, including increased insurance premiums for assets. Consequently, Turkcell may need to consider implementing measures such as exemptions, upper limit restrictions, premium adjustments, or coverage exclusions pertaining to climate events to mitigate associated risks. In addition, an increasing number of regulators, self-regulatory organizations, investors and other stakeholders have been focusing on Environmental, Social and Corporate Governance ("ESG") matters and, in that connection, have started implementing requirements for more robust ESG disclosure. For example, in the United States, the Securities and Exchange Commission has proposed ESG disclosures for reporting issuers, while in the European Union the legislative landscape has been evolving rapidly with the implementation of the CSRD. In response to such new regulatory, or other, initiatives, we may choose, or be required, to adopt additional strategies, policies, or procedures related to ESG matters. Moreover, we may be required to prepare more expansive ESG reporting, which could cause us to expend significant capital and human resources and could divert management's attention. Non-compliance with any applicable ESG reporting obligations may result in enforcement actions, sanctions, reputational harm or private litigation. In addition, more expansive reporting requirements could result in the disclosure of information that which may have adverse impact on our operations and reputation, which may itself lead to additional exposure.
Capital Markets2 | 7.1%
Capital Markets - Risk 1
Added
Since March 2022, the Turkish Lira has been qualified as a currency of a hyperinflationary economy under IAS 29, and we are required to apply inflationary adjustments to our financial statements. Any further adjustments could adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition and those of our Turkish subsidiaries.
Pursuant to the International Accounting Standard 29, Financial Reporting in Hyperinflationary Economies ("IAS 29"), the financial statements of entities whose functional currency is that of a hyperinflationary economy must be adjusted for the effects of changes in a general price index. IAS 29 does not establish an absolute rate when hyperinflation is deemed to arise and the IASB does not identify specific hyperinflationary jurisdictions. However, IAS 29 provides a series of non-exclusive guidelines that assist companies in exercising their judgment as to when restatement of financial statements becomes necessary. These guidelines consist of (i) analyzing the behavior of the population regarding preservation of wealth in non-monetary assets or in relatively stable foreign currency, prices being quoted in terms of a relatively stable currency, interest rates and wages being linked to a price index, and the loss of the currency's purchasing power, and (ii) as a quantitative characteristic, verifying if the three-year cumulative inflation rate approaches or exceeds 100%. In March 2022, the International Practices Task Force of the Centre for Audit Quality ("IPTF"), which monitors countries experiencing high inflation, categorized Turkiye as a country with projected 36 months' cumulative inflation rate greater than 100% as of February 28, 2022. Therefore, Turkish companies reporting under IFRS, including us, have been required to apply IAS 29 to their financial statements for periods ending on and after June 30, 2022. Under IAS 29, financial statements of an entity that reports in the currency of a hyperinflationary economy should be stated in terms of the measuring unit at the current balance sheet date. Nonmonetary items which are not already expressed in terms of the measuring unit current at the end of the reporting period and components of owners' equity in the statement of financial position, and all items in the statement of profit or loss and other comprehensive income should be restated by applying a general price index. In addition, gains or losses arising from net monetary position should be included in net income under a separate line item and other comprehensive income. As a result of our application of IAS 29 to our financial statements in 2023, the majority of our financial metrics have been impacted. We cannot predict the impact that any further application of IAS 29 and related adjustments will have on our financial statements, results of operations and financial condition going forward.
Capital Markets - Risk 2
Changed
Foreign exchange rate risks could affect the Turkish macroeconomic environment and could significantly affect our results of operation and financial position in future periods.
Depreciation of the Turkish Lira may adversely affect the Turkish economy. The Turkish Lira which traded at 18.70 to the USD at the beginning of 2023, depreciated to as high as 29.44 to the USD in December 2023, marking a depreciation of TRY against the USD of 36.4% as compared to December 31, 2022. The CBRT undertook a transition to generally accepted economic policies and tight monetary policy began to be accepted as an important management model for Turkiye. Notable measures include higher returns on lira-denominated deposits, intended to reduce spot demand for foreign exchange, however the volatility of major currencies may continue to negatively affect the Turkish Lira. Turkiye's state debt is expected to increase, putting extra pressure on the Turkish Lira's value in relation to major currencies. In addition, historical data has shown that inflation rates typically reflect the impact of the Turkish Lira's devaluation within 3 to 6 months on average. A 10% average depreciation of the domestic currency has traditionally resulted in an additional 3.0 points of inflation in Turkiye due to exchange rate pass-through. We are exposed to foreign exchange rate risks as a result of the fact that our income, expenses, assets and liabilities are denominated in a number of different currencies, primarily Turkish Lira ("TRY"), U.S. Dollars, Euros, Chinese Renminbi ("CNY"), Ukrainian Hryvnia ("UAH"), and Belarusian Ruble ("BYN"). Fluctuations in the Turkish Lira, UAH and BYN versus U.S. Dollars, Euros, and Chinese Renminbi, have had and may continue to have an unfavorable impact on us. In particular, a substantial majority of our capital expenditure is currently, and is expected to continue to be, denominated in U.S. Dollars, Euros and Renminbi, while the revenues generated by our activities are denominated largely in local currencies, in particular the Turkish Lira, the UAH and the BYN. As of December 31, 2023, our total debt (as restated in accordance with IAS 29) was TRY 84,084.2 million (including TRY 2,427.6 million of lease obligations). The consolidated debt breakdown (excluding lease obligations) as of December 31, 2023 by currency was as follows: Turkcell Turkiye's debt was TRY 74,067.3 million, of which TRY 37,538.0 million (USD 1,275.1 million) was denominated in USD, TRY 25,815.9 million (EUR 792.5 million) in EUR, TRY 2,261.5 million (CNY 548.7 million) in CNY and the remaining TRY 8,451.7 million in TRY. International's debt was TRY 270.1 million, of which TRY 15.8 million was denominated in BYR ( BYR 1,711.4 million) and the remaining TRY 254.2 million in TRY.Techfin's debt was TRY 6,698.5 million, of which TRY 345.4 million (EUR 10.6 million) was denominated in EUR, with the remaining TRY 6,353.1 million in TRY. The debt balance of Boyut Enerji was TRY 300.4 million all denominated in USD and debt balance of Turkcell Enerji was TRY 320.2 million, all denominated in TRY. Further devaluation of the Turkish Lira could further affect and limit our investment plans in the future. The financing of infrastructure investments, potential license fee payments and any other potential investment opportunities could lead to an increase in our U.S. Dollar and/or Euro debt, further increasing our currency exposure. See "Item 8. Financial Information" and Note 35 to our Consolidated Financial Statements included elsewhere in this annual report. Our currency hedging strategy includes derivative transactions and accumulating hard currency by using Turkish Lira cash from our operations. In addition, we have been further diversifying our currency exposure by entering into agreements with our vendors in their local currencies, particularly in Chinese Renminbi. While we are currently able to hedge our principal TRY exposure to the U.S. Dollar and the Euro on commercially reasonable terms, no assurance can be given that we will continue to be able to do so under all circumstances in the future, in particular taking into account the context created by the political and geopolitical risks, which has had, and is likely to continue to have, a material impact on the volatility of global markets which, in turn, may lead to a material increase in our financing costs. Due to additional regulations imposed by the CBRT and BRSA, the variety of hedging instruments available has decreased while the cost of some of these instruments has increased to a level where they are no longer commercially viable. This may have a negative impact on our financial decisions, or we may face a higher negative net foreign exchange position and, ultimately, a negative impact on net income and lower dividends in the future. The increase in public debt in Turkiye may also continue to result in increased pressure on the value of the TRY. For further information relating to our financing obligations, see "-Risks Relating to Our Business-Reduction in cash generated from operations and increased capital needs may increase our borrowing requirements, which may increase our financing costs and our exposure to the risks associated with borrowing" below. In several of the other countries in which we have businesses, in particular Ukraine and Belarus, there are no or few tools to hedge foreign exchange rate risks effectively due to restricted and undeveloped financial markets in these countries. The current war in Ukraine and the ensuing geopolitical repercussions have had and are expected to continue to have a significant adverse effect on both the UAH and BYN. Both currencies have been subject to limits on transfer and conversion and are vulnerable to further devaluation. For example, there has been a ban in Ukraine on the purchase and cross-border transfer of currency for the purpose of paying dividends. The BYN is also exposed to the effects of international sanctions on Russia and its allies. We are also exposed to currency exchange rates on the prices of the smartphones that we rely on for the promotion of our data and digital services, including with respect to our financing activities such as those through our Financell subsidiary. Coupled with deterioration in purchasing power of customers, Turkish Lira depreciation has made smartphones that are procured in hard currencies more expensive for our customers, thus potentially reducing new sales of such devices and curbing the market for our services, which has and may continue to have a negative impact on our revenues and profitability. Any significant fluctuations in the value of the TRY relative to the other currencies discussed above and any devaluation of the TRY, UAH and BYN could have an adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Production
Total Risks: 5/28 (18%)Above Sector Average
Employment / Personnel1 | 3.6%
Employment / Personnel - Risk 1
Changed
Our consolidated financial results and/or operational performance could be adversely affected if we are unable to retain our key personnel and employees.
