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Serina Therapeutics (SER)
:SER
US Market
Holding SER?
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Serina Therapeutics (SER) Risk Factors

193 Followers
Public companies are required to disclose risks that can affect the business and impact the stock. These disclosures are known as “Risk Factors”. Companies disclose these risks in their yearly (Form 10-K), quarterly earnings (Form 10-Q), or “foreign private issuer” reports (Form 20-F). Risk factors show the challenges a company faces. Investors can consider the worst-case scenarios before making an investment. TipRanks’ Risk Analysis categorizes risks based on proprietary classification algorithms and machine learning.

Serina Therapeutics disclosed 78 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Serina Therapeutics reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.

Risk Overview Q3, 2024

Risk Distribution
78Risks
45% Finance & Corporate
22% Tech & Innovation
17% Legal & Regulatory
9% Production
8% Ability to Sell
0% Macro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
This chart displays the stock's most recent risk distribution according to category. TipRanks has identified 6 major categories: Finance & corporate, legal & regulatory, macro & political, production, tech & innovation, and ability to sell.

Risk Change Over Time

2020
Q4
S&P500 Average
Sector Average
Risks removed
Risks added
Risks changed
Serina Therapeutics Risk Factors
New Risk (0)
Risk Changed (0)
Risk Removed (0)
No changes from previous report
The chart shows the number of risks a company has disclosed. You can compare this to the sector average or S&P 500 average.

The quarters shown in the chart are according to the calendar year (January to December). Businesses set their own financial calendar, known as a fiscal year. For example, Walmart ends their financial year at the end of January to accommodate the holiday season.

Risk Highlights Q3, 2024

Main Risk Category
Finance & Corporate
With 35 Risks
Finance & Corporate
With 35 Risks
Number of Disclosed Risks
78
No changes from last report
S&P 500 Average: 31
78
No changes from last report
S&P 500 Average: 31
Recent Changes
0Risks added
0Risks removed
1Risks changed
Since Sep 2024
0Risks added
0Risks removed
1Risks changed
Since Sep 2024
Number of Risk Changed
1
No changes from last report
S&P 500 Average: 3
1
No changes from last report
S&P 500 Average: 3
See the risk highlights of Serina Therapeutics in the last period.

Risk Word Cloud

The most common phrases about risk factors from the most recent report. Larger texts indicate more widely used phrases.

Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 78

Finance & Corporate
Total Risks: 35/78 (45%)Above Sector Average
Share Price & Shareholder Rights18 | 23.1%
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1
The Reverse Stock Split may not increase the Combined Company's stock price over the long-term.
While it is expected that the reduction in the number of outstanding shares of common stock as a result of the Reverse Stock Split will proportionally increase the market price of AgeX common stock, it cannot be assured that the Reverse Stock Split will increase the market price of AgeX common stock by a multiple of the Reverse Stock Split ratio or result in any other permanent or sustained increase in the market price of the Combined Company's common stock, which is dependent upon many factors, including the Combined Company's business and financial performance, general market conditions and prospects for future success. Thus, it cannot be assured that the Reverse Stock Split will accomplish any increase in the per-share market price of the Combined Company's common stock for any meaningful period of time.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2
Because the lack of a public market for Serina's capital stock makes it difficult to evaluate the fair market value of Serina's capital stock, the value of the AgeX common stock to be issued to Serina stockholders may be more or less than the fair market value of Serina common stock.
The outstanding capital stock of Serina is privately held and is not traded in any public market. The lack of a public market makes it difficult to determine the fair market value of Serina's capital stock. Because the percentage of AgeX equity to be issued to Serina stockholders was determined based on negotiations between the parties, it is possible that the value of the AgeX common stock to be received by Serina stockholders will be more or less than the fair market value of Serina's capital stock.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3
AgeX stockholders may not realize a benefit from the Merger commensurate with the ownership interest dilution they will experience in connection with the Merger.
If the Combined Company is unable to realize the full strategic and financial benefits currently anticipated from the Merger, AgeX stockholders will have experienced substantial dilution of their ownership interests without receiving any commensurate benefit, or only receiving part of the commensurate benefit to the extent the Combined Company is able to realize only part of the strategic and financial benefits currently anticipated from the Merger.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 4
Some executive officers and directors of AgeX and Serina have interests in the Merger that are different from the respective stockholders of AgeX and Serina and that may influence them to support or approve the Merger without regard to the interests of the respective stockholders of AgeX and Serina.
Directors and executive officers of AgeX and Serina may have interests in the Merger that are different from, or in addition to, the interests of other stockholders of AgeX and Serina, respectively. These interests with respect to AgeX's directors and executive officers include, but are not limited to, the expected continued service of one of the directors of AgeX as a director of the Combined Company following the closing of the Merger, the expected continued employment of one of the executive officers of AgeX as an executive officer of the Combined Company following the closing of the Merger, severance benefits if employment is terminated in a qualifying termination in connection with the Merger and rights to continued indemnification, expense advancement and insurance coverage. These interests with respect to Serina's directors and executive officers include, but are not limited to, the expected continued service of two of the directors of Serina as directors of the Combined Company following the closing of the Merger, the expected continued employment of three of the executive officers of Serina as executive officers of the Combined Company following the closing of the Merger and rights to continued indemnification and expense advancement. The AgeX Board and Serina Board were aware of and considered such interests, among other matters, in reaching their decisions to approve and adopt the Merger Agreement, approve the Merger and recommend the approval of the Merger Agreement to AgeX and Serina stockholders. These interests, among other factors, may have influenced the directors and executive officers of AgeX and Serina to support or approve the Merger.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 5
AgeX stockholders will have a reduced ownership and voting interest in, and will exercise less influence over the management of, the Combined Company following the closing of the Merger as compared to their current ownership and voting interest in AgeX.
Immediately following the closing of the Merger, equity holders of Serina immediately prior to the closing of the Merger are expected to own approximately 75% of the outstanding shares of common stock of the Combined Company, and equity holders of AgeX immediately prior to the closing of the Merger are expected to own, excluding the impact of the exercise of any post-merger warrant or incentive warrant, approximately 25% of the outstanding shares of common stock of the Combined Company, in each case, on a pro forma fully diluted basis, subject to certain assumptions. The exchange ratio formula is based upon a fixed percentage of the post-Merger outstanding shares of the Combined Company common stock, expressed on a fully-diluted and as-converted basis, subject to certain adjustments and exclusions. In addition, the seven-member board of directors of the Combined Company will initially be comprised of (a) Remy Gross, designated by both AgeX and Serina, (b) J. Milton Harris and Steve Ledger, each as a Serina designee, (c) Gregory H. Bailey and Richard Marshall, each as an AgeX designee, and (d) Steven Mintz, as an independent director, until their respective successors are duly elected or appointed and qualified or their earlier death, resignation or removal. The remaining vacancy on the Combined Company Board will be filled by an individual that qualifies as an independent director at a later date. The Chief Financial Officer, the Chief Executive Officer and the Chief Operating Officer of Serina will serve as the Interim Chief Executive Officer, Chief Scientific Officer and Chief Operating Officer and Secretary of the Combined Company, respectively, following the closing of the Merger. The Chief Financial Officer of AgeX will serve as the Interim Chief Financial Officer and Chief Accounting Officer of the Combined Company following the closing of the Merger. Consequently, following the closing of the Merger, the pre-Merger equity holders of AgeX will own a smaller percentage of the Combined Company than their ownership of AgeX prior to the Merger and will be able to exercise less influence over the management and policies of the Combined Company than they currently exercise over the management and policies of AgeX.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 6
The market price of the Combined Company's common stock following the Merger may decline as a result of the Merger.
The market price of the Combined Company's common stock may decline as a result of the Merger for a number of reasons, including if: - investors react negatively to the prospects of the Combined Company's product candidates, business and financial condition following the closing of the Merger;         - the effect of the Merger on the Combined Company's business and prospects following the closing of the Merger is not consistent with the expectations of financial or industry analysts; or         - the Combined Company does not achieve the perceived benefits of the Merger as rapidly or to the extent anticipated by stockholders or financial or industry analysts.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 7
The relative proportion of the Combined Company that AgeX stockholders will own immediately following the closing of the Merger is not adjustable based on the market price of AgeX common stock unless the "Actual Closing Price" of AgeX common stock (determined in accordance with the Merger Agreement) is less than $12.00 per share. If the Actual Closing Price of AgeX common stock is less than $12.00 per share, AgeX has the option to issue additional AgeX common stock to Serina stockholders in the amount necessary to equal the Target Merger Consideration Minimum (as defined in the Merger Agreement), which, in such circumstances, could proportionally decrease the amount of the Combined Company that AgeX stockholders would own immediately following the closing of the Merger. Accordingly, the Merger consideration at the closing of the Merger may have a greater or lesser value than at the time the Merger Agreement was signed.
The relative proportion of the Combined Company that AgeX stockholders will own immediately following the closing of the Merger is based on the relative valuations of AgeX and Serina as negotiated by the parties and as specified in the Merger Agreement. At the effective time of the Merger, outstanding shares of Serina common stock will be converted into shares of AgeX common stock. Immediately following the Merger, equity holders of Serina immediately prior to the closing of the Merger are expected to own approximately 75% of the outstanding shares of the common stock of the Combined Company, and equity holders of AgeX immediately prior to the closing of the Merger are expected to own approximately 25% of the outstanding shares of common stock of the Combined Company, in each case, on a pro forma fully diluted basis, subject to certain assumptions and exclusions. It is a closing condition of the Merger that the Actual Closing Price of a share of AgeX common stock is not less than $12.00 per share. However, if the Actual Closing Price of a share of AgeX common stock is less than $12.00 per share, AgeX has the option to satisfy such closing condition by issuing additional AgeX common stock to Serina stockholders in the amount necessary to equal the Target Merger Consideration Minimum (as defined below), which is equal to $12.00 multiplied by the anticipated aggregate number of shares of AgeX common stock to be issued (approximately 7,500,000 shares prior to any such adjustment), and, in such circumstances, AgeX stockholders immediately prior to the closing of the Merger could own a smaller percentage, and Serina stockholders immediately prior to the closing of the Merger could own a larger percentage, of the Combined Company following the closing of the Merger. The exercise of this option would also affect the exchange ratio. In addition, changes in the market price of AgeX common stock before the completion of the Merger may not affect the number of shares Serina stockholders will be entitled to receive pursuant to the Merger Agreement so long as the Actual Closing Price of AgeX common stock is equal to or greater than $12.00 per share. If before the completion of the Merger, the market price of AgeX common stock increases to be greater than $12.00 per share, then Serina stockholders could receive merger consideration with substantially more value for their shares of Serina capital stock than the parties had negotiated when they established the relative ownership proportions of the Combined Company immediately following the closing of the Merger and the exchange ratio.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 8
The Reverse Stock Split may decrease the liquidity of AgeX common stock or the Combined Company's common stock.
Although the AgeX Board believes that the anticipated increase in the market price of the Combined Company's common stock resulting from the proposed Reverse Stock Split could encourage interest in its common stock and possibly promote greater liquidity for its stockholders, such liquidity could also be adversely affected by the reduced number of shares outstanding after the Reverse Stock Split. The reduction in the number of outstanding shares may lead to reduced trading in and a smaller number of market makers for the Combined Company's common stock.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 9
The Reverse Stock Split may lead to a decrease in the Combined Company's overall market capitalization.
Should the market price of the Combined Company's common stock decline after the Reverse Stock Split, the percentage decline may be greater, due to the smaller number of shares outstanding, than it would have been prior to the Reverse Stock Split. A Reverse Stock Split is often viewed negatively by the market and, consequently, can lead to a decrease in the Combined Company's overall market capitalization. If the per-share market price does not increase in proportion to the Reverse Stock Split ratio, then the value of the Combined Company, as measured by its stock capitalization, will be reduced. In some cases, the per-share stock price of companies that have effected Reverse Stock Splits subsequently declined back to pre-reverse split levels, and accordingly, it cannot be assured that the total market value of the Combined Company's common stock will remain the same after the Reverse Stock Split is effected, or that the Reverse Stock Split will not have an adverse effect on the Combined Company's stock price due to the reduced number of shares outstanding after the Reverse Stock Split.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 10
Raising additional capital may cause dilution to our stockholders, restrict our operations or require us to relinquish rights to our technologies or product candidates.
Until such time, if ever, as we can generate substantial revenue, we may finance our cash needs through a combination of equity offerings, debt financings, strategic alliances and licensing arrangements. We do not currently have any committed external source of funds. We will need to seek additional capital regardless of market conditions and the terms of any financings that may be available to us. To the extent that we raise additional capital through the sale of shares of AgeX common stock or other equity securities, AgeX your ownership interest will be diluted, and the terms of these securities may include liquidation or other preferences that adversely affect your rights as a common stockholder. Similarly, if any of our subsidiaries raise capital through the sale of equity securities or convertible debt securities AgeX's interest in those subsidiaries will be diluted and the terms of equity securities issued by those subsidiaries may include liquidation or other preferences that adversely affect our rights as a common stockholder of the subsidiary. Debt financing and preferred equity financing, if available, may involve agreements that include covenants limiting or restricting our ability to take specific actions, such as incurring additional debt, making capital expenditures or declaring dividends. If we or any of our subsidiaries raise additional funds through collaborations, strategic alliances or marketing, distribution or licensing arrangements with third parties, we or our subsidiaries may be required to relinquish valuable rights to key technologies, future revenue streams, or product candidates, and any such licenses may be granted on terms that may not be favorable to us. If we or our subsidiaries are unable to raise additional funds through equity or debt financings when needed, we may be required to delay, limit, reduce or terminate our product development or future commercialization efforts or grant rights to develop and market product candidates that we would otherwise prefer to develop and market ourselves.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 11
Unless AgeX common stock continues to be listed on a national securities exchange, AgeX will become subject to the so-called "penny stock" rules that impose restrictive sales practice requirements.
On November 17, 2021, we received a letter (the Deficiency Letter) from the staff of the NYSE American indicating that AgeX did not meet certain of the NYSE American continued listing standards as set forth in Section 1003(a)(i) of the NYSE American Company Guide in that we had stockholders' equity of less than $2,000,000 and had incurred losses from continuing operations and/or net losses during our two most recent fiscal years. Pursuant to Section 1009 of the NYSE American Company Guide and as provided in the Deficiency Letter provided, we provided the NYSE American staff with a plan (the Compliance Plan) advising the NYSE American staff of action we had taken and will take that would bring AgeX into compliance with the NYSE American continued listing standards. The NYSE American staff accepted our Compliance Plan but later required us to revise the Compliance Plan as we remained out of listing compliance. On November 22, 2022, we received a notification from the staff of the NYSE American indicating that the NYSE American accepted our revised listing Compliance Plan and granted us an extension of time to regain compliance with the NYSE American continued listing standards as set forth in Section 1003(a)(i) and (ii) of the NYSE American Company Guide by increasing our stockholders equity to not less than $4,000,000. On May 17, 2023, we received a notice from the staff of the NYSE American indicating that they intend to commence proceedings to delist AgeX common stock from the NYSE American based upon AgeX's non-compliance with the stockholders' equity requirements set forth in Sections 1003(a)(i), (ii) and (iii) of the NYSE American Company Guide by the end of a compliance plan period that expired on May 17, 2023. Specifically, AgeX did not meet the continued listing standards because it had stockholders equity of less than (A) $2,000,000 and has incurred losses from continuing operations and/or net losses during its two most recent fiscal years, (B) $4,000,000 and had incurred losses from continuing operations and/or net losses during three out of four of its most recent fiscal years, and (C) $6,000,000 or more and had reported losses from continuing operations and/or net losses in its five most recent fiscal years. On May 24, 2023, AgeX filed a request for a review of the delisting determination by a committee of the board of directors of the NYSE American. On May 31, 2023, AgeX received a notice from the staff of the NYSE American which scheduled a hearing for July 25, 2023. On July 24, 2023, AgeX issued shares of AgeX Series A preferred stock and AgeX Series B preferred stock to Juvenescence in exchange for the extinguishment of $36 million of indebtedness owed to Juvenescence with the intent of adding $36 million to stockholders equity and returning AgeX to compliance with the NYSE American continued listing standards. However, due to the incurrence of subsequent losses from operations, AgeX's stockholders equity declined below $6,000,000 as of December 31, 2023 which could result in the NYSE American initiating delisting proceedings again unless the Merger is consummated and the NYSE American approves listing of the common stock of the Combined Company or unless AgeX raises additional equity capital sufficient to bring its stockholders equity into compliance with the continued listing standards. If we are unable to maintain the listing of AgeX common stock on the NYSE American or another national securities exchange, AgeX common stock could become subject to the so-called "penny stock" rules if the shares have a market value of less than $5.00 per share. The SEC has adopted regulations that define a penny stock to include any stock that has a market price of less than $5.00 per share, subject to certain exceptions, including an exception for stock traded on a national securities exchange. The SEC regulations impose restrictive sales practice requirements on broker-dealers who sell penny stocks to persons other than established customers and accredited investors. An accredited investor generally is a person whose individual annual income exceeded $200,000, or whose joint annual income with a spouse exceeded $300,000 during the past two years and who expects their annual income to exceed the applicable level during the current year, or a person with net worth in excess of $1.0 million, not including the value of the investor's principal residence and excluding mortgage debt secured by the investor's principal residence up to the estimated fair market value of the home, except that any mortgage debt incurred by the investor within 60 days prior to the date of the transaction shall not be excluded from the determination of the investor's net worth unless the mortgage debt was incurred to acquire the residence. For transactions covered by this rule, the broker-dealer must make a special suitability determination for the purchaser and must have received the purchaser's written consent to the transaction prior to sale. This means that if we are unable maintain the listing of AgeX common stock on a national securities exchange, the ability of stockholders to sell their AgeX common stock in the secondary market could be adversely affected. If a transaction involving a penny stock is not exempt from the SEC's rule, a broker-dealer must deliver a disclosure schedule relating to the penny stock market to each investor prior to a transaction. The broker-dealer also must disclose the commissions payable to both the broker-dealer and its registered representative, current quotations for the penny stock, and, if the broker-dealer is the sole market-maker, the broker-dealer must disclose this fact and the broker-dealer's presumed control over the market. Finally, monthly statements must be sent disclosing recent price information for the penny stock held in the customer's account and information on the limited market in penny stocks.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 12
Conflicts of interest may arise from our relationship with Juvenescence, which owns a significant percentage of AgeX common stock and is a significant creditor and will be able to substantially influence us and exert control over matters subject to stockholder approval.
As of March 5, 2024, Juvenescence beneficially owned approximately 81.1% of the outstanding shares of AgeX common stock, as Juvenescence indicated in its amendment of the Schedule 13D filed with the SEC on March 7, 2024, include both outstanding shares owned and shares that may be acquired upon the exercise of certain warrants and conversion of convertible debt. A member of the AgeX Board is also the Executive Chairman and Co-Founder of Juvenescence, and based on Juvenescence's ownership of shares of AgeX common stock, if the Merger is not consummated, Juvenescence will continue to substantially influence us and exert control over matters subject to stockholder approval, the elections of directors, approval of our equity incentive plans, amendments to our organizational documents, or approval of any merger, amalgamation, sale of assets or other major corporate transaction. Furthermore, because Juvenescence holds more than 50% of the outstanding AgeX common stock, AgeX qualifies as a "controlled company" as defined by the NYSE American Company Guide. Being a "controlled company" entitles AgeX to exempt itself from the requirement that a majority of its directors be "independent" directors as defined in the NYSE American Company Guide, and that the Compensation Committee and the Nominating & Corporate Governance Committee be comprised entirely of independent directors. On November 9, 2023, we entered into an amendment of the 2022 Secured Note to increase the amount of the line of credit available to AgeX from Juvenescence by $4,400,000, which has already been drawn down in full. As of March 20, 2024, the outstanding principal balance plus accrued loan origination fees of the 2022 Secured Note was approximately $7,400,000. Juvenescence also has controlling stakes and minority investments in several other companies engaged in various aspects of the aging industry, which companies may propose collaborations with AgeX. Juvenescence's interests may not always coincide with our corporate interests or the interests of other stockholders, and it may exercise its voting and other rights, including rights as a creditor, in a manner with which other stockholders may not agree or that may not be in the best interests of AgeX or stockholders other than Juvenescence. So long as Juvenescence continues to own a significant amount of our equity and remains a significant creditor, it will continue to be able to strongly influence and effectively control our decisions. While the directors elected by Juvenescence will be obligated to act in accordance with their fiduciary duty, they may have equity or other interests in Juvenescence and, accordingly, their interests may be aligned with Juvenescence's interests, which may not always coincide with our corporate interests or the interests of our other stockholders.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 13
Provisions in AgeX's Certificate of Incorporation (the "AgeX Charter") and AgeX's Bylaws and under Delaware law could make an acquisition of our company, which may be beneficial to our stockholders, more difficult and may prevent attempts by our stockholders to replace or remove our current management.
Provisions in the AgeX Charter and AgeX's Bylaws may discourage, delay or prevent a merger, acquisition or other change in control of our company that stockholders may consider favorable, including transactions in which you might otherwise receive a premium for your shares. These provisions could also limit the price that investors might be willing to pay in the future for shares of AgeX common stock, thereby depressing the market price of AgeX common stock. In addition, because the AgeX Board is responsible for appointing the members of our management team, these provisions may frustrate or prevent any attempts by our stockholders to replace or remove our current management by making it more difficult for stockholders to replace members of the AgeX Board. Among other things, these provisions include those establishing: - no cumulative voting in the election of directors, which limits the ability of minority stockholders to elect director candidates;- the ability of the AgeX Board to authorize the issuance of shares of preferred stock and to determine the terms of those shares, including preferences and voting rights, without stockholder approval, which could be used to significantly dilute the ownership of a hostile acquirer; and         - the ability of the AgeX Board to alter our bylaws without obtaining stockholder approval. Moreover, because we are incorporated in Delaware, we are governed by the provisions of Section 203 of the DGCL, which prohibits a person who owns in excess of 15% of our outstanding voting stock from merging or combining with us for a period of three years after the date of the transaction in which the person acquired in excess of 15% of our outstanding voting stock, unless the merger or combination is approved in a prescribed manner.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 14
We are an "emerging growth company," and may elect to comply with reduced public company reporting requirements applicable to emerging growth companies, which could make AgeX common stock less attractive to investors.
We are an "emerging growth company," as defined in the JOBS Act, and we may take advantage of certain exemptions from various reporting requirements that are applicable to other public companies that are not "emerging growth companies" including reduced disclosure obligations regarding executive compensation in our periodic reports and proxy statements, and exemptions from the requirements of holding a nonbinding advisory vote on executive compensation and stockholder approval of any golden parachute payments not previously approved. We cannot predict if investors will find AgeX common stock less attractive because we may rely on these exemptions. If some investors find AgeX common stock less attractive as a result, there may be a less active trading market for AgeX common stock and our stock price may be more volatile. We may take advantage of these reporting exemptions until we are no longer an "emerging growth company." We will remain an "emerging growth company" until the earliest of (i) the last day of the fiscal year in which we have total annual gross revenues of $1.07 billion or more; (ii) the last day of the fiscal year following the fifth anniversary of the date of the first sale of our common equity securities pursuant to an effective registration statement under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the Securities Act); (iii) the date on which we have issued more than $1.0 billion in nonconvertible debt during the previous three years; or (iv) the date on which we are deemed to be a "large accelerated filer" under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the Exchange Act).
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 15
You may experience dilution of your ownership interests if we issue additional shares of common stock or preferred stock.
In the future, we may issue our authorized but previously unissued equity securities, resulting in the dilution of the ownership interests of our present stockholders. We are currently authorized to issue an aggregate of 205,000,000 shares of capital stock consisting of 200,000,000 shares of common stock and 5,000,000 "blank check" shares of preferred stock. As of March 14, 2024, there were 2,500,664 shares of AgeX common stock issued and outstanding, 82,206 shares of AgeX common stock reserved for issuance upon the exercise of outstanding stock options or other stock-based awards under our 2017 Equity Incentive Plan, 1,500,284 shares reserved for issuance upon the exercise of Post-Merger Warrants, 1,500,284 shares reserved for issuance upon the exercise of Incentive Warrants, and 303,255 shares of AgeX common stock reserved for issuance upon the exercise of outstanding warrants held by Juvenescence. We may issue additional AgeX common stock or other securities that are convertible into or exercisable for AgeX common stock in order to raise additional capital, or in connection with hiring or retaining employees or consultants, or in connection with future acquisitions of licenses to technology or medical products or for other business purposes. The future issuance of any additional shares of AgeX common stock or other securities may create downward pressure on the trading price of AgeX common stock. We may also issue additional preferred stock, and such preferred stock may have rights, preferences, and privileges senior to the rights of AgeX common stock with respect to dividends, rights to share in distributions of our assets if we liquidate our company, or voting rights. Any preferred stock may also be convertible into common stock on terms that would be dilutive to holders of common stock. Our subsidiaries may finance a portion of their operations by selling shares of their capital stock or debt securities convertible into shares of their capital stock to private investors. Sales of subsidiary shares would reduce our ownership interest in the subsidiaries, and correspondingly dilute our shareholder's ownership interests in our consolidated enterprise. Reverse Bio has, and other AgeX subsidiaries could also have, their own stock option plans and the exercise of subsidiary stock options or the sale of restricted stock under those plans would also reduce our ownership interest in the subsidiaries, with a resulting dilutive effect on the ownership interest of our shareholders in our consolidated enterprise. Subsidiaries might also issue preferred stock having rights, preferences, and privileges senior to the rights of the subsidiary common stock we hold with respect to dividends, rights to share in distributions of our assets if the subsidiary is liquidated, or voting rights. Any subsidiary preferred stock may also be convertible into common stock on terms that would be dilutive to us as a holder of subsidiary common stock.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 16
Securities analysts may not initiate coverage or continue to cover AgeX common stock, and this may have a negative impact on the market price of our shares.
