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Portillo's, Inc. (PTLO)
:PTLO
US Market
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Portillo's (PTLO) Risk Factors

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Public companies are required to disclose risks that can affect the business and impact the stock. These disclosures are known as “Risk Factors”. Companies disclose these risks in their yearly (Form 10-K), quarterly earnings (Form 10-Q), or “foreign private issuer” reports (Form 20-F). Risk factors show the challenges a company faces. Investors can consider the worst-case scenarios before making an investment. TipRanks’ Risk Analysis categorizes risks based on proprietary classification algorithms and machine learning.

Portillo's disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Portillo's reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.

Risk Overview Q3, 2024

Risk Distribution
42Risks
31% Finance & Corporate
21% Legal & Regulatory
17% Ability to Sell
14% Production
10% Macro & Political
7% Tech & Innovation
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
This chart displays the stock's most recent risk distribution according to category. TipRanks has identified 6 major categories: Finance & corporate, legal & regulatory, macro & political, production, tech & innovation, and ability to sell.

Risk Change Over Time

S&P500 Average
Sector Average
Risks removed
Risks added
Risks changed
Portillo's Risk Factors
New Risk (0)
Risk Changed (0)
Risk Removed (0)
No changes from previous report
The chart shows the number of risks a company has disclosed. You can compare this to the sector average or S&P 500 average.

The quarters shown in the chart are according to the calendar year (January to December). Businesses set their own financial calendar, known as a fiscal year. For example, Walmart ends their financial year at the end of January to accommodate the holiday season.

Risk Highlights Q3, 2024

Main Risk Category
Finance & Corporate
With 13 Risks
Finance & Corporate
With 13 Risks
Number of Disclosed Risks
42
No changes from last report
S&P 500 Average: 31
42
No changes from last report
S&P 500 Average: 31
Recent Changes
0Risks added
0Risks removed
2Risks changed
Since Sep 2024
0Risks added
0Risks removed
2Risks changed
Since Sep 2024
Number of Risk Changed
2
No changes from last report
S&P 500 Average: 3
2
No changes from last report
S&P 500 Average: 3
See the risk highlights of Portillo's in the last period.

Risk Word Cloud

The most common phrases about risk factors from the most recent report. Larger texts indicate more widely used phrases.

Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 42

Finance & Corporate
Total Risks: 13/42 (31%)Below Sector Average
Share Price & Shareholder Rights5 | 11.9%
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1
Our amended and restated certificate of incorporation designates the Court of Chancery of the State of Delaware as the sole and exclusive forum for certain types of actions that may be initiated by our shareholders, and designates the federal district courts of the United States as the sole and exclusive forum for claims arising under the Securities Act, which, in each case could limit our shareholders' ability to obtain a favorable judicial forum for certain disputes.
Our current certificate of incorporation provides that, absent our written consent, the Court of Chancery of the State of Delaware (or if the Court of Chancery lacks jurisdiction, a state court located within the State of Delaware or the federal district court for the District of Delaware) shall, to the fullest extent permitted by law, be the exclusive forum for any (a) derivative action or proceeding brought on our behalf; (b) action asserting a claim of breach of a fiduciary duty owed by or other wrongdoing by any current or former director, officer, employee, agent or shareholder to us or our shareholders; (c) action asserting a claim arising under any provision of the Delaware General Corporate Law ("DGCL") or our amended and restated certificate of incorporation or amended and restated bylaws (as either may be amended from time to time), or as to which the DGCL confers jurisdiction on the Court of Chancery of the State of Delaware; or (d) action asserting a claim governed by the internal affairs doctrine. Our current certificate of incorporation provides that, absent our written consent, the federal district courts of the United States of America shall be the exclusive forum for the resolution of any action asserting a claim arising under the Securities Act or the rules and regulations promulgated thereunder. Any person or entity purchasing or otherwise acquiring or holding any interest in any shares of our capital stock shall be deemed to have notice of and consented to the forum provision in our certificate of incorporation, limiting such person's ability to bring a claim in a more favorable or convenient judicial forum, which may discourage such lawsuits, make them more difficult or expensive to pursue and result in less favorable shareholder outcomes. The enforceability of similar choice of forum provisions in other companies' certificates of incorporation has been challenged in legal proceedings, and it is possible that a court could find these types of provisions to be inapplicable or unenforceable. If a court were to find the choice of forum provisions in our certificate of incorporation to be inapplicable or unenforceable in an action, we may incur additional costs associated with resolving such action in other jurisdictions, which could have a material adverse effect on our Results.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2
Our organizational structure, including the Tax Receivable Agreement, confers certain benefits upon the TRA Parties that will not benefit holders of our Class A common stock to the same extent that it will benefit the TRA Parties, including substantial cash payments.