Our performance depends, to a significant extent, on the abilities and continued service of our key personnel. Competition for qualified and highly skilled telecommunications and technology personnel in Turkiye and elsewhere is intense, in particular in the areas of software development, cyber security and techfin. Additionally, the global trend toward remote working practices has increased the flexibility of changing jobs. In particular, the market for qualified technical roles is not only highly competitive, but also suffers from the scarcity of personnel, which impacts our ability to replace our personnel with qualified and capable successors. Moreover, the current macroeconomic conditions in Turkiye, in particular, the depreciation and inflation in the Turkish Lira, have impacted and may continue to impact our ability to retain our employees. In 2023, a number of organizational changes occurred in the management of our company, including two changes at the level of the CEO and several changes to the C level executives. Further changes might be made in the future. Although we have taken measures to prevent major disruptions to our operations as a result of the transition in management and the related organizational changes, no assurance can be given that the changes being implemented will achieve their objectives, or that they will not have an adverse effect on our business or the continued pursuit of our strategy, or lead to further retention issues among other key personnel. The loss of the service or loyalty of key personnel or management teams, due to any of the aforementioned conditions, or any influx of such personnel to our competitors, could adversely affect our business and financial condition and could lead to breaches of confidentiality, particularly if such persons were to join a competitor.
Supply Chain3 | 10.7%
Supply Chain - Risk 1
Added
We are dependent on a small number of suppliers for network equipment, information systems and handsets and for the provision of data and services. We also rely on a small number of distributors. The failure of any of our suppliers or distributors may have an adverse effect on our business and financial condition.
We purchase our communications network equipment from a limited number of major suppliers. Our business is dependent on a small number of critical suppliers in areas such as network infrastructure, information systems, SIM cards, handsets and distribution. For smartphones and tablets, we have been working with only two exclusive distributors in Turkiye since 2015, which creates a concentration risk. Any financial difficulty or failure of any of our suppliers and/or our distributors in terms of timing and quality may adversely affect our business and financial condition. Such suppliers and distributors may fail to provide equipment or services on a timely basis, as a result of a recurrence of the global chip shortage crisis or disruptions in the global supply chain. Global crises, such as the war between Ukraine and Russia and the conflict between Israel and Hamas may have a negative impact on the supply chain for technological devices and equipment. If such failures occur, we may be unable to provide products and services as and when requested by our customers, or we may be unable to continue to maintain or upgrade our networks. Our competitive position could also be adversely affected if our suppliers fall behind on technological developments compared to the suppliers of our competitors. The cost and time lag that can be associated with transitioning from one supplier to another further increased in the post-COVID-19 period. Because of these factors, our business could be substantially disrupted if we were required to, or chose to, replace the products or services of one or more major suppliers with products or services from another source, especially if the replacement became necessary on short notice. Any such disruption could increase our costs, decrease our operating efficiencies and have a material adverse effect on our business and financial condition. Our competitive position could also be adversely affected if our suppliers fall behind technological developments compared to the suppliers of our competitors. Adverse economic conditions have negatively affected and may continue to affect our domestic and international suppliers, leading to a contraction in their business, which in turn may lead to a decrease in the quality of the services that they render to us and adversely affect timely delivery of such services, thereby negatively impacting our business and operations. In particular, if prices at which we purchase products from our domestic and international suppliers increase, namely as a result of currency depreciation, inflation and shortage crisis-both in Turkiye and internationally- we would need to pass on all or a large portion of these additional costs to our customers to be able to maintain our margins. However, we may be unable to increase the selling price of products or services to fully or partially offset the price increases by our suppliers (some of which have considerable negotiating power), particularly if our main competitors choose not to implement such price increases. In addition, our existing license agreements or new regulations may require us to purchase network equipment from specified suppliers or meet certain specifications regarding our existing suppliers. Equipment from these suppliers may not always be compatible with our existing equipment or the supplier may fail to integrate it, and our employees may not be familiar with the technical specifications and maintenance requirements of equipment from these suppliers. Furthermore, if our suppliers fail to meet the requirements, we may end up violating the terms of our license agreements. Any of these factors could have a material adverse effect on our business and financial condition.
Supply Chain - Risk 2
Added
We have become active in providing products and services for industries other than telecommunications, or for new telecommunications services and products, many of which are developed and/or maintained by third party providers. Our reliance on these third-party providers may adversely affect our business.
The operation of our business depends, in part, upon the successful deployment of continually evolving products and services, including for applications in industries other than telecommunications, such as TV, music, energy, mobile financial and payment services, insurance services, corporate services such as mobile education solutions, authentication solutions, managed services, data center services and entertainment and community services, as well as for new telecommunications services and products, such as eSIM subscription services. We are reliant upon third party providers to help us effectively manage and respond to risks relating to security, regulations and business for many of these products and services, especially, but not exclusively, in industries outside of telecommunications. Changes in industry practice or in technology may impair our partners' business and/or negatively impact the content we are developing, such as for entertainment, which, in turn, could have a material adverse effect on our business and financial condition. Further, failure by our third-party providers to provide their services on the timeframe or according to the quality standards we expect may impact our own reputation and our ability to carry out our strategic objectives.
Supply Chain - Risk 3
If we, our local partners or any of our key suppliers fail to comply with laws and regulations regarding unethical business practices, including bribery and corruption, or were to be subject to international sanctions, this could adversely affect our business and financial condition.
