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CapitaLand Mall Trust (SG:C38U)
:C38U

CapitaLand Mall (C38U) AI Stock Analysis

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SG

CapitaLand Mall

(OTC:C38U)

79Outperform
CapitaLand Mall is well-positioned with strong financial health and strategic initiatives driving growth. While technical indicators suggest a positive trend, valuation remains reasonable, offering a good balance of growth and income. Key risks include debt management and overseas asset valuations.
Positive Factors
Portfolio Valuation
CICT recognised a revaluation gain of S$153m as its portfolio valuation increased 1.4% on a same-store basis.
Rental Reversion
CICT clocked a positive rental reversion of 8.8% for retail and 11.1% for office.
Tourism Impact
Returning Chinese tourists could boost growth, enhancing the company's share price performance.
Negative Factors
Economic Downturn Risks
Key risks to the view are an economic downturn, as well as a prolonged recovery and weak sentiment.
Rental Recovery Risks
Potential downside risks include slower-than-expected rental recovery and escalating operating expenses or cost overruns.

CapitaLand Mall (C38U) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

CapitaLand Mall Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCapitaLand Mall Trust (C38U) is a prominent real estate investment trust (REIT) based in Singapore, focused on investing in income-producing retail properties in Singapore. It is part of CapitaLand Group, one of Asia's largest diversified real estate groups. The trust's portfolio consists of a wide range of shopping malls strategically located across the island, offering diversified retail, entertainment, and lifestyle experiences. CapitaLand Mall Trust aims to provide unitholders with stable distributions and long-term capital growth.
How the Company Makes MoneyCapitaLand Mall Trust generates revenue primarily through the rental income from its portfolio of retail properties. The trust leases out retail spaces in its malls to a variety of tenants, including retail brands, food and beverage outlets, and entertainment providers. Rental income forms the bulk of its revenue, and lease agreements are typically structured with fixed base rents and variable components tied to tenant sales performance. Additionally, CapitaLand Mall Trust may earn income from car park operations, advertising spaces, and promotional events hosted within its properties. The trust benefits from its strategic partnerships with various leading retailers and its ability to attract high footfall to its malls, ensuring a consistent demand for retail space.

CapitaLand Mall Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.59B1.59B1.58B1.44B1.31B745.21M
Gross Profit
1.08B1.15B1.14B1.04B951.08M512.74M
EBIT
1.07B0.001.05B961.92M1.28B60.96M
EBITDA
1.05B1.29B1.02B966.09M1.29B63.28M
Net Income Common Stockholders
839.66M933.68M862.57M723.37M1.08B349.82M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
712.95M156.36M140.70M248.40M365.13M183.62M
Total Assets
8.13B25.51B24.74B24.67B22.74B22.42B
Total Debt
2.85B8.97B9.50B9.61B8.19B8.73B
Net Debt
2.14B8.82B9.36B9.36B7.82B8.55B
Total Liabilities
3.19B9.79B10.34B10.39B9.05B9.35B
Stockholders Equity
4.94B15.52B14.20B14.07B13.67B13.04B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
909.43M865.49M961.21M896.15M733.69M323.99M
Operating Cash Flow
909.99M1.04B1.08B1.02B827.53M379.68M
Investing Cash Flow
-115.06M-520.57M-38.88M-926.02M256.40M-922.41M
Financing Cash Flow
-901.92M-507.98M-1.15B-214.25M-902.42M524.15M

CapitaLand Mall Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.12
Price Trends
50DMA
2.04
Positive
100DMA
1.98
Positive
200DMA
1.99
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Negative
RSI
57.69
Neutral
STOCH
88.45
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SG:C38U, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.09, above the 50-day MA of 2.04, and above the 200-day MA of 1.99, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.45 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SG:C38U.

CapitaLand Mall Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
S$15.36B15.446.32%5.31%1.54%4.48%
71
Outperform
$4.24B19.934.79%5.97%-5.85%-11.40%
70
Outperform
$3.33B22.523.36%6.78%10.57%
64
Neutral
S$3.32B29.201.86%5.40%-1.16%-34.74%
59
Neutral
$2.72B11.530.09%8679.99%5.56%-16.50%
SGF34
57
Neutral
$19.35B12.385.84%5.23%-0.24%-23.64%
54
Neutral
S$1.15B79.35-0.91%8.56%-7.66%-145.74%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SG:C38U
CapitaLand Mall
2.12
0.30
16.74%
SG:AU8U
CapitaLand China Trust
0.66
0.02
3.13%
SG:BUOU
Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust
0.90
-0.03
-3.54%
SG:T82U
Suntec Real Estate Investment
1.14
0.11
10.47%
SG:F34
Wilmar International
3.10
-0.18
-5.37%
SG:J69U
Frasers Centrepoint
2.25
0.23
11.44%

