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REV Group Inc (REVG)
NYSE:REVG

REV Group (REVG) AI Stock Analysis

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REV Group

(NYSE:REVG)

74Outperform
REV Group's overall stock score of 74 reflects a solid financial foundation with strong cash flow and efficient equity utilization. The company's technical indicators suggest neutral to slightly positive momentum, while valuation metrics indicate moderate pricing. The positive earnings call further supports an optimistic outlook, though challenges in certain segments and potential tariff impacts warrant caution.
Positive Factors
Earnings Performance
REVG reported 1Q25 adjusted EPS of $0.40 ahead of consensus estimate of $0.25.
Revenue Growth
Recreation orders came in much stronger than anticipated, up 9% year/year.
Negative Factors
Financial Risk
There is potential financial risk to REVG from tariffs, particularly given the fixed nature of contracts that historically made it difficult for the company to pass through costs real time.
Sales Performance
Net sales -13.8% year/year (-6.4% year/year ex-Collins) to $597.9 million, below the $603.3 million consensus.

REV Group (REVG) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

REV Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionREV Group, Inc. designs, manufactures, and distributes specialty vehicles, and related aftermarket parts and services in the United States, Canada, Europe, Africa, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Fire & Emergency, Commercial, and Recreation. The Fire & Emergency segment provides fire apparatus equipment under the Emergency One, Kovatch Mobile Equipment, Ferrara, Spartan Emergency Response, Smeal, and Ladder Tower brands; and ambulances under the American Emergency Vehicles, Horton Emergency Vehicles, Leader Emergency Vehicles, Road Rescue, and Wheeled Coach brands. The Commercial segment offers transit buses, type A school buses, sweepers, and terminal trucks under the Collins Bus, Capacity, ENC, and Lay-Mor brands. The Recreation segment offers motorized and towable RV models under the American Coach, Fleetwood RV, Holiday Rambler, Renegade, Midwest, and Lance brands; and produces a range of custom molded fiberglass products for the heavy-duty truck, RV, and broader industrial markets. The company sells its products to municipalities, government agencies, private contractors, consumers, and industrial and commercial end users through its direct sales force or dealer network. The company was formerly known as Allied Specialty Vehicles, Inc. and changed its name to REV Group, Inc. in November 2015. REV Group, Inc. is based in Brookfield, Wisconsin.
How the Company Makes MoneyREV Group generates revenue through the design, manufacture, and sale of specialty vehicles across its three primary segments. In the Fire & Emergency segment, the company makes money by producing fire apparatus and ambulances for municipal and private clients. The Commercial segment contributes to revenue through the sale of school buses, transit buses, and other commercial vehicles, often working with government contracts and fleet operators. The Recreation segment focuses on manufacturing and selling motorhomes and luxury RVs, targeting consumers and dealerships. Additionally, REV Group benefits from after-sales services, parts, and maintenance contracts, which provide a steady stream of recurring revenue. The company may also engage in strategic partnerships and alliances to enhance its market reach and product offerings.

REV Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
REV Group shows a solid financial position with strong cash flow generation and efficient equity utilization. While profitability at the net level has slightly declined, the company maintains low leverage and a healthy return on equity. Continued focus on revenue growth and net income stability will be critical for future performance.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement shows a stable gross profit margin of 13.1% for TTM, with a notable improvement in EBIT margin to 5.1% and EBITDA margin to 7.2%. However, the net profit margin decreased to 4.0% from the previous annual 10.8%, indicating some challenges in maintaining profitability at net income level. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, showing a decline in the most recent period.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.38, suggesting low leverage risk. The equity ratio has dipped slightly to 34.5% from the previous year, indicating a moderate reliance on liabilities. Return on equity for TTM is at a healthy 21.7%, demonstrating efficient equity utilization, but the decreasing equity trend could pose future risks.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
The cash flow statement reveals a strong free cash flow growth rate with a significant increase in free cash flow for TTM. Operating cash flow to net income ratio stands at 1.18, indicating robust cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.95 suggests that most profits are being converted into cash flow.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.32B2.38B2.64B2.33B2.38B2.28B
Gross Profit
303.60M297.30M316.10M247.50M291.00M228.10M
EBIT
119.20M79.60M88.60M36.80M83.80M4.10M
EBITDA
167.00M394.30M113.00M69.00M120.10M19.80M
Net Income Common Stockholders
93.10M257.60M45.30M15.20M44.40M-30.50M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
4.97M24.60M21.30M20.40M13.30M11.40M
Total Assets
695.82M1.21B1.41B1.34B1.24B1.31B
Total Debt
212.63M118.00M187.40M250.30M234.90M367.50M
Net Debt
207.66M93.40M166.10M229.90M221.60M356.10M
Total Liabilities
455.91M777.90M912.40M888.30M719.50M840.00M
Stockholders Equity
239.91M435.10M498.00M456.30M518.80M472.30M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
88.00M25.80M93.70M66.80M133.60M38.90M
Operating Cash Flow
110.00M53.40M126.50M91.60M158.30M55.70M
Investing Cash Flow
46.00M348.50M-29.90M-14.80M-10.20M1.70M
Financing Cash Flow
-212.30M-398.60M-95.70M-69.70M-146.20M-49.30M

REV Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price31.60
Price Trends
50DMA
32.21
Negative
100DMA
31.75
Negative
200DMA
29.45
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.30
Negative
RSI
49.65
Neutral
STOCH
58.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For REVG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 31.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 31.07, below the 50-day MA of 32.21, and above the 200-day MA of 29.45, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for REVG.

