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Roblox (RBLX)
NYSE:RBLX
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Roblox (RBLX) AI Stock Analysis

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RBLX

Roblox

(NYSE:RBLX)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$112.00
▲(7.56% Upside)
Roblox's overall stock score reflects strong user growth and financial performance, but is weighed down by profitability challenges and high leverage. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the valuation remains unattractive due to ongoing losses. The earnings call provided positive insights into growth potential, but highlighted potential short-term challenges.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Roblox's strong revenue growth indicates robust demand and effective monetization strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.
User Engagement
Increasing daily active users and engagement levels highlight the platform's growing popularity, essential for sustained growth and market leadership.
Partnership Expansion
The expanded partnership with Mattel enhances Roblox's content offering, attracting more users and developers, which strengthens its competitive position.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing net losses and negative profit margins highlight challenges in achieving profitability, which could impact long-term financial health.
Regulatory Risks
Regulatory scrutiny over user safety could lead to increased compliance costs and reputational damage, affecting user trust and growth.
Weak Balance Sheet
A weak equity position and high leverage raise concerns about financial stability, potentially limiting future investment and growth opportunities.

Roblox (RBLX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Roblox Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRoblox Corporation develops and operates an online entertainment platform. The company offers Roblox Studio, a free toolset that allows developers and creators to build, publish, and operate 3D experiences, and other content; Roblox Client, an application that allows users to explore 3D digital world; Roblox Education for learning experiences; and Roblox Cloud, which provides services and infrastructure that power the human co-experience platform. It serves customers in the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, Europe, China, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in San Mateo, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyRoblox generates revenue through multiple key streams. The primary source of income is the sale of its virtual currency, Robux, which players use to purchase in-game items, accessories, and avatar customization options. Roblox takes a percentage of the transactions made on its platform, allowing developers to monetize their games through in-game purchases and advertisements. Additionally, Roblox earns revenue from subscription services like Roblox Premium, which offers users a monthly allowance of Robux and exclusive benefits. The company also benefits from partnerships with brands and developers, enabling them to create tailored experiences and promotional content within the platform, further enhancing its revenue potential. Overall, the combination of user spending on Robux, premium subscriptions, and partnerships forms the backbone of Roblox's revenue model.

Roblox Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Daily Active Users
Total Daily Active Users
Monitors the number of users engaging with Roblox daily, indicating the platform's popularity, user retention, and potential for monetization.
Chart InsightsRoblox's daily active users have surged to 111.8 million, marking a 41% increase year-on-year, driven by strong growth in the APAC region and viral experiences like 'Grow a Garden.' Despite this momentum, the company is cautious about Q4, citing leadership changes and infrastructure challenges. However, the robust engagement and increased monthly payers underscore the platform's expanding ecosystem, with revenue and bookings growth prompting an optimistic fiscal year outlook. Investors should watch for how Roblox manages these growth challenges to sustain its upward trajectory.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Roblox Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance in user growth and financial metrics, driven by technological advancements and regional expansion. However, there are concerns about potential short-term challenges due to new safety policies and geographic monetization shifts, as well as deliberate caution in scaling advertising revenue.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Growth in Global Gaming Market Share
Roblox now captures 3.2% of the global gaming bookings, up from 2.3% last year, indicating a substantial increase in market share.
Record Daily Active Users and Engagement
DAUs reached 151.5 million, a 70% increase year-on-year, with engagement hours hitting 39.6 billion, up 91% year-on-year.
Strong Financial Performance
Q3 revenue was $1.36 billion, up 48% year-on-year, with bookings at $1.92 billion, a 70% increase.
Notable Regional Growth
APAC bookings grew by 110% year-on-year, with Indonesia experiencing an 804% increase.
Creator Earnings Milestone
DevEx hit $427.9 million in Q3, up 85% year-on-year, with creator earnings surpassing $1 billion in the first 9 months of 2025.
Technological Advancements and AI Integration
Roblox is integrating AI and new technologies, such as Cube 3D and server authority, to enhance user experience and expand genres.
Safety Innovations
Partnership with AGA on child safety initiatives and adoption of AI-based facial age estimation to enhance platform safety.
Negative Updates
Potential Short-term Headwinds from Safety Policies
New safety policies may cause some short-term friction to engagement and bookings.
Geographic Mix Shift Impacting Monetization
Growth in lower monetizing regions like APAC impacts overall bookings per DAU.
Expected Margin Compression
Investments in DevEx, infrastructure, and safety are expected to result in slight margin compression in 2026.
Challenges with Advertising Integration
Caution in rolling out advertising as a revenue stream, with a focus on getting the experience right before scaling.
Company Guidance
In Roblox's Third Quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported significant progress towards its goal of capturing a larger share of the global gaming market, with its platform now accounting for 3.2% of global gaming bookings, up from 2.3% the previous year. The number of experiences with over 10 million daily active users (DAUs) reached seven, reflecting strong engagement, with DAUs overall increasing by 70% year-on-year to 151.5 million. Revenue for Q3 was $1.36 billion, an increase of 48% year-on-year, while bookings rose by 70% to $1.92 billion. Key regions like APAC saw bookings surge by 110%, with notable growth in countries such as Japan and Indonesia. Additionally, Roblox highlighted a significant rise in developer exchange (DevEx) earnings, which hit a record $427.9 million, up 85% year-on-year. The company also emphasized its investments in infrastructure, safety, and AI, including a partnership with the Attorney General Alliance for child safety, and plans to enhance its platform capabilities, aiming to drive long-term growth and expansion into new gaming genres.

