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BBB Foods, Inc. Class A (TBBB)
NYSE:TBBB
US Market

BBB Foods, Inc. Class A (TBBB) AI Stock Analysis

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BBB Foods, Inc. Class A

(NYSE:TBBB)

66Neutral
BBB Foods, Inc. demonstrates strong revenue and cash flow growth, supported by positive earnings call sentiment and technical indicators. However, significant balance sheet risks and a negative P/E ratio highlight financial instability and valuation concerns, leading to a moderate overall score.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
TBBB swung to a profit from a prior-year loss, showcasing improved financial performance.
Growth Potential
Store openings are outpacing the plan, indicating strong growth potential for TBBB.
Revenue Growth
Revenue increased by 30% and adjusted EBITDA rose by 59%, driven by strong sales and operating leverage.
Negative Factors
Non-Recurring Expenses
TBBB incurred Ps140-165mn in non-recurring expenses, largely related to its IPO, compliance requirements and other obligations.
Stock Offering Impact
Shares are expected to trade off on news of the offering and some expense related concerns.

BBB Foods, Inc. Class A (TBBB) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

BBB Foods, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBBB Foods Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates grocery retail stores in Mexico. It offers food products, drinks, hygiene and beauty products, home clean products, coffee, tea and substitutes, jellies and desserts, and baby and pet products. The company also provides branded, private label, and spot products. In addition, it offers its products through online. The company serves low-to-middle income households. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.
How the Company Makes MoneyBBB Foods, Inc. makes money primarily through the sale of its food products across various distribution channels, including supermarkets, convenience stores, and online platforms. The company's revenue streams are diversified across several product categories such as snacks, beverages, and meals, allowing it to tap into different consumer needs and preferences. Key partnerships with retailers and distributors enhance its market reach and sales potential. Additionally, BBB Foods, Inc. invests in marketing and brand development to drive customer loyalty and increase market share, contributing significantly to its earnings.

BBB Foods, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BBB Foods, Inc. shows promising revenue and cash flow growth, with a robust cash flow position and improved profit margins. However, significant concerns remain due to high leverage and negative equity, which pose financial risks despite the improvements.
Income Statement
78
Positive
BBB Foods, Inc. has shown robust revenue growth with a significant increase from $32.58B in 2022 to $44.08B in 2023, marking a 35.32% growth rate. The gross profit margin improved to 15.97% in 2023 from 15.11% in 2022. However, the company remains unprofitable with a negative net profit margin of -0.69%, though this is an improvement from the previous year's -1.73%. The EBIT margin also saw improvement, moving to 1.80% in 2023 from 1.60% in 2022, and the EBITDA margin is healthy at 5.52%.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet presents concerns with negative stockholders' equity at -$4.63B, indicating potential financial instability. The debt-to-equity ratio is not meaningful due to negative equity, but the high total debt of $11.91B suggests significant leverage. ROE is not applicable due to negative equity, and equity ratio is negative, reflecting financial risk.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
BBB Foods, Inc. demonstrates strong cash flow management with a free cash flow growth rate of 35.28% from 2022 to 2023. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is significant, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, showcasing efficiency in converting income to cash.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
53.41B44.08B32.58B23.09B
Gross Profit
8.69B7.04B4.92B3.44B
EBIT
1.28B793.86M520.27M394.05M
EBITDA
2.62B2.43B820.41M608.85M
Net Income Common Stockholders
261.01M-306.15M-565.11M-816.67M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
984.63M1.22B984.63M1.00B
Total Assets
11.79B14.96B11.79B8.05B
Total Debt
10.55B11.91B10.55B8.13B
Net Debt
9.57B10.71B9.57B7.13B
Total Liabilities
16.51B19.60B16.51B12.50B
Stockholders Equity
-4.71B-4.63B-4.71B-4.45B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.06B1.34B990.65M832.27M
Operating Cash Flow
3.55B3.14B2.12B1.37B
Investing Cash Flow
-5.05B-1.78B-1.11B-524.08M
Financing Cash Flow
1.70B-1.10B-1.03B-450.24M

BBB Foods, Inc. Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price26.82
Price Trends
50DMA
27.37
Negative
100DMA
28.89
Negative
200DMA
28.69
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Negative
RSI
54.24
Neutral
STOCH
78.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TBBB, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 26.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.53, below the 50-day MA of 27.37, and below the 200-day MA of 28.69, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TBBB.

