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Southern Co (SO)
NYSE:SO

Southern Co (SO) AI Stock Analysis

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SOSouthern Co
(NYSE:SO)
77Outperform
Southern Co's strong financial performance is highlighted by consistent revenue growth and improved profitability, despite high leverage typical in the utilities sector. The technical indicators show positive momentum, although attention to potential overbought signals is advised. Valuation is slightly elevated with a P/E ratio above industry average, but the dividend yield offers income support. The earnings call underscores positive growth prospects and significant capital investment, adding to the overall positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Capital Investment
Southern Company increased its rate base growth target to 7% and extended its capital investment plan to $63bn.
Demand Growth
The company provided additional detail around data center demand growth, indicating a strong future load pipeline.
Negative Factors
Operating Expenses
Earnings performance was offset by higher operating and maintenance expense, higher depreciation and amortization expense, and higher interest expense.

Southern Co (SO) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Southern Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSouthern Company (SO) is a leading energy company headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia. It operates primarily in the southeastern United States, providing electricity and natural gas to millions of customers. The company is involved in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity, as well as the sale and distribution of natural gas. Southern Co. owns a diverse mix of energy resources, including nuclear, coal, natural gas, and renewables, and is committed to delivering reliable and sustainable energy solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneySouthern Company generates revenue primarily through the regulated sale of electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company's key revenue streams include electricity sales, which are driven by customer demand and regulated rates, and natural gas sales, which are influenced by market prices and consumption patterns. Southern Co. also earns income from its unregulated businesses, such as wholesale electricity sales and energy-related services. Significant partnerships, investments in renewable energy, and strategic acquisitions further contribute to the company's earnings by enhancing its capacity and market reach.

Southern Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Southern Co exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and improved profitability. While leverage is high, it is typical for the industry and is balanced by solid equity returns. Cash flow improvements highlight the company's ability to generate and manage cash effectively. However, the high debt levels pose a risk that needs monitoring.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Southern Co shows strong revenue growth with a 5.8% increase from 2023 to 2024. Gross profit margin improved significantly, indicating better cost management. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid, reflecting efficient operations. However, net profit margin is slightly impacted by high interest expenses typical in the utilities sector.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high, suggesting significant leverage, which is common in the utilities industry. Return on equity is healthy at approximately 13.3%, indicating effective use of equity. Equity ratio shows a stable financial structure, albeit with a high reliance on debt.
Cash Flow
79
Positive
Operating cash flow has increased, demonstrating strong cash generation capability. The free cash flow has turned positive in 2024, a significant improvement from previous years. This suggests better cash management, though the high capital expenditure remains a concern.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
26.72B25.25B29.28B23.11B20.38B
Gross Profit
20.55B11.71B10.82B10.06B9.90B
EBIT
7.07B5.83B5.37B3.70B4.88B
EBITDA
13.24B11.74B9.97B8.31B9.20B
Net Income Common Stockholders
4.40B3.98B3.54B2.41B3.13B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.07B748.00M1.92B1.80B1.06B
Total Assets
145.18B139.33B134.89B127.53B122.94B
Total Debt
61.56B63.49B59.13B55.47B51.04B
Net Debt
61.56B62.74B57.22B53.67B49.98B
Total Liabilities
108.51B104.11B100.36B94.97B90.41B
Stockholders Equity
33.21B31.44B30.41B28.16B28.26B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
833.00M-1.54B-1.62B-1.07B-745.00M
Operating Cash Flow
9.79B7.55B6.30B6.17B6.70B
Investing Cash Flow
-9.40B-9.67B-8.43B-7.35B-7.03B
Financing Cash Flow
-208.00M999.00M2.34B1.95B-576.00M

Southern Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price89.89
Price Trends
50DMA
84.01
Positive
100DMA
85.62
Positive
200DMA
83.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.75
Negative
RSI
64.01
Neutral
STOCH
88.17
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 89.89 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 86.75, above the 50-day MA of 84.01, and above the 200-day MA of 83.69, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.75 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.17 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SO.