The market price and liquidity of AgeX common stock will depend, in part, on the research and reports that securities analysts publish about our business and AgeX common stock. We do not have any control over these analysts. There is no guarantee that securities analysts will cover AgeX common stock. If securities analysts do not cover AgeX common stock, the lack of research coverage may adversely affect the market price of those shares. If securities analysts do cover our shares, they could issue reports or recommendations that are unfavorable to the price of our shares, and they could downgrade a previously favorable report or recommendation, and in either case our share price could decline as a result of the report. If one or more of these analysts ceases to cover our shares or fails to publish regular reports on our business, we could lose visibility in the financial markets, which could cause our share price or trading volume to decline.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 17
Because we are engaged in the development of pharmaceutical and cell therapy products, the price of shares of AgeX common stock may rise and fall rapidly.
The price of AgeX common stock may rise rapidly in response to certain events, such as the commencement of clinical trials of an experimental new therapy, even though the outcome of those trials and the likelihood of ultimate FDA approval of a therapeutic product remain uncertain. Similarly, prices of AgeX common stock may fall rapidly in response to certain events such as unfavorable results of clinical trials or a delay or failure to obtain FDA approval. Further, the failure of our earnings to meet analysts' expectations could result in a significant rapid decline in the market price of AgeX common stock.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 18
There is a limited history to the public trading of AgeX common stock and there is no assurance that a market for AgeX common stock will be sustained.
Public trading of AgeX common stock on the NYSE American began on November 29, 2018. Accordingly, there is only a limited history of the public trading of AgeX common stock and there can be no assurance that an active market for AgeX common stock will be sustained. We cannot predict the prices at which AgeX common stock may trade. The market price of AgeX common stock may fluctuate significantly, depending upon many factors, some of which may be beyond our control, including, but not limited to: - a shift in our investor base;         - the impact of the Reverse Stock Split;         - our quarterly or annual earnings, or those of comparable companies;         - actual or anticipated fluctuations in our operating results;         - our ability to obtain financing as needed;         - changes in laws and regulations affecting our business;         - changes in accounting standards, policies, guidance, interpretations or principles;         - announcements by us or our competitors of significant investments, acquisitions or dispositions;         - the failure of securities analysts to cover AgeX common stock;         - changes in earnings estimates by securities analysts or our ability to meet those estimates;         - the operating performance and stock price of comparable companies;         - overall market fluctuations; and         - general economic conditions and other external factors.
Accounting & Financial Operations3 | 3.8%
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 1
Because we do not pay dividends, AgeX common stock may not be a suitable investment for anyone who needs to earn dividend income.
We do not have current plans to pay any cash dividends on AgeX common stock. The declaration, amount and payment of any future dividends on shares of common stock will be at the sole discretion of the AgeX Board. The AgeX Board may take into account general and economic conditions, our financial condition and results of operations, our available cash and current and anticipated cash needs, capital requirements, contractual, legal, tax and regulatory restrictions and implications on the payment of dividends by us to our stockholders or by our subsidiaries to us and such other factors as the AgeX Board may deem relevant. For the foreseeable future we anticipate that any earnings generated in our business will be used to finance the growth of our business and will not be paid out as dividends to our stockholders. This means that our stock may not be a suitable investment for anyone who needs to earn income from their investments.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 2
Assessing the value of AgeX and Serina through a relative valuation as opposed to an absolute valuation carries potential risk.
The AgeX Board of Directors did not use a dollar or absolute value in determining the relative ownership of AgeX and Serina in the Combined Company. The relative valuations calculated for AgeX and Serina were established based on, among other factors, AgeX's market capitalization and Serina's most recent valuation in connection with a capital raise prior to the Merger, AgeX's and Serina's operations prior to the Merger, AgeX's debt accumulated prior to the Merger and consideration of general market conditions for early-stage life sciences companies. Assessing the value of AgeX and Serina through a relative valuation as opposed to an absolute valuation (i.e., a valuation expressed in currency) carries potential risk. If the public markets determine that the relative valuation ascribed to AgeX or Serina is too high or too low, the price of the Combined Company's common stock may decline following the Merger.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 3
Failure of our internal control over financial reporting could harm our business and financial results.
Our management is responsible for establishing and maintaining adequate internal control over financial reporting. Internal control over financial reporting is a process designed to provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting for external purposes in accordance with U.S. GAAP. Internal control over financial reporting includes maintaining records that in reasonable detail accurately and fairly reflect our transactions; providing reasonable assurance that transactions are recorded as necessary for preparation of our consolidated financial statements; providing reasonable assurance that receipts and expenditures of our assets are made in accordance with management authorization; and providing reasonable assurance that unauthorized acquisition, use, or disposition of our assets that could have a material effect on the consolidated financial statements would be prevented or detected on a timely basis. Because of its inherent limitations, internal control over financial reporting is not intended to provide absolute assurance that a misstatement of our consolidated financial statements would be prevented or detected. Because we are an emerging growth company and a smaller reporting issuer, we are exempt from the requirement of having our internal controls over financial reporting audited by our independent registered public accountants, which means that material weaknesses or significant deficiencies in our internal controls that might be detected by an audit may not be detected and remedied. If we are successful in developing new medical products and technologies, the commercialization of those products and technologies will place significant additional pressure on our system of internal control over financial reporting. Any failure to maintain an effective system of internal control over financial reporting could limit our ability to report our financial results accurately and timely or to detect and prevent fraud. Our accounting and other management systems and resources may not be adequately prepared to meet the financial reporting and other requirements to which we will be subject, and failure to achieve and maintain effective internal controls could have a material adverse effect on our business.
Debt & Financing4 | 5.1%
Debt & Financing - Risk 1
Changed
We need additional financing to execute our operating plan and continue to operate as a going concern.
As required under Accounting Standards Update 2014-15, Presentation of Financial Statements-Going Concern (ASC 205-40), we have the responsibility to evaluate whether conditions and/or events raise substantial doubt about our ability to meet our future financial obligations as they become due within one year after the date the financial statements are issued. Based on our most recent projected cash flows, we believe that our cash and cash equivalents, even with the amount of credit remaining available under our loan agreements with Juvenescence would not be sufficient to satisfy our anticipated operating and other funding requirements for the next twelve months from the date of filing of this Report. Additionally, there is a risk we may not receive the remaining $10 million of additional funds expected from Juvenescence through the exercise of the Post-Merger Warrants pursuant to the terms of the Side Letter. These factors raise substantial doubt regarding our ability to continue as a going concern and the report of our independent registered public accountants accompanying our audited consolidated financial statements in this Report contains a qualification to such effect. We have incurred operating losses and negative cash flows since inception and had an accumulated deficit of $21.8 million as of September 30, 2024. We expect to continue to incur operating losses and negative cash flows. Because we will continue to experience net operating losses, our ability to continue as a going concern is subject to our ability to obtain necessary capital from outside sources, including obtaining additional capital from the sale of our common stock or other equity securities or assets, obtaining additional loans from financial institutions or investors, and entering into collaborative research and development arrangements or licensing some or all of our patents and know-how to third parties while retaining a royalty and other contingent payment rights related to the development and commercialization of products covered by the licenses. Our continued net operating losses, the amount of our debt obligations to Juvenescence and the provisions of our indebtedness agreements with them, including restrictions on the use of loan funds and the security interest they hold in our assets, the risks associated with the development of our product candidates and technologies, and our deferral of in-house development of our product candidates and technologies in connection with our reductions in staffing and the closing of our research laboratory facilities, will increase the difficulty in obtaining such capital, and there can be no assurances that we will be able to obtain such capital on favorable terms or at all. If we are unable to raise capital when needed, we may be forced to delay, reduce or eliminate our research and development activities, or ultimately not be able to continue as a going concern.
Debt & Financing - Risk 2
We are a discovery-stage development company with limited capital resources and have incurred operating losses since our inception. We anticipate that we will incur continued losses for the foreseeable future and will need to continue to raise capital to finance our operations, and we do not know if we will ever attain profitability.
We are a discovery-stage therapeutics company with a limited operating history and limited capital resources. Since our inception in August 2017, we have incurred operating losses and negative cash flows and we expect to continue to incur losses and negative cash flow in the future. Our net loss from operations were $14.8 million and $10.5 million for the years ended December 31, 2023 and 2022, respectively, and we had an accumulated deficit of approximately $131.0 million as of December 31, 2023. These net losses and negative cash flows have had, and will continue to have, an adverse effect on our stockholders' equity and working capital. We expect to continue to incur significant additional operating losses for the foreseeable future and will need to continuously raise additional capital to fund our operations. The amount of our expenses and anticipated losses will depend on our capital resources and whether we license out product development to third parties or participate ourselves directly or financially with collaborators in research, development and commercialization efforts. Although we do not expect to advance our product candidates through clinical trials, seek regulatory approval, or commercialize our product candidates ourselves, our capital needs would increase greatly if we were to change plans and determine to do so. The amount of our future net losses will depend, in part, on the rate of future growth of our expenses, our ability to raise the capital needed to continue our operations, and our ability to generate revenues. If we or any licensees or collaborators are unable to develop and commercialize one or more of our product candidates, or if revenues from any product candidates that receive marketing approval are insufficient, we will not achieve profitability. Even if we do achieve profitability, we may not be able to sustain or increase profitability. If we are unable to achieve and then maintain profitability, the value of our equity securities will be materially and adversely affected.
Debt & Financing - Risk 3
We are highly leveraged, carrying a significant amount of indebtedness, including indebtedness secured by our assets, that will become due and payable over the next three years and there is no assurance that we will be able to refinance those obligations as they become due.
As of March 20, 2024, our borrowings from Juvenescence under various loans and accrued origination fees outstanding totaled approximately $8.1 million. The outstanding balances of those loans will become due and payable as follows: approximately $7.4 million on May 9, 2024 under the 2022 Secured Note and $692,800 on March 13, 2026 under a $10 million principal amount Secured Convertible Promissory Note, dated March 13, 2023 (the "2023 Secured Note"). During November 2023, we entered into an amendment of the 2022 Secured Note pursuant to which we borrowed an additional $4,400,000 from Juvenescence. Our obligations under the 2022 Secured Note and the 2023 Secured Note are collateralized by all of our assets, including the shares of common stock we hold in subsidiaries ReCyte, Reverse Bio, and UniverXome under the terms of an Amended and Restated Security Agreement (the "Security Agreement"), and those subsidiaries have guaranteed our obligations under the Secured Note, as amended, and have granted a security interest in their respective assets to Juvenescence pursuant to the Security Agreement to secure those obligations. If an Event of Default, as defined in the 2022 Secured Note or the 2023 Secured Note, were to occur Juvenescence could foreclose on its security interest and sell our assets and the assets of those subsidiaries to satisfy the unpaid principal balances of those loans plus certain loan origination fees and costs incurred in connection with the Event of Default and the foreclosure and sale of the assets. As a result, we and those subsidiaries could lose some or all of our respective assets, leaving few if any assets available for the operation of our business or the businesses of our subsidiaries, or for sale for the benefit of our stockholders through a winding up of our affairs and liquidation of our assets. Although we plan to transfer most of our assets to UniverXome and to restructure our indebtedness with Juvenescence so that UniverXome will replace AgeX as the borrower and will assume AgeX's obligations under the 2022 Secured Note and 2023 Secured Note and the Security Agreement, Juvenescence will retain its security interest in the assets we transfer to UniverXome and would be entitled to foreclose on its security interest under the Security Agreement if an Event of Default were to occur after UniverXome assumes AgeX's obligations.
Debt & Financing - Risk 4
The terms of our loans from Juvenescence and the Security Agreement could make it more difficult for us to raise additional capital from other sources.
The terms of our loans from Juvenescence include certain covenants that among other matters such as financial reporting: (i) impose financial restrictions on AgeX while the loans remain unpaid, including restrictions on the incurrence of additional indebtedness by AgeX and its subsidiaries, except that Reverse Bio will be permitted to incur debt convertible into equity not guaranteed or secured by the assets of AgeX or any other AgeX subsidiary; (ii) require that AgeX use loan proceeds and funds that may be raised through certain equity offerings only for research and development work, professional and administrative expenses, for general working capital, and for repayment of all or a portion of AgeX's indebtedness to Juvenescence; and (iii) prohibit AgeX from making additional investments in subsidiaries, unless AgeX obtains the written consent of Juvenescence to a transaction that otherwise would be prohibited or restricted. Further, our obligations under the 2022 Secured Note and 2023 Secured Note are collateralized by all of our assets under the terms of the Security Agreement. Accordingly, the terms of our loans from Juvenescence, and the grant of a security interest in our assets pursuant to the Security Agreement to secure our obligations for the repayment of the 2022 Secured Note and 2023 Secured Note with applicable loan fees that become due, could make AgeX less attractive to new equity investors and could impair our ability to finance our operations or the operations of our subsidiaries from sources other than Juvenescence. Although we plan to transfer most of our assets to UniverXome and to restructure our indebtedness with Juvenescence so that UniverXome will replace AgeX as the borrower and will assume AgeX's obligations under the 2022 Secured Note and 2023 Secured Note and the Security Agreement, the amount and terms of the indebtedness owed to Juvenescence by UniverXome, and Juvenescence's continuing security interest in the assets held by UniverXome to secure its obligations to Juvenescence could still make AgeX less attractive to new equity investors and could impair our ability to finance our operations or the operations of UniverXome and our other subsidiaries from sources other than Juvenescence.
Corporate Activity and Growth10 | 12.8%
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 1
If the Merger is not completed, the market price of AgeX common stock may decline significantly.
The market price of AgeX common stock is subject to significant fluctuations. Market prices for securities of pharmaceutical, biotechnology and other life science companies have historically been particularly volatile. In addition, the market price of AgeX common stock will likely be volatile based on whether stockholders and other investors believe that AgeX can complete the Merger. The volatility of the market price of AgeX common stock has been and may be exacerbated by low trading volume. Additional factors that may cause the market price of AgeX common stock to fluctuate include, but are not limited to: - the entry into, or termination of, key agreements, including commercial partner agreements;         - announcements by commercial partners or competitors of new commercial products, clinical progress or lack thereof, significant contracts, commercial relationships or capital commitments;         - the loss of key employees;         - future sales of its common stock;         - general and industry-specific economic conditions that may affect its research and development expenditures;         - the failure to meet industry analyst expectations; and         - period-to-period fluctuations in financial results. Moreover, the stock markets in general have experienced substantial volatility that has often been unrelated to the operating performance of individual companies. These broad market fluctuations may also adversely affect the trading price of AgeX common stock. In the past, following periods of volatility in the market price of a company's securities, stockholders have often instituted class action securities litigation against such companies.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 2
The Merger may be completed even though material adverse changes may result from the announcement of the Merger, industry-wide changes and/or other causes.
In general, either AgeX or Serina can refuse to complete the Merger if there is a material adverse effect affecting the other party between August 29, 2023, the date of the Merger Agreement, and the closing of the Merger. However, certain types of effects are excluded from the concept of a "material adverse effect" and do not permit the parties to refuse to complete the Merger, even if such change could be said to have a material adverse effect on AgeX or Serina. Such exclusions included, but are not limited to: - general business, political or economic conditions generally affecting the industry in which Serina or AgeX operate;         - acts of war, the outbreak or escalation of armed hostilities, acts of terrorism, earthquakes, wildfires, hurricanes or other natural disasters, health emergencies, including pandemics (including COVID-19 and any evolutions or mutations thereof) and related or associated epidemics, disease outbreaks or quarantine restrictions;         - changes in financial, banking or securities markets;         - any change in the stock price or trading volume of AgeX common stock;         - any failure by AgeX to meet internal or analysts' expectations or projections or the results of operations of AgeX;         - any change in or affecting clinical trial programs or studies conducted by or on behalf of AgeX or its subsidiaries;         - any change from continued losses from operations or decreases in cash balances of Serina or any of its subsidiaries or on a consolidated basis among Serina and its subsidiaries;         - any change in, or any compliance with or action taken for the purpose of complying with, any law or GAAP (or interpretations of any law or GAAP); or         - any change resulting from the announcement of the Merger Agreement or the pendency of the transactions related to the Merger;         - any change resulting from any disposition of assets permitted by the Merger Agreement;         - the taking of any action required to be taken by the Merger Agreement; or         - any reduction in the amount of AgeX's cash and cash equivalents as a result of winding down its activities associated with the termination of its research and development activities. If adverse changes occur and AgeX and Serina still complete the Merger, the stock price of the Combined Company following the closing of the Merger may suffer. This in turn may reduce the value of the Merger to the stockholders of AgeX.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 3
If the conditions to the closing of the Merger are not satisfied or waived, the Merger may not occur or the closing of the Merger could be delayed.
Even though AgeX and Serina have obtained the approvals of their respective stockholders required for the Merger and the related transactions, specified conditions set forth in the Merger Agreement must be satisfied or, to the extent permitted by applicable law, waived to complete the Merger. There is no assurance that all of the conditions will be satisfied or waived. One of the conditions is that at the time of the Merger AgeX must have on hand $500,000 of immediately spendable nonrestricted cash, net of all payables and other "Liabilities" as defined in the Merger Agreement. In order to meet that condition, AgeX will need to obtain additional cash through a loan or other financing the availability and terms of which cannot be assured. If the conditions are not satisfied or waived, the Merger may not occur or could be delayed, and AgeX may lose some or all of the intended benefits of the Merger.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 4
Failure to complete the Merger may result in AgeX or Serina paying a termination fee or reimbursement of expenses to the other party and could harm the common stock price of AgeX and AgeX's future business and operations.
If the Merger is not completed, each of AgeX is subject to the following risks: - upon termination of the Merger Agreement, AgeX may be required to pay Serina a termination fee of $1,000,000 or up to $1,000,000 in expense reimbursements; provided that AgeX will not be responsible for payment of more than $1,000,000 in the aggregate;         - AgeX has incurred significant expenses related to the Merger, such as legal and accounting fees, which must be paid even if the Merger is not completed;         - the price of AgeX's common stock may decline and remain volatile; and         - the reputation of AgeX may be adversely impacted. In addition, if the Merger Agreement is terminated and AgeX determines to seek another business combination, there can be no assurance that AgeX will be able to find a partner willing to provide equivalent or more attractive consideration than the consideration to be provided by Serina in the Merger, or any partner at all.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 5
Certain provisions of the Merger Agreement may discourage third parties from submitting competing proposals, including proposals that may be superior to the transactions contemplated by the Merger Agreement.
The terms of the Merger Agreement prohibit each of AgeX and Serina from soliciting competing proposals or cooperating with persons making unsolicited takeover proposals, except in limited circumstances. In addition, if AgeX or Serina terminate the Merger Agreement under specified circumstances, AgeX may be required to pay Serina a termination fee of $1,000,000 or up to $1,000,000 in expense reimbursements or Serina may be required to pay AgeX a termination fee of $1,000,000 or up to $1,000,000 in expense reimbursements; provided that neither party will be responsible for payment of more than $1,000,000 in the aggregate. The termination fee or expense reimbursements may discourage third parties from submitting competing proposals to AgeX or AgeX stockholders and may cause the AgeX Board to be less inclined to recommend a competing proposal.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 6
During the pendency of the Merger Agreement, AgeX may be limited in its ability to enter into a business combination with another party on more favorable terms because of restrictions in the Merger Agreement, which could adversely affect AgeX's business prospects.
Covenants in the Merger Agreement impede the ability of AgeX and Serina to make acquisitions during the pendency of the Merger, subject to specified exceptions. As a result, if the Merger is not completed, AgeX as well as Serina may be at a disadvantage to their competitors during that period. In addition, while the Merger Agreement is in effect, each party is generally prohibited from soliciting, initiating or knowingly encouraging, inducing or facilitating the communication, making, submission or announcement of any acquisition proposal or acquisition inquiry or taking any action that could reasonably be expected to lead to an acquisition proposal or acquisition inquiry regarding transactions involving a third party, including a merger, sale of assets or other business combination, subject to specified exceptions. Any such transactions could be favorable to such party's stockholders, but the parties may be unable to pursue them.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 7
We may determine to expand our organization and obtain laboratory facilities if we are able to raise sufficient capital to do so, and we may experience difficulties in managing this growth, which could disrupt our operations.
As of December 31, 2023, we had eight employees. If we are able to obtain sufficient capital and determine to reinstitute our internal research and development efforts, we may have difficulty locating, leasing, and equipping a new laboratory facility and identifying, hiring and integrating new scientific and laboratory personnel. Many of the biotechnology companies that we compete against for qualified personnel and consultants have greater financial and other resources, different risk profiles and a longer history in the industry than we do and are better positioned to attract and retain personnel and consultants. If we are unable to continue to attract and retain high-quality personnel and consultants, the rate and success at which we can discover and develop product candidates and operate our business will be limited. Future growth would impose significant additional responsibilities on our management, including the need to identify, recruit, maintain, motivate and integrate additional employees, consultants and contractors. Also, our management may need to divert a disproportionate amount of its attention away from our day-to-day activities and devote a substantial amount of time to managing these growth activities. We may not be able to effectively manage the expansion of our operations, which may result in weaknesses in our infrastructure, give rise to operational mistakes, loss of business opportunities, loss of employees and reduced productivity among remaining employees. Any growth of administrative resources could require significant capital expenditures and may divert financial resources from other projects, such as the development of product candidates. If our management is unable to effectively manage our growth, our expenses may increase more than expected, our ability to generate and/or grow revenues could be reduced, and we may not be able to implement our business strategy. Our future financial performance and our ability to commercialize our product candidates and compete effectively will depend, in part, on our ability to effectively manage any future growth.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 8
As part of our corporate restructuring plans, we are pursuing the Merger with Serina through which AgeX would be able to enter the field of drug delivery polymer technology, but there is no assurance that the Merger will be consummated. Failure to complete, or delays in completing, the Merger with Serina could materially and adversely affect our results of operations, business, financial condition or stock price.
We have been formulating corporate restructuring plans that include the Merger through which AgeX would be able to enter the field of drug delivery polymer technology. If the Merger is completed, the Combined Company will primarily focus on developing Serina's product candidates and it is anticipated that the Combined Company will not continue to develop our product candidates, other than potentially the development program of NeuroAirmid. Any failure to satisfy a required condition to closing may prevent, delay or otherwise materially and adversely affect the completion of the Merger, which could materially and adversely affect AgeX's ability to enter the field of drug delivery polymer technology and could materially and adversely affect AgeX's results of operations, business, financial condition or stock price. AgeX cannot predict with certainty whether or when any of the required closing conditions will be satisfied and whether AgeX will be able to successfully consummate the Merger as currently contemplated under the Merger Agreement or at all. Accordingly, there is no assurance that the Merger will be consummated. AgeX's efforts to complete the Merger could cause substantial disruptions in, and create uncertainty surrounding, AgeX's business, which may materially adversely affect AgeX's results of operations and business. Uncertainty as to whether the Merger will be completed may affect AgeX's ability to retain and motivate existing employees or recruit prospective employees if vacancies in staffing need to be filled. Employee retention may be particularly challenging while the Merger is pending because employees may experience uncertainty about their roles following the transaction. A substantial amount of AgeX's management's and employees' attention is being directed toward the completion of the transaction and thus is being diverted from AgeX's day-to-day operations.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 9
If the Merger is not approved or does not occur, we may not be successful in the execution of our current business strategies or identifying and implementing any strategic alternatives with respect to our assets and development programs, and any future strategic alternatives could have negative consequences.