Under the Tax Receivable Agreement, we are required to make cash payments to certain of our pre-IPO LLC Members (the "TRA Parties") equal to 85% of the income tax benefits, if any, that we actually realize, or in certain circumstances are deemed to realize, as a result of (i) our allocable share of existing tax basis in depreciable or amortizable assets related to LLC Units acquired in our IPO, (ii) certain favorable tax attributes we acquired from entities treated as corporations for U.S. tax purposes that held LLC Units prior to the Transactions ("Blocker Companies") (including net operating losses and the Blocker Companies' allocable share of existing tax basis), (iii) increases in our then allocable share of existing tax basis in depreciable or amortizable assets, and adjustments to the tax basis of the tangible and intangible assets, of Portillo's OpCo and its subsidiaries, as a result of (x) sales or exchanges of interests in Portillo's OpCo (including repayment of the redeemable preferred units) in connection with our IPO and (y) future exchanges of LLC Units by pre-IPO LLC Members for Class A common stock and (iv) certain other tax benefits related to entering into the Tax Receivable Agreement, including payments made under the Tax Receivable Agreement. The Company's payment obligations under the Tax Receivable Agreement may be significant. Any payments made under the Tax Receivable Agreement will not be available for reinvestment in our business and will reduce our overall available cash flow. Tax Receivable Agreement payments are not conditioned on the TRA Parties' continued ownership of our shares. Furthermore, our obligations under the Tax Receivable Agreement could make us a less attractive target for an acquisition, particularly if an acquirer cannot use some or all of the tax benefits under the Tax Receivable Agreement. The amount of existing tax basis and anticipated tax basis adjustments and utilization of tax attributes, and the amount and timing of any payments under the Tax Receivable Agreement, will vary depending upon a number of factors, including the timing of redemptions or exchanges by the pre-IPO LLC Members, the price of shares of our Class A common stock at the time of the redemptions or exchanges, the extent to which such redemptions or exchanges are taxable, the amount of gain recognized by such holders of LLC Units, the amount and timing of the taxable income allocated to us or otherwise generated by us in the future, the portion of our payments under the Tax Receivable Agreement constituting imputed interest and the federal and state tax rates then applicable.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3
In certain circumstances, Portillo's OpCo will be required to make distributions to us and the other holders of LLC Units, and those distributions may be substantial.
Under the Amended LLC Agreement, Portillo's OpCo will be required from time to time to make pro rata distributions in cash to us and the other holders of LLC Units at certain assumed income tax rates in amounts that are intended to be sufficient to cover the income taxes payable on our and the other LLC Unit holders' respective allocable shares of the taxable income of Portillo's OpCo. Given (i) potential differences in taxable income allocable to us and the other LLC Unit holders, (ii) the lower income tax rate applicable to corporations than individuals and (iii) the use of an assumed income tax rate, we may receive tax distributions significantly in excess of our income tax liabilities and obligations to make payments under the Tax Receivable Agreement. Our Board, in its sole discretion, will make any determination from time to time with respect to the use of any such excess cash so accumulated, but we will have no obligation to distribute such cash (or other available cash other than any declared dividend) to our shareholders. If we do not distribute such excess cash as dividends or otherwise undertake ameliorative actions, holders of our LLC Units (other than Portillo's Inc.) may benefit from any value attributable to such cash balances as a result of their ownership of Class A common stock following a redemption or exchange of their LLC Units, notwithstanding that such holders of our LLC Units (other than Portillo's Inc.) may previously have participated as holders of LLC Units in distributions by Portillo's OpCo that resulted in such excess cash balances at Portillo's Inc.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 4
Delaware law and our organizational documents, as well as our existing and future debt agreements, may impede or discourage a takeover, which could deprive our investors of the opportunity to receive a premium for their shares.
Certain anti-takeover provisions of Delaware law and certain provisions of our current certificate of incorporation and bylaws may make it more difficult for a third-party to acquire control of us, even if a change of control would benefit shareholders. Among other things, these provisions: (i) do not permit cumulative voting for directors; (ii) delegate the sole power of a majority of the Board to fix the number of directors; (iii) provide the power of our Board to fill any vacancy on our Board, regardless of the cause of such vacancy; (iv) authorize the issuance of "blank check" preferred stock without shareholder approval; (v) eliminate the ability of shareholders to call special meetings; (vi) establish advance notice requirements for nominations for election to our Board or for proposing matters that can be acted on by shareholders at shareholder meetings; and (vii) limit use of shareholders' written consent. Our credit facilities impose, and we anticipate future facilities may impose, limitations on our ability to enter into change of control transactions, the occurrence of which could constitute an event of default. The foregoing factors, as well as the significant common stock ownership by Berkshire, could make acquisition of our Class A common stock less desirable, which, under certain circumstances, could reduce its market value.
Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 5
The interests of Berkshire may conflict with our interests or the interests of the holders of our Class A common stock in the future.