Southern Co Risk Analysis

Southern Co disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Southern Co reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Southern Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
DUDUK
77
Outperform
$90.39B20.489.03%3.50%4.46%54.09%
SOSO
77
Outperform
$99.64B22.7513.25%3.17%5.83%10.23%
AEAEP
73
Outperform
$56.12B18.8573.81%3.36%2.76%31.53%
DD
72
Outperform
$48.46B23.33<0.01%4.69%-10.79%18.04%
EXEXC
72
Outperform
$43.91B17.819.14%3.46%5.98%4.99%
PPPPL
68
Neutral
$25.63B28.9927.15%2.89%1.80%19.78%
65
Neutral
$12.05B15.926.71%4.32%8.04%3.76%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SO
Southern Co
89.89
23.61
35.62%
AEP
American Electric Power
105.24
24.43
30.23%
D
Dominion Energy
54.33
9.42
20.98%
DUK
Duke Energy
116.41
25.84
28.53%
EXC
Exelon
43.68
8.43
23.91%
PPL
PPL
34.72
8.78
33.85%

Southern Co Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 20, 2025 | % Change Since: 3.94% | Next Earnings Date: Apr 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Southern Company reported a strong performance in 2024, with record-breaking earnings growth, significant capital investment plans, and a positive outlook on commercial and residential growth. Despite challenges from high interest rates and temporary sales losses due to a hurricane, the overall sentiment is positive due to the company's robust economic development and long-term growth projections.
Highlights
Record-Breaking Earnings Growth
Southern Company achieved adjusted earnings at the very top of their EPS guidance range, representing 11% growth from 2023 adjusted results.
Strong Commercial and Residential Growth
Commercial sales were up 17% year-over-year, with a record addition of 57,000 new residential electric customers and 26,000 new natural gas distribution customers.
Significant Capital Investment Plan
A $63 billion capital investment forecast over the next 5 years, with 95% at state-regulated utilities, reflecting a $14 billion increase from the previous forecast.
Economic Development and Load Growth
More than 150 companies announced expanded operations in the southeastern footprint, supporting over 20,000 new jobs with a potential load of over 50,000 megawatts by the mid-2030s.
Positive Long-term Growth Outlook
Projected long-term adjusted EPS growth rate of 5% to 7% remains unchanged, with a potential trajectory near the top of this range.
Lowlights
Interest Rate Challenges
High interest rates are expected to be partially offsetting factors as the parent company debt is refinanced at higher rates than the securities outstanding today.
Temporary Sales Losses Due to Hurricane Helene
Weather-normalized total retail electricity sales for the year were up approximately 1% compared to 2023 excluding the impact of temporary sales losses.
Company Guidance
During the Southern Company Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Call, the company provided optimistic guidance for the future, highlighting several key metrics. Southern Company achieved adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $4.05 for 2024, marking an 11% growth from the 2023 results and positioning them at the top of their 2024 guidance range. Looking ahead to 2025, they project a further 6% growth in adjusted EPS with a guidance range of $4.20 to $4.30, and they maintain a long-term growth rate of 5% to 7%. The company expects retail electricity sales to grow by 2% to 3% in 2025 compared to 2024, with a long-term annual growth projection of about 8% from 2025 through 2029. This growth is supported by a base capital investment forecast of $63 billion over the next five years, with 95% allocated to state-regulated utilities. Additionally, the company highlighted potential additional capital investments of $10 billion to $15 billion, primarily driven by new generation resources and natural gas pipeline expansions. Southern Company also aims to maintain its credit quality, targeting an FFO to debt ratio of approximately 17% by the latter part of the forecast horizon, and has plans to manage average annual equity needs of around $800 million.

Southern Co Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Southern Co Elects James Etheredge as New Director
Neutral
Feb 12, 2025

On February 11, 2025, Southern Company announced the election of Mr. James O. Etheredge as a new director, effective April 1, 2025. Mr. Etheredge, who retired in August 2023 as the CEO of Accenture North America, will join Southern Company without any existing arrangements influencing his selection and will participate in their standard non-employee director compensation program.

Executive/Board Changes
Southern Co Appoints New COO for 2025
Neutral
Dec 10, 2024

The Southern Company has announced Stanley W. Connally, Jr. as their new Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer starting January 2025. Connally, who has been with the company since 2012 in various executive roles, is stepping up from his current position as Executive VP for Operations. Details about his new compensation package are yet to be finalized.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.