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Reynolds Consumer Products (REYN)
NASDAQ:REYN

Reynolds Consumer Products (REYN) AI Stock Analysis

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REReynolds Consumer Products
(NASDAQ:REYN)
63Neutral
Reynolds Consumer Products' overall stock score reflects a stable financial performance with improving profit margins but facing significant financial risks due to high leverage. The stock's bearish technical indicators suggest caution, while its reasonable valuation and attractive dividend yield provide some appeal. The earnings call indicates potential challenges in 2025, yet strategic initiatives and recent refinancing efforts offer a positive outlook for financial stability and growth.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Reynolds Consumer Products reported Q4 results that were above Street expectations on the top line.
Leadership and Management
The company announced the appointment of current CFO Mr. Scott Huckins as its next President and CEO and current Head of FP&A Mr. Nathan Lowe as CFO, which reflects sound succession planning.
Negative Factors
Guidance and Outlook
Q1 2025 and FY2025 guidance came in below expectations, with the foam plate category expected to decline.

Reynolds Consumer Products (REYN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Reynolds Consumer Products Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionReynolds Consumer Products (REYN) is a leading company in the consumer goods sector, specializing in the production and distribution of household essentials. The company's core products include aluminum foil, plastic wrap, waste bags, and disposable tableware, sold under well-known brand names such as Reynolds Wrap, Hefty, and Alcan. Operating primarily in North America, Reynolds Consumer Products serves both retail and commercial markets, offering a range of products designed for food storage, waste management, and cooking convenience.
How the Company Makes MoneyReynolds Consumer Products generates revenue through the sale of its consumer goods products in grocery stores, mass merchants, and online platforms. The company has a diverse portfolio of trusted brands that cater to everyday consumer needs, ensuring a steady demand for its products. Key revenue streams include the sale of aluminum foil and food storage solutions under the Reynolds Wrap brand, which are staple items in households. Additionally, the Hefty brand contributes significantly to revenue through its line of waste bags and disposable tableware. Partnerships with major retailers and distributors amplify the company's market reach, while ongoing product innovation and brand loyalty help sustain and grow earnings. The company's ability to leverage economies of scale and maintain efficient production processes also plays a crucial role in its profitability.

Reynolds Consumer Products Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Reynolds Consumer Products shows a stable revenue stream with improving margins. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio and negative equity present financial risks. Despite strong cash flow generation, the company needs to focus on debt reduction and liability management to improve financial health.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The company shows a consistent revenue base with a slight decline from 2023 to 2024, while gross profit and net income have slightly improved. The gross profit margin for 2024 stands at 27.03%, and the net profit margin is 9.73%, indicating decent profitability in the industry. The EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate stable operational performance with EBITDA at 15.17%.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio due to negative or zero equity in 2024, suggesting potential financial risk. The total debt remains significant, although reduced from prior years. With previous equity ratios showing some stability, the current situation requires attention to manage liabilities effectively.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow is robust at $489 million in 2024, maintaining a positive free cash flow. However, the free cash flow growth rate has shown volatility over the years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting efficient cash conversion from earnings, though the decrease in free cash flow compared to previous years poses some concerns.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
3.62B3.76B3.82B3.56B3.26B
Gross Profit
978.00M942.00M776.00M811.00M973.00M
EBIT
549.00M512.00M414.00M478.00M586.00M
EBITDA
707.00M636.00M531.00M587.00M685.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
352.00M298.00M258.00M324.00M363.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
137.00M115.00M38.00M164.00M312.00M
Total Assets
4.87B4.78B4.93B4.81B4.72B
Total Debt
1.69B1.89B2.16B2.16B2.28B
Net Debt
1.69B1.77B2.12B1.99B1.97B
Total Liabilities
2.73B2.80B3.06B3.06B3.11B
Stockholders Equity
2.14B1.98B1.87B1.76B1.61B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
489.00M540.00M91.00M169.00M176.00M
Operating Cash Flow
489.00M644.00M219.00M310.00M319.00M
Investing Cash Flow
-120.00M-110.00M-128.00M-141.00M-143.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-346.00M-457.00M-217.00M-317.00M34.00M

Reynolds Consumer Products Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price23.86
Price Trends
50DMA
25.97
Negative
100DMA
26.99
Negative
200DMA
27.80
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.53
Negative
RSI
37.03
Neutral
STOCH
34.30
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For REYN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 23.86 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.65, below the 50-day MA of 25.97, and below the 200-day MA of 27.80, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.53 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for REYN.