Berkshire Private Equity continues to own a significant percentage of our common stock. Berkshire engages in a range of investing activities, including investments in restaurants and other consumer-related companies. In the ordinary course of its business activities, Berkshire may engage in activities where its interests' conflict with our interests or those of our shareholders. Our amended and restated certificate of incorporation provides that our directors and shareholders, including Berkshire, do not have any obligation to offer us an opportunity to participate in business opportunities presented to them even if the opportunity is one that we might reasonably have pursued (and therefore may be free to compete with us in the same business or similar businesses) and that, to the extent permitted by law, such directors and shareholders will not be liable to us or our shareholders for breach of any duty by reason of any such activities. Accordingly, the interests of Berkshire may supersede ours, causing them or their affiliates to compete against us or to pursue opportunities instead of us, for which we have no recourse. Such actions on the part of Berkshire and inaction on our part could have a material adverse effect on our Results. In addition, Berkshire may have an interest in pursuing acquisitions, divestitures and other transactions that, in its judgment, could enhance its investment in us, even though such transactions might involve risks to us, such as debt-financed acquisitions.
Accounting & Financial Operations5 | 11.9%
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 1
An impairment in the carrying value of our goodwill, indefinite-lived intangible assets or long-lived assets could have a material adverse effect on our business.
As of December 31, 2023, we had approximately $394.3 million of goodwill and $252.8 million of intangible assets, primarily related to the purchase price allocation performed in connection with the Berkshire Acquisition. We test goodwill and indefinite-lived intangible assets for impairment in the fourth quarter of each fiscal year and whenever events or changes in circumstances indicate that impairment may have occurred. If the book value of goodwill or other indefinite-lived intangible assets is impaired, such impairment would be charged to earnings in the period of impairment. We cannot accurately predict the amount and timing of any impairment. Should the value of goodwill or other indefinite-lived intangible assets become impaired in the future, such impairment could have a material adverse effect on our Results. See Note 6. Goodwill & Intangible Assets in the notes to the consolidated financial statements for additional information. Changes to estimates related to our property, fixtures and equipment and definite-lived intangible assets or operating results that are lower than our current estimates at certain restaurant locations may cause us to incur impairment charges or accelerate the amortization on certain long-lived assets, which could have a material adverse impact on our results of operations.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 2
We are a holding company and our principal asset is our ownership of LLC Units in Portillo's OpCo. Accordingly, we are dependent upon distributions from Portillo's OpCo to pay dividends, if any, and taxes, make payments under the Tax Receivable Agreement and pay other expenses.
We are a holding company whose principal asset is Portillo's OpCo LLC Units. We have no independent means of generating revenue. Portillo's OpCo is, and will continue to be, treated as a partnership for U.S. federal and applicable state and local income tax purposes and, as such, will generally not be subject to applicable federal, state, and local income taxes. Portillo's OpCo's taxable income will be allocated to holders of LLC Units, including us. Accordingly, we will incur income taxes on our allocable share of any taxable income of Portillo's OpCo. We will also incur expenses related to our operations, and will have payment obligations under the Tax Receivable Agreement. We intend to cause Portillo's OpCo to make distributions to the holders of LLC Units (including us) in amounts sufficient to cover the LLC Unit holders' obligations, however deterioration in the financial condition, earnings or cash flow of Portillo's OpCo and its subsidiaries may impair their ability to make such distributions. Additionally, if we need funds and Portillo's OpCo is restricted from making distributions to us under applicable law or regulation, its debt agreements or otherwise, we may be unable to obtain such funds on terms acceptable to us, or at all, which could have a material adverse effect on our liquidity and financial condition. See "Risks Related to Our Indebtedness" above.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 3
Our annual and quarterly results of operations may fluctuate, and if our operating and financial performance in any given period does not meet the guidance that we have provided to the public or the expectations of our investors and securities analysts, the trading price of our Class A common stock may decline.
Our annual and quarterly results of operations may fluctuate for a variety of reasons, many of which are beyond our control, including those described in these risk factors and variations in the timing and volume of our sales; the timing of expenditures in anticipation of future sales; changes in the cost or availability of our ingredients or labor; planned or actual changes to our capital or debt structure; strategic actions by us or our competitors, such as sales promotions, acquisitions or restructurings; significant litigation; legislation or other regulatory developments affecting us or our industry; changes in competitive and economic conditions generally; and general market conditions. Fluctuations in our performance may cause our results to fall below our public guidance or the investor and analyst expectations, which could cause the trading price of our Class A common stock to decline. Fluctuations in our results could also cause other problems, including but not limited to analysts or investors changing their valuation models for our shares, experiencing short-term liquidity issues, diminishing ability to retain or attract key personnel or other unanticipated issues. Quarterly results of operations may vary in the future and period-to-period comparisons may not be meaningful. Investors should not rely on the results of one quarter as an indication of future performance.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 4
Changes in accounting principles applicable to us could have a material adverse effect on our Results.