If the Merger does not occur, we expect to continue to execute on our current business strategies while seeking out and evaluating potential strategic alternatives with respect to our assets and development programs, which may include a merger, business combination, investment into AgeX, sale or other disposition of assets or other strategic transaction. In such case, we may not be successful in executing such strategies or identifying or implementing any such strategic alternatives, and there is a risk that Juvenescence may decide to stop funding our operations, which would likely result in our delisting and dissolution. In addition, the process of seeking out and evaluating a potential strategic alternative with respect to our assets and development programs is costly, time-consuming and complex, and we have incurred, and may in the future incur, significant costs related to the Merger and our other ongoing restructuring plans, such as legal and accounting fees and expenses and other related charges. We may also incur additional unanticipated expenses in connection with this process. A considerable portion of these costs will be incurred regardless of whether any such course of action is implemented or transaction is completed, decreasing the remaining cash available for use in our business. The development and any potential commercialization of our product candidates will require substantial additional cash to fund the costs associated with conducting the necessary preclinical and clinical testing and obtaining regulatory approval. Consequently, any potential counterparty in a strategic transaction involving AgeX may be reluctant to spend additional resources required to pursue development of AgeX's product candidates and may attribute little or no value to AgeX product assets in such a transaction. There can be no assurance that any particular course of action, business arrangement or transaction, or series of transactions, will be pursued, successfully consummated, lead to increased stockholder value, or achieve the anticipated results.
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 10
We may become dependent on future collaborations to develop and commercialize our product candidates and to provide the regulatory compliance, sales, marketing, and distribution capabilities required for the success of our business.
We may enter into various kinds of collaborative research and development and product marketing agreements to develop and commercialize our products. The expected future milestone payments and cost reimbursements from collaboration agreements could provide an important source of financing for our research and development programs, thereby facilitating the application of our technology to the development and commercialization of our products, but there are risks associated with entering into collaboration arrangements. The process of establishing and maintaining collaborative relationships is difficult, time-consuming and involves significant uncertainty, such as: - a collaboration partner may shift its priorities and resources away from our product candidates due to a change in business strategies, or a merger, acquisition, sale or downsizing;         - a collaboration partner may seek to renegotiate or terminate their relationships with us due to unsatisfactory clinical results, manufacturing issues, a change in business strategy, a change of control or other reasons;         - a collaboration partner may cease development in therapeutic areas which are the subject of our strategic collaboration;         - a collaboration partner may not devote sufficient capital or resources towards our product candidates;         - a collaboration partner may change the success criteria for a product candidate thereby delaying or ceasing development of such candidate;         - a significant delay in initiation of certain development activities by a collaboration partner will also delay payment of milestones tied to such activities, thereby impacting our ability to fund our own activities;         - a collaboration partner could develop a product that competes, either directly or indirectly, with our product candidate;         - a collaboration partner with commercialization obligations may not commit sufficient financial or human resources to the marketing, distribution or sale of a product;         - a collaboration partner with manufacturing responsibilities may encounter regulatory, resource or quality issues and be unable to meet demand requirements;         - a collaboration partner may terminate a strategic alliance;         - a dispute may arise between us and a partner concerning the research, development or commercialization of a product candidate resulting in a delay in milestones, royalty payments or termination of an alliance and possibly resulting in costly litigation or arbitration which may divert management attention and resources; and         - a partner may use our products or technology in such a way as to invite litigation from a third party. There is a risk that a collaboration partner might fail to perform its obligations under the collaborative arrangements or may be slow in performing its obligations. In addition, a collaboration partner may experience financial difficulties at any time that could prevent it from having available funds to contribute to the collaboration. If a collaboration partner fails to conduct its product development, commercialization, regulatory compliance, sales and marketing or distribution activities successfully and in a timely manner, or if it terminates or materially modifies its agreements with us, the development and commercialization of one or more product candidates could be delayed, curtailed, or terminated because we may not have sufficient financial resources or capabilities to continue such development and commercialization on our own.
Tech & Innovation
Total Risks: 17/78 (22%)Below Sector Average
Innovation / R&D7 | 9.0%
Innovation / R&D - Risk 1
Our product candidates may cause serious adverse events or undesirable side effects or have other properties which may delay or prevent their regulatory approval, limit the commercial profile of an approved label, or, result in significant negative consequences following marketing approval, if any.
Serious adverse events or undesirable side effects caused by our product candidates could cause an interruption, delay or halt of clinical trials and could result in a more restrictive label or the delay or denial of regulatory approval by the FDA or other comparable foreign authorities. Results of clinical trials could reveal a high and unacceptable severity and prevalence of side effects, toxicities or unexpected characteristics, including death. For example, there have been significant adverse side effects in cell therapy treatments in the past, including reported cases of certain cancers. In addition to side effects that may be caused by our product candidates, the conditioning, administration process or related procedures also can cause adverse side effects, including compromise of a patient's immune system. If unacceptable side effects arise in the development of our product candidates, we, the FDA, the IRBs at the institutions in which our studies are conducted or Data Safety Monitoring Board, or DSMB, could suspend or terminate our clinical trials or the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities could order us to cease clinical trials or deny approval of our product candidates for any or all targeted indications. Treatment-related side effects could also affect patient recruitment or the ability of enrolled patients to complete the trial or result in potential product liability claims. In addition, these side effects may not be appropriately recognized or managed by the treating medical staff. We expect to have to train medical personnel using our product candidates to understand the side effect profiles for our clinical trials and upon any commercialization of any of our product candidates. Inadequate training in recognizing or managing the potential side effects of our product candidates could result in patient injury or death. Any of these occurrences may harm our business, financial condition and prospects significantly. If any of our product candidates receives marketing approval, and we or others later identify undesirable side effects caused by any such product, including during any long-term follow-up observation period recommended or required for patients who receive treatment using our products, a number of potentially significant negative consequences could result, including: - regulatory authorities may withdraw approvals of such product;         - we may be required to recall a product or change the way such product is administered to patients;         - additional restrictions may be imposed on the marketing of the particular product or the manufacturing processes for the product;         - regulatory authorities may require additional warnings on the label, such as a "black box" warning or contraindication;         - we may be required to implement a Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy, or REMS, or create a medication guide outlining the risks of such side effects for distribution to patients;         - the product could become less competitive;         - we could be sued and held liable for harm caused to patients; and         - our reputation may suffer. Any of these events could prevent us from achieving or maintaining market acceptance of the particular product candidate, if approved, and could significantly harm our business, results of operations and prospects.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 2
Clinical studies are costly, time consuming and inherently risky, and we may fail to demonstrate safety and efficacy to the satisfaction of applicable regulatory authorities.
Clinical development is expensive, time consuming and involves significant risk. We cannot guarantee that any clinical studies will be conducted as planned or completed on schedule, if at all. A failure of one or more clinical studies can occur at any stage of development. Events that may prevent successful or timely completion of clinical development include but are not limited to: - inability to generate satisfactory preclinical, toxicology, or other in vivo or in vitro data to support the initiation or continuation of clinical studies necessary for product approval;         - delays in reaching agreement on acceptable terms with clinical research organizations (CROs) and clinical study sites, the terms of which can be subject to extensive negotiation and may vary significantly among different CROs and clinical study sites;         - delays in obtaining required Institutional Review Board, or IRB, approval at each clinical study site;         - failure to permit the conduct of a study by regulatory authorities, after review of an investigational new drug, or IND, or equivalent foreign application or amendment;         - delays in recruiting qualified patients in our clinical studies;         - failure by clinical sites or our CROs or other third parties to adhere to clinical study requirements or report complete findings;         - failure to perform the clinical studies in accordance with the FDA's good clinical practices requirements, or applicable foreign regulatory guidelines;         - patients dropping out of our clinical studies;         - occurrence of adverse events associated with our product candidates;         - inability to use clinical trial results from foreign jurisdictions in support of U.S. regulatory approval;         - changes in regulatory requirements and guidance that require amending or submitting new clinical protocols;         - the cost of clinical studies of our product candidates;         - negative or inconclusive results from our clinical trials which may result in our deciding, or regulators requiring us, to conduct additional clinical studies or abandon development programs for a product candidate; and         - delays in reaching agreement on acceptable terms with third-party manufacturers, or delays in the manufacture of sufficient quantities of our product candidates for use in clinical studies. Any inability to successfully complete clinical development and obtain regulatory approval could result in additional costs to us or impair our ability to generate revenue. Clinical study delays could also shorten any periods during which our products have patent protection and may allow competitors to develop and bring products to market before we do and may harm our business and results of operations.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 3
If we encounter difficulties enrolling patients in clinical trials, our clinical development activities could be delayed or otherwise adversely affected.
The timely completion of clinical trials in accordance with their protocols depends, among other things, on our ability to enroll a sufficient number of patients who remain in the study until its conclusion. We may encounter delays in enrolling, or be unable to enroll, a sufficient number of patients to complete any of clinical trials of our product candidates, and even once enrolled we may be unable to retain a sufficient number of patients to complete the trials. The enrollment of patients depends on many factors, including: - the patient eligibility criteria defined in the protocol;         - the size of the patient population required for analysis of the trial's primary endpoints;         - the proximity of patients to study sites;         - the design of the trial;         - our ability to recruit clinical trial investigators with the appropriate competencies and experience;         - clinicians' and patients' perceptions as to the potential advantages of the product candidate being studied in relation to other available therapies, including any new products that may be approved for the indications we are investigating;         - our ability to obtain and maintain patient consents; and         - the risk that patients enrolled in clinical trials will drop out of the trials before completion. In addition, clinical trials of our product candidates will compete with other clinical trials for product candidates of other companies that are in the same therapeutic areas as our product candidates, and this competition will reduce the number and types of patients available to us, because some patients who might have opted to enroll in trials of our product candidates may instead opt to enroll in a trial being conducted by one of our competitors. Since the number of qualified clinical investigators is limited, we expect that clinical trials or our product candidates may be conducted at the same clinical trial sites that some of our competitors use, which will reduce the number of patients who are available for our clinical trials in such clinical trial site. Delays or failures in planned patient enrollment or retention may result in increased costs, program delays or both, which could have a harmful effect on our ability to develop our product candidates or could render further development impossible.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 4
We may expend our limited resources to pursue one or more particular product candidates or indications and fail to pursue product candidates or indications that may be more profitable or for which there is a greater likelihood of success.
Because we have limited financial and managerial resources, we may focus on research programs and product candidates that we identify for specific indications and we may seek to develop those product candidates through out-sourcing or out-licensing to third parties if we are able to make such arrangements. As a result, we may forego or delay pursuit of opportunities with other product candidates or for other indications that may later prove to have greater commercial potential. Our resource allocation decisions may cause us to fail to timely capitalize on viable commercial products or profitable market opportunities. Our spending on current and future research and development programs and product candidates for specific indications may not yield any commercially viable products. If we do not accurately evaluate the commercial potential or target market for a particular product candidate, we may relinquish valuable rights to that product candidate through collaboration, licensing or other royalty arrangements in cases in which it would have been more advantageous for us to retain sole development and commercialization rights to such product candidate.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 5
We have not tested any of our product candidates in clinical trials. Success in early development and preclinical studies or clinical trials may not be indicative of results obtained in later preclinical studies and clinical trials.
Our product candidates have never been evaluated in human clinical trials, and we may experience unexpected or adverse results in the future if any human clinical trials of any of our product candidates are conducted. Typically, it takes about six to ten years to develop a new drug from the time it enters Phase 1 clinical trials to when it is approved for treating patients, but in many cases it may take longer, and the costs of advancing product candidates through clinical trials will be substantial and will tend to increase significantly with each successive clinical trial phase. Adequate and well-controlled clinical trials will need to demonstrate that our product candidates are safe and effective, with a favorable benefit-risk profile, for use in their target indications before regulatory approvals can be sought for their commercial sale. Any positive results that may be observed for product candidates in preclinical animal models may not be predictive of future clinical trials in humans. Our product candidates may also fail to show the desired safety and efficacy in later stages of clinical development even if they successfully advance through initial clinical trials. Further, some or all of our cell-based therapies under development may require the genetic modification of the pluripotent master cell banks such that the resulting cells can escape immune rejection by the intended patient. There is no certainty that a genetic modification will provide a long-term solution to transplant rejection, or that the modified cells will not cause unanticipated health risks to the patient that could delay or even halt the development of the products. Many companies in the biotechnology industry have suffered significant setbacks in late-stage clinical trials after achieving positive results in early-stage development and there is a high failure rate for product candidates proceeding through clinical trials. Data obtained from preclinical and clinical activities are subject to varying interpretations, which may delay, limit or prevent regulatory approval. Even if a clinical trial demonstrates statistical significance, regulatory agencies may not accept the use of the historical control. Regulatory delays or rejections may be encountered as a result of many factors, including changes in regulatory policy during the period of product development. We cannot be certain that any clinical trials and applications for marketing approval will not face similar setbacks.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 6
The development and commercialization of new drugs to address obesity and type 2 diabetes may substantially limit or eliminate the prospects for AgeX's prospective AGEX-BAT1 product.
A number of new GLP-1 receptor agonist drugs, including Mounjaro, Ozempic, Rybelsus, and Trulicity for treating type 2 diabetes, and Wegovy and Zepbound for weight management, have entered the market. Ozempic is also being used off label for weight loss. The attention and acceptance that these new drugs have attained in the medical field for the treatment of type 2 diabetes and chronic weight management may substantially limit or eliminate the prospects for developing and commercializing any product based on AGEX-BAT1, brown adipose tissue, for those uses. Although the GLP-1 receptor agonist drugs may in certain patients be contraindicated, carry unacceptable medical risks, lead to intolerable side effects, or may not be satisfactorily effective, it is not clear whether those patients would constitute a large enough market for an alternative therapy to warrant the time and expense of developing AGEX-BAT1 for the uses addressed by the products currently on the market. Further, it is likely that the administration of a AGEX-BAT1 cell therapy product would entail a surgical implant procedure which would be expensive and would pose risks to the patient related to the surgical procedure that are not faced by users of the injectable or pill GLP-1 receptor agonist drugs currently on the market.
Innovation / R&D - Risk 7
Our choice of product candidates and our development plans for our product candidates are subject to change based on a variety of factors, and if we abandon development of a product candidate we may not be able to develop or acquire a replacement product candidate.
We may determine to abandon the development of one or more of our product candidates, or we may change the prioritization of the development of certain product candidates, or we may select or acquire and prioritize the development of new product candidates. Our choice and prioritization of product candidates for development will be influenced by a variety of factors, including but not limited to: - the amount of capital that we will have for our development programs and our projected costs for those programs;         - ability to enter into licensing or collaborative arrangements with other biotechnology or biopharma companies or universities with their own laboratory facilities and research staffs to conduct research and development of one or more product candidates;         - competitors may develop alternatives that render our potential product candidates obsolete or less attractive;         - potential product candidates we develop may nevertheless be covered by third parties' patents or other exclusive rights;         - potential product candidates may not be effective in treating their targeted diseases;         - potential product candidates may, on further study, be shown to have harmful side effects, toxicities or other characteristics that indicate that they are unlikely to be products that will receive marketing approval and achieve market acceptance;         - our analysis of market demand and market prices for the products we plan to develop could lead us to conclude that market conditions are not favorable for receiving an adequate return on our investment in product development and commercialization;         - a potential product candidate may not be capable of being produced in commercial quantities at an acceptable cost, or at all; or         - the regulatory pathway for a potential product candidate is too complex and difficult to navigate successfully or economically.
Trade Secrets8 | 10.3%
Trade Secrets - Risk 1
If we fail to meet our obligations under license agreements, we may lose our rights to key technologies on which our business depends.
Our business will depend on several critical technologies that we have licensed or sublicensed from Lineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc. (Lineage) or certain Lineage subsidiaries. The license and sublicense agreements impose obligations on us, including payment obligations and obligations to pursue development and commercialization of products and technologies under the licensed patents or technology. If the licensor or sublicensor believes that we have failed to meet our obligations under a license or sublicense agreement, they could seek to limit or terminate our license rights, which could lead to costly and time-consuming litigation and, potentially, our loss of the licensed rights. During the period of any such litigation our ability to carry out the development and commercialization of potential new products or technologies, and our ability to raise any capital that we might then need, could be significantly and negatively affected. If our license rights were restricted or ultimately lost, we would not be able to continue to use the licensed or sublicensed technology in our business.
Trade Secrets - Risk 2
We may be subject to patent infringement claims that could be costly to defend, which may limit our ability to use disputed technologies, and which could prevent us from pursuing research and development or commercialization of some of our technologies or products, require us to pay licensing fees to have freedom to operate and/or result in monetary damages or other liability for us.
The success of our business depends significantly on our ability to operate without infringing patents and other proprietary rights of others. If the technology that we use infringes a patent held by others, we could be sued for monetary damages by the patent holder or its licensee, or we could be prevented from continuing research, development, and commercialization of technologies and products that rely on that technology, unless we are able to obtain a license to use the patent. The cost and availability of a license to a patent cannot be predicted, and the likelihood of obtaining a license at an acceptable cost would be lower if the patent holder or any of its licensees is using the patent to develop or market a technology or product with which our technologies or products would compete. If we could not obtain a necessary license, we would need to develop or obtain rights to alternative technologies, which could prove costly and could cause delays in developing our technologies or products, or we could be forced to discontinue the development or marketing of any technologies and products that were developed using the technology covered by the patent.
Trade Secrets - Risk 3
We may not be able to enforce our intellectual property rights throughout the world.
Filing, prosecuting and defending patents, if issued, on our technology and product candidates in all countries throughout the world would be prohibitively expensive. The requirements for patentability may differ in certain countries, particularly in developing countries. Competitors may use our technologies in jurisdictions where we have not obtained patent protection to develop their own products and, further, may export otherwise infringing products to territories where we may obtain patent protection, but where patent enforcement is not as strong as that in the United States. The products offered by foreign competitors may compete with our products in jurisdictions where we do not have any issued or licensed patents or where any future patent claims or other intellectual property rights may not be effective or sufficient to prevent them from competing with us. Moreover, our ability to protect and enforce our intellectual property rights may be adversely affected by unforeseen changes in foreign intellectual property laws. Additionally, laws of some countries outside of the United States and the EU do not afford intellectual property protection to the same extent as the laws of the United States and the EU. Many companies have encountered significant problems in protecting and defending intellectual property rights in certain foreign jurisdictions. The legal systems of some countries, including India, China and certain developing countries, do not favor the enforcement of patents and other intellectual property rights. This could make it difficult for us to stop the infringement of our patents or the misappropriation of our other intellectual property rights. For example, many foreign countries have compulsory licensing laws under which a patent owner must grant licenses to third parties. Consequently, we may not be able to prevent third parties from practicing our inventions in certain countries outside the United States and the EU. Competitors may use our technologies in jurisdictions where we have not obtained patent protection to develop their own products and, further, may export otherwise infringing products to territories where we have patent protection, if our ability to enforce our patents to stop infringing activities is inadequate. These products may compete with our products, and our patents, if issued, or other intellectual property rights may not be effective or sufficient to prevent them from competing. Proceedings to enforce our patent rights in foreign jurisdictions, whether or not successful, could result in substantial costs and divert our efforts and resources from other aspects of our business. Furthermore, while we intend to protect our intellectual property rights in major markets, we cannot ensure that we will be able to initiate or maintain similar efforts in all jurisdictions in which we may wish to market products or license our patented technologies. Accordingly, our efforts to protect our intellectual property rights in such countries may be inadequate.
Trade Secrets - Risk 4
Our patents may not protect our technologies or products from competition.
- We might not be able to obtain any patents beyond those we already own or have licensed or sublicensed, and any patents that we do obtain might not be comprehensive enough to provide us with meaningful patent protection.         - There will always be a risk that our competitors might be able to successfully challenge the validity or enforceability of any patent issued to us.         - In addition to interference proceedings, the USPTO can reexamine issued patents at the request of a third party. Our patents may be subject to inter partes review (replacing the reexamination proceeding), a proceeding in which a third party can challenge the validity of one of our patents to have the patent invalidated. This means that patents owned or licensed by us may be subject to reexamination and may be lost if the outcome of the reexamination is unfavorable to us.         - The patents to which we have licenses to in overlapping fields of use. AgeX, through our subsidiary ReCyte Therapeutics, is a sublicensee under a cross-license between Lineage and Asterias, which creates another potential risk of Asterias and AgeX creating competing products.
Trade Secrets - Risk 5
Intellectual property we may develop using grants received from the federal government are subject to rights maintained by the government.
Research and development we perform that is funded by grants from the federal government, and any intellectual property that we create using those grants, is subject to the rights maintained by the federal government.
Trade Secrets - Risk 6
The process of applying for and obtaining patents can be expensive and slow.
- The preparation and filing of patent applications, and the maintenance of patents that are issued, may require substantial time and money.         - A patent interference proceeding may be instituted with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office (the USPTO) when more than one person files a patent application covering the same technology, or if someone wishes to challenge the validity of an issued patent. At the completion of the interference proceeding, the USPTO will determine which competing applicant is entitled to the patent, or whether an issued patent is valid. Patent interference proceedings are complex, highly contested legal proceedings, and the USPTO's decision is subject to appeal. This means that if an interference proceeding arises with respect to any of our patent applications, we may experience significant expenses and delay in obtaining a patent, and if the outcome of the proceeding is unfavorable to us, the patent could be issued to a competitor rather than to us.         - A derivation proceeding may be instituted by the USPTO or an inventor alleging that a patent or application was derived from the work of another inventor.         - Post Grant Review under the new Leahy Smith America Invents Act (America Invents Act) will make available opposition-like proceedings in the United States. As with the USPTO interference proceedings, Post Grant Review proceedings will be very expensive to contest and can result in significant delays in obtaining patent protection or can result in a denial of a patent application.         - Oppositions to the issuance of patents may be filed under European patent law and the patent laws of certain other countries. As with USPTO interference proceedings, these foreign proceedings can be very expensive to contest and can result in significant delays in obtaining a patent or can result in a denial of a patent application.
Trade Secrets - Risk 7
There is no certainty that our pending or future patent applications will result in the issuance of patents.
We acquired rights to patent applications for technology that Lineage has developed, and we may file additional new patent applications in the future seeking patent protection for new technology or products that we develop ourselves or jointly with others. However, there is no assurance that any of our licensed patent applications, or any patent applications that we may file in the future in the United States or abroad, will result in the issuance of patents.
Trade Secrets - Risk 8
If we are unable to obtain and enforce patents and to protect our trade secrets, others could use our technology to compete with us, which could limit opportunities for us to generate revenues by licensing our technology and selling our products.