CapitaLand Mall Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 5, 2025 | % Change Since: 11.70% | Next Earnings Date: Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong operational performance and strategic asset management resulting in positive rental reversions and high occupancy rates. However, challenges in overseas asset valuations, debt refinancing, and rising operational costs were notable concerns. The sentiment reflects a balanced outlook with strategic plans for sustainable growth.
Highlights
Strong Portfolio Occupancy
Portfolio occupancy increased to 97.3%, with high tenant retention and rental reversion.
Positive Rental Reversion
Retail rental reversion was positive at 8.5% for 2023, with good demand from retailers.
Successful Portfolio Reconstitution
Completion of acquisitions and asset enhancements led to stable operating metrics and valuation uplift in Singapore.
Debt Management and Cost Control
Average cost of debt increased by only 10 basis points due to active cash management and refinancing strategies.
Strategic Asset Enhancements
Upgrade of IMM mall with 70% pre-commitment and plans for further assets enhancements in Singapore and overseas.
Lowlights
Downdraft in Overseas Assets
Valuation declines in overseas assets due to expanded cap rates and geopolitical tensions, particularly in Australia and Germany.
Debt Maturity and Refinancing Needs
$1.5 billion of debt maturing in 2024, requiring refinancing efforts amid a high-interest rate environment.
Challenges in Retail Sales
Marginal decline in tenant sales towards the end of the year due to economic uncertainties and GST hikes.
High Utility Costs
Significant year-on-year increase in utility and marketing expenses by 59%.
Gallileo Vacancy and AEI Costs
Gallileo building faced downtime and extensive AEI costs impacting short-term profitability.
Company Guidance
During the CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT) FY 2023 Results Briefing, several key performance metrics and strategic initiatives for 2024 were highlighted. Notably, CICT achieved a portfolio occupancy rate of 97.3% and a positive rental reversion of 8.5% in 2023. Looking ahead, CICT plans to focus on revenue protection through proactive lease management and cost control, including reducing utility costs and restructuring property management agreements. Additionally, CICT is exploring new revenue streams with the completion of Clarke Quay and plans to upgrade IMM as a key regional outlet mall, already securing 70% pre-commitment in the AEI space. Financially, CICT maintained an average debt cost that increased slightly by 10 basis points, with a strategic focus on cash management and refinancing $1.5 billion of debt due in 2024. The trust plans to carefully manage gearing, ideally bringing it down to 37-38%, while also exploring potential divestments and acquisitions to optimize its portfolio.

CapitaLand Mall Corporate Events

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust Issues S$150 Million Green Notes
Mar 28, 2025

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust has announced the issuance of S$150 million in fixed rate green notes, due in 2032, under its Euro-Medium Term Note Programme. This strategic move reflects CICT’s commitment to sustainable financing and is expected to enhance its financial flexibility, potentially strengthening its position in the commercial real estate market.

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust Announces Leadership Transition
Mar 17, 2025

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust Management Limited has announced leadership changes effective May 1, 2025, with Mr. Tan Choon Siang appointed as the new CEO, succeeding Mr. Tony Tan Tee Hieong. This transition is part of the company’s succession planning and leadership renewal process. Mr. Tony Tan, who has significantly contributed to the company’s growth and strategic positioning since 2017, will take on the role of Chief Corporate Officer at CapitaLand Development. Under his leadership, CICT achieved notable milestones, including the merger of CapitaLand Mall Trust and CapitaLand Commercial Trust, and received recognition for its financial growth and commitment to environmental, social, and governance practices.

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust Issues Units for Management Fee
Mar 10, 2025

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust Management Limited announced the issuance of 15,636,808 units in CICT to Premier Healthcare Services International Pte Ltd as part of the management fee payment for 2024. This strategic move, involving both unit issuance and cash payment, reflects CICT’s operational approach to managing its investments and maintaining its market position.

CapitaLand Trust Announces Cost Savings and Adjustments in Acquisition
Feb 21, 2025

CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust announced a reduction in purchase consideration for its proposed acquisition, resulting in a refund of S$3.2 million due to finalized completion adjustments. Additionally, owing to lower-than-anticipated fees and expenses associated with its equity fund raising, CICT has an aggregate balance of S$7.4 million, highlighting effective cost management and potentially enhancing future financial flexibility.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.