We are subject to various laws and regulations relating to unethical business practices, including bribery and corruption, and international sanctions. Bribery and anti-corruption laws in effect in many countries prohibit companies and their intermediaries from making improper payments to public officials for the purpose of obtaining new business or maintaining existing business relationships. Certain anti-corruption laws such as the FCPA also require the maintenance of proper books and records, and the implementation of controls and procedures in order to ensure that a company's operations do not involve corrupt payments. Since we operate in several countries, and given that some of our clients, or local partners (including those with whom we enter into cooperation agreements or similar agreements), are government-owned entities and that our projects and agreements often require approvals from public officials, we face the risk that our employees, local partners, consultants or agents may take actions that are in violation of our policies and of anti-corruption laws. In many parts of the world where we currently operate or seek to expand our business, local practices and customs may be inconsistent with our policies, and could violate anti-corruption laws, including the FCPA and European Union regulations, as well as applicable economic sanctions and embargoes. Our employees, local partners or other parties acting on our behalf or with whom we enter into cooperation agreements or similar agreements, or our suppliers, could violate policies and procedures intended to promote compliance with anti-corruption laws or economic sanctions, regardless of whether we had participated in such acts or had knowledge of such acts at certain levels within our organization. Any of the foregoing could result in criminal prosecution and sanctions, fines, penalties, withdrawal of licenses against us, companies in which we invested, and our and their officers and employees and significant damage to our reputation, and negatively affect our competitive advantage and financial position. There can be no assurance that acts of corruption will not occur or be alleged in respect of any of our activities or those of our current or past affiliates. We have strong commercial ties to several Chinese and Russian vendors from which we have in the past purchased network equipment, and currently have a significant installed base of equipment from such vendors, including in the context of the development of our 5G network infrastructure and cloud and IT infrastructure. We also have access to financing from the CDB which facilitates the purchase of Chinese equipment. Should any one of these Chinese or Russian entities become subject to U.S. sanctions, or should we or any entity in our supply chain be compelled to terminate a relationship with a vendor as a result of the direct or indirect reexport restrictions implications resulting from an entity being added to the Entity List prohibitions of the U.S. Commerce Department's Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS), which would affect our ability to purchase their equipment in the future and require us to find alternative suppliers, or should we be compelled to terminate or suspend our relationships with these vendors for any other reason, namely as a result of the ongoing tensions between either of these countries and the U.S., this may lead to an increase in our costs or otherwise affect our ability to develop and maintain our increasingly advanced network infrastructure and negatively affect our competitive advantage and financial position. In fact, one Russian vendor for our subsidiary in the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus has recently been included on the U.S. sanctions list, and we have taken steps to terminate that relationship and otherwise mitigate the risk of secondary sanctions being imposed on our subsidiary or ourselves. At this point, however, no assurance can be given that the Russian vendor will continue to cooperate in replacing its products with a new vendor's products nor what the U.S. authorities may do in the transition period during which our subsidiary must continue some form of relationship with the Russian vendor. For further details regarding potential sanctions, see "-We hold interests in several companies outside of Turkiye that expose us to various local economic, business, political, social, financial, liquidity, regulatory and legal risks of doing business in such countries. These investments may not provide the benefits that we expect, and our pursuit of acquisition opportunities may increase these risks and we may be unable to divest such investments successfully."
Costs1 | 3.6%
Costs - Risk 1
Added
Summary of Risks Relating to Our Business
- Competition in the Turkish telecommunications market may adversely affect the growth of our business and our financial condition, and the competition that we face may evolve with our business strategy. - Our growth strategy is partly dependent on making investments in new opportunities, in particular outside of our core telecommunications activities, which may not be successful and which could affect our business and financial condition. - Changes in the regulatory environment in the sectors in which we operate could adversely affect our business and financial condition. - We hold interests in several companies outside of Turkiye that expose us to various local economic, business, political, social, financial, liquidity, regulatory and legal risks of doing business in such countries. These investments may not provide the benefits that we expect, and our pursuit of acquisition opportunities may increase these risks and we may be unable to divest such investments successfully. - Reduction in cash generated from operations and increased capital needs may increase our borrowing requirements, which may increase our financing costs and our exposure to the risks associated with borrowing. - Our business is subject to risks arising from natural disasters and catastrophic accidents. - Environmental risks and climate change could significantly impact our businesses. - Our business is heavily dependent on the continuity and security of our information technology and network technology services, which are subject to physical and cybersecurity threats. - We are dependent on a small number of suppliers for network equipment, information systems and handsets and for the provision of data and services. We also rely on a small number of distributors. The failure of any of our suppliers or distributors may have an adverse effect on our business and financial condition. - We have become active in providing products and services for industries other than telecommunications, or for new telecommunications services and products, many of which are developed and/or maintained by third party providers. Our reliance on these third-party providers may adversely affect our business. - If we, our local partners or any of our key suppliers fail to comply with laws and regulations regarding unethical business practices, including bribery and corruption, or were to be subject to international sanctions, this could adversely affect our business and financial condition. - We are involved in various claims and legal actions arising in connection with our business, which could have a material effect on our financial condition. - We have a material amount of deferred tax assets which is subject to significant judgement by our management, and we face risks with regard to the recognition and recoverability of these assets. - Although we maintain and regularly review our internal control over financial reporting, there are inherent limitations on the effectiveness of our controls, particularly as our Company grows and enters into new businesses. - Our consolidated financial results and/or operational performance could be adversely affected if we are unable to retain our key personnel and employees.
Tech & Innovation
Total Risks: 3/28 (11%)Below Sector Average
Cyber Security1 | 3.6%
Cyber Security - Risk 1
Added
Our business is heavily dependent on the continuity and security of our information technology and network technology services, which are subject to physical and cybersecurity threats.
