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Runway Growth Finance Corp (RWAY)
NASDAQ:RWAY
US Market

Runway Growth Finance Corp (RWAY) AI Stock Analysis

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Runway Growth Finance Corp

(NASDAQ:RWAY)

63Neutral
Runway Growth Finance's overall score reflects a mixed outlook. Key strengths include a strong balance sheet with no debt and attractive valuation metrics such as a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield. However, financial performance challenges, including declining revenue, negative net income, and bearish technical indicators, weigh on the stock's prospects. The recent earnings call provided some positive strategic developments but also underscored ongoing operational challenges.
Positive Factors
Corporate Actions
Gynesonics was marked up additionally on its pending acquisition, while Snagajob improved on its reorganization after it was acquired.
Earnings
CareCloud trading up meaningfully on the back of earnings and resumption of pref dividends.
Negative Factors
Dividends
The base dividend was lowered to $0.33 in accord with a new 'capital preservation' policy.
Financial Performance
RWAY reported NOI of $0.41 per share, below our $0.44 estimate, as the fee / interest haul from CloudPay's prepay were offset by lower avg. leverage and no other repays of significance.
Risk Profile
RWAY is viewed as having a higher risk NOI / NAV profile, owed to large individual credit exposures.

Runway Growth Finance Corp (RWAY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Runway Growth Finance Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRunway Growth Finance Corp. is a business development company specializing investments in senior-secured loans to late stage and growth companies. It prefers to make investments in companies engaged in the technology, life sciences, healthcare and information services, business services and select consumer services and products sectors. It prefers to investments in companies engaged in electronic equipment and instruments, systems software, hardware, storage and peripherals and specialized consumer services, application software, healthcare technology, internet software and services, data processing and outsourced services, internet retail, human resources and employment services, biotechnology, healthcare equipment and education services. It invests in senior secured loans between $10 million and $75 million.
How the Company Makes MoneyRunway Growth Finance Corp generates revenue primarily through the interest income earned on its portfolio of senior secured loans. The company extends these loans to high-growth companies, typically with venture capital backing, across various sectors such as technology and life sciences. Interest payments on the principal amount of the loans represent the main source of revenue. Additionally, Runway Growth Finance may earn fees on the origination of loans and other related financial services. The company's earnings are influenced by the quality of its loan portfolio, interest rate environments, and its ability to identify and partner with suitable high-growth companies. Strong relationships with venture capital firms and other financial institutions also play a critical role in identifying potential lending opportunities, thereby contributing to the company's revenue streams.

Runway Growth Finance Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Runway Growth Finance Corp demonstrates a stable financial position with strong profitability margins, a debt-free balance sheet, and solid cash flow generation. However, the revenue decline is a concern. The company's financial health remains robust, supported by effective cost management and strong liquidity.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Runway Growth Finance Corp showed a moderate revenue decline in the TTM period compared to the previous year, with total revenue decreasing from $145.82M to $106.77M. However, the gross profit margin improved due to higher gross profit figures. The net profit margin also showed resilience, maintaining a positive figure despite the revenue contraction. EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate operational challenges, with EBITDA showing a negative figure. Overall, the income statement reflects a mixed performance with strong profitability margins but declining revenues.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company exhibits a strong balance sheet with zero total debt in the latest TTM period, reflecting a conservative financial posture. The equity ratio is robust, indicating significant equity relative to total assets. The return on equity shows solid performance, although there has been a slight decline in stockholders' equity. The balance sheet stability is a positive indicator, with low leverage risk due to the absence of debt.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The cash flow statement shows a strong operating cash flow relative to net income, highlighting effective cash generation from operations. Free cash flow has improved significantly, reflecting enhanced liquidity. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating efficient cash management. Overall, the cash flow metrics suggest a healthy liquidity position and strong cash generation capabilities.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
106.77M145.82M42.19M51.71M51.38M31.69M
Gross Profit
116.64M110.06M16.46M31.90M36.77M17.75M
EBIT
65.79M87.48M73.55M45.62M46.98M27.65M
EBITDA
-1.03M-33.93M0.000.000.000.00
Net Income Common Stockholders
40.60M44.34M4.70M45.62M46.98M27.65M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.53M44.97M1.12B4.70M14.89M45.80M
Total Assets
308.22M1.08B1.14B738.35M639.89M516.29M
Total Debt
138.93M510.08M548.96M79.49M97.42M60.02M
Net Debt
136.40M507.11M543.20M74.79M82.53M14.22M
Total Liabilities
140.75M532.08M565.71M132.15M173.65M139.98M
Stockholders Equity
167.37M547.07M576.05M606.19M466.24M376.31M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
114.30M112.44M-359.85M-61.25M-106.09M-133.58M
Operating Cash Flow
114.30M112.44M-359.85M-61.25M-106.09M-133.58M
Investing Cash Flow
-109.52M0.00-453.82M-120.84M168.61M-138.81M
Financing Cash Flow
-3.65M-115.23M360.91M51.06M75.18M176.85M

Runway Growth Finance Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price10.67
Price Trends
50DMA
11.25
Negative
100DMA
10.86
Negative
200DMA
10.60
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.18
Positive
RSI
45.56
Neutral
STOCH
48.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RWAY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 10.67 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.94, below the 50-day MA of 11.25, and above the 200-day MA of 10.60, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for RWAY.