Generally accepted accounting principles in the United States of America ("GAAP") are subject to interpretation by the Financial Accounting Standards Board ("FASB"), the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants, the SEC and various bodies formed to promulgate and interpret appropriate accounting principles. A change in these principles or interpretations could have a significant effect on our financial condition and results of operations, and could affect the reporting of transactions completed before the implementation of a change.
Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 5
If we fail to maintain effective internal controls over financial reporting, or if our internal controls are ineffective, our ability to produce timely and accurate financial information or comply with Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 could be impaired.
We are required to comply with Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act ("Section 404"), which requires management to certify financial and other information in our quarterly and annual reports and provide an annual management report on the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting. In addition, our independent registered public accounting firm must attest to the effectiveness of our internal control over financial matters. To maintain compliance with Section 404, we will continue to employ internal resources and outside consultants to assess and document the adequacy of our internal control over financial reporting, including validating that controls are functioning as documented and maintaining a continuous reporting and improvement process for internal control over financial reporting. Despite our efforts, there is a risk that our internal control over financial reporting may not comply with Section 404. Failure to achieve and maintain effective internal controls could have a material adverse effect on our Results. If we are not able to demonstrate Section 404 compliance, or if our internal control over financial reporting is perceived as inadequate or it is perceived that we are unable to produce timely or accurate consolidated financial statements, investors may lose confidence in our business, the price of our Class A common stock could decline, we could become subject to investigations by the Nasdaq, the SEC or other regulatory agencies, or our Class A common stock may not be able to remain listed on the Nasdaq. Although we designed our disclosure controls and procedures to provide reasonable assurance that we are complying with the Exchange Act, any disclosure controls and procedures, no matter how well-conceived and executed, can provide only reasonable, not absolute, assurance. Judgments can be faulty and breakdowns can occur because of simple error or mistake. Additionally, controls can be circumvented by the individuals, by collusion of two or more people or by an unauthorized override of the controls. Because of the inherent limitations in our control system, misstatements due to error or fraud may occur and not be detected and could materially adversely affect our Results.
Debt & Financing2 | 4.8%
Debt & Financing - Risk 1
Our level of indebtedness could have a material adverse effect on our business and limit our ability to plan for or respond to changes in our business.
Our indebtedness could have significant effects on our business, such as (i) requiring us to dedicate a substantial portion of our cash flow to repay borrowings, reducing cash flow available to fund working capital, capital expenditures, acquisitions, our growth strategy and other general corporate purposes; (ii) limiting our ability to finance capital expenditures, acquisitions, debt service requirements, our growth strategy and other projects; (iii) limiting our ability to make investments, including acquisitions, loans and advances, and to sell, transfer or otherwise dispose of assets; (iv) making us more vulnerable to adverse changes in general economic, industry and competitive conditions, in government regulation and in our business by limiting our ability to plan for and react to changing conditions; (v) placing us at a disadvantage compared with our competitors that have less debt; and (vi) exposing us to risks inherent in interest rate fluctuations, including higher interest rate expense, because our borrowings are at variable interest rates. We may not generate sufficient cash flow to repay our indebtedness when due and meet our other cash needs. If this occurs, we may be required to pursue one or more alternative strategies, such as selling assets, refinancing or restructuring our indebtedness or selling additional debt or equity securities. We may not be able to refinance our debt or sell additional debt or equity securities or our assets on favorable terms, if at all, and if we must sell our assets, it may negatively affect our Results. If we are unable to pay our debts on time, credit ratings agencies may downgrade our credit rating, which may make it more difficult or expensive to refinance our existing debt or to obtain additional debt or equity financings in the future. Events beyond our control, including changes in general economic and business conditions, may affect our ability to satisfy certain financial covenants that apply under our credit agreements and we cannot guarantee that our lenders will waive any failure to satisfy such financial covenants.
Debt & Financing - Risk 2
Our growth plans and ongoing capital expenditure ("capex") needs require us to spend capital, which may not be readily available.
Our growth strategy depends on opening new restaurants using cash flows from operations. However, these cash flows may be insufficient to meet our needs. If cash is allocated ineffectively among our projects, or if any initiatives are unsuccessful, we may experience reduced profitability and we may need to delay, limit or eliminate planned restaurant openings, which could have a material adverse effect on our Results. As our restaurants mature, they require capital expenditures to remain competitive and maintain our brand standard. If we cannot fund capital expenditures using cash flows from operations, funds will need to be borrowed or otherwise obtained or capex investments will be delayed or eliminated, which could make those restaurants less attractive to guests and materially, adversely affect the business.
Corporate Activity and Growth1 | 2.4%
Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 1
Failure to maintain our corporate culture as we grow could have a material adverse effect on our business.
We believe that our corporate culture and values have been a critical component to our success. We have made substantial investments in our team. As we continue to grow, it may be difficult to maintain the innovation, teamwork, passion and focus on execution that are important to our culture. Any failure to preserve our culture could negatively impact our operations, including our ability to retain and recruit personnel and to effectively focus on and pursue our corporate objectives. If we cannot maintain our corporate culture as we grow, it could have a material adverse effect on our Results.