- Our success will depend in part on our ability to obtain and enforce patents and maintain trade secrets in the United States and in other countries. If we are unsuccessful in obtaining and enforcing patents, our competitors could use our technology and create products or technologies that compete with our products and technologies, without paying license fees or royalties to us.         - The preparation, filing, and prosecution of patent applications can be costly and time consuming. Our limited financial resources may not permit us to pursue patent protection of all of our technology and products throughout the world.         - Even if we are able to obtain issued patents covering our technology or products, we may have to incur substantial legal fees and other expenses to enforce our patent rights in order to protect our technology and products from infringing uses. We may not have the financial resources to finance the litigation required to preserve our patent and trade secret rights.
Cyber Security1 | 1.3%
Cyber Security - Risk 1
Security breaches and other disruptions could compromise our information and expose us to liability, and could cause our business and reputation to suffer.
In the ordinary course of business, we collect and store sensitive data, including intellectual property, our proprietary business information and that of the licensors and licensees of the patents and other intellectual property we use, and personally identifiable information of employees and consultants. The secure processing, maintenance, and transmission of this information is critical to our operations and business strategy. Despite our security measures, our information technology and infrastructure may be vulnerable to attacks by hackers or breached due to employee error, malfeasance, or other disruptions. Any such breach could compromise our networks and the information stored there could be accessed, publicly disclosed, lost, or stolen. Any such access, disclosure, theft, or other loss of information could result in legal claims or proceedings or liability under laws that protect the privacy of personal information, and could disrupt our operations and damage our reputation. Even if we do not incur an interruption of or our operations, fines, penalties, or financial liability to third parties from a security breach, we could suffer a loss of confidence in our services, which could adversely affect our business and competitive position.
Technology1 | 1.3%
Technology - Risk 1
Our business and operations could suffer in the event of system failures.
Despite the implementation of security measures, our internal computer systems and those of our contractors and consultants are vulnerable to damage from computer viruses, unauthorized access, natural disasters including earthquakes and tsunamis, terrorism, war, and telecommunication and electrical failures. A loss of or damage to our data, a disruption in access to our data, or inappropriate disclosure of confidential or proprietary information, could disrupt our operations, delay or otherwise adversely affect the development of our product candidates, significantly increase our costs, or result in delays in any future regulatory filings we may make. In addition, our product candidates are manufactured using cells that are stored in a cryopreserved master cell bank. While we believe we have adequate backup should any cell bank be lost in a catastrophic event, it is possible that we or our third-party suppliers and manufacturers could lose multiple cell banks and have our manufacturing severely impacted by the need to replace the cell banks. We cannot assure you that any stability or other issues relating to the manufacture of any of our product candidates or products will not occur in the future. Any delay or interruption in the supply of clinical trial supplies could delay the completion of planned clinical trials, increase the costs associated with maintaining clinical trial programs and, depending upon the period of delay, require us to commence new clinical trials at additional expense or terminate clinical trials completely. Any adverse developments affecting clinical or commercial manufacturing of our product candidates or products may result in shipment delays, inventory shortages, lot failures, product withdrawals or recalls or other interruptions in the supply of our product candidates or products. Accordingly, failures or difficulties faced at any level of our supply chain could adversely affect our business and delay or impede the development and commercialization of any of our product candidates or products and could have an adverse effect on our business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations.
Legal & Regulatory
Total Risks: 13/78 (17%)Below Sector Average
Regulation10 | 12.8%
Regulation - Risk 1
Any cell-based products that receive regulatory approval may be difficult and expensive to manufacture on a commercial scale.
Pluripotent stem cell and progenitor cell derived therapeutic cells have only been produced on a small scale and not in quantities and at levels of purity and viability that will be needed for wide scale commercialization. If we are successful in developing products that consist of cells or compounds derived from pluripotent stem cells or progenitor cells, we will need to develop facilities, processes, and technology for the commercial production of those products. Pluripotent stem cell or progenitor cell based products are likely to be more expensive to manufacture on a commercial scale than most other drugs on the market today. The higher cost of manufacturing a product will require that we charge our customers a higher price for the product in order to cover our costs and earn a profit. If the price of our products is too high, hospitals and physicians may be reluctant to purchase our products and we may not be able to sell our products in sufficient volumes to recover our costs or to earn a profit.
Regulation - Risk 2
Government-imposed bans or restrictions and religious, moral, and ethical concerns about the use of human embryonic stem cells could prevent us from developing and successfully marketing stem cell products.
Government-imposed bans or restrictions on the use of embryos or human embryonic stem cells (hES cells), in research and development in the United States and abroad could generally constrain stem cell research, thereby limiting the market and demand for our products. California law requires that stem cell research be conducted under the oversight of a Stem Cell Research Oversight (SCRO) Committee. Many kinds of stem cell research, including the derivation of new hES cell lines, may only be conducted in California with the prior written approval of the SCRO Committee. A SCRO Committee could prohibit or impose restrictions on the research that we plan to do. An adverse decision by a SCRO Committee, or their imposition of restrictions on a research program could adversely affect our ability to enter into co-development or licensing arrangements for the development of a product candidate. The use of hES cells may give rise to religious, moral, and ethical issues. These considerations could lead to more restrictive government regulations or could generally constrain stem cell research, thereby limiting the market and demand for our products.
Regulation - Risk 3
We may be subject, directly or indirectly, to federal and state healthcare fraud and abuse laws, false claims laws, and health information privacy and security laws, and if we are unable to comply with such laws, we could face substantial penalties.
If the FDA grants marketing approval for any of our product candidates or technologies and commercializing those products or technologies begins in the United States, our operations may be subject to various federal and state fraud and abuse laws, including, without limitation, the federal Anti-Kickback Statute, the federal False Claims Act, and physician sunshine laws and regulations. These laws may impact, among other things, product sales, marketing, and education programs. In addition, we may be subject to patient privacy regulation by both the federal government and the states in which we conduct our business. The laws that may affect our ability to operate include: - the federal Anti-Kickback Statute, which prohibits, among other things, persons from knowingly and willfully soliciting, receiving, offering or paying remuneration, directly or indirectly, to induce, or in return for, the purchase or recommendation of an item or service reimbursable under a federal healthcare program, such as the Medicare and Medicaid programs;         - federal civil and criminal false claims laws and civil monetary penalty laws, which prohibit, among other things, individuals or entities from knowingly presenting, or causing to be presented, claims for payment from Medicare, Medicaid, or other third-party payors that are false or fraudulent;         - the federal Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act of 1996 (HIPAA), which created new federal criminal statutes that prohibit executing a scheme to defraud any healthcare benefit program and making false statements relating to healthcare matters;         - HIPAA, as amended by the Health Information Technology and Clinical Health Act, or HITECH, and implementing regulations, which impose certain requirements relating to the privacy, security, and transmission of individually identifiable health information;         - the Physician Payments Sunshine Act which requires manufacturers of drugs, devices, biologics, and medical supplies to report annually to the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services information related to payments and other transfers of value to physicians, other healthcare providers, and teaching hospitals, and ownership and investment interests held by physicians and other healthcare providers and their immediate family members and applicable group purchasing organizations;         - the FDCA, which prohibits, among other things, the adulteration or misbranding of drugs, biologics and medical devices;         - the U.S. Public Health Service Act, which prohibits, among other things, the introduction into interstate commerce of a biological product unless a biologics license is in effect for that product; and         - state law equivalents of each of the above federal laws, such as anti-kickback and false claims laws that may apply to items or services reimbursed by any third-party payors, including commercial insurers; state laws that require pharmaceutical companies to comply with the pharmaceutical industry's voluntary compliance guidelines and the relevant compliance guidance promulgated by the federal government, or that otherwise restrict payments that may be made to healthcare providers and other potential referral sources; state laws that require drug manufacturers to report information related to payments and other transfers of value to physicians and other healthcare providers or marketing expenditures; and state laws governing the privacy and security of health information in certain circumstances. Because of the breadth of these laws and the narrowness of the statutory exceptions and safe harbors available, it is possible that some of our business activities could be subject to challenge under one or more of such laws. In addition, recent health care reform legislation has strengthened these laws. Further, state laws differ from each other and from federal law in significant ways, thus complicating compliance efforts. If our operations are found to be in violation of any of the laws described above or any other governmental regulations that apply, we may be subject to penalties, including civil and criminal penalties, damages, fines, exclusion from participation in government health care programs, such as Medicare and Medicaid, imprisonment, and the curtailment or restructuring of our operations, any of which could adversely affect our ability to operate our business and our results of operations.
Regulation - Risk 4
If we fail to comply with the extensive legal and regulatory requirements affecting the health care industry, we could face increased costs, penalties and a loss of business.
Our activities, and the activities of any collaborators, distributors and other third-party providers that we may engage in the future, will be subject to extensive government regulation and oversight both in the U.S. and in foreign jurisdictions. The FDA and comparable agencies in other jurisdictions will directly regulate many of our most critical business activities, including the conduct of preclinical and clinical studies, product manufacturing, advertising and promotion, product distribution, adverse event reporting, and product risk management. Our interactions in the United States or abroad with physicians and other health care providers that prescribe or purchase our products will also be subject to government regulation designed to prevent fraud and abuse in the sale and use of the products and place greater restrictions on the marketing practices of health care companies. Health care companies such as ours are facing heightened scrutiny of their relationships with health care providers from anti-corruption enforcement officials. In addition, health care companies such as ours have been the target of lawsuits and investigations alleging violations of government regulation, including claims asserting submission of incorrect pricing information, impermissible off-label promotion of pharmaceutical products, payments intended to influence the referral of health care business, submission of false claims for government reimbursement, antitrust violations, and violations related to environmental matters. Risks relating to compliance with laws and regulations may be heightened if we operate globally. Regulations governing the health care industry are subject to change, with possibly retroactive effect, including: - new laws, regulations or judicial decisions, or new interpretations of existing laws, regulations or decisions, related to health care availability, pricing or marketing practices, compliance with wage and hour laws and other employment practices, method of delivery, payment for health care products and services, compliance with health information and data privacy and security laws and regulations, tracking and reporting payments and other transfers of value made to physicians and teaching hospitals, extensive anti-bribery and anti-corruption prohibitions, product serialization and labeling requirements and used product take-back requirements;- changes in the FDA and foreign regulatory approval processes that may delay or prevent the approval of new products and result in lost market opportunity;         - requirements that provide for increased transparency of clinical trial results and quality data, such as the EMA's clinical transparency policy, which could impact our ability to protect trade secrets and competitively-sensitive information contained in approval applications or could be misinterpreted leading to reputational damage, misperception, or legal action which could harm our business; and         - changes in FDA and foreign regulations that may require additional safety monitoring, labeling changes, restrictions on product distribution or use, or other measures after the introduction of our products to market, which could increase our costs of doing business, adversely affect the future permitted uses of approved products, or otherwise adversely affect the market for our products. Violations of governmental regulation may be punishable by criminal and civil sanctions against us, including fines and civil monetary penalties and exclusion from participation in government programs, including Medicare and Medicaid, as well as sanctions against executives overseeing our business. In addition to penalties for violation of laws and regulations, we could be required to repay amounts we received from government payors or pay additional rebates and interest if we are found to have miscalculated the pricing information we have submitted to the government. We cannot ensure that our compliance controls, policies and procedures will in every instance protect us from acts committed by our employees, collaborators, partners or third-party providers that would violate the laws or regulations of the jurisdictions in which we operate. Whether or not we have complied with the law, an investigation into alleged unlawful conduct could increase our expenses, damage our reputation, divert management time and attention, and adversely affect our business.
Regulation - Risk 5
Enacted and future healthcare legislation, including the ACA, may increase the difficulty and cost of obtaining marketing approval and commercializing our product candidates and may affect the prices we may set.
In the United States, the EU and other jurisdictions, there have been, and we expect there will continue to be, a number of legislative and regulatory changes and proposed changes to the healthcare system that could affect our future results of operations. As a result of the adoption of the ACA in the United States, substantial changes have been made to the system for paying for healthcare in the United States. Certain provisions related to cost-savings and reimbursement measures could adversely affect our future financial performance. For example, among the provisions of the ACA, those of greatest importance to the biopharmaceutical industry includes the following: - an annual, non-deductible fee payable by any entity that manufactures or imports certain branded prescription drugs and biologic agents (other than those designated as orphan drugs), which is apportioned among these entities according to their market share in certain government healthcare programs;         - new requirements to report certain financial arrangements with physicians and teaching hospitals, including reporting "transfers of value" made or distributed to prescribers and other healthcare providers and reporting investment interests held by physicians and their immediate family members;         - a new methodology by which rebates owed by manufacturers under the Medicaid Drug Rebate Program are calculated for drugs that are inhaled, infused, instilled, implanted or injected;         - expansion of eligibility criteria for Medicaid programs by, among other things, allowing states to offer Medicaid coverage to certain individuals with income at or below 133% of the federal poverty level, thereby potentially increasing a manufacturer's Medicaid rebate liability;         - a licensure framework for follow on biologic products;         - a new Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Institute to oversee, identify priorities in, and conduct comparative clinical effectiveness research, along with funding for such research; and         - establishment of a Center for Medicare Innovation at the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, or CMS, to test innovative payment and service delivery models to lower Medicare and Medicaid spending, potentially including prescription drug spending. The ACA has been subject to revision and to judicial, congressional, and executive challenges. As a result of tax reform legislation passed in December 2017, the requirement that all individuals maintain health insurance coverage or pay a penalty, referred to as the "individual mandate" was eliminated effective January 1, 2019. According to the Congressional Budget Office, the repeal of the individual mandate will cause 13 million fewer Americans to be insured in 2027 and premiums in insurance markets may rise. The costs of prescription pharmaceuticals in the United States have also been the subject of considerable debate, and new legislative and administrative measures could be implemented to address such costs. To date, there have been several recent U.S. congressional inquiries and proposed state and federal legislation designed to, among other things, improve transparency in drug pricing, review the relationship between pricing and manufacturer patient programs, reduce the costs of drugs under Medicare, and reform government program reimbursement methodologies for drug products. Under recent legislation, starting in 2023 a manufacturer of a drug or biological product covered by Medicare Parts B or D must pay a rebate to the federal government if the product's price increases faster than the rate of inflation. This calculation is made on a drug product by drug product basis and the amount of the rebate owed to the federal government is directly dependent on the volume of a drug product that is paid for by Medicare Parts B or D. Additionally, starting in payment year 2026, CMS will negotiate drug prices annually for a select number of single source Part D drugs without generic or biosimilar competition. CMS will also negotiate drug prices for a select number of Part B drugs starting for payment year 2028. If a drug product is selected by CMS for negotiation, it is expected that the revenue generated from such drug will decrease. The pricing of prescription pharmaceuticals is also subject to governmental control outside the United States. In these other countries, pricing negotiations with governmental authorities can take considerable time after the receipt of marketing approval for a product. To obtain reimbursement or pricing approval in some countries, we may be required to conduct a clinical trial that compares the cost effectiveness of our product candidates to other available therapies. If reimbursement of our products is unavailable or limited in scope or amount, or if pricing is set at unsatisfactory levels, our ability to generate revenues and become profitable could be impaired. Legislative and regulatory proposals have been made to expand post-approval requirements and restrict sales and promotional activities for approved products. In addition, there have been several recent Congressional inquiries and proposed bills designed to, among other things, bring more transparency to drug pricing, review the relationship between pricing and manufacturer patient programs, reduce the cost of drugs under Medicare and reform government program reimbursement methodologies for drugs. We cannot be sure whether additional legislative changes will be enacted, or whether the FDA regulations, guidance or interpretations will be changed, or what the impact of such changes on the marketing approvals of our product candidates, if any, may be. In addition, increased scrutiny by the U.S. Congress of the FDA's approval process may significantly delay or prevent marketing approval, as well as subject us to more stringent labeling and post-marketing testing and other requirements. Moreover, payment methodologies may be subject to changes in healthcare legislation and regulatory initiatives. For example, CMS may develop new payment and delivery models, such as bundled payment models. In addition, recently there has been heightened governmental scrutiny over the manner in which manufacturers set prices for their marketed products. We expect that additional U.S. federal healthcare reform measures will be adopted in the future, any of which could limit the amounts that the U.S. federal government will pay for healthcare products and services, which could result in reduced demand for our product candidates or additional pricing pressures. Individual states in the United States have also become increasingly aggressive in passing legislation and implementing regulations designed to control pharmaceutical and biological product pricing, including price or patient reimbursement constraints, discounts, restrictions on certain product access and marketing cost disclosure and transparency measures, and, in some cases, designed to encourage importation from other countries and bulk purchasing. Legally-mandated price controls on payment amounts by third-party payors or other restrictions could harm our business, results of operations, financial condition and prospects. In addition, regional healthcare authorities and individual hospitals are increasingly using bidding procedures to determine what pharmaceutical products and which suppliers will be included in their prescription drug and other healthcare programs. This could reduce the ultimate demand for our product candidates or put pressure on our product pricing. In the EU, similar political, economic and regulatory developments may affect our ability to profitably commercialize our product candidates, if approved. In addition to continuing pressure on prices and cost containment measures, legislative developments at the EU or member state level may result in significant additional requirements or obstacles that may increase our operating costs. The delivery of healthcare in the EU, including the establishment and operation of health services and the pricing and reimbursement of medicines, is almost exclusively a matter for national, rather than EU, law and policy. National governments and health service providers have different priorities and approaches to the delivery of health care and the pricing and reimbursement of products in that context. In general, however, the healthcare budgetary constraints in most EU member states have resulted in restrictions on the pricing and reimbursement of medicines by relevant health service providers. Coupled with ever-increasing EU and national regulatory burdens on those wishing to develop and market products, this could prevent or delay marketing approval of our product candidates, restrict or regulate post-approval activities and affect our ability to commercialize our product candidates, if approved. In markets outside of the United States and EU, reimbursement and healthcare payment systems vary significantly by country, and many countries have instituted price ceilings on specific products and therapies. We cannot predict the likelihood, nature or extent of government regulation that may arise from future legislation or administrative action in the United States, the EU or any other jurisdiction. If we or any third parties we may engage are slow or unable to adapt to changes in existing requirements or the adoption of new requirements or policies, or if we or such third parties are not able to maintain regulatory compliance, our product candidates may lose any regulatory approval that may have been obtained and we may not achieve or sustain profitability.
Regulation - Risk 6
Some of our future products may be viewed by the FDA as combination products and the review of combination products is often more complex and more time consuming than the review of other types of products.
Our future products may be regulated by the FDA as combination products. For a combination product, the FDA must determine which center or centers within the FDA will review the product candidate and under what legal authority the product candidate will be reviewed. The process of obtaining FDA marketing clearance or approval is lengthy, expensive, and uncertain, and we cannot be sure that any of our combination products, or any other products, will be cleared or approved in a timely fashion, or at all. In addition, the review of combination products is often more complex and more time consuming than the review of a product candidate under the jurisdiction of only one center within the FDA. We cannot be sure that the FDA will not select to have our combination products reviewed and regulated by only one FDA center and/or different legal authority, in which case the path to regulatory approval would be different and could be more lengthy and costly. If the FDA does not approve or clear our products in a timely fashion, or at all, our business and financial condition will be adversely affected.
Regulation - Risk 7
The regulatory approval processes of the FDA and comparable foreign authorities are lengthy, time consuming and inherently unpredictable, and if we are ultimately unable to obtain regulatory approval for our product candidates, our business will be substantially harmed.
The time required to obtain approval by the FDA and comparable foreign authorities is unpredictable but typically takes many years following the commencement of clinical trials and depends upon numerous factors, including the substantial discretion of the regulatory authorities. In addition, approval policies, regulations, or the type and amount of clinical data necessary to gain approval may change during the course of a product candidate's clinical development and may vary among jurisdictions. We have not obtained regulatory approval for any product candidate and it is possible that any other product candidates we may seek to develop in the future will ever obtain regulatory approval. Neither we nor any future collaborator or licensee is permitted to market any of our product candidates in the United States until we receive regulatory approval of a BLA from the FDA. It is possible that the FDA may refuse to accept for substantive review any BLAs that we submit for our product candidates or may conclude after review of our data that our application is insufficient to obtain marketing approval of our product candidates. Prior to obtaining approval to commercialize a product candidate in the United States or abroad, we or our collaborators or licensees will need to demonstrate with substantial evidence from well-controlled clinical trials, and to the satisfaction of the FDA or foreign regulatory agencies, that the product candidate is safe and effective for the intended uses. Results from nonclinical studies and clinical trials can be interpreted in different ways. Even if we believe the nonclinical or clinical data for our product candidates are promising, such data may not be sufficient to support approval by the FDA and other regulatory authorities. The FDA may also require us to conduct additional preclinical studies or clinical trials for our product candidates either prior to or post-approval, or it may object to elements of our clinical development program. Depending on the extent of these or any other FDA-required studies, approval of any BLA or application that we submit may be delayed by several years or may require us to expend significantly more resources than we have available. Any therapeutic products that we and our subsidiaries may develop cannot be sold until the FDA and corresponding foreign regulatory authorities approve the products for medical use. The need to obtain regulatory approval to market a new product means that: - Expensive and time-consuming clinical trials of new products will need to be conducted. The full cost of conducting and completing clinical trials necessary to obtain FDA and foreign regulatory approval of a new product cannot be presently determined but could exceed our financial resources or could discourage any future licensees or collaborators from pursuing FDA approval of our product candidates.         - Clinical trials and the regulatory approval process for a pharmaceutical or cell-based product can take several years to complete. As a result, we will face expenses and delays inherent in seeking FDA and foreign regulatory approval of new products, even if the results of clinical trials are favorable.         - Data obtained from preclinical and clinical studies is susceptible to varying interpretations and regulatory changes that could delay, limit, or prevent regulatory agency approvals.         - Because the therapeutic products we plan to develop with pluripotent stem cell technology or progenitor cell technology involve the application of new technologies and approaches to medicine, the FDA or foreign regulatory agencies may subject those products to additional or more stringent review than drugs or biologicals derived from other technologies.         - A product that is approved may be subject to restrictions on use.         - The FDA can recall or withdraw approval of a product if it deems necessary.         - We will face similar regulatory issues in foreign countries. Approval of our product candidates may be delayed or refused for many reasons, including the following: - The FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities may disagree with the design or implementation of the applicable clinical trial;         - A clinical trial might not demonstrate to the satisfaction of the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities that our product candidates are safe and effective for any of their proposed indications;         - The results of clinical trials may not meet the level of statistical significance required by the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities for approval;         - A clinical trial fail to demonstrate that our product candidates' clinical and other benefits outweigh their safety risks;         - The FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities may disagree with our interpretation of data from preclinical programs or clinical trials;         - The data collected from clinical trials of our product candidates may not be sufficient to support the submission of a BLA or other comparable submission in foreign jurisdictions or to obtain regulatory approval in the United States or elsewhere;         - The facilities of the any third-party manufacturers with which we may contract may not be adequate to support approval of our product candidates (for example, regulatory approval of cell- and tissue-based products require high standards of quality control); and         - The approval policies or regulations of the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities may significantly change in a manner rendering our clinical data insufficient for approval. Of the large number of potential products in development, only a small percentage successfully complete the FDA or foreign regulatory approval processes and are commercialized. The lengthy approval process as well as the unpredictability of future clinical trial results may result in our failing to obtain regulatory approval to market our product candidates, which would significantly harm our business, results of operations and prospects. Ethical, social and legal concerns about research regarding stem cells, could result in regulations restricting or prohibiting the processes we may use. Federal and state agencies, congressional committees and foreign governments have expressed interest in further regulating biotechnology. More restrictive regulations or claims that our products are unsafe or pose a hazard could prevent us from commercializing any products. New government requirements may be established that could delay or prevent regulatory approval of our product candidates under development. It is impossible to predict whether legislative changes will be enacted, regulations, policies or guidance changed, or interpretations by agencies or courts changed, or what the impact of such changes, if any, may be. Regulatory requirements governing gene and cell therapy products have changed frequently and may continue to change in the future. The FDA has established the Office of Tissues and Advanced Therapies within its Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research, or CBER, to consolidate the review of gene therapy and related products, and has established the Cellular, Tissue and Gene Therapies Advisory Committee to advise the CBER in its review. Gene therapy clinical trials conducted at institutions that receive funding for recombinant DNA research from the National Institute of Health (NIH) also are potentially subject to review by the NIH Office of Science Policy's Recombinant DNA Advisory Committee, or the RAC, in limited circumstances. Although the FDA decides whether individual gene therapy protocols may proceed, the RAC public review process, if undertaken, can delay the initiation of a clinical trial, even if the FDA has reviewed the trial design and details and authorized its initiation. Conversely, the FDA can put an investigational new drug application, or IND, on clinical hold even if the RAC has provided a favorable review or an exemption from in-depth, public review. If we were to engage an NIH-funded institution to conduct a clinical trial, that institution's institutional biosafety committee, or IBC, as well as its institutional review board, or IRB, would need to review the proposed clinical trial to assess the safety of the trial and may determine that RAC review is needed. In addition, adverse developments in clinical trials of gene therapy products conducted by others may cause the FDA or other oversight bodies to change the requirements for approval of any of our product candidates. Similarly, foreign regulatory authorities may issue new guidelines concerning the development and marketing authorization for gene therapy medicinal products and require that we comply with these new guidelines.