REV Group Risk Analysis

REV Group disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. REV Group reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

REV Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$1.66B18.1020.13%0.65%-12.16%-56.14%
72
Outperform
$2.23B15.6010.42%4.92%-1.15%121.43%
OSOSK
68
Neutral
$6.09B9.1117.34%2.00%11.36%13.78%
66
Neutral
$50.87B12.2624.93%1.27%-4.29%-9.76%
THTHO
62
Neutral
$4.10B20.455.13%2.54%-8.45%-25.41%
62
Neutral
$8.05B13.604.04%3.11%3.70%-14.19%
WNWNC
51
Neutral
$469.07M-76.95%2.90%-23.25%-232.48%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
REVG
REV Group
31.60
9.84
45.22%
LCII
LCI Industries
87.43
-27.86
-24.17%
OSK
Oshkosh
94.08
-27.00
-22.30%
PCAR
Paccar
97.37
-20.90
-17.67%
THO
Thor Industries
75.81
-38.14
-33.47%
WNC
Wabash National
11.05
-17.48
-61.27%

REV Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 5, 2025 | % Change Since: 15.96% | Next Earnings Date: Jun 4, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted a strong start to the fiscal year with record first quarter adjusted EBITDA and a robust backlog providing long-term demand visibility. While there are challenges in the recreational vehicle segment and concerns about potential tariff impacts, the company's performance in specialty vehicles and recent retail successes contribute to an optimistic outlook.
Highlights
Record First Quarter Adjusted EBITDA
The company reported a record first quarter adjusted EBITDA of $36.8 million, which increased by $6.3 million year-over-year, and by $16.2 million or 79% excluding divested businesses.
Strong Backlog and Demand Visibility
The company's backlog remains strong at $4.5 billion, providing 2 to 2.5 years of demand visibility within the specialty vehicles segment.
Specialty Vehicle Segment Growth
Year-over-year revenue growth in the specialty vehicle segment was driven by increases in fire and ambulance groups, with a first quarter record adjusted EBITDA of $35.2 million and a segment margin of 9.5%.
Retail Success at Florida RV SuperShow
Despite a decline in overall show attendance, REV Group's recreational vehicle segment saw notable increases in retail sales across multiple brands at the Florida RV SuperShow.
Share Repurchase Program
The company repurchased approximately 579,000 shares, returning $19.2 million to shareholders, with an additional 425,000 shares purchased after the first quarter, totaling $13.8 million.
Lowlights
Decline in Recreational Vehicle Segment Sales
Recreational vehicle segment sales decreased by $14.4 million or 8.5% year-over-year, primarily due to a decline in unit volumes related to soft market demand.
Challenges in Terminal Trucks and Industrial Sweepers
Sales of terminal trucks and industrial sweepers were lower, partially offsetting the growth in other segments.
Potential Tariff Impact
Concerns were raised regarding the potential impact of recently enacted tariffs, especially on materials sourced from China, Mexico, and Canada, which could affect the supply chain and pricing.
Company Guidance
During the REV Group's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance reflecting a strong start to the fiscal year with record first-quarter adjusted EBITDA and cash efficiency that surpassed typical seasonality. The fiscal 2025 outlook was reaffirmed with consolidated revenue expected to range between $2.3 billion to $2.4 billion, representing mid single-digit growth compared to fiscal 2024. Adjusted EBITDA is projected between $190 million to $220 million, a 48% increase at the midpoint from the previous year. The specialty vehicle segment is anticipated to achieve high single to low double-digit revenue growth, while the recreational vehicle segment is expected to remain roughly flat compared to fiscal 2024. The backlog remains robust at $4.5 billion, providing 2 to 2.5 years of demand visibility, particularly within the specialty vehicles segment. Despite potential macroeconomic challenges, such as recently enacted tariffs, the company highlighted its multi-sourcing strategy and disciplined commercial activities as key factors underpinning its confidence in maintaining momentum and achieving financial targets.

REV Group Corporate Events

Stock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
REV Group Reports Strong 2024 Results and 2025 Outlook
Positive
Dec 11, 2024

REV Group, Inc. has announced its robust fiscal 2024 fourth-quarter and full-year results, highlighting a net income increase and strong overall performance despite a decrease in consolidated net sales. The company is optimistic about fiscal 2025 with new financial targets, a $250 million share repurchase authorization, and a 20% increase in quarterly cash dividends, showcasing its commitment to returning value to shareholders and maintaining financial health.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.