Legal & Regulatory
Total Risks: 9/42 (21%)Above Sector Average
Regulation2 | 4.8%
Regulation - Risk 1
As a public company, we incur significant costs to comply with the laws and regulations affecting public companies which could harm our business and results of operations.
As a public company, we are subject to the Exchange Act, the Sarbanes-Oxley Act ("SOX"), and the listing requirements of the Nasdaq, and other applicable securities rules and regulations. These rules and regulations have increased, and will continue to increase, our legal, accounting and financial compliance costs and have made and will continue to make some activities more time-consuming and costly. For example, these rules and regulations could make it more difficult and more costly for us to obtain director and officer liability insurance, and we may be required to accept reduced policy limits and coverage or to incur substantial costs to maintain the same or similar coverage. These rules and regulations could also make it more difficult for us to attract and retain qualified directors or executive officers. Our management and other personnel devote a substantial amount of time to these compliance initiatives. As a result, management's attention may be diverted from other business concerns, which could harm our business and results of operations. We may need to hire more team members in the future to comply with these requirements, which will increase our costs and expenses.
Regulation - Risk 2
We are subject to many federal, state and local laws with which compliance can be both costly and complex.
The restaurant industry is subject to extensive federal, state and local laws and regulations, including without limitation those related to building and zoning requirements, and the preparation and sale of food. Such laws and regulations may change. Failure to comply with applicable laws and regulations could adversely affect our results of operations. Many licenses, permits and approvals must be renewed annually and may be revoked, suspended or denied renewal if governmental authorities determine that our conduct violates applicable regulations. Difficulties or failure to obtain or maintain the required licenses, permits and approvals could adversely affect our existing restaurants and delay or result in our decision to cancel new restaurant openings, which could have a material adverse effect on our Results. The development and operation of our restaurants depend, to a significant extent, on the selection of suitable sites, which are subject to zoning, land use, environmental, traffic and other regulations and requirements. We are also subject to licensing and regulation by state and local authorities relating to health, sanitation, safety and fire standards. There is also a potential for increased regulation of certain food establishments in the United States, where compliance with a Hazard Analysis and Critical Control Points ("HACCP") approach would be required. The United States government continues to expand the sectors of the food industry that must adopt and implement HACCP programs. For example, the FDA Food Safety Modernization Act ("FSMA"), signed into law in January 2011, granted the U.S. Food and Drug Administration new authority regarding the safety of the entire food system, including through increased inspections and mandatory food recalls. We anticipate that the requirements may impact our industry. Additionally, our suppliers may initiate or otherwise be subject to food recalls that impact product availability, result in adverse publicity or require us to take costly actions or otherwise impact our business. We may be required to incur additional time and resources to comply with new food safety requirements made under the FSMA or other federal or state food safety regulations. Failure to comply with the laws and regulatory requirements of federal, state and local authorities could result in, among other things, revocation of required licenses, administrative enforcement actions, fines and civil and criminal liability. Other applicable laws could require us to make costly modifications to our restaurants or operations to comply with such laws. Compliance with current and future laws and regulations including those regarding permitted ingredients and disclosure of nutritional and allergen content may be costly and time-consuming. If we fail to comply with existing or future laws and regulations, we may be subject to governmental or judicial fines or sanctions or to litigation. The risks and costs associated with nutritional disclosures on our menus could also impact our operations, particularly given differences among applicable legal requirements and practices within the restaurant industry with respect to testing and disclosure, ordinary variations in food preparation among our own restaurants and the need to rely on the accuracy and completeness of nutritional information obtained from third-party suppliers. We may not be able to effectively respond to changes in consumer health perceptions, comply with further nutrient content disclosure requirements or adapt our menu offerings to trends in eating habits, which could have a material adverse effect on our Results. In addition, the restaurant industry has been subject to a growing number of claims based on the nutritional content of food products sold and disclosure and advertising practices. We may also be subject to this type of proceeding in the future and, even if we are not, publicity about these matters (particularly against the fast casual or traditional fast-food segments) may harm our reputation and could have a material adverse effect on our Results. We are subject to the Americans with Disabilities Act (the "ADA"), which, among other things, requires our restaurants to meet federally mandated requirements for the disabled. The ADA prohibits discrimination in employment and public accommodations on the basis of disability. Under the ADA, we could be required to modify our restaurants to provide service to, or make reasonable accommodations for the employment of, disabled persons. Our employment practices are also subject to the requirements of the U.S. Citizenship & Immigration Service ("USCIS") relating to citizenship and residency. The impact of current laws and regulations, the effect of future changes in laws or regulations that impose additional requirements and the consequences of litigation relating to current or future laws and regulations, or our inability to respond effectively to significant regulatory or public policy issues, could increase our compliance and other costs of doing business and could have a material adverse effect on our Results. Failure to comply with the laws and regulatory requirements of federal, state and local authorities could result in, among other things, revocation of required licenses, administrative enforcement actions, fines and civil and criminal liability. Compliance with all these laws and regulations can be costly and can increase our exposure to litigation or governmental investigations or proceedings.