Regulation - Risk 8
Even if we obtain FDA approval for any of our product candidates in the United States, we may never obtain approval for or commercialize it in any other jurisdiction, which would limit our ability to realize its full market potential.
In order to market any products in any particular jurisdiction, we or a licensee or collaborator will need to establish and comply with numerous and varying regulatory requirements on a country-by-country basis regarding safety and efficacy. Approval by the FDA in the United States does not ensure approval by regulatory authorities in other countries or jurisdictions. However, the failure to obtain approval in one jurisdiction may negatively impact our ability to obtain approval elsewhere. In addition, clinical trials conducted in one country may not be accepted by regulatory authorities in other countries, and regulatory approval in one country does not guarantee regulatory approval in any other country. Approval processes vary among countries and can involve additional product testing and validation and additional administrative review periods. Seeking foreign regulatory approval could result in difficulties and increased costs for us and require additional preclinical studies or clinical trials which could be costly and time consuming. Regulatory requirements can vary widely from country to country and could delay or prevent the introduction of our products in those countries. We do not have any product candidates approved for sale in any jurisdiction, including in international markets, and we do not have experience in obtaining regulatory approval in international markets. If we fail to comply with regulatory requirements in international markets or to obtain and maintain required approvals, or if regulatory approvals in international markets are delayed, our target market will be reduced and our ability to realize the full market potential of any product we develop will be unrealized.
Regulation - Risk 9
Even if a product candidate receives regulatory approval, we will be subject to ongoing regulatory obligations and continued regulatory review, which may result in significant additional expense, and we may be subject to penalties if we fail to comply with regulatory requirements or experience unanticipated problems with our product candidates.
Any product candidate that receives marketing approval, along with the manufacturing processes, post-approval clinical data, labeling, packaging, distribution, adverse event reporting, storage, recordkeeping, export, import, advertising and promotional activities for such product, among other things, will be subject to extensive and ongoing requirements of and review by the FDA and other regulatory authorities. These requirements include submissions of safety and other post-marketing information and reports, establishment registration and drug listing requirements, continued compliance with cGMP requirements relating to manufacturing, quality control, quality assurance and corresponding maintenance of records and documents, requirements regarding the distribution of samples to physicians and recordkeeping and Good Clinical Practice (GCP) requirements for any clinical trials that we conduct post-approval. The FDA closely regulates the post-approval marketing and promotion of genetic medicines to ensure they are marketed only for the approved indications and in accordance with the provisions of the approved labeling. The FDA imposes stringent restrictions on manufacturers' communications regarding off-label use and if we market our products for uses beyond their approved indications, we may be subject to enforcement action for off-label marketing. Violations of the U.S. federal Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act, or FDCA, relating to the promotion of prescription drugs may lead to FDA enforcement actions and investigations alleging violations of federal and state health care fraud and abuse laws, as well as state consumer protection laws. In addition, later discovery of previously unknown adverse events or other problems with our products, manufacturers or manufacturing processes, including adverse events of unanticipated severity or frequency, or with our third-party manufacturers or manufacturing processes, or failure to comply with regulatory requirements, may yield various results, including: - restrictions on manufacturing such products;         - restrictions on the labeling or marketing of a product;         - restrictions on product distribution or use;         - requirements to conduct post-marketing studies or clinical trials;         - warning letters or holds on clinical trials;         - withdrawal of the products from the market;         - refusal to approve pending applications or supplements to approved applications that we submit;         - recall of products;         - fines, restitution or disgorgement of profits or revenues;         - suspension or withdrawal of marketing approvals;         - refusal to permit the import or export of our products;         - product seizure or detention; or         - injunctions or the imposition of civil or criminal penalties. The FDA's policies may change, and additional government regulations may be enacted that could prevent, limit or delay regulatory approval of any of our product candidates. For example, in December 2016, the 21st Century Cures Act, or Cures Act, was signed into law. The Cures Act, among other things, is intended to modernize the regulation of drugs and biologics and spur innovation, but its ultimate implementation is unclear. If we are slow or unable to adapt to changes in existing requirements or the adoption of new requirements or policies, or if we are not able to maintain regulatory compliance, we may lose any marketing approval that we may have obtained which would adversely affect our business, prospects and ability to achieve or sustain profitability. We also cannot predict the likelihood, nature or extent of government regulation that may arise from future legislation or administrative or executive action, either in the United States or abroad.
Regulation - Risk 10
We are subject to laws and regulations governing corruption, which will require us to develop, maintain, and implement costly compliance programs.
We must comply with a wide range of laws and regulations to prevent corruption, bribery, and other unethical business practices, including the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA), anti-bribery and anti-corruption laws in other countries. The creation and implementation of international business practices compliance programs is costly and such programs are difficult to enforce, particularly where reliance on third parties is required. Anti-bribery laws prohibit us, our employees, and some of our agents or representatives from offering or providing any personal benefit to covered government officials to influence their performance of their duties or induce them to serve interests other than the missions of the public organizations in which they serve. Certain commercial bribery rules also prohibit offering or providing any personal benefit to employees and representatives of commercial companies to influence their performance of their duties or induce them to serve interests other than their employers. The FCPA also obligates companies whose securities are listed in the U.S. to comply with certain accounting provisions requiring us to maintain books and records that accurately and fairly reflect all transactions of the corporation, including international subsidiaries, and devise and maintain an adequate system of internal accounting controls for international operations. The anti-bribery provisions of the FCPA are enforced primarily by the United States Department of Justice. The SEC is involved with enforcement of the books and records provisions of the FCPA. Compliance with these anti-bribery laws is expensive and difficult, particularly in countries in which corruption is a recognized problem. In addition, the anti-bribery laws present particular challenges in the medical industry because in many countries including China, hospitals are state-owned or operated by the government, and doctors and other hospital employees are considered foreign government officials. Furthermore, in certain countries (China in particular), hospitals and clinics are permitted to sell pharmaceuticals to their patients and are primary or significant distributors of pharmaceuticals. Certain payments to hospitals in connection with clinical studies, procurement of pharmaceuticals and other work have been deemed to be improper payments to government officials that have led to vigorous anti-bribery law enforcement actions and heavy fines in multiple jurisdictions, particularly in the U.S. and China. It is not always possible to identify and deter violations, and the precautions we take to detect and prevent this activity may not be effective in controlling unknown or unmanaged risks or losses or in protecting us from governmental investigations or other actions or lawsuits stemming from a failure to be in compliance with such laws or regulations. In the medical industry, corrupt practices include, among others, acceptance of kickbacks, bribes or other illegal gains or benefits by the hospitals and medical practitioners from manufacturers of pharmaceutical or other products, distributors or their third party agents in connection with the prescription of certain pharmaceuticals or sale of products. If our employees, affiliates, distributors or third party marketing firms violate these laws or otherwise engage in illegal practices with respect to their sales or marketing of our products or other activities involving our products, we could be required to pay damages or heavy fines by multiple jurisdictions where we operate, which could materially and adversely affect our financial condition and results of operations. There have been recent occurrences in which certain hospitals have denied access to sales representatives from pharmaceutical companies because the hospitals wanted to avoid the perception of corruption. If this attitude becomes widespread among our potential customers, our ability to promote our products to hospitals may be adversely affected. If we and our subsidiaries expand operations internationally, we will need to increase the scope of our compliance programs to address the risks relating to the potential for violations of the FCPA and other anti-bribery and anti-corruption laws. Our compliance programs will need to include policies addressing not only the FCPA, but also the provisions of a variety of anti-bribery and anti-corruption laws in multiple foreign jurisdictions, provisions relating to books and records that apply to us as a public company, and include effective training for our personnel throughout our organization. The creation and implementation of anti-corruption compliance programs is costly and such programs are difficult to enforce, particularly where reliance on third parties is required. Violation of the FCPA and other anti-corruption laws can result in significant administrative and criminal penalties for us and our employees, including substantial fines, suspension or debarment from government contracting, prison sentences, or even the death penalty in extremely serious cases in certain countries. The SEC also may suspend or bar us from trading securities on U.S. exchanges for violation of the FCPA's accounting provisions. Even if we are not ultimately punished by government authorities, the costs of investigation and review, distraction of our personnel, legal defense costs, and harm to our reputation could be substantial and could limit our profitability or our ability to develop or commercialize our product candidates. In addition, if any of our competitors are not subject to the FCPA, they may engage in practices that will lead to their receipt of preferential treatment from foreign hospitals and enable them to secure business from foreign hospitals in ways that are unavailable to us.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities3 | 3.8%
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 1
We face potential product liability, and, if successful claims are brought against us, we may incur substantial liability and costs. If the use or misuse of our product candidates harm patients or is perceived to harm patients even when such harm is unrelated to our product candidates, our regulatory approvals could be revoked or could otherwise be negatively impacted, and we could be subject to costly and damaging product liability claims.
The use or misuse of any product candidates in clinical trials and the sale of any products for which we obtain marketing approval exposes us to the risk of product liability claims. Product liability claims might be brought against us by consumers, healthcare providers, pharmaceutical companies, or others selling or otherwise coming into contact with our products. There is a risk that our product candidates may induce adverse events. If we cannot successfully defend against product liability claims, we could incur substantial liability and costs. In addition, regardless of merit or eventual outcome, product liability claims may result in: - impairment of our business reputation;         - initiation of investigations by regulators;         - withdrawal of clinical trial participants;         - costs due to related litigation;         - distraction of management's attention from our primary business;         - substantial monetary awards to patients or other claimants;         - the inability to commercialize our product candidates;         - product recalls, withdrawals or labeling, and marketing or promotional restrictions;         - loss of revenue; and         - decreased demand for our product candidates, if approved for commercial sale. We may not be able to maintain insurance coverage at a reasonable cost or in sufficient amounts to protect us against losses due to liability. If and when we commence clinical trials or obtain marketing approval for any product candidates, we intend to increase our insurance coverage to include clinical use or the sale of commercial products, as applicable; however, we may be unable to obtain product liability insurance on commercially reasonable terms or in adequate amounts. On occasion, large judgments have been awarded in class action lawsuits based on drugs or medical treatments that had unanticipated adverse effects. A successful product liability claim or series of claims brought against us could cause our stock price to decline and, if judgments exceed our insurance coverage, could adversely affect our results of operations and business.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 2
We could be subject to securities class action litigation.
In the past, securities class action litigation has often been brought against a company following a decline in the market price of its securities. This risk is especially relevant for us because biopharmaceutical companies have experienced significant stock price volatility in recent years. If we face such litigation, it could result in substantial costs and a diversion of management's attention and resources, which could harm our business.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 3
Litigation has been filed but dismissed but and additional litigation could in the future arise in connection with the Merger, against AgeX, the AgeX Board, Serina or the Serina Board, which could be costly, prevent the consummation of the Merger, divert management's attention and otherwise materially harm AgeX's, Serina's or the Combined Company's business.
In the past, securities class action or shareholder derivative litigation has often followed certain significant business transactions, such as the sale of a company or announcement of a merger or any other strategic transaction. AgeX and the AgeX Board has been, and Serina, the Serina Board or the Combined Company may be exposed to such litigation in connection with the Merger and may in the future be exposed to additional litigation even if no wrongdoing occurred. Litigation is usually expensive and diverts management's attention and resources, which could adversely affect the business and cash resources or either party and the ability of either party to consummate the Merger or the ultimate value the AgeX stockholders receive in from the Merger. If the Merger is not consummated for any reason, litigation could be filed in connection with the failure to consummate the Merger. Any litigation related to the Merger may result in negative publicity or an unfavorable impression of AgeX, which could adversely affect the price of AgeX common stock, impair the ability of AgeX to recruit or retain employees, damage relationships with customers, suppliers, and other business partners, or otherwise materially harm of AgeX's operations and financial performance.
Production
Total Risks: 7/78 (9%)Below Sector Average
Manufacturing1 | 1.3%
Manufacturing - Risk 1
We will face risks related to the manufacture of medical products for any product candidates that we develop.
The manufacture of medical products, and in particular biologics, is complex and requires significant expertise and capital investment, including the development of advanced manufacturing techniques and process controls, none of which we presently have. Unless we are able to raise the capital required to construct our own manufacturing facilities and are able to develop the expertise to manage and operate a manufacturing facility of our own, which we do not expect to undertake, we would need to rely on third-party manufacturers to manufacture any products that we develop. There is no assurance that we will be able to identify manufacturers on acceptable terms or at all. Regardless of whether we do our own manufacturing or rely on third parties to manufacture products for us, we will face all risks related to the manufacture of therapeutic products for use in medicine including the following risks: - We or any third-party manufacturers might be unable to timely formulate and manufacture our products or produce the quantity and quality required to meet our clinical and commercial needs, if any.         - We or any third-party manufacturers may not be able to execute our manufacturing procedures appropriately. - Any third-party manufacturers we engage may not perform as agreed or may not remain in the contract manufacturing business for the time required to supply our clinical trials or to successfully produce, store and distribute our products on a commercial scale.         - We or any third-party manufacturers will be subject to ongoing periodic unannounced inspection by the FDA, and corresponding state agencies to ensure strict compliance with current good manufacturing practices (cGMP) and other government regulations and corresponding foreign standards. We will not have control over third-party manufacturers' compliance with applicable regulations and standards.         - We may not own, or may have to share, the intellectual property rights to any improvements made by our third-party manufacturers in the manufacturing process for our product candidates.         - Third-party manufacturers could breach or terminate their agreements with us.         - We or third-party manufacturers may experience manufacturing difficulties due to resource constraints or as a result of labor disputes or unstable political environments. In addition, we may rely on third parties to perform release testing on our product candidates prior to delivery to patients. If these tests are not appropriately conducted and test data are not reliable, patients could be put at risk of serious harm which could result in product liability suits. If we or any third-party manufacturers that we may engage were to encounter any of these difficulties, our ability to provide our product candidates to patients in clinical trials or to the medical marketplace would be jeopardized. Any delay or interruption in the supply of clinical trial supplies could delay the completion of clinical trials, increase the costs associated with maintaining clinical trial programs and, depending upon the period of delay, could require us to either commence new clinical trials at additional expense or terminate clinical trials completely. The regulatory authorities also may, at any time following approval of a product for sale, audit our manufacturing facilities or those of our third-party contractors. If any such inspection or audit identifies a failure to comply with applicable regulations or if a violation of our product specifications or applicable regulations occurs independent of such an inspection or audit, we or the relevant regulatory authority may require remedial measures that may be costly and/or time-consuming for us or a third party to implement and that may include the temporary or permanent suspension of a clinical study or commercial sales or the temporary or permanent closure of a facility. Any such remedial measures imposed upon us or third parties with whom we contract could materially harm our business. Additionally, if supply from one approved manufacturer is interrupted, there could be a significant disruption in commercial supply. The regulatory agencies may also require additional studies if a new manufacturer is relied upon for commercial production. Switching manufacturers may involve substantial costs and is likely to result in a delay in our desired clinical and commercial timelines. Further, our product candidates are manufactured by starting with established master cell banks of human embryonic cells and other cells that are cryopreserved. We will be required to expand the numbers of the pluripotent stem cell master cell banks for future use, as well as produce working cell banks from which the product will be manufactured for clinical trials, produce the relevant product under cGMP conditions, expand the number of relevant cells and cryopreserve them under cGMP conditions. We may not be able to expand the numbers of the pluripotent stem cell master cell banks to provide sufficient cells for clinical trial or for commercial scale production. We may not be able to manufacture product that meets release criteria due to sterility, identity or potency issues. We may not have access or be able to make the reagents necessary to manufacture the cells and we may not have access to adequate supply channels to transport and distribute the products. There are also risks that the cells may be destroyed by interruption in their cryopreservation by means of natural disasters such as earthquakes, power outages, or other unexpected events, or the cells may be determined to be unacceptable as a source of human cellular therapies for reasons we cannot envision. We cannot assure you that any stability or other issues relating to the manufacture of any of our product candidates or products will not occur in the future. If any of our master cell banks are lost or destroyed, including due to systems failure in the cryopreservation processes, our planned clinical trials would be severely delayed, and we would incur significant costs associated with obtaining new supply of cell banks. Accordingly, failures or difficulties faced at any level of our supply chain could adversely affect our business and delay or impede the development and commercialization of any of our product candidates or products and could have an adverse effect on our business, prospects, financial condition and results of operations. Any therapies that we may develop may compete with other product candidates and products for access to manufacturing facilities. There are a limited number of manufacturers that operate under cGMP regulations and that might be capable of manufacturing cell-based products for us. Any performance failure on the part of our existing or future manufacturers could delay clinical development or marketing approval. Each of these risks could delay our clinical trials, any approval of our product candidates by the FDA, or the commercialization of our product candidates, and could result in higher costs or deprive us of potential product revenue.
Employment / Personnel3 | 3.8%
Employment / Personnel - Risk 1
Our future success depends on our ability to retain our key personnel and to attract, retain and motivate qualified personnel.
Our industry has experienced a high rate of turnover of management personnel in recent years. We are highly dependent on our executive officers, including our Interim Chief Executive Officer and our Chief Financial Officer. Although we have a consulting agreement with our Interim Chief Executive Officer and an employment agreement with our Chief Financial Officer, these agreements do not prevent them from terminating their consulting arrangement or employment with us at any time. In addition, because we will rely on Juvenescence to provide the services of certain administrative and management personnel, we will not have the benefit of the full time and effort of those Juvenescence employees in the management and development of our business. If we lose one or more of our executive officers or key employees, our ability to implement the Merger and the other transactions contemplated by the Merger Agreement or, if the Merger is not completed, our current business strategies successfully could be seriously harmed. Furthermore, replacing executive officers and key employees may be difficult, in particular during the pendency of the Merger, and may take an extended period of time because of the uncertainty about such persons roles following the Merger and the limited number of individuals in our industry with the breadth of skills and experience required to develop, gain regulatory approval of and commercialize product candidates successfully. Competition to hire from this limited pool is intense, and we may be unable to hire, train, retain or motivate these additional key personnel on acceptable terms given the competition among numerous pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies for similar personnel. We also will experience competition for the hiring of scientific and clinical personnel from universities and research institutions. In addition, we will rely on consultants and advisors, including scientific and clinical advisors, to assist us in formulating our research and development and commercialization strategy. Our consultants and advisors may be engaged by entities other than us and may have commitments under consulting or advisory contracts with other entities that may limit their availability to us. If we are unable to continue to attract and retain high quality personnel, our ability to implement the Merger and the other transactions contemplated by the Merger Agreement or, if the Merger is not completed, to continue to execute on our current business strategies while seeking out and evaluating potential strategic alternatives with respect to our assets and development programs will be limited.
Employment / Personnel - Risk 2
Due to our limited financial resources, we have reduced our staffing, eliminated our research laboratory facilities, and eliminated in-house research and product development work. We will seek opportunities to outsource or license product development and commercialization but there is no assurance that we will be able to do so successfully.
During April 2020, we implemented a plan to reduce spending on employee salaries and consulting fees that resulted in large staff reductions, including the elimination of most of our research personnel and certain management and administrative personnel. We then subleased most of our former laboratory facility space and we did not renew the laboratory facility lease, or lease other laboratory facility space, after our lease expired at the end of 2020. As a result, we do not have a research laboratory facility or a research staff, and we have curtailed development of our product candidates and technologies except for certain research and development work that is being conducted under sponsored research agreements with certain universities and a limited amount of work contracted out to third-party service providers. We also may license technologies or product development to, or enter into collaborative arrangements with, other companies in the cell therapy or biopharma industry to conduct research and development, manufacturing, and marketing for AgeX for particular product candidates, but there is no assurance that we will be able to enter into any such agreements on terms acceptable to us.
Employment / Personnel - Risk 3
Our employees and independent contractors, including principal investigators, CROs, consultants, vendors, and any third parties we may engage in connection with development and commercialization may engage in misconduct or other improper activities, including noncompliance with regulatory standards and requirements, which could have a material adverse effect on our business.
