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SuRo Capital (SSSS)
NASDAQ:SSSS

SuRo Capital (SSSS) AI Stock Analysis

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SuRo Capital

(NASDAQ:SSSS)

52Neutral
SuRo Capital's overall stock score reflects the company's volatile financial performance and leverage concerns, offset by promising portfolio developments and strategic focus on AI. While technical indicators show some support, valuation challenges persist. The earnings call provided a positive outlook, but the high leverage and financial instability weigh heavily on the score.
Positive Factors
Investment Potential
CoreWeave is targeting a valuation greater than $35B, which is significantly higher than SuRo's estimated cost basis.
Management Confidence
The Chairman, CEO, and President's purchase of over $400k worth of stock is seen as a positive indicator for the business.
Market Valuation
Despite some recent market turbulence, SuRo's shares are viewed as undervalued, with the stock price at a 21% discount to the 4Q24 NAV.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Net asset value per share decreased by 20.0% year-over-year, reflecting a decline in the company's financial performance.
Investment Performance
Learneo was marked down approximately 19%, reflecting the performance of other edtech stocks, but the remaining risk to SuRo's NAV is minimal due to its significant cash balance.
NAV Decline
Net asset value (NAV) totaled $156.8 million, or $6.68 per share, roughly at the midpoint of management’s preliminary estimate but showing a year-over-year decrease.

SuRo Capital (SSSS) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

SuRo Capital Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSutter Rock Capital Corp is a non-diversified closed-ended fund company. The fund invests in public and private companies located in the US and Non-US. It targets companies operating in the fields of social media, mobile computing and apps, cloud computing, software services, green technology, and education technology. It makes minority investments and provides financing for later-stage capital requirements.
How the Company Makes MoneySuRo Capital makes money primarily through the appreciation and eventual sale of its equity investments in private companies. The company invests in early-to-late-stage venture-backed companies with high growth potential. Revenue is generated when these portfolio companies go public through an IPO, are acquired, or experience significant valuation increases, allowing SuRo Capital to sell its shares at a profit. Additionally, the company may earn income through interest and dividends from debt securities and other investment instruments. Key factors contributing to its earnings include market conditions, the performance of its portfolio companies, and strategic investment decisions.

SuRo Capital Financial Statement Overview

Summary
SuRo Capital's financials are highly volatile, with erratic revenue growth and a significant negative EBIT, indicating potential instability in earnings. The balance sheet shows healthy equity but is offset by considerable debt, raising leverage concerns. Cash flow is positive but unstable, highlighting operational cash generation issues.
Income Statement
30
Negative
SuRo Capital's income statement reflects significant volatility, with a recent massive revenue increase to $4.67 trillion in 2024 from $6.60 million in 2023, indicating a possible one-time event or accounting anomaly. Despite this, the company shows a negative EBIT of $13.95 trillion. The absence of net income in 2024 and erratic revenue growth over the years suggest instability and potential concerns in sustainable earnings.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a high level of stockholders' equity at $157.57 trillion, but also a substantial amount of total debt at $29.05 trillion, resulting in a moderate debt-to-equity ratio. The equity ratio is relatively healthy, but the presence of high debt and liabilities raises caution regarding financial leverage and risk.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
SuRo Capital's cash flow shows positive operating cash flow of $2.37 trillion in 2024 and stable free cash flow, though the free cash flow growth is unsteady. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is not calculable due to zero net income in 2024, highlighting potential cash generation issues. Financing activities show significant cash outflows, indicating possible debt servicing or capital restructuring.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.48M4.67T6.60M3.46M1.47M1.82M
Gross Profit
-10.55M4.67T6.60M3.46M1.47M1.82M
EBIT
-4.10T-13.95T10.55M-9.78M-9.23M-12.22M
EBITDA
-3.21T0.000.000.00156.31M0.00
Net Income Common Stockholders
-47.29M0.005.07M-132.18M147.07M75.34M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
28.18M20.04T28.18M40.12M198.44M45.79M
Total Assets
330.22M10.00T>277.60M284.41M462.32M478.88M
Total Debt
38.43M29.05T73.75M73.68M73.03M38.03M
Net Debt
10.25M9.02T45.57M33.56M-125.41M-7.76M
Total Liabilities
134.84M74.03T74.24M74.39M97.47M177.29M
Stockholders Equity
195.38M10.00T>203.36M210.02M364.85M301.58M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-69.74M2.37T2.38M-110.56M183.65M-23.62M
Operating Cash Flow
-69.74M2.37T2.38M-110.56M183.65M-23.62M
Investing Cash Flow
-40.77M0.000.00-98.72M325.71M-100.19M
Financing Cash Flow
-10.29M-10.51T-14.32M-47.76M-31.01M24.56M

SuRo Capital Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.82
Price Trends
50DMA
5.86
Negative
100DMA
5.65
Positive
200DMA
4.84
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Negative
RSI
49.99
Neutral
STOCH
76.38
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SSSS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.77, below the 50-day MA of 5.86, and above the 200-day MA of 4.84, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SSSS.