Runway Growth Finance Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$2.12B11.1612.02%8.18%8.07%-22.25%
72
Outperform
$1.45B22.533.96%14.61%-28.04%-69.52%
67
Neutral
$3.36B12.1113.71%8.21%-1.49%-29.48%
64
Neutral
$14.53B10.258.67%4.22%16.51%-12.20%
63
Neutral
$398.50M5.5513.86%16.78%-2.83%75.00%
60
Neutral
$286.98M8.669.26%19.58%22.53%
58
Neutral
$681.47M-8.57%16.98%8.24%-207.60%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RWAY
Runway Growth Finance Corp
10.84
0.11
1.03%
HTGC
Hercules Capital
19.59
2.85
17.03%
TCPC
BlackRock TCP Capital
8.01
-0.92
-10.30%
TPVG
TriplePoint Venture Growth
7.13
-0.92
-11.43%
TSLX
Sixth Street Specialty Lending
22.55
3.11
16.00%
GSBD
Goldman Sachs BDC
12.33
-1.27
-9.34%

Runway Growth Finance Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 20, 2025 | % Change Since: -0.28% | Next Earnings Date: May 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted successful strategic acquisitions and new investments, but was tempered by decreases in net investment income and yield. Despite strong portfolio management and increased net assets, challenges included realized losses and loans on non-accrual status.
Highlights
Total Investment Income for Q4 2024
Runway Growth Finance delivered total investment income of $33.8 million for the fourth quarter of 2024.
Successful Acquisition and Strategic Investment
Runway Growth Capital, the investment adviser, was acquired by BC Partners Credit, enhancing its origination channels and expanding its product set.
New Investments and Loan Growth
Runway Growth Finance executed two new investments and five investments with existing portfolio companies, representing $154 million in funded loans.
Increased Net Assets
Net assets increased to $514.9 million by the end of Q4 2024, up from $507.4 million in the previous quarter.
NAV Per Share Increase
Net Asset Value (NAV) per share increased by 3% to $13.79 at the end of Q4 2024.
Strong Portfolio Management
The weighted average portfolio risk rating decreased to 2.33 in Q4 2024 from 2.48 in Q3 2024.
Lowlights
Decrease in Investment Income
Net investment income decreased to $14.6 million in Q4 2024 from $15.9 million in Q3 2024.
Realized Loss on Investments
A net realized loss of $2.9 million was recorded in Q4 2024.
Loans on Non-Accrual Status
Two loans, Mingle Healthcare and Snagajob, remained on non-accrual status, with combined loans representing 0.5% of the total investment portfolio at fair value.
Decrease in Dollar-Weighted Average Yield
Dollar-weighted average annualized yield of the debt portfolio decreased to 14.7% in Q4 2024 from 15.9% in Q3 2024.
Company Guidance
During the fourth quarter of 2024, Runway Growth Finance reported total investment income of $33.8 million and net investment income of $14.6 million. The firm completed $154 million in funded loans, which included two new investments and five existing portfolio company investments. Their loan portfolio had a fair value of approximately $1.08 billion, with a net asset value per share increasing to $13.79. Runway's debt portfolio yielded a dollar-weighted average annualized yield of 14.7%, with operating expenses totaling $19.2 million. The company recorded a net realized loss on investments of $2.9 million. Runway had two loans on non-accrual status, representing only 0.5% of the total investment portfolio at fair value. The leverage ratio stood at 1.08 times, with total liquidity of $244.8 million. The firm announced aggregate distributions of $0.36 per share for the first quarter of 2025, reflecting a $0.33 per share base dividend and a $0.03 per share supplemental dividend.

Runway Growth Finance Corp Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Runway Growth Finance Expands Board with New Directors
Neutral
Mar 17, 2025

Runway Growth Finance Corp., a Maryland corporation, announced changes to its Board of Directors on March 13, 2025. John Engel resigned as a director, effective March 21, 2025, with no disagreements with the company. Jennifer Kwon Chou was elected as an independent director, along with Robert Warshauer, Alexander Duka, and Ted Goldthorpe, who will also serve as the chair of the Board. These appointments, effective March 21, 2025, are part of the Board’s expansion from five to eight directors, enhancing the company’s strategic and governance capabilities.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.