Misconduct by our employees and independent contractors, including principal investigators, contract research organizations, or CROs, consultants, vendors, and any third parties we may engage in connection with development and commercialization, could include intentional, reckless or negligent conduct or unauthorized activities that violate: (i) the laws and regulations of the FDA, European Medical Agency (EMA) rules and regulations and other similar regulatory requirements, including those laws that require the reporting of true, complete and accurate information to such authorities; (ii) manufacturing standards; (iii) data privacy, security, fraud and abuse and other healthcare laws and regulations; or (iv) laws that require the reporting of true, complete and accurate financial information and data. Specifically, sales, marketing and business arrangements in the healthcare industry are subject to extensive laws and regulations intended to prevent fraud, misconduct, kickbacks, self-dealing and other abusive practices. These laws and regulations may restrict or prohibit a wide range of pricing, discounting, marketing and promotion, sales commission, customer incentive programs and other business arrangements. Activities subject to these laws could also involve the improper use or misrepresentation of information obtained in the course of clinical trials, creation of fraudulent data in preclinical studies or clinical trials or illegal misappropriation of drug product, which could result in regulatory sanctions and cause serious harm to our reputation. It is not always possible to identify and deter misconduct by employees and other third parties, and the precautions we take to detect and prevent this activity may not be effective in controlling unknown or unmanaged risks or losses or in protecting us from governmental investigations or other actions or lawsuits stemming from a failure to comply with such laws or regulations. Additionally, we are subject to the risk that a person or government could allege such fraud or other misconduct, even if none occurred. If any such actions are instituted against us, and we are not successful in defending ourselves or asserting our rights, those actions could have a significant impact on our business and results of operations, including the imposition of significant civil, criminal and administrative penalties, damages, monetary fines, disgorgements, possible exclusion from participation in Medicare, Medicaid, other U.S. federal healthcare programs or healthcare programs in other jurisdictions, individual imprisonment, other sanctions, contractual damages, reputational harm, diminished profits and future earnings, and curtailment of our operations.
Supply Chain1 | 1.3%
Supply Chain - Risk 1
We do not have the ability to independently conduct clinical trials required to obtain regulatory approvals for our product candidates and intend to rely on third parties to conduct, supervise and monitor our clinical trials.
We will need to rely on third parties, such as contract research organizations, data management companies, contract clinical research associates, medical institutions, clinical investigators and contract laboratories to conduct any clinical trials that we may undertake for our product candidates. We may also rely on third parties to assist with our preclinical development of product candidates. If we outsource clinical trials, we may be unable to directly control the timing, conduct and expense of our clinical trials. However, we will remain responsible for ensuring that each of our studies is conducted in accordance with the applicable protocol, legal, regulatory and scientific standards and our reliance on the CROs does not relieve us of our regulatory responsibilities. We and our third-party contractors will be required to comply with the good laboratory practices (GLPs) and GCPs, which are regulations and guidelines enforced by the FDA and are also required by the competent authorities of the member states of the European Economic Area (EEA) and comparable foreign regulatory authorities in the form of International Conference on Harmonization guidelines for any of our product candidates that are in preclinical and clinical development. The regulatory authorities enforce GCPs through periodic inspections of trial sponsors, principal investigators and clinical trial sites. If we or our third-party contractors fail to comply with GCPs, the clinical data generated in our clinical trials may be deemed unreliable and the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities may require us to perform additional clinical trials before approving our marketing applications. We cannot assure you that upon inspection by a given regulatory authority, such regulatory authority will determine that any of our clinical trials comply with GCP regulations. In addition, our clinical trials must be conducted with product produced under cGMP regulations. Accordingly, if our third-party contractors fail to comply with these regulations or fail to recruit a sufficient number of subjects, we may be required to repeat clinical trials, which would delay the regulatory approval process. Our third-party contractors will not be our employees, and we will not control whether or not they devote sufficient time and resources to our future clinical and nonclinical programs. These third-party contractors may also have relationships with other commercial entities, including our competitors, for whom they may also be conducting clinical trials, or other product development activities which could harm our competitive position. We face the risk of potential unauthorized disclosure or misappropriation of our intellectual property by third-party contractors, which may reduce our trade secret protection and allow our potential competitors to access and exploit our proprietary technology. If our third-party contractors do not successfully carry out their contractual duties or obligations, fail to meet expected deadlines, or if the quality or accuracy of the clinical data they obtain is compromised due to the failure to adhere to our clinical protocols or regulatory requirements or for any other reasons, our clinical trials may be extended, delayed or terminated, and we may not be able to obtain regulatory approval for, or successfully commercialize any product candidate that we develop. As a result, our financial results and the commercial prospects for any product candidate that we develop would be harmed, our costs could increase, and our ability to generate revenues could be delayed. If our relationship with any third-party contractors terminates, we may not be able to enter into arrangements with alternative third-party contractors or do so on commercially reasonable terms. Switching or adding additional third-party contractors involves substantial cost and requires management time and focus. In addition, there is a natural transition period when a new third party commences work. As a result, delays occur, which can materially impact our ability to meet our desired clinical development timelines. Though we intend to carefully manage our relationships with our third-party contractors, there can be no assurance that we will not encounter challenges or delays in the future or that these delays or challenges will not have an adverse impact on our business, financial condition and prospects.
Costs2 | 2.6%
Costs - Risk 1
Our insurance policies are expensive and protect us only from some business risks, which leaves us exposed to significant uninsured liabilities.
We do not carry insurance for all categories of risk that our business may encounter. Some of the policies we currently maintain include general liability, employment practices liability, property, auto, workers' compensation, umbrella, and directors' and officers' insurance. Any additional product liability insurance coverage we acquire in the future, may not be sufficient to reimburse us for any expenses or losses we may suffer. Moreover, insurance coverage is becoming increasingly expensive and, in the future, we may not be able to maintain insurance coverage at a reasonable cost or in sufficient amounts to protect us against losses due to liability. If we obtain marketing approval for any of our product candidates, we intend to acquire insurance coverage to include the sale of commercial products; however, we may be unable to obtain product liability insurance on commercially reasonable terms or in adequate amounts. A successful product liability claim or series of claims brought against us could cause our share price to decline and, if judgments exceed our insurance coverage, could adversely affect our results of operations and business, including preventing or limiting the commercialization of any product candidates we develop. As a public company, it can be difficult and expensive for us to obtain director and officer liability insurance, and we may be required to accept reduced policy limits and coverage or incur substantially higher costs to obtain the same or similar coverage. As a result, it may be more difficult for us to attract and retain qualified people to serve on the AgeX Board, our board committees or as executive officers. We do not know, however, if we will be able to maintain existing insurance with adequate levels of coverage. Any significant uninsured liability may require us to pay substantial amounts, which would adversely affect our cash position and results of operations.
Costs - Risk 2
The price and sale of any product candidates that we may develop may be limited by health insurance coverage and government regulation.
Success in selling any pharmaceutical and cell-based products and medical devices that we may develop may depend in part on the extent to which health insurance companies, health maintenance organizations (HMOs), and government health administration authorities such as Medicare and Medicaid will pay for the cost of the products and related treatment. Until a new product is introduced into the medical marketplace, we will not know with certainty whether adequate health insurance, HMO, and government coverage will be available to permit the product to be sold at a price high enough for us to generate a profit. In some foreign countries, pricing or profitability of health care products is subject to government control, which may result in low prices for our products. Provisions of the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 may impact the prices of drug products that are sold in the United States, particularly through Medicare programs. Starting in 2023, a manufacturer of a drug or biological product covered by Medicare Parts B or D must pay a rebate to the federal government if the product's price increases faster than the rate of inflation. This calculation is made on a drug product by drug product basis and the amount of the rebate owed to the federal government is directly dependent on the volume of a drug product that is paid for by Medicare Parts B or D. Additionally, starting in payment year 2026, CMS will negotiate drug prices annually for a select number of single source Part D drugs without generic or biosimilar competition. CMS will also negotiate drug prices for a select number of Part B drugs starting for payment year 2028. If a drug product is selected by CMS for negotiation, it is expected that the revenue generated from such drug will decrease. There have been a number of other federal and state proposals to implement similar government controls, and new proposals are likely to be made in the future. We cannot be sure that coverage and reimbursement in the United States, the EU or elsewhere will be available for our product candidates or any product that we may develop, and any reimbursement that may become available may be decreased or eliminated in the future. Third-party payors increasingly are challenging prices charged for pharmaceutical products and services, and many third-party payors may refuse to provide coverage and reimbursement for particular drugs or biologics when an equivalent generic drug, biosimilar or a less expensive therapy is available. It is possible that a third-party payor may consider our product candidates as substitutable and only offer to reimburse patients for the less expensive product. Even if we show improved efficacy or improved convenience of administration with our product candidates, pricing of existing third-party therapeutics may limit the amount we will be able to charge for our product candidates. These payors may deny or revoke the reimbursement status of a given product or establish prices for new or existing marketed products at levels that are too low to enable us to realize an appropriate return on our investment in our product candidates. If reimbursement is not available or is available only at limited levels, we may not be able to successfully commercialize our product candidates and may not be able to obtain a satisfactory financial return on our product candidates. There is significant uncertainty related to the insurance coverage and reimbursement of newly-approved products. In the United States, third-party payors, including private and governmental payors, such as the Medicare and Medicaid programs, play an important role in determining the extent to which new drugs and biologics will be covered. The Medicare and Medicaid programs increasingly are used as models in the United States for how private payors and other governmental payors develop their coverage and reimbursement policies for drugs and biologics. Some third-party payors may require pre-approval of coverage for new or innovative devices or drug therapies before they will reimburse healthcare providers who use such therapies. We cannot predict at this time what third-party payors will decide with respect to the coverage and reimbursement for our product candidates. No uniform policy for coverage and reimbursement for products exists among third-party payors in the United States. Therefore, coverage and reimbursement for products can differ significantly from payor to payor. As a result, the coverage determination process is often a time-consuming and costly process that will require us to provide scientific and clinical support for the use of our product candidates to each payor separately, with no assurance that coverage and adequate reimbursement will be applied consistently or obtained in the first instance. Furthermore, rules and regulations regarding reimbursement change frequently, in some cases on short notice, and we believe that changes in these rules and regulations are likely. Outside the United States, international operations are generally subject to extensive governmental price controls and other market regulations, and we believe the increasing emphasis on cost-containment initiatives in Europe and other countries have and will continue to put pressure on the pricing and usage of our product candidates. In many countries, the prices of medical products are subject to varying price control mechanisms as part of national health systems. Other countries allow companies to fix their own prices for medical products but monitor and control company profits. Additional foreign price controls or other changes in pricing regulation could restrict the amount that we are able to charge for our product candidates. Accordingly, in markets outside the United States, the reimbursement for our product candidates may be reduced compared with the United States and may be insufficient to generate commercially-reasonable revenue and profits. Moreover, increasing efforts by governmental and third-party payors in the United States and abroad to cap or reduce healthcare costs may cause such organizations to limit both coverage and the level of reimbursement for newly approved products and, as a result, they may not cover or provide adequate payment for our product candidates. While it is not possible to predict or model the insurance landscape at the time any of our product candidates may receive regulatory approval, we expect to experience pricing pressures in connection with the sale of our product candidates due to the trend toward managed health care, the increasing influence of health maintenance organizations and additional legislative changes. The downward pressure on healthcare costs in general, particularly prescription drugs and biologics and surgical procedures and other treatments, has become intense. As a result, increasingly high barriers are being erected to the entry of new products.
Ability to Sell
Total Risks: 6/78 (8%)Below Sector Average
Competition2 | 2.6%
Competition - Risk 1
Any product candidates for which we intend to seek approval as biologic products may face competition sooner than anticipated.
The Affordable Care Act, as amended by the Health Care and Education Reconciliation Act of 2010 (collectively, the ACA) includes a subtitle called the Biologics Price Competition and Innovation Act of 2009, or BPCIA, which created an abbreviated approval pathway for biological products that are biosimilar to or interchangeable with an FDA-licensed reference biological product. Under the BPCIA, an application for a biosimilar product may not be submitted to the FDA until four years following the date that the reference product was first licensed by the FDA. In addition, the approval of a biosimilar product may not be made effective by the FDA until 12 years from the date on which the reference product was first licensed. During this 12-year period of exclusivity, another company may still market a competing version of the reference product if the FDA approves a full a biologics license application (BLA) for the competing product containing the sponsor's own preclinical data and data from adequate and well-controlled clinical trials to demonstrate the safety, purity and potency of their product. The law is complex and is still being interpreted and implemented by the FDA. As a result, its ultimate impact, implementation, and meaning are subject to uncertainty. While it is uncertain when such processes intended to implement BPCIA may be fully adopted by the FDA, any such processes could have a material adverse effect on the future commercial prospects for our biological products. There is a risk that any of our product candidates approved as a biological product under a BLA would not qualify for the 12-year period of exclusivity or that this exclusivity could be shortened due to congressional action or otherwise, or that the FDA will not consider our product candidates to be reference products for competing products, potentially creating the opportunity for generic competition sooner than anticipated. Other aspects of the BPCIA, some of which may impact the BPCIA exclusivity provisions, have also been the subject of recent litigation. Moreover, the extent to which a biosimilar, once approved, will be substituted for any one of our reference products in a way that is similar to traditional generic substitution for non-biological products is not yet clear, and will depend on a number of marketplace and regulatory factors that are still developing.
Competition - Risk 2
We face significant competition in an environment of rapid technological change and the possibility that our competitors may achieve regulatory approval before us or develop therapies that are more advanced or effective than ours, which may harm our business and financial condition, and our ability to successfully market or commercialize our product candidates.
The biotechnology and pharmaceutical industries are characterized by rapidly changing technologies, competition and a strong emphasis on intellectual property. We may face competition from other companies focused on therapeutics for age-related disease, which is a highly competitive environment. There are numerous biotechnology companies developing therapeutics for human aging, with each company often focusing on a specific molecular pathway within cells. For example, ResTORbio, Inc. is developing modulators of the mechanistic target of rapamycin (mTOR) pathway to treat immunological and cardiovascular disorders. Calico Life Sciences LLC is a Google-founded research and development company aimed at identifying molecular pathways that control animal lifespan and translating these insights into novel therapeutics designed to increase human healthspan. Unity Biotechnology, Inc. focuses on cellular senescence, in particular, the use of agents that can target senescent cells for selective ablation (senolysis). Unity's stated targeted age-related diseases include osteoarthritis as well as other ophthalmological and pulmonary diseases. Our therapeutic products in development are likely to face competition from a large number of companies and technological strategies including therapeutics intended to address our lead indications. See "Business-Competition." We may also face competition from large and specialty pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies, academic research institutions, government agencies and public and private research institutions. Many of our current or potential competitors, either alone or with their collaboration partners, have significantly greater financial resources and expertise in research and development, manufacturing, preclinical testing, conducting clinical trials, obtaining regulatory approvals, and marketing approved products than we do. Mergers and acquisitions in the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and gene therapy industries may result in even more resources being concentrated among a smaller number of our competitors. Smaller or early-stage companies may also prove to be significant competitors, particularly through collaborative arrangements with large and established companies. These competitors also compete with us in recruiting and retaining qualified scientific and management personnel and establishing clinical trial sites and patient registration for clinical trials, as well as in acquiring technologies complementary to, or necessary for, our programs. Our commercial opportunity could be reduced or eliminated if our competitors develop and commercialize products that are safer, more effective, have fewer or less severe side effects, are more convenient, or are less expensive than any products that we may develop or that would render any products that we may develop obsolete or non-competitive. Our competitors also may obtain FDA or other regulatory approval for their products more rapidly than we may obtain approval for ours, which could result in our competitors establishing a strong market position before we are able to enter the market. In particular, the Ministry of Labor Health and Welfare in Japan may grant SAKIGAKE designation to a competing product candidate, which is designed to provide for faster review and approval for any such product candidate as compared to the conventional process. If any competing product candidate receives SAKIGAKE designation in Japan, it may be commercialized more quickly in Japan than any of our product candidates. Additionally, technologies developed by our competitors may render our potential product candidates uneconomic or obsolete, and we may not be successful in marketing any product candidates we may develop against competitors.
Demand1 | 1.3%
Demand - Risk 1
If the market opportunities for our product candidates are smaller than we believe they are, we may not meet our revenue expectations and, even assuming approval of a product candidate, our business may suffer.
Our projections of the number of potential users of our product candidates in the markets we are attempting to address are based on our beliefs and estimates and include several key assumptions based on our industry knowledge, industry publications, third-party research reports and other surveys. You should bear in mind the following: - Our estimates have been derived from a variety of sources, including publications and scientific literature or market research estimating the total number of patients and currently approved or used therapies, as well as certain assumptions regarding the potential size of the market assuming broad regulatory approval or potential usage by physicians beyond the approved label, any of which may prove to be incorrect.         - The scope of approval and potential use may be significantly narrower, and the number of patients may turn out to be lower than expected.         - Competitive products or approaches may be approved or come into use by medical providers and the potentially addressable patient population for each of our product candidates may be limited or may not be amenable to treatment with our product candidates, and new patients may become increasingly difficult to identify or gain access to, any which could adversely affect our results of operations and our business. If the actual market for any of our product candidates is smaller than we expect, our revenue may be limited and it may be more difficult for us to achieve or maintain profitability.
Sales & Marketing2 | 2.6%
Sales & Marketing - Risk 1
The commercial success of any of our current or future product candidates will depend upon the degree of market acceptance by physicians, patients, third-party payors, and others in the medical community.
Even with approvals from the FDA and comparable foreign regulatory authorities, the commercial success of our products will depend in part on the health care providers, patients, and third-party payors accepting our product candidates as medically useful, cost-effective, and safe. Any product that we bring to the market may not gain market acceptance by physicians, patients, third-party payors and other health care providers. The clinical development, commercialization, and marketing of cell therapies are at an early-stage, substantially research-oriented, and financially speculative. To date, very few companies have been successful in their efforts to develop and commercialize cell therapies. In general, cell therapies may be susceptible to various risks, including undesirable and unintended side effects, unintended immune system responses, inadequate therapeutic efficacy, potentially prohibitive costs or other characteristics that may prevent or limit their approval or commercial use. Furthermore, the number of people who may use cell- or tissue-based therapies is difficult to forecast with accuracy. Our future success is dependent on the establishment of a large global market for cell therapies and our ability to capture a share of this market with our product candidates. Even if we, a collaborator, or a licensee of our technology successfully develop and obtain regulatory approval for our product candidates, the market may not understand or accept them. Our product candidates represent novel treatments and are expected to compete with a number of more conventional products and therapies manufactured and marketed by others, including major pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies. The degree of market acceptance of any of our products will depend on a number of factors, including without limitation: - the efficacy of the product as demonstrated in clinical studies and potential advantages over competing treatments;         - the prevalence and severity of the disease and any side effects;         - the clinical indications for which approval is granted, including any limitations or warnings contained in a product's approved labeling;         - the convenience and ease of administration;         - the cost of treatment, particular as additive to existing treatments;         - the willingness of the patients and physicians to accept and use these therapies and the perception of efficacy and safety of our approved products by such parties;         - the marketing, sales and distribution support for the products;         - the publicity and ethical, social and legal concerns regarding the use of embryonic stem cells for our products or competing products and treatments;         - government regulations restricting or prohibiting our research or manufacturing processes for stem cells due to ethical, social and legal concerns regarding their use in medical research and treatment; and         - the pricing and availability of third-party insurance coverage and reimbursement. Even if a product displays a favorable efficacy and safety profile upon approval, market acceptance of the product will initially remain uncertain. Efforts to educate the medical community and third-party payors on the benefits of the products may require significant investment and resources and may never be successful. If our products fail to achieve an adequate level of acceptance by physicians, patients, third-party payors, and other health care providers, we will not be able to generate sufficient revenue to become or remain profitable.
Sales & Marketing - Risk 2
We have no marketing, sales, or distribution resources for the commercialization of any products or technologies that we might successfully develop.
We do not have any infrastructure for the sales, marketing or distribution of our products, and the cost of establishing and maintaining such an organization may exceed the cost-effectiveness of doing so. There are significant expenses and risks involved with establishing our own sales, marketing and distribution capabilities, including our ability to hire, retain and appropriately incentivize qualified individuals, generate sufficient sales leads, provide adequate training to sales and marketing personnel, and effectively manage a geographically dispersed sales and marketing team. Any failure or delay in the development of our internal sales, marketing and distribution capabilities could delay any product launch, which would adversely impact the commercialization of any approved product candidate. If we market products through arrangements with third parties, we may pay sales commissions to sales representatives or we may sell or consign products to distributors at wholesale prices. As a result, our gross profit from product sales may be lower than it would be if we were to sell our products directly to end users at retail prices through our own sales force. There can be no assurance we will be able to negotiate distribution or sales agreements with third parties on favorable terms to justify our investment in our products or achieve sufficient revenues to support our operations. If we are unable to build our own sales force or negotiate a collaborative relationship for the commercialization of our product candidates, we may be forced to delay the potential commercialization of such candidates or reduce the scope of our sales or marketing activities for them. If we elect to increase our expenditures to fund commercialization activities ourselves, we will need to obtain additional capital, which may not be available to us on acceptable terms, or at all. We could enter into arrangements with collaborative partners at an earlier stage than otherwise would be ideal and we may be required to relinquish rights to our product candidates or otherwise agree to terms unfavorable to us, any of which may have an adverse effect on our business, operating results and prospects. If we are unable to establish adequate sales, marketing and distribution capabilities, either on our own or in collaboration with third parties, we will not be successful in commercializing our product candidates and may not become profitable and may incur significant additional losses. We will be competing with many companies that currently have extensive and well-funded marketing and sales operations. Without an internal team or the support of a third party to perform marketing and sales functions, we may be unable to compete successfully against these more established companies.
Brand / Reputation1 | 1.3%
Brand / Reputation - Risk 1
Adverse publicity regarding cell-based therapies could impact our business.
Adverse publicity due to the ethical and social controversies surrounding the use of embryonic stem cells or any adverse reported side effects from any stem cell or other cell therapy clinical trials or to the failure of such trials to demonstrate that these therapies are efficacious could materially and adversely affect our ability to raise capital, conduct and complete clinical trials and achieve market acceptance of such products, if approved. For example, research institutions, including those who may be our collaborators, may from time to time publish findings or studies regarding the human genome (such as the Human Genome Project) that adversely implicate our product candidates, including findings of cancer dependencies in cell lines used in our cell-based therapies.
See a full breakdown of risk according to category and subcategory. The list starts with the category with the most risk. Click on subcategories to read relevant extracts from the most recent report.