Our ability to conduct our business depends on the availability and security of our information technology ("IT") and network technology ("NT") systems and services. As part of our ongoing development and initiatives, more equipment and systems have been connected to IT systems. We also rely on digital technology, including information systems, to process financial and operational information. Although we devote significant resources to the development and improvement of IT and NT and to our security, backup and continuity systems, we could still experience IT and NT failures and outages due to physical incidents and threats, such as system deficiencies, human error, natural disasters such as earthquakes and floods, energy blackouts, fire, power losses, pandemic measures, facility access issues, unsuccessful migration to alternative or improved IT and NT systems, or other factors, including but not limited to unintentional third-party interruptions or theft and vandalism. Our commercial success is heavily dependent upon the security of our services, and maintaining the security of the personal and financial data, intellectual property, and other confidential and sensitive data of our customers, employees and suppliers is essential to our business. Mobile networks are migrating towards internet protocol ("IP") technology to transport information. These networks open up the possibility for IP-based services. However, once these services are introduced into the IP domain, the mobile network may be harmed by potential attacks. Threats to the mobile network can originate from external sources, such as the public internet, or internal sources, such as terminals connected to our mobile network. Despite the systems and infrastructure which we have put in place to address these security concerns, we could encounter successful attacks on our infrastructure, which could have an adverse effect on our operations, damage our reputation and affect our relationships with our customers. Cyberattacks may be conducted by sophisticated and organized groups and individuals with a wide range of motives and expertise, including organized criminal groups, "hacktivists," terrorists, nation-states, nation state-supported actors, and others. Successful cyberattacks could prevent the effective provision, operation and commercialization of our services, in addition to affecting their use by customers. Therefore, it is necessary to continue to identify and remedy any technical vulnerabilities and weaknesses in our operating processes, as well as to continue to strengthen our ability to detect, react and recover from incidents. In particular, this includes the need to strengthen security controls in the supply chain, which may include a high number of participants spread across different countries, by focusing on the security measures adopted by our providers, and other third parties, and, in particular, by ensuring the security of cloud services provided by third parties. However, we cannot ensure that our efforts will be successful. In common with other high-profile businesses which are targeted for cyber-attacks, including telecommunications operators in particular, our networks and systems are constantly exposed to a variety of different cyber threats and we have experienced an increased number of sabotage incidents, as well as attempted cyber-attacks of varying degrees of sophistication by unauthorized parties attempting to obtain access to our computer systems and networks. Globally, actors in the telecommunications and other industries were subject to destructive cyberattacks at the end of 2023. In addition, our operations in Ukraine and elsewhere may be at heightened risk of such attacks due to the war between Russia and Ukraine. Another telecommunications company in Ukraine was subject to a cyberattack that led to large scale communications outages on their systems for several days in December 2023. We believe that no such attacks have succeeded in obtaining access to our critical systems, although in practice such attacks may develop over long periods of time during which they can remain undetected. Through our Cyber Defense Center practices, we have observed many privilege theft and escalation attempts which we believe have been stopped before causing any harm to our services and products. Also, many phishing and malware activities were detected, and we assessed that stopped, including those which aimed at taking control over our clients and servers. So far, none of these attacks are regarded as material incidents. A successful hack could disrupt our network and our ability to provide services and/or could result in, for example, unauthorized access to, misuse, loss, or destruction of our data or systems and theft of sensitive or confidential data, including personal information of our employees and customers, and theft of services and/or funds. Many phishing and malware activities have been detected, and we believe stopped, including ransomware attacks that targeted several technology companies, including Turkcell, that were aimed at taking control over our clients and servers. DDoS mitigation capability is important to maintaining our market reputation. A compromise of our security systems or those of our business associates, including joint venture partners or our third party service providers, that results in the information we hold being accessed by unauthorized persons, could adversely affect our reputation with our customers and other stakeholders, as well as our operations, results of operations, financial condition and liquidity, and could result in litigation against us or the imposition of penalties. In addition, a breach could require that we expend significant additional resources related to the security of information systems and could disrupt our operations. Our data and systems are currently particularly vulnerable to cyber-attacks due to the fact that a significant proportion of our employees work remotely. Remote work without virtual private network ("VPN") makes it difficult to monitor cyber security threats and take necessary actions. Although we implement and update patches on an ongoing basis, it is difficult to instantly monitor computers of the employees when not connected with VPN. Any of the factors above could materially adversely affect our business, reputation and results of operations.
Technology2 | 7.1%
Technology - Risk 1
Added
Although we closely follow general technological trends in communications and technology, we may be unable to adapt to rapid technological changes in communications and information technology, which could result in higher capital expenditures and a greater possibility of commercial failure.
Rapid technological changes in communications and IT are redefining the markets in which we operate and the products and services we offer, shortening product life cycles and facilitating the convergence of various segments, including in our core mobile communications businesses. If we fail to anticipate, invest in and implement new technologies with the levels of service, prices and channels that customers demand, or to respond effectively to technological changes, our business, financial condition and results of operations could be adversely affected. For example, the development of eSIM technology, the increase in eSIM compatible devices, and its growing awareness have eliminated the need for a physical SIM card. Many companies and alternative data providers around the world have started providing telecommunication services via eSIM over the internet. This development has negatively impacted the number of our new subscriber additions and the related revenues that were previously derived from new tourist line sales or roaming revenues. With the increased demand for digitalization, we have been using our digital platforms, notably our dedicated website, our Turkcell mobile application and the IsTurkcell Online app (for corporate customers), more actively. Growth in digital platforms has expanded our service and products offering which, in return, has brought technical, logistical and brand perception risks. Any failure in delivering any of these services or products on-time, for which we also depend on third-party service providers, may result in customer dissatisfaction, increased customer complaints and impact our brand perception, and result in operational, financial, regulatory and other risks. In addition, new technologies require significant capital expenditures and it is impossible to predict with any certainty whether the technology selected by us will be the most economical, efficient or capable of attracting customer usage, or whether such technologies will be developed according to anticipated schedules, will perform according to expectations or will achieve commercial acceptance. Although we are following general technological trends in communications and technology, there can be no assurance that we will be able to develop new products and services, or to respond to developments by other providers, in a manner or at a speed that will enable us to compete efficiently.
Technology - Risk 2
Changed
We are subject to a variety of risks with respect to our radio access network performance, including spectrum and regulations.