Litigation & Legal Liabilities1 | 2.4%
Litigation & Legal Liabilities - Risk 1
We could be party to litigation that could distract management, increase our expenses or subject us to material monetary damages or other remedies.
Our guests occasionally file complaints or lawsuits alleging we caused an illness or injury they suffered at or after a visit to our restaurants, or that we have problems with food quality or operations. We are also subject to a variety of other claims arising in the ordinary course of our business, including personal injury claims, contract claims and claims alleging violations of federal and state securities laws or law regarding workplace and employment matters, equal opportunity, harassment, discrimination and similar matters, and we could encounter class action or other lawsuits related to these or different matters in the future. In recent years, a number of restaurant companies have been subject to such claims, and some of these lawsuits have resulted in the payment of substantial damages by the defendants. Regardless of whether any claims against us are valid, or whether we are ultimately held liable, claims may be expensive to defend and may divert time, attention, and money away from our operations. A judgment in excess of our insurance coverage for any claims could have a material adverse effect on our Results. Allegations may also result in adverse publicity and negatively impact our reputation.
Taxation & Government Incentives3 | 7.1%
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 1
Fluctuations in our tax obligations, effective tax rate, and realization of our deferred tax assets may result in volatility of our results of operations.
We are subject to income taxes in U.S. federal and various state tax jurisdictions. We record tax expense based on our estimates of current and future income tax payments, which may include reserves for uncertain tax positions in multiple tax jurisdictions, and valuation allowances related to the realizability of certain deferred tax assets. Significant judgment is required in determining our provision for income taxes, deferred tax assets (DTAs) and our tax positions. At any one time, many tax years may be subject to audit by various taxing jurisdictions. The results of these audits and negotiations with taxing authorities may affect the ultimate settlement of these issues. Throughout the year there could be ongoing variability in our quarterly tax rates as events occur and exposures are evaluated. Our effective tax rate in a given financial reporting period may be materially impacted by a variety of factors including, changes in the mix and level of earnings, varying jurisdictional tax rates, tax effects of equity-based compensation, changes in tax laws, regulations or interpretations thereof, cost related to intercompany restructuring, fluctuations in the valuation allowance or by changes to existing accounting rules or regulations. Further, new or revised tax legislation may be enacted in the future, which could negatively impact our current or future tax structure and effective tax rates.
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 2
We will not be reimbursed for any payments made to the TRA Parties under the Tax Receivable Agreement in the event that any tax benefits are disallowed.
Payments under the Tax Receivable Agreement will be based on our tax reporting positions, and the U.S. Internal Revenue Service (the "IRS") or a state taxing authority may successfully challenge all or part of the tax benefits we claim in connection with such tax positions. If the outcome of any such challenge would reasonably be expected to materially affect a recipient's payments under the Tax Receivable Agreement, then we will not be permitted to settle or fail to contest such challenge without the TRA Party's consent (not to be unreasonably withheld or delayed). The TRA Parties' interests may differ from or conflict with our interests and your interests and they may exercise their consent rights in a manner adverse to our interests and your interests. Payments made under the Tax Receivable Agreement could significantly exceed any tax savings that we realize from the tax attributes that are the subject of the Tax Receivable Agreement. We will not be reimbursed for any cash payments previously made to the TRA Parties under the Tax Receivable Agreement if any tax benefits initially claimed by us and for which payment has been made to a TRA Party are ultimately disallowed. Excess cash payments made by us to a TRA Party will be netted against any future cash payments, if any, that we might otherwise be required to make to such TRA Party under the Tax Receivable Agreement once a challenge is finally settled or determined.
Taxation & Government Incentives - Risk 3
In certain cases, payments under the Tax Receivable Agreement to the TRA Parties may be accelerated or significantly exceed any actual benefits we realize in respect of the tax attributes subject to the Tax Receivable Agreement and may impair our ability to consummate change of control transactions or negatively impact the value received by owners of our Class A common stock.