FAQ

What are “Risk Factors”?
Risk factors are any situations or occurrences that could make investing in a company risky.
    The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) requires that publicly traded companies disclose their most significant risk factors. This is so that potential investors can consider any risks before they make an investment.
      They also offer companies protection, as a company can use risk factors as liability protection. This could happen if a company underperforms and investors take legal action as a result.
        It is worth noting that smaller companies, that is those with a public float of under $75 million on the last business day, do not have to include risk factors in their 10-K and 10-Q forms, although some may choose to do so.
          How do companies disclose their risk factors?
          Publicly traded companies initially disclose their risk factors to the SEC through their S-1 filings as part of the IPO process.
            Additionally, companies must provide a complete list of risk factors in their Annual Reports (Form 10-K) or (Form 20-F) for “foreign private issuers”.
              Quarterly Reports also include a section on risk factors (Form 10-Q) where companies are only required to update any changes since the previous report.
                According to the SEC, risk factors should be reported concisely, logically and in “plain English” so investors can understand them.
                  How can I use TipRanks risk factors in my stock research?
                  Use the Risk Factors tab to get data about the risk factors of any company in which you are considering investing.
                    You can easily see the most significant risks a company is facing. Additionally, you can find out which risk factors a company has added, removed or adjusted since its previous disclosure. You can also see how a company’s risk factors compare to others in its sector.
                      Without reading company reports or participating in conference calls, you would most likely not have access to this sort of information, which is usually not included in press releases or other public announcements.
                        A simplified analysis of risk factors is unique to TipRanks.
                          What are all the risk factor categories?
                          TipRanks has identified 6 major categories of risk factors and a number of subcategories for each. You can see how these categories are broken down in the list below.
                          1. Financial & Corporate
                          • Accounting & Financial Operations - risks related to accounting loss, value of intangible assets, financial statements, value of intangible assets, financial reporting, estimates, guidance, company profitability, dividends, fluctuating results.
                          • Share Price & Shareholder Rights – risks related to things that impact share prices and the rights of shareholders, including analyst ratings, major shareholder activity, trade volatility, liquidity of shares, anti-takeover provisions, international listing, dual listing.
                          • Debt & Financing – risks related to debt, funding, financing and interest rates, financial investments.
                          • Corporate Activity and Growth – risks related to restructuring, M&As, joint ventures, execution of corporate strategy, strategic alliances.
                          2. Legal & Regulatory
                          • Litigation and Legal Liabilities – risks related to litigation/ lawsuits against the company.
                          • Regulation – risks related to compliance, GDPR, and new legislation.
                          • Environmental / Social – risks related to environmental regulation and to data privacy.
                          • Taxation & Government Incentives – risks related to taxation and changes in government incentives.
                          3. Production
                          • Costs – risks related to costs of production including commodity prices, future contracts, inventory.
                          • Supply Chain – risks related to the company’s suppliers.
                          • Manufacturing – risks related to the company’s manufacturing process including product quality and product recalls.
                          • Human Capital – risks related to recruitment, training and retention of key employees, employee relationships & unions labor disputes, pension, and post retirement benefits, medical, health and welfare benefits, employee misconduct, employee litigation.
                          4. Technology & Innovation
                          • Innovation / R&D – risks related to innovation and new product development.
                          • Technology – risks related to the company’s reliance on technology.
                          • Cyber Security – risks related to securing the company’s digital assets and from cyber attacks.
                          • Trade Secrets & Patents – risks related to the company’s ability to protect its intellectual property and to infringement claims against the company as well as piracy and unlicensed copying.
                          5. Ability to Sell
                          • Demand – risks related to the demand of the company’s goods and services including seasonality, reliance on key customers.
                          • Competition – risks related to the company’s competition including substitutes.
                          • Sales & Marketing – risks related to sales, marketing, and distribution channels, pricing, and market penetration.
                          • Brand & Reputation – risks related to the company’s brand and reputation.
                          6. Macro & Political
                          • Economy & Political Environment – risks related to changes in economic and political conditions.
                          • Natural and Human Disruptions – risks related to catastrophes, floods, storms, terror, earthquakes, coronavirus pandemic/COVID-19.
                          • International Operations – risks related to the global nature of the company.
                          • Capital Markets – risks related to exchange rates and trade, cryptocurrency.
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