Spectrum limitations and the costs of obtaining additional capacity, particularly 5G, may adversely affect our ability to provide services to our subscribers and the cost to us of providing such services. Spectrum is a range of frequencies within which the waves have certain specific characteristics. The number of subscribers that can be accommodated on a mobile network is constrained by the amount of spectrum allocated by way of a license to the operator of the network. Our spectrum licenses have specific terms and durations, as well as radio spectrum. They are subject to renewal upon payment of a fee before their expiry, but renewal is not assured, and the process for renewal can be lengthy. In 2023, we applied to the ICTA for the extension of the term of the 2G License Agreement, and the ICTA informed us the term of the GSM License Agreement and the usage rights of frequencies allocated to Turkcell in the 900 MHz band was extended until April 30, 2029 in accordance with the "Procedures and Principles for Determining the Term Extension Conditions of the GSM License Agreements and GSM 1800 License Agreement." The Council of State is expected to give its opinion on renewing the 2G License Agreement, as Article 155 of the Turkish Constitution requires. However, the extension of the 2G License Agreement has already been implemented so it is unlikely that the Council of State will issue a negative opinion. In this regard, if the opinion process fails, we may be required to transfer our 2G network to the state and lose our usage rights on 2x11 MHz band of 900 MHz spectrum. Similarly, our 3G license and 4.5G authorization certificate will expire on April 30, 2029, if not extended before that date. Even though the Company has a right to apply to the ICTA between 18 and 12 months before that date for renewal, the ICTA has a right to not renew the authorization. If the license agreement and/or authorization certificate is not renewed or is canceled/terminated for any reason, the Company must transfer to the ICTA, or an institution designated by the ICTA, free of charge and in full working order, free of any liens, mortgages and similar legal encumbrances, all the software and equipment that constitute and affect the operation of the networks as well as the immovable properties on which these systems have been installed. The authorizations of our subsidiaries also will be evaluated by the ICTA and may be revoked if ICTA's criteria are not met. For more information on regulation and how it may impact our business, see "Item 4. Information on the Company-B. Business Overview-XIII. Regulation of the Turkish Telecommunications Industry." The loss of, or failure to renew, our licenses could have a material adverse effect on our business and financial condition. As we experience growth in our subscriber base and demand for mobile services and data, and as we offer a greater number of services, we will require additional capacity, which in turn might result in an increase in capital expenditure requirements and have an adverse impact on our cost of providing competitive coverage and also on our results of operations. Due to unforeseeable events (such as the COVID-19 pandemic or the Southeastern Turkiye Earthquakes that occurred in 2023) that cause changes in traffic patterns, network topology and/or service requirements, we may face capacity problems, which may in turn lead to deterioration in our network's quality, or new capital expenditure requirements which, in turn, may negatively impact our operational results. In particular, although our spectrum can potentially be used for the next generation network technology ("NT") known as 5G, some services that are specific to 5G and our future capacity needs will eventually require us to obtain new spectrum. If we are unable to maintain or obtain licenses for the provision of 5G specific telecommunications services, or if our licenses are not renewed or are renewed on less favorable terms, our business and results of operations could be harmed. On the other hand, a 5G spectrum tender by the ICTA, which is expected to be held in the near future with the possibility of high prices, could result in additional costs and investment, including capital expenditures and potential obligations for coverage, service quality and local procurement obligations. If the demand for 5G services fails to materialize at a level in line with industry assumptions, our return on investment may not meet our expectations. Any of the foregoing factors could affect our profitability and our competitive position. Our 4.5G and 3G license agreements contain certain coverage and/or service quality and local procurement obligations that we may not always be able to achieve. Any regulatory changes increasing our coverage and/or service quality requirements, or our failure to abide by existing requirements, may have an adverse effect on our business and financial condition. We rely on our spectrum license agreements in order to carry out our business. In addition, the cost of our licenses, in particular our 4.5G license, including capital expenditures required in connection with our 4.5G build-out, have been significant. Our license agreements contain certain terms that may weigh on the profitability of our investments and may have an adverse effect on our investment plans in the future, in particular with respect to 4.5G investment. These license requirements include high coverage obligations for residential settlement areas, roads, railroads and tunnels, terms regarding minimum required use of local equipment and procurement from local small and medium sized enterprises engaged in production in Turkiye in meeting infrastructure obligations, terms obliging our network equipment suppliers to employ a certain number of engineers and local researchers in their local research and development ("R&D") centers, an active network sharing obligation for a certain portion of the population, variable service quality requirements, and significant taxes and spectrum usage fees. We are currently not in full compliance with the coverage obligations under our licenses, with respect to 3G settlement coverage and with respect to the coverage of tunnels in 4.5G. Due to this non-compliance, the ICTA imposed administrative fines on our Company in 2022 and obliged us to establish a total of 400 3G sites (200 in the first year following the decision date, which we have already completed, and 200 in 2024), and a sufficient number of 4.5G sites for tunnels where there is non-compliance, leading to an increase in our investment costs. Furthermore, up until the year 2021, there was not enough research and development, product development and production capacity in the local market for us to be able to be in full compliance with the license requirements and administrative fines amounting to TRY95.5 million in total (not restated for IAS 29), were imposed on us for the period between 2013 and 2018. Although, we are challenging the imposition of these fines, we may be not successful. See Note 37 to our audited Consolidated Financial Statements included elsewhere in this annual report. Additionally, further administrative fines may also be imposed for non-compliance during the period 2018-2021, which may have a material adverse effect on our financial results. As a result of the improvement in local telecommunications equipment production capacity, Turkcell has been able to comply with its license obligations relating to local production investments for the 2021-2022 period. However, with the ICTA decision published on January 13, 2022, the ICTA has amended the Procedures and Principles Regarding the Inspection and Supervision of "Investments Regarding Hardware and Software to be Used in Mobile Operators' Networks" so as to expand the local product obligations in the 4.5G authorization agreement. This amendment, as well as any changes in relation to the definition of critical network elements, may affect our investments and may also result in additional local and/or national equipment obligations for future authorizations (e.g. 5G). Furthermore, the ICTA has the authority to change service quality requirements, which could cause an indirect increase in our coverage requirements. There are alleged health risks and zoning limitations related to our base transceiver stations which may adversely affect our ability to provide services at certain areas. We are aware of allegations that there may be health risks associated with the effects of electromagnetic signals from base transceiver stations ("BTS") and from mobile handsets. While we believe that there is currently no substantiated link between exposure to electromagnetic signals at the level transmitted by our BTS and mobile handsets and long-term damage to health, the actual or perceived health risks of mobile communications devices could adversely affect us through a reduction in subscribers, reduced usage per subscriber, increased difficulty in the leasing and acquisition of site locations for base stations and exposure to potential liability. Furthermore, we may not be able to obtain insurance with respect to such liability on commercially reasonable terms or at all. Legal proceedings have been brought against mobile operators seeking the removal of base station sites for potential or alleged health reasons. In the past, the Turkish Supreme Court overruled the decisions of some local courts, ruling that a base station could have negative effects on human health over the long term. However, in recent years, it has reversed those decisions and decided that the base stations do not have any proven harms to human health. If the Turkish Supreme Court changes its decision or if new regulations are enacted, these could have a material adverse impact on our operations and financial results. Such legal proceedings may make it more difficult for us to establish and maintain such sites. Furthermore, from time to time, there are conflicting and confusing reports in the media about the health effects of BTS. These reports have even caused local residents in certain regions to form large protests in strong objection to the BTS sites. Such obstacles could make it difficult to build new BTS sites and maintain our existing sites. In 2018, the ICTA issued an updated regulation which further tightened electromagnetic field limits. In the future, if ICTA decides to further reduce such limit values, this may negatively impact network quality and increase our capital expenditures. In addition, zoning requirements with respect to our base stations have been subject to changing regulatory requirements, resulting in uncertainty. In November 2020, amendments to the zoning law came into force that provided for permitting requirements on the basis of the tower height, but were then annulled by the Constitutional Court in June 2023. It is expected that the legislator will make new regulations on these issues, which could result in additional costs and obligations in connection with our base stations. See "Item 4. Information on the Company-B. Business Overview-XIII. Regulation of the Turkish Telecommunications Industry." Any difficulty in maintaining or building BTS due to health concerns, or our inability to obtain any required licenses, permissions or certificates that may be required in the future, may negatively impact the quality of our network, including our ability to expand and upgrade it, and affect our operational performance. In addition, a law in force has increased the number of metropolitan municipalities and in some cases, the size of their territory was increased, which may lead to an increase in our coverage obligations and the number of BTS required to meet such obligations. Any of these factors could increase our costs and adversely affect our ability to carry out our investment plans and our results of operations.
Legal & Regulatory
Total Risks: 3/28 (11%)Below Sector Average
Regulation2 | 7.1%
Regulation - Risk 1
Added
Our fiber business may be adversely affected by required permission procedures and local limitations, as well as by lease arrangements relating to our fiber infrastructure backbone.