SuRo Capital Risk Analysis

SuRo Capital disclosed 72 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SuRo Capital reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

SuRo Capital Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$5.10B9.8319.26%5.16%51.80%12.05%
74
Outperform
$921.43M9.629.67%9.71%14.33%25.35%
67
Neutral
$3.33B11.9513.71%8.32%-1.49%-29.48%
63
Neutral
$14.33B10.148.73%4.25%17.15%-12.05%
63
Neutral
$1.88B0.78%16.35%-31.63%-0.75%
60
Neutral
$288.19M8.769.26%19.50%22.53%
52
Neutral
$136.95M-21.13%90.08%-893.47%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SSSS
SuRo Capital
5.82
1.13
24.09%
HTGC
Hercules Capital
19.24
2.69
16.25%
MAIN
Main Street Capital
57.54
14.91
34.98%
PSEC
Prospect Capital
4.22
-0.64
-13.17%
SLRC
SLR Investment Corp.
16.89
3.23
23.65%
TPVG
TriplePoint Venture Growth
7.18
-0.57
-7.35%

SuRo Capital Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 11, 2025 | % Change Since: 10.44% | Next Earnings Date: May 8, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted the strong potential and promising developments in SuRo Capital's portfolio, particularly with anticipated IPOs such as CoreWeave and ongoing growth in companies like OpenAI. However, the decline in NAV and potential markdowns in the legacy portfolio present challenges. The positive highlights related to future prospects and successful exits outweigh the lowlights.
Highlights
CoreWeave's Anticipated IPO
CoreWeave filed its S-1 on March 3rd with expectations to target a valuation greater than $35 billion and raise approximately $4 billion. The company reported 2024 revenue of $1.9 billion, over eight times greater than in 2023.
OpenAI Valuation and Growth
OpenAI is in talks to raise $40 billion at a $300 billion valuation. Its revenue is expected to more than triple from $3.7 million to more than $12.5 million in a year, with 400 million active users reported.
ServiceTitan IPO Success
ServiceTitan priced its IPO at $71 per share, raising approximately $625 million and closing the first day of trading at $101 per share, reflecting a 42% increase.
Successful Exits and Returns
The company exited its position in Oklo, achieving a return of over 20 times the initially invested capital, and fully exited PublicSquare shares with significant realized gains.
Liquid Death Expands Product Line
Liquid Death aired its first national Super Bowl advertisement and expanded its product line with new soda-inspired sparkling waters.
Lowlights
Net Asset Value Decline
NAV per share decreased from $6.73 at the end of Q3 to $6.68 at year-end, with a 16% decline in 2024 attributed primarily to unrealized appreciation and net investment loss.
Potential Further Markdowns
Learneo has been significantly marked down, heavily impacting the portfolio. There is uncertainty regarding potential further markdowns in the legacy portfolio due to market volatility.
Company Guidance
During the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2024 earnings call, SuRo Capital provided significant guidance on its current portfolio and anticipated market activities. The company highlighted the expected IPO of CoreWeave, which filed its S-1 targeting a valuation over $35 billion with plans to raise approximately $4 billion. CoreWeave's revenue for 2024 was reported at $1.9 billion, an eightfold increase from 2023, with a forecast of $8 billion in 2025. SuRo Capital also discussed its investments in OpenAI, which is in talks to raise $40 billion at a $300 billion valuation, and Vast Data, which has reached over $200 million in ARR. The company reported a net asset value of $157.6 million or $6.68 per share as of December 31, 2024, and highlighted that its top five positions, including CoreWeave and OpenAI, accounted for 44% of the investment portfolio at fair value. The call emphasized SuRo Capital's strategic focus on AI infrastructure and applications, which represent 28% of its portfolio, and expressed optimism about the reopening of the IPO window for its portfolio companies.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.