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Sow Good (SOWG)
NASDAQ:SOWG
US Market

Sow Good (SOWG) AI Stock Analysis

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Sow Good

(NASDAQ:SOWG)

54Neutral
Sow Good showcases strong revenue growth and improved profitability, but faces significant challenges in cash flow and operational losses. The technical indicators are bearish, reflecting market concerns over short-term challenges highlighted in the earnings call. Despite these issues, the stock's valuation remains reasonable, providing some support.

Sow Good (SOWG) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Sow Good Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlack Ridge Oil & Gas, Inc. is an oil and natural gas exploration company. It engages in the acquisition and development of crude oil and natural gas properties, primarily in the Bakken and Three Forks trends in North Dakota and Montana. The company was founded on April 9, 2010 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, MN.
How the Company Makes MoneySow Good generates revenue primarily through the sale of its freeze-dried snacks and related health food products. The company leverages a direct-to-consumer sales model, online retail platforms, and partnerships with grocery retailers to reach a wide customer base. Revenue streams are bolstered by strategic collaborations with health-focused brands and distributors, enhancing market presence and accessibility. By capitalizing on trends towards healthier eating and sustainable food production, Sow Good aims to expand its market share and drive profitability.

Sow Good Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sow Good exhibits strong revenue growth and improved profitability, with significant operational efficiency gains. However, the company faces cash flow challenges and moderate leverage, which could impact future stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Sow Good has shown significant revenue growth from $160,709 in 2023 to $40,130,968 in 2024 TTM, indicating strong sales momentum. Gross profit margin has improved with a TTM rate of 43.93%, reflecting better cost management. However, net profit margin at only 4.47% reveals continued pressure on profitability, though a shift from previous losses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins of 10.90% and 14.82% respectively suggest improved operational efficiency, yet they are still moderate compared to industry leaders.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.65, which is reasonable yet indicative of some leverage. Stockholders' equity has increased significantly, enhancing the equity ratio to 56.91%, which is a positive sign of financial stability. Return on equity stands at 5.46%, showing modest returns to shareholders. The company's increased asset base provides room for growth, but high total liabilities pose a potential risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
Sow Good's cash flow statements reveal challenges, with negative operating cash flow of -$7,331,761 and a negative free cash flow of -$11,415,681 in the TTM period, highlighting liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating poor conversion of income to cash. Although financing activities have provided some cash influx, reliance on external funding could become unsustainable.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
40.13M16.07M428.13K88.44K0.00466.60K
Gross Profit
17.63M4.88M119.84K7.13K-1.93M465.72K
EBIT
4.38M-1.22M-5.69M-5.58M-3.01M-1.20M
EBITDA
5.95M-761.34K-10.30M-6.82M-3.00M-21.65M
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.79M-3.06M-17.29M-6.88M-5.71M29.55M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.50M2.41M276.46K3.35M2.19M108.76K
Total Assets
142.87M21.49M8.90M14.10M12.34M7.15M
Total Debt
0.0011.84M5.25M2.93M1.70M0.00
Net Debt
-1.50M9.43M4.97M-420.27K-210.07K-108.76K
Total Liabilities
659.35K14.21M6.09M3.28M2.29M1.45M
Stockholders Equity
1.47M7.28M2.81M10.82M10.06M5.70M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-11.42M-7.11M-7.83M-6.62M-2.80M-9.72M
Operating Cash Flow
-7.33M-4.85M-5.15M-5.55M-1.74M-9.71M
Investing Cash Flow
-5.41M-2.27M-2.62M-653.05K3.28M6.88M
Financing Cash Flow
17.90M9.25M4.70M7.64M262.93K1.43M

Sow Good Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2.78
Price Trends
50DMA
2.69
Positive
100DMA
3.95
Negative
200DMA
9.97
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
57.15
Neutral
STOCH
84.14
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SOWG, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.78 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.49, above the 50-day MA of 2.69, and below the 200-day MA of 9.97, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.14 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SOWG.

Sow Good Risk Analysis

Sow Good disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sow Good reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sow Good Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$348.91M38.1613.64%16.67%-20.96%
SFSFM
72
Outperform
$13.59B37.5030.81%12.90%50.20%
62
Neutral
$20.57B13.88-9.95%7.35%1.49%7.33%
54
Neutral
$28.89M11.0110.05%508.45%
WWWW
39
Underperform
$51.26M31.02%-11.65%-174.54%
29
Underperform
$268.74M44.21%-4.93%53.78%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SOWG
Sow Good
2.78
-4.72
-62.93%
LWAY
Lifeway Foods
22.61
9.03
66.49%
WW
WW International
0.58
-1.58
-73.15%
SFM
Sprouts Farmers
140.82
78.53
126.07%
BYND
Beyond Meat
3.49
-4.70
-57.39%

Sow Good Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Nov 14, 2024 | % Change Since: -71.66% | Next Earnings Date: Mar 21, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture, with notable revenue growth year-over-year and a strong cash position, but significant short-term challenges such as revenue decline, operational losses, and the impact of melted products on sales. The company remains optimistic about long-term growth and strategic initiatives despite these setbacks.
Highlights
Substantial Year-over-Year Revenue Growth
Achieved $30.6 million in revenue for the first nine months of 2024, a significant increase from $6.5 million in the same period last year, demonstrating strong growth and market acceptance of innovative products.
Expansion and Strategic Growth
Received the seventh freeze dryer and chew candy making machine at Rock Quarry, with additional equipment arriving soon to support increased production capacity and new product introductions.
Strong Cash Position
Ended Q3 2024 with $6.9 million in cash and equivalents, up from $2.4 million at the end of 2023, bolstered by a $12.8 million public offering.
Lowlights
Revenue and Gross Margin Decline
Q3 2024 revenue was $3.6 million, down from $5 million in the prior year period, with gross margin decreasing to 16% from 27%, primarily due to halted shipments and increased cost of goods sold.
Operational Challenges and Losses
Operating expenses increased to $3.8 million in Q3 2024 from $0.3 million in Q3 2023, leading to a net loss of $3.4 million compared to net income of $0.3 million in the prior year period.
Impact of Melted Products
The decision to pause shipments due to extreme heat resulted in melted products on shelves, affecting sales velocity and contributing to lower revenue with expected lingering effects for 1-2 months.
Increased Inventory Levels
Q3 2024 inventory levels rose to $19.4 million, a $9.1 million sequential increase, primarily due to halted shipments, with plans to reduce inventory over time.
Company Guidance
During Sow Good's Q3 2024 earnings call, the company reported a significant year-over-year revenue increase for the first nine months, reaching $30.6 million compared to $6.5 million in the previous year. However, the third quarter revenue declined to $3.6 million from $5 million in Q3 2023, primarily due to a strategic pause in shipments to maintain product quality during extreme heat. This decision impacted sales velocity as some melted products reached retail shelves. Gross profit for the quarter was $0.6 million with a gross margin of 16%, down from 27% the prior year. Operating expenses rose to $3.8 million, with a net loss of $3.4 million or $0.33 per diluted share, compared to a net income of $0.3 million or $0.04 per share in Q3 2023. Adjusted EBITDA stood at negative $1.9 million. The company ended the quarter with $6.9 million in cash and a $19.4 million inventory, a $9.1 million increase from the previous quarter, as they plan to leverage this inventory to support long-term strategic initiatives.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.