Our fiber business must excavate to lay new cables and repair existing cables, and we are obliged to obtain permission for excavations from authorized municipalities and institutions. As an infrastructure provider, we are subject to the "Directive of Deployment of any Cable and Similars Used in Fixed and Mobile Telecommunication Infrastructures or Networks" which was published December 27, 2012 and requires all providers to prioritize facility sharing and co-location in their investments. Operators must therefore check whether any available infrastructure exists for a newly planned route. If it is determined that another operator has infrastructure on the planned route, the use of that infrastructure should be prioritized, if possible. Infrastructure providers have to make facility sharing requests primarily to the most prevailing operator in terms of infrastructure in Turkiye, Turk Telekom, to check whether Turk Telekom's current infrastructure is available to share on planned route. If Turk Telekom rejects infrastructure sharing or there is no available infrastructure suitable for sharing on a planned route, operators may ask for a right of way confirmation from the Ministry of Transportation and Infrastructure. Operators' right of way and civil engineering processes are dependent on the Ministry of Transport and Infrastructure, the ICTA, Turk Telekom, and other related public authorities. Once a right of way confirmation is obtained, operators must apply to public authorities to get permission for the required excavation processes. However, public authorities or institutions may hold or refuse to grant excavation permissions. The ICTA initiated an investigation against some operators, including our subsidiary Turkcell Superonline, about previously installed infrastructures and facility sharing applications. Within the scope of the investigation, several violations were identified by the Supervisory Board regarding noncompliance with facility sharing obligations. As a result of these findings, should our defenses not be accepted, significant fines could be imposed and we may be required to change our infrastructure construction procedures. See Note 37 to our audited Consolidated Financial Statements included elsewhere in this annual report. In some areas, excavations may be terminated as a result of the high and variable costs of the right of way tariffs requested by municipalities. In addition, our investment plans may be affected due to excavations being banned during certain seasons within the administrative boundaries of municipalities. Furthermore, right of way conflicts with major municipalities to establish fiber optics infrastructure may affect our ability to provide services and to maintain operational excellence. The current infrastructure sharing and right of way procedures, operational difficulties, and public authorities' approach toward mandatory facility sharing obligation might negatively affect our ability to expand our fiber network and slow down our future investments (See "-Risks Relating to Our Business-Changes in the regulatory environment in the sectors in which we operate could adversely affect our business and financial condition"). More generally, all of these factors may increase our costs and have a material adverse effect on our business and financial condition. Turkcell Superonline, our fiber infrastructure service company, won the tenders of BOTAS, Turkiye's state owned pipeline company, and TEIAS, Turkiye's state owned electric power transmission company, for the indefeasible right to use the capacity of the fiber optic cables already installed by BOTAS (Petroleum Pipeline Cooperation) for 15 years in 2009 and TEIAS for 15 years in 2017, including the right to install additional fiber optic cables and to use the capacity of these fiber optic cables during the same period. The lease agreement between Turkcell Superonline and BOTAS, on which an important portion of our fiber infrastructure backbone routes are established, will have to be renewed with a new tender in 2024. The non-renewal of this agreement and any change to its conditions might have significant business and financial impacts for our fiber business.
Regulation - Risk 2
Changed
Changes in the regulatory environment in the sectors in which we operate could adversely affect our business and financial condition.
We are subject to a significant range of legislative and regulatory requirements, both in Turkiye and internationally. Compliance with new and existing laws and regulations has had, and is likely to continue to have, a significant impact on the ways in which we do business. This may include, but is not limited to, the impact on our ability to set our pricing and offer new and existing services, use of our services and ability to terminate subscriber contracts, the way we handle, process and store customer data, the terms of our subscriber contracts, the terms or limits of providing financing solutions, the way we communicate with and care about customers, our ability to contact subscribers with our offers, the requirements imposed on us with respect to the identity verification of subscribers, our ability to implement any planned or future network or infrastructure sharing initiatives and as our ability to obtain and maintain licenses. Furthermore, the laws, regulations, regulatory orders and licenses under which we operate are subject to interpretation and enforcement by regulators with whom we are not always in agreement. Complying with regulations may be costly, and failure to comply, whether or not we agree that such failure took place, may lead to significant penalties, criminal prosecution, adverse publicity and the loss of licenses in the affected line of business or country and could adversely affect our business, financial condition and cause significant reputational and brand damage with customers, investors and regulators. Pricing is one of the areas in which we are subject to regulation. In the recent past, the ICTA and Ministry of Transport and Infrastructure regulations and actions relating to our voice, SMS, data and value added/digital services have negatively affected our pricing and our ability to design and launch campaigns and offers. For example, the ICTA sets price caps applicable to fees for national/international calls and SMS, activation/deactivation, name/title change, account takeover, mobile station international subscriber directory number ("MSISDN") change, SIM card change, detailed bill information and directory assistance service. The ICTA updates the price caps twice a year in April and October. In addition, interconnection rates are still set by the ICTA, and further regulatory actions may adversely affect our Company's wholesale revenues. Namely, the ICTA has determined and may in the future determine that we are an operator with significant market power and as a result impose certain constraints on us, both of which may adversely affect our business and financial condition. For more information, see "Item 4. Information on the Company-B. Business Overview- XIII. Regulation of the Turkish Telecommunications Industry." While we expect that the ICTA regulations will allow us to adjust our prices and rates for inflation on a timely basis, no assurance can be given that this will always be the case. Expectations and standards with regard to privacy and data protection have been increasing both globally and in Turkiye. Stricter privacy laws and regulations are being adopted or existing legislation is being more strictly interpreted and enforced by the authorities, which requires companies to invest more diligence and effort towards ensuring compliance. While we are primarily subject to Turkish data protection legislation, the European General Data Protection Regulation and other foreign privacy legislation also have the potential to affect our business through some of our subsidiaries established in the EU and other countries, as well as some of our products and services provided to persons in the EU. Breach of such regulations may potentially result in penalties up to a maximum of 4% of global annual turnover or EUR 20 million. Ensuring compliance with these various privacy legislations is a long-lasting commitment, which requires substantial costs, and it is possible that, despite our efforts, governmental authorities or third parties will assert that our business practices fail to comply. Changes in privacy legislation or in interpretation of the existing legislation could have an adverse effect on our business and data processing operations and/or subject us to significant civil and criminal penalties, business disruption or reputational harm. Furthermore, given that we process personal data, namely that of our customers and employees, we are subject to several data protection laws and regulations by the Turkish Personal Data Protection Authority (PDPA), the ICTA and the Capital Markets Board. These regulations engender significant compliance obligations and our Company must implement and maintain an effective compliance program. Should we fail to properly implement and comply with these data protection laws and regulations, we may face administrative fines and regulatory actions in amounts that can equal to up to 3% of yearly net sales. Changes to such data protection laws may impose more stringent requirements for compliance and result in significant penalties for non-compliance. Additionally, some of our subsidiaries collect personal data from our digital service products users, such as BiP, fizy, lifebox and TV+, and the scope of this data collection has increased significantly following the implementation of artificial intelligence across our platforms aimed at providing personalized content to our customers. If we