Roblox Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Roblox shows strong revenue growth and cash flow generation, but struggles with profitability and high leverage. The company needs to improve cost management and strengthen its balance sheet for long-term sustainability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Roblox shows strong revenue growth with a 10.95% increase in TTM, indicating a positive trajectory. However, the company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin remains robust at 78.13%, but the persistent net losses highlight challenges in cost management and achieving operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.52 in TTM, although improved from previous years. The return on equity remains negative, reflecting ongoing losses. The equity ratio is low, indicating potential financial instability. Despite some reduction in debt, the company needs to strengthen its equity base to improve financial health.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Roblox demonstrates strong cash flow generation with a 35.83% growth in free cash flow in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, suggesting effective cash management. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio indicates that cash flow is not yet sufficient to cover net losses, highlighting the need for continued focus on cash flow improvements.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.46B3.60B2.80B2.23B1.92B923.88M
Gross Profit3.49B2.80B2.15B1.68B1.42B683.99M
EBITDA-820.09M-670.25M-910.95M-761.86M-421.40M-220.54M
Net Income-968.63M-935.38M-1.15B-924.37M-491.65M-253.25M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.59B7.18B6.17B5.38B4.56B1.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.86B2.41B2.19B2.98B3.00B893.94M
Total Debt617.90M1.81B1.76B1.56B1.23B0.00
Total Liabilities8.20B6.97B6.10B5.07B3.97B2.08B
Stockholders Equity407.57M221.45M76.29M306.03M584.82M-252.39M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.29B642.67M124.01M-58.37M557.98M411.22M
Operating Cash Flow1.37B822.32M458.18M369.30M659.11M524.34M
Investing Cash Flow-1.06B-852.07M-2.83B-441.05M-146.82M-97.03M
Financing Cash Flow97.65M65.89M67.18M43.64M1.60B164.97M

Roblox Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price104.13
Price Trends
50DMA
129.60
Negative
100DMA
122.58
Negative
200DMA
95.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.93
Positive
RSI
28.29
Positive
STOCH
6.89
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RBLX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 104.13 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 126.60, below the 50-day MA of 129.60, and above the 200-day MA of 95.42, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -4.93 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.29 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.89 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for RBLX.