The Tax Receivable Agreement provides that upon a "Change of Control" (which is defined to include, among other things, a 50% change in control of Portillo's Inc., the approval of a complete plan of liquidation or dissolution of Portillo's Inc., the disposition of all or substantially all of Portillo's Inc.'s direct or indirect assets or a change of a majority of the Board of Directors without approval of at least two-thirds majority of the then-existing Board members), upon a breach of any of our material obligations under the Tax Receivable Agreement or if, at any time, we elect an early termination of the Tax Receivable Agreement, then our payment obligations under the Tax Receivable Agreement will accelerate. Such accelerated payments will be calculated by reference to the present value (at a discount rate equal to the lesser of (i) 6.5% per annum and (ii) one year LIBOR (or its successor rate) plus 100 basis points) of all future payments that holders of LLC Units or other recipients would have been entitled to receive under the Tax Receivable Agreement, and such accelerated payments and any other future payments under the Tax Receivable Agreement will utilize certain valuation assumptions, including an assumption that we would have sufficient taxable income to fully utilize all potential future tax benefits that are subject to the Tax Receivable Agreement. In the case of certain changes of control, payments under the Tax Receivable Agreement will be accelerated and may significantly exceed the actual benefits we realize. We expect that the payments that we may make under the Tax Receivable Agreement in the event of a change of control will be substantial. As a result, our accelerated payment obligations and/or the assumptions adopted under the Tax Receivable Agreement in the case of a change of control may impair our ability to consummate change of control transactions or negatively impact the value received by owners of our Class A common stock in a change of control transaction, or require us to incur substantial costs to consummate such a transaction.
Environmental / Social3 | 7.1%
Environmental / Social - Risk 1
Failure to comply with existing and new federal and state laws and regulations relating to privacy, data protection, advertising and consumer protection, could have a material adverse effect.
We rely on a variety of marketing and advertising channels and strategies, including email communications, affiliate partnerships, social media interactions, digital marketing, direct mailers, public relations initiatives and local community sponsorships, promotions and partnerships, and we are subject to various laws and regulations that govern such practices and activities. Laws and regulations relating to privacy, data protection, marketing and advertising, and consumer protection are evolving. These requirements may be interpreted inconsistently from one jurisdiction to another or may conflict with other rules or our practices. As a result, our practices may not have complied or may not comply in the future with all such laws, regulations, requirements and obligations. Any failure, real or perceived, by us to comply with our privacy policies, contractual commitments, or any federal or state privacy or consumer protection-related laws, regulations, industry self-regulatory principles, industry standards or codes of conduct, regulatory guidance, orders or other legal obligations relating to privacy or consumer protection could adversely affect our reputation, brand and business, and may result in claims, proceedings or actions against us or may require us to change our practices or stop using certain data sets. We may be contractually required to indemnify and hold harmless third parties from the costs or consequences of non-compliance with any laws, regulations or other legal obligations relating to privacy or consumer protection or any inadvertent or unauthorized use or disclosure of data that we store or handle in our operations. Federal and state governmental authorities continue to evaluate the privacy implications inherent in the use of third-party "cookies" and other methods of online tracking for behavioral advertising and other purposes. The U.S. government has limited and may further limit the ability of companies to engage in these activities. Additionally, some device manufacturers and web browsers have implemented, or announced plans to implement, means to make it easier for Internet users to prevent the placement of cookies or to block other tracking technologies, which, if widely adopted, could result in third-party cookies and other online tracking methods becoming significantly less effective. This could increase our operating costs, including new customer acquisition costs and, consequently, have a material adverse effect on our Results. Various federal and state legislative and regulatory bodies, or self-regulatory organizations, may expand current or enact new laws or regulations, enact new laws or regulations or issue revised rules or guidance regarding privacy, data protection, consumer protection, and advertising. Additionally, the Federal Trade Commission and many state attorneys general are interpreting federal and state consumer protection laws to impose standards for the online collection, use, dissemination and security of data. Each of these laws and regulations, changes thereto, and any other new laws or regulations, could require changes to our business practices or restrict our use or storage of personal information, which may increase our compliance expenses and make our business more costly or less efficient. Such changes could harm our ability to develop an adequate marketing strategy and pursue our growth strategy effectively, which, in turn, could have a material adverse effect on our Results.
Environmental / Social - Risk 2
We can incur liabilities arising from environmental laws and compliance with environmental laws could increase our operating expenses.
We are subject to federal, state and local laws, regulations and ordinances that govern activities or operations that may have adverse environmental effects, such as waste handling and disposal practices for solid and hazardous wastes, discharges to water and air and odor control and also impose liability for the costs of cleaning up, and damage resulting from, sites of past spills, disposals or other releases of hazardous materials. In particular, under applicable environmental laws, we may be responsible for remediation of environmental conditions and may be subject to associated liabilities, including liabilities for clean-up costs and personal injury or property damage, relating to our restaurants and the land on which our restaurants are located, regardless of whether such environmental conditions were created by us or another party. Third parties also may make claims for personal injuries and property damage associated with releases of, or actual or alleged exposure to, such hazardous or toxic substances at, on or from our restaurants. Some of our leases provide for indemnification of our landlords for environmental contamination, clean-up or owner liability.
Environmental / Social - Risk 3
The increasing focus on environmental sustainability and social initiatives could increase our costs, harm our reputation, and adversely impact our Results.