Reynolds Consumer Products Risk Analysis

Reynolds Consumer Products disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Reynolds Consumer Products reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Reynolds Consumer Products Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
PGPG
80
Outperform
$406.08B27.5930.25%2.29%0.49%5.02%
CHCHD
74
Outperform
$27.23B46.7013.42%1.02%4.08%-22.34%
KMKMB
71
Outperform
$47.10B18.80302.98%3.40%-1.83%45.13%
CLCLX
65
Neutral
$18.57B41.21-1114.63%3.12%-1.98%474.83%
HRHRL
64
Neutral
$15.87B20.986.59%3.86%-1.84%-5.14%
63
Neutral
$5.01B14.2616.43%3.73%-1.65%18.38%
60
Neutral
$13.01B10.450.79%3.53%1.60%-22.47%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
REYN
Reynolds Consumer Products
23.86
-4.31
-15.30%
CHD
Church & Dwight
110.71
9.38
9.26%
CLX
Clorox
150.77
5.01
3.44%
HRL
Hormel Foods
28.90
-4.08
-12.37%
KMB
Kimberly Clark
141.14
20.73
17.22%
PG
Procter & Gamble
173.18
17.45
11.21%

Reynolds Consumer Products Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 5, 2025 | % Change Since: -13.39% | Next Earnings Date: May 7, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call revealed strong financial performance in 2024, with record profitability and effective debt reduction. However, challenges such as expected revenue decline in 2025, driven by foam category downturns and raw material cost pressures, pose concerns. The company is implementing strategic initiatives to drive future growth, but the immediate outlook is tempered by these challenges.
Highlights
Strong Profitability and Cash Flow
2024 marked the strongest profitability in the company's history outside of 2020. The company delivered earnings ahead of expectations and drove significant cash flow, paying down more debt than targeted.
Record Innovation Launches
The Presto business unit achieved a record number of innovation launches in 2024, contributing to overall growth and new market opportunities.
Deleveraging Success
Paid down $150 million of debt throughout 2024, with an additional $50 million paid in January 2025, achieving a leverage ratio of 2.3 times trailing 12 months adjusted EBITDA.
Lowlights
Projected Revenue Decline for 2025
Net revenues are anticipated to be down in the low-single digits for 2025, driven by a double-digit decline in foam plates, which impact overall category growth.
Impact of Raw Material Costs
Increased costs of raw materials, including aluminum, are expected to be a significant headwind, impacting profitability.
Potential Tariff Risks
Tariff developments on raw materials from Mexico and Canada have not been factored into the guide, posing a potential risk to cost structures.
Company Guidance
During the fourth quarter and full year 2024 earnings call, Reynolds Consumer Products provided guidance reflecting strong performance and strategic plans for 2025. The company reported an increase in consolidated retail volume by 1% in the fourth quarter, marking progress across all business units. Reynolds achieved a net revenue of $3.695 billion for 2024, surpassing initial guidance, and delivered an adjusted EBITDA of $678 million, a 7% increase from the previous year. The company also managed to reduce leverage to 2.3 times adjusted EBITDA by year-end. Looking ahead, Reynolds expects net revenues in 2025 to decrease slightly, driven by a projected 2% decline in overall categories, primarily due to a double-digit decline in foam dishes, which constitute less than 10% of revenue. The projected adjusted EBITDA for 2025 is between $670 million and $690 million, with a focus on enhancing growth through distribution wins, innovation, and cost reductions. The company also plans to invest in productivity and sustainability initiatives, aiming for margin expansion and stable earnings growth. Reynolds has set a target of reaching a leverage range of 2 to 2.5 times adjusted EBITDA by year-end, with anticipated free cash flow conversion of approximately 50% of EBITDA.

Reynolds Consumer Products Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Reynolds Consumer Products Refinances $1.645 Billion Loan
Positive
Mar 4, 2025

On March 4, 2025, Reynolds Consumer Products announced the successful refinancing of its $1.645 billion term loan facility, extending the maturity to 2032 and improving financial flexibility. The refinancing, led by JP Morgan, reflects the company’s strong credit profile and aims to support strategic priorities and long-term shareholder value.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.