or those with whom we share personal data fail to comply with these laws and regulations, our reputation could be damaged, possibly resulting in a loss of future business. In addition, the cost and operational consequences relating to the response to breaches and the implementation of remediation measures could be significant. Taxation and charges are also areas in which we are subject to specific regulations. Notably, we are subject to a Special Communication Tax ("SCT"), which has been set at 10% since January 2021. Transceiver and receiver unit surcharge payments have been set at 5% of monthly net sales since January 2018. Such taxes have affected, and could continue to adversely affect, consumer demand for products and services, and, therefore, our results of operations, as may any changes in tax laws, such as any potential impact of Pillar 2 (Global Minimum Tax) legislation. Moreover, inflationary pressures and the resulting budget deficits may prompt the government to implement additional taxation measures. These measures might include changes in taxes, such as Value Added Tax and Special Communication Tax and may have retrospective effects. We are increasingly involved in providing financial services to our customers. As a result of our existing operations in finance, payment and e-money services, and insurance, we are subject to a variety of banking and finance laws and regulations, of which the principal regulators include the BRSA, the CBRT and the Turkish Insurance and Private Pension Regulation and Supervision Authority (IPRSA)). The BRSA may enact changes in regulations regarding consumer finance activities, which might restrict part of our finance business. Most recently in December 2021, legislative amendments were implemented to restrict the total number of permitted installments for consumer loans over a certain threshold amount, amounting to TRY 12,000 (not restated for IAS 29) in 2023, depending on the purpose of the loan, which has impacted our working capital requirements. For more information, see "-Reduction in cash generated from operations and increased capital needs may increase our borrowing requirements, which may increase our financing costs and our exposure to the risks associated with borrowing." Moreover, unless the threshold amount, which determines the number of permitted installments, is updated in line with inflation, this may reduce sales in the market as there would be less smartphones available at a price under the related threshold level due to inflation and rising exchange rates. These limitations have negatively affected the growth of smartphone sales and the frequency of renewals in the Turkish market. Additionally, a new regulation was introduced by the CBRT in October 2023 which limits transaction size (per single transaction and monthly top limit) and usage conditions of mobile payments. This regulation impacts Financell's collection of loan repayments via customer telecommunication bills through our payment company Paycell. Financell customers make loan repayments mainly via their telco bill due to convenience, and also at Turkcell dealer stores, as well as via online channels. Therefore, the negative impact of the regulatory limit on payment via bill may lead to a rise in cost of risk and bad debt. The CBRT regulation also limits transaction size (per single transaction and monthly top limit) or usage conditions of mobile payments for Paycell. This regulation impacts Pay Later (DCB) transaction volumes and the ability to provide Paycell Card solutions to our customers, which could affect the size of our business and revenues. Further, since 2019, the Presidency of Turkiye has the authority to increase the Special Consumption Tax rate on mobile phones from 25% to up to 50%. An increase in this tax may negatively impact the number of mobile phones sold in Turkiye. We cannot rule out the possibility of further increases in tax rates or new taxes and charges, including on mobile devices, data, and services. These restrictions may include a prohibition on the financing of specific goods or services in the future. Our ambition to acquire customers through digital platforms is heavily dependent on applicable regulations. As of March 1, 2022, the "Regulation on Verification of the Identity of the Applicant in the Electronic Communication Sector" came into force, which requires operators not to use biometric data when setting up subscription contracts with consumers. In order to avoid reverting to paper-based processes in face-to-face channels, we have continued to use the digital signature on tablets for their subscription contracts, and may face the risk of administrative fines. Moreover, the customer acquisition process is, in our view, too complex to be viable, which is impacting our customer acquisition plans from digital channels. In addition to the risks noted above, differences in the level of regulation on our core telecom businesses and on competitors relying on different technologies may have the effect of distorting competition and placing us at a competitive disadvantage. For example, in the market for internet access services, new generation low earth orbit (LEO) satellite technology is being used to enable internet access globally. Even though these services are not presently authorized in Turkiye, any change in the authorization regime that would enable the provision of internet services via LEO satellites may pose a competitive risk in the mid-term, as it could act as a substitute for the existing services we offer.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities1 | 3.6%
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 1
We are involved in various claims and legal actions arising in connection with our business, which could have a material effect on our financial condition.
We are subject to investigations and regular audits by governmental authorities in Turkiye, including the Competition Board, the ICTA, the Ministry of Commerce, tax authorities and certain other parties, and governmental authorities in other countries in which we have operations. We are currently involved in various claims and legal actions with some of these authorities, as discussed below. We are also from time to time involved in disputes with private parties, including suppliers, distributors and other business partners. We set aside provisions on an as-needed basis with regard to our ongoing disputes in line with applicable accounting standards. However, no assurance can be given that the provisions we set aside will be sufficient to cover any actual losses under these matters, or that new disputes will not arise under which we would face additional liabilities and reputational risk. We face a risk of tax audits and claims in many different areas of our business that are subject to taxation, such as corporate tax, value added taxes, special communication tax and others. Such audits and claims have led to significant tax assessments and penalties in the past and may again do so in the future. In addition, changes in tax laws and non-tax regulations, may lead to increases in our tax burden and may, as a result, materially adversely affect our financial condition and results of operations. Disputes related to taxation have been particularly significant and major penalties have resulted. Under our licenses (2G and 3G) and Authorization Certificate (4.5G) as part of our license, we pay a monthly treasury share equal to 15% of our gross revenue subject to some exemptions. We are currently subject to ongoing audits in relation to the periods through 2021, and the Undersecretariat of the Treasury (the "Turkish Treasury") may change its views based on its interpretations of treasury share calculations. Therefore, if these interpretations differ from the Company's calculations, unanticipated treasury share liabilities and fines may be levied. Investigations have been made for years 2021- 2022 and the first nine months of 2023 without assessment, however we cannot rule out the possibility that disputes will arise in respect of subsequent periods. Operators must pay license and annual utilization fees for wireless equipment to the ICTA. The wireless equipment fee (TRx) is calculated as 5% of the Company's monthly net sales. We believe that content services are provided without any infrastructure requirements and, therefore, that content service income should not be considered as mobile electronic communication services. The ICTA does not agree with us and is contesting our request to recover approximately TRY 142 million (not restated for IAS 29) of TRx fee paid. The lawsuits regarding the dispute are currently ongoing and in the appeals stage. The Turkish Competition Board has, for several years, alleged that we have abused our dominant position in the Turkish mobile market through our exclusive practices directed at our dealers. While there is no ongoing investigation of Turkcell regarding such allegations, we cannot ensure that we will not be subject to such investigations in the future. Such investigations and any similar actions may have financial consequences and hinder our ability to effectively respond to competition. For a more detailed discussion of disputes that we presently believe to be significant, see "Item 8. Financial Information-A. Consolidated Statements and Other Financial Information-I. Legal Proceedings" and Note 37 to our audited Consolidated Financial Statements included elsewhere in this annual report.
Ability to Sell
Total Risks: 2/28 (7%)Below Sector Average
Competition1 | 3.6%
Competition - Risk 1
Competition in the Turkish telecommunications market may adversely affect the growth of our business and our financial condition, and the competition that we face may evolve with our business strategy.