BBB Foods, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
KK
73
Outperform
$28.48B21.2538.65%2.74%-16.16%41.01%
HRHRL
71
Outperform
$17.01B22.469.54%3.68%-1.84%-5.14%
CACAG
67
Neutral
$12.73B26.065.53%5.25%-2.00%-50.02%
GIGIS
66
Neutral
$32.74B13.1327.37%4.00%-2.62%4.27%
66
Neutral
$2.99B6.61%
CPCPB
66
Neutral
$11.90B22.9913.43%3.76%9.15%-31.94%
54
Neutral
$4.10B-18.87-17.06%5.92%25.76%-79.79%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TBBB
BBB Foods, Inc. Class A
26.82
3.33
14.18%
CPB
Campbell Soup
39.90
-1.97
-4.71%
CAG
Conagra Brands
26.60
-1.08
-3.90%
GIS
General Mills
59.72
-6.81
-10.24%
HRL
Hormel Foods
30.74
-2.76
-8.24%
K
Kellanova
82.50
27.60
50.27%

BBB Foods, Inc. Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Nov 25, 2024 | % Change Since: -21.49% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 9, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance by Tiendas 3B, marked by substantial store expansions, revenue, and EBITDA growth. While the company maintained a flat gross profit margin, it achieved significant operational efficiencies and cash generation, indicating a positive trajectory.
Highlights
Strong Store Expansion
Opened 131 net new stores in Q3, totaling 2,634 stores as of September 30, with a 42% increase in store openings year-over-year.
Significant Revenue Growth
Total revenues increased by 29.8% year-on-year to reach MXN 14.8 billion, driven by an 11.6% increase in same-store sales.
Robust EBITDA Growth
EBITDA increased by 54% from MXN 447 million to MXN 688 million, reflecting strong sales growth and operational efficiency.
Improved Financial Metrics
SG&A as a percentage of total revenue decreased by 51 basis points from 13.9% to 13.4%, indicating cost optimization efforts.
Consistent Cash Generation
Net cash flows from operating activities reached MXN 2.3 billion, a 22.4% increase year-on-year, with a net cash position of MXN 1.3 billion.
Lowlights
Flat Gross Profit Margin
Gross profit margins remained flat at 15.8% compared to the same quarter last year, due to efficiencies being passed to consumers.
Company Guidance
During Tiendas 3B's Q3 2024 earnings call, the executives provided guidance on several key metrics reflecting the company’s strong performance and growth trajectory. The company opened 131 net new stores in the third quarter, totaling 2,634 stores as of September 30, 2024, and is on track to meet their annual target of 380 to 420 new store openings. Same-store sales increased by 11.6% year-on-year, contributing to a 29.8% rise in total revenues, reaching MXN 14.8 billion. The EBITDA for the quarter was MXN 688 million, a 54% year-on-year increase, while net cash flows from operating activities rose by 22.4% to approximately MXN 2.3 billion for the first nine months. The company ended the quarter with a net cash position of MXN 1.3 billion and an additional MXN 2.9 billion in short-term U.S. bank-denominated positions, maintaining a stable total cash position in U.S. dollar terms compared to the previous year. Despite a 42% increase in store openings compared to the same period last year, the company continues to be self-funded. The executives emphasized their commitment to efficient expense management, noting a decrease in SG&A as a percentage of revenue by 51 basis points year-over-year, from 13.9% to 13.4%. The gross profit margins remained flat at 15.8% compared to the same quarter last year, as efficiencies from scaling were passed on to customers through pricing.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.