Roblox Risk Analysis

Roblox disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Roblox reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Roblox Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$85.61B18.7724.36%2.09%2.86%19.96%
71
Outperform
$12.05B395.041.58%22.89%
68
Neutral
$50.08B58.6913.20%0.38%-1.45%-11.99%
65
Neutral
$1.37B15.8410.67%4.98%-60.29%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
60
Neutral
$46.57B-89.29%7.33%-7.46%
48
Neutral
$73.09B-324.24%32.70%12.57%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RBLX
Roblox
104.13
51.23
96.84%
EA
Electronic Arts
200.78
43.61
27.75%
NTES
NetEase
139.10
61.19
78.54%
TTWO
Take-Two
252.43
85.81
51.50%
BILI
Bilibili
28.68
6.52
29.42%
PLTK
Playtika Holding
3.75
-3.76
-50.07%

Roblox Corporate Events

Roblox Corp.’s Jury Trial Waiver: Legal Uncertainty Poses Risk to Stockholders
Oct 31, 2025

Roblox Corp. faces a potential risk due to a provision in its articles of incorporation that waives the right to a jury trial for internal actions, as defined by Nevada law. This waiver, while authorized by a recent amendment to Nevada’s statutes, has not yet been tested in court, leaving its enforceability uncertain. This could limit stockholders’ ability to pursue jury trials in certain disputes, potentially affecting their legal recourse and satisfaction. The ambiguity surrounding this waiver’s enforceability may pose a legal risk to the company and its stockholders.

Roblox Corp. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Growth
Oct 31, 2025

Roblox Corporation, a leading player in the online gaming and entertainment industry, is renowned for its immersive platform that allows users to create and engage in virtual experiences. The company operates in the interactive entertainment sector, offering a unique ecosystem where users can both play and create games, fostering a vibrant community of developers and players.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Roblox Reports Strong Q3 2025 Revenue Growth
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

In its Q3 2025 report, Roblox announced a 48% year-over-year revenue growth and a 70% increase in bookings, with daily active users reaching 151.5 million. The company is advancing its safety protocols and AI capabilities, aiming to set a new standard for communication safety and enhance its platform’s user experience, despite potential short-term engagement impacts.

The most recent analyst rating on (RBLX) stock is a Hold with a $144.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Roblox stock, see the RBLX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Roblox CPO Manuel Bronstein Announces Resignation
Neutral
Sep 17, 2025

On July 28, 2025, Manuel Bronstein, Roblox‘s Chief Product Officer, announced his resignation to pursue personal interests and entrepreneurial ventures. His employment will officially end on September 30, 2025, after which he will continue to provide advisory services until April 13, 2026, receiving compensation and continued vesting of equity awards during this period.

The most recent analyst rating on (RBLX) stock is a Hold with a $116.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Roblox stock, see the RBLX Stock Forecast page.

Roblox Reports Strong Q2 2025 Growth Amid Losses
Aug 1, 2025

Roblox Corporation is a global platform that connects millions of people through shared virtual experiences, primarily in the gaming industry, known for its unique user-generated content ecosystem. In its second quarter of 2025, Roblox reported significant growth across various metrics, including a 21% increase in revenue to $1,080.7 million and a 51% rise in bookings to $1,437.6 million year-over-year. Despite these gains, the company reported a net loss of $278.4 million attributable to common stockholders. The platform also saw a 41% increase in average daily active users, reaching 111.8 million, and a 58% increase in hours engaged, totaling 27.4 billion. Roblox’s financial health is underscored by a strong cash flow, with net cash provided by operating activities up 32% year-over-year to $199.3 million. The company also reported a free cash flow of $176.7 million, marking a 58% increase from the previous year. Looking ahead, Roblox has raised its full-year guidance, projecting revenue between $4,390 million and $4,490 million and bookings between $5,870 million and $5,970 million for 2025. The company remains focused on strategic investments in infrastructure and the virtual economy to drive long-term growth.

Roblox Q2 2025 Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 1, 2025

Roblox’s Q2 2025 earnings call painted a picture of robust growth, with the company reporting significant increases in revenue, bookings, and user engagement. The positive sentiment was fueled by the success of viral hits and an expanding ecosystem. However, the call also highlighted potential challenges, including leadership changes and a cautious outlook for Q4 due to uncertainties in sustaining current growth rates.

Executive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Roblox Announces Chief Product Officer Resignation
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

On July 28, 2025, Roblox announced the resignation of its Chief Product Officer, Manuel Bronstein, effective September 30, 2025, with plans to remain as an advisor until April 2026. The company also reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with significant increases in revenue, bookings, and daily active users, reflecting its strategic investments and growth potential in the gaming industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (RBLX) stock is a Hold with a $50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Roblox stock, see the RBLX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025