The majority of our revenue comes from our operations in Turkiye, which is a highly competitive market. Competition in this market and regulatory actions that limit our ability to respond effectively to competitive pressures may adversely affect the growth of our business and our financial condition. Regulatory actions, in large part from the ICTA, have been a significant factor in shaping the development of the Turkish telecommunications market and have adversely affected our ability to price our services and to respond to changes in the market. Regulatory actions have often favored our competitors. The ICTA may in the future act to regulate other areas of our business, including data and digital services, and we cannot predict the impact that such regulation would have on our ability to execute our strategy and on our competitive position. To the extent that inflation in the Turkish market requires us to make increasingly frequent price adjustments, any regulatory impediments to such adjustments could have an adverse effect on our profitability and financial condition. Moreover, in the current highly inflationary environment, irrational or delayed price movements by other operators, including price decreases, could have an adverse effect on our growth. If the competition we face intensifies or the market slows or develops in unexpected ways, this could harm our business and financial condition. The competition that we face includes price-driven competition from other major telecom operators (in particular Vodafone Turkiye and Turk Telekom) and from potential new entrants. We expect to experience continued price-driven competition. If we do not respond effectively to this competition, the growth of our business and our financial condition may be negatively affected. Our competitors for mobile telecommunication services also include an mobile virtual network operator ("MVNO") that leases our network. Generally, MVNOs provide offers that are relatively cheaper than similar offerings of the operators from whom they lease their networks, including us. Even though this MVNO currently has a very limited number of subscribers, in the future, it or other MVNOs may become increasingly competitive in the telecommunications sector, causing a downward pricing pressure on the fees that we charge for our services, which, in turn, may have an adverse effect on our business. In some businesses, we are dependent on our competitors for certain services that we provide. For example, we are reselling xDSL from the incumbent operator Turk Telekom and we are dependent on their service quality in this business. Therefore, any delay or negligence of Turk Telekom could result in dissatisfaction of our customers and lead to churn of our xDSL subscribers. Also, any price increase in Turk Telekom's wholesale tariffs may not be fully reflected in the consumer prices charged by Turk Telekom's retail brand TTNET A.S., which may lead to margin squeeze for our services, reducing our ability to effectively compete and eventually causing churn of our xDSL subscribers. Furthermore, where we rely on networks of other operators, network changes by such operators may make it more difficult for us to offer our products that use such networks. For example, the ICTA has approved Turk Telekom's copper switch-off plans in 2024, which may lead to the termination of our subscribers served via copper network in certain areas, which in turn could materially and adversely affect our business, especially if existing copper subscribers cannot be migrated to alternative fixed broadband solutions. We also face intense competition (both in the Turkish and international markets) with respect to product and service areas outside of our core telecommunications activities. - As we increase our offering of digital services, we find ourselves increasingly in competition not only with local digital services developers but also with major international companies (WhatsApp, YouTube, Spotify, Netflix, etc.) that specialize in the development of internet applications and services (namely "over-the-top," or "OTT" services). Several of these global players' platforms are offering local Turkish content in addition to their market-leading international content offerings, thereby improving their competitiveness. They also sometimes enter into partnerships with local operators in Turkiye. In addition, newer applications from both established developers and operators and less well-known ones are constantly being introduced and may disrupt areas of the digital services industry in which we compete or seek to compete. These established and newer applications and services make use of the internet as a substitute for some of our more traditional services, such as messaging and voice. Reduced demand for these telecommunications services has had and is expected to continue to have an adverse impact on our revenues. - We also face increasing local and global competition in the wholesale market and operations and information technologies sector, which affects our pricing and our collaborations with global and international partners. - Our mobile payment business, Paycell, faces intensifying competition and aggressive pricing from existing competitors, emerging new businesses (with 27 new companies having obtained licenses from the regulator in 2022 and 2023), and well-established companies from industries other than telecommunications (such as banking and fintech) entering the payments and e-money businesses, all of which could adversely affect Paycell in the future.
Demand1 | 3.6%
Demand - Risk 1
Added
Summary of Risks Relating to the Telecom Industry
- Spectrum limitations and the costs of obtaining additional capacity, particularly 5G, may adversely affect our ability to provide services to our subscribers and the cost to us of providing such services. - Our 4.5G and 3G license agreements contain certain coverage and/or service quality and local procurement obligations that we may not always be able to achieve. Any regulatory changes increasing our coverage and/or service quality requirements, or our failure to abide by existing requirements, may have an adverse effect on our business and financial condition. - There are alleged health risks and zoning limitations related to our base transceiver stations which may adversely affect our ability to provide services at certain areas. - Our fiber business may be adversely affected by required permission procedures and local limitations, as well as by lease arrangements relating to our fiber infrastructure backbone. - Although we closely follow general technological trends in communications and technology, we may be unable to adapt to rapid technological changes in communications and information technology, which could result in higher capital expenditures and a greater possibility of commercial failure.
See a full breakdown of risk according to category and subcategory. The list starts with the category with the most risk. Click on subcategories to read relevant extracts from the most recent report.

FAQ

What are “Risk Factors”?
Risk factors are any situations or occurrences that could make investing in a company risky.
    The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) requires that publicly traded companies disclose their most significant risk factors. This is so that potential investors can consider any risks before they make an investment.
      They also offer companies protection, as a company can use risk factors as liability protection. This could happen if a company underperforms and investors take legal action as a result.
        It is worth noting that smaller companies, that is those with a public float of under $75 million on the last business day, do not have to include risk factors in their 10-K and 10-Q forms, although some may choose to do so.
          How do companies disclose their risk factors?
          Publicly traded companies initially disclose their risk factors to the SEC through their S-1 filings as part of the IPO process.
            Additionally, companies must provide a complete list of risk factors in their Annual Reports (Form 10-K) or (Form 20-F) for “foreign private issuers”.
              Quarterly Reports also include a section on risk factors (Form 10-Q) where companies are only required to update any changes since the previous report.
                According to the SEC, risk factors should be reported concisely, logically and in “plain English” so investors can understand them.
                  How can I use TipRanks risk factors in my stock research?
                  Use the Risk Factors tab to get data about the risk factors of any company in which you are considering investing.
                    You can easily see the most significant risks a company is facing. Additionally, you can find out which risk factors a company has added, removed or adjusted since its previous disclosure. You can also see how a company’s risk factors compare to others in its sector.
                      Without reading company reports or participating in conference calls, you would most likely not have access to this sort of information, which is usually not included in press releases or other public announcements.
                        A simplified analysis of risk factors is unique to TipRanks.
                          What are all the risk factor categories?
                          TipRanks has identified 6 major categories of risk factors and a number of subcategories for each. You can see how these categories are broken down in the list below.
                          1. Financial & Corporate
                          • Accounting & Financial Operations - risks related to accounting loss, value of intangible assets, financial statements, value of intangible assets, financial reporting, estimates, guidance, company profitability, dividends, fluctuating results.
                          • Share Price & Shareholder Rights – risks related to things that impact share prices and the rights of shareholders, including analyst ratings, major shareholder activity, trade volatility, liquidity of shares, anti-takeover provisions, international listing, dual listing.
                          • Debt & Financing – risks related to debt, funding, financing and interest rates, financial investments.
                          • Corporate Activity and Growth – risks related to restructuring, M&As, joint ventures, execution of corporate strategy, strategic alliances.
                          2. Legal & Regulatory
                          • Litigation and Legal Liabilities – risks related to litigation/ lawsuits against the company.
                          • Regulation – risks related to compliance, GDPR, and new legislation.
                          • Environmental / Social – risks related to environmental regulation and to data privacy.
                          • Taxation & Government Incentives – risks related to taxation and changes in government incentives.
                          3. Production
                          • Costs – risks related to costs of production including commodity prices, future contracts, inventory.
                          • Supply Chain – risks related to the company’s suppliers.
                          • Manufacturing – risks related to the company’s manufacturing process including product quality and product recalls.
                          • Human Capital – risks related to recruitment, training and retention of key employees, employee relationships & unions labor disputes, pension, and post retirement benefits, medical, health and welfare benefits, employee misconduct, employee litigation.
                          4. Technology & Innovation
                          • Innovation / R&D – risks related to innovation and new product development.
                          • Technology – risks related to the company’s reliance on technology.
                          • Cyber Security – risks related to securing the company’s digital assets and from cyber attacks.
                          • Trade Secrets & Patents – risks related to the company’s ability to protect its intellectual property and to infringement claims against the company as well as piracy and unlicensed copying.
                          5. Ability to Sell
                          • Demand – risks related to the demand of the company’s goods and services including seasonality, reliance on key customers.
                          • Competition – risks related to the company’s competition including substitutes.
                          • Sales & Marketing – risks related to sales, marketing, and distribution channels, pricing, and market penetration.
                          • Brand & Reputation – risks related to the company’s brand and reputation.
                          6. Macro & Political
                          • Economy & Political Environment – risks related to changes in economic and political conditions.
                          • Natural and Human Disruptions – risks related to catastrophes, floods, storms, terror, earthquakes, coronavirus pandemic/COVID-19.
                          • International Operations – risks related to the global nature of the company.
                          • Capital Markets – risks related to exchange rates and trade, cryptocurrency.
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