Investors, environmental activists, the media and governmental and nongovernmental organizations remain focused on a variety of environmental, social and other sustainability matters, including energy, water, and food and packaging waste management, food safety, nutritional content, labor practices and supply chain and management food sourcing. We have experienced and may continue to experience pressure to make sustainability-related commitments. If we are not effective in addressing environmental, social and other sustainability matters affecting our industry, or setting and meeting relevant sustainability goals, our brand image may suffer. In addition, we may experience increased costs to achieve our sustainability goals, which could have a material adverse impact on our Results. We may also experience backlash from individuals, organizations and investors who do not support such initiatives.
Ability to Sell
Total Risks: 7/42 (17%)Below Sector Average
Competition1 | 2.4%
Competition - Risk 1
We face significant competition for guests, and our inability to compete effectively may affect our traffic, our sales and our operating profit margins, which could have a material adverse effect on our Results.
The restaurant industry is intensely competitive. We compete directly and indirectly with national, regional and local limited-service (e.g., quick service or fast casual) and full-service restaurants on food quality, brand recognition, service, price and value, convenience, design and location. Some competitors have significantly greater financial, marketing, personnel and other resources, and many are well-established in our target markets. Many of our competitors have greater name recognition locally, regionally, or nationally in these target markets. Our continued success also depends on the popularity of our menu and guest experience. Consumer tastes, nutritional and dietary trends, traffic patterns and the type, number, and location of competing restaurants often affect restaurant performance, and our competitors may react more effectively to changes. In the past, some of our competitors have implemented promotional programs that provide price discounts or reward programs, and they may continue to do so in the future. If we cannot compete effectively, our traffic, restaurant sales and restaurant operating profit margins could decline, which could have a material adverse effect on our Results. Should our competitors increase spending on marketing and other initiatives or our marketing expenditures decrease, or our advertising, promotions, and restaurant designs and locations be less effective than our competitors, it could have a material adverse effect on our Results.
Demand2 | 4.8%
Demand - Risk 1
Our restaurant base is geographically concentrated in the Midwestern United States, and we could be negatively affected by conditions specific to that region.
Our restaurants in the Midwestern United States represented approximately 77% of our restaurants as of December 31, 2023. Our restaurants in the Chicagoland area represented approximately 49% of our restaurants as of December 31, 2023. Adverse changes in demographic, unemployment, economic, regulatory or weather conditions in the Midwestern United States have had, and may continue to have, material adverse effects on our Results. As a result of our concentration in this market, we have been, and in the future may be, disproportionately affected by conditions in this geographic area compared to other chain restaurants with a more distributed national footprint. Our competitors could open additional restaurants in the Midwestern United States, which could result in reduced market share for us in this key geographic region, which could have a material adverse effect on our Results.
Demand - Risk 2
Our business is subject to risks related to our sale of alcoholic beverages.
We serve alcoholic beverages at most of our restaurants and we may expand service to additional restaurants in the future. Alcoholic beverage control regulations generally require our restaurants to apply to a state authority and, in certain locations, county or municipal authorities for an annual license that may be revoked or suspended for cause at any time. Alcoholic beverage control regulations impact many parts of restaurant operations, including minimum age of team members, advertising, trade practices, wholesale purchasing, inventory control and handling, storage and dispensing of alcoholic beverages and training. Failure to comply with these regulations and obtain or retain licenses could have a material adverse effect on our Results. We are also subject to "dram shop" statutes in certain states, which provide a person injured by an intoxicated person the right to recover damages from an establishment that wrongfully served alcoholic beverages to the intoxicated person. We carry liquor liability coverage as part of our existing comprehensive general liability insurance; however, litigation against restaurant chains has resulted in significant judgments and settlements under these statutes. These cases often seek punitive damages, which may not be covered by insurance, and such litigation could have a material effect on our Results. Regardless of whether any claims against us are valid or whether we are found liable, claims may be expensive to defend and may divert time and money away from operations, hurting our financial performance. A judgment significantly in excess of our insurance coverage or not covered by insurance could have a material adverse effect on our Results.
Sales & Marketing3 | 7.1%
Sales & Marketing - Risk 1
We may fail to open new restaurants or establish new markets or our new restaurants may not perform as well as anticipated, may not be profitable, or may close.
Opening and profitably operating new restaurants in existing and new markets is key to our growth. Over the long term, we aim to increase our number of restaurants by approximately 12% to 15% annually. We may struggle to identify target markets, we may not be able to open our planned new restaurants within budget or on a timely basis, and our new restaurants may not perform as well as anticipated. New restaurant success is affected by several factors, many of which are beyond our control, including our ability to secure enough appropriate and attractive sites, and complete construction in a timely and cost-efficient manner. We may open restaurants in geographic markets where we have little or no prior operating experience. Moreover, consumer recognition of our brand has been important to the success of our existing restaurants, and our concept may have limited appeal in new markets. Restaurants in new markets may take longer to reach expected sales and profit and may have higher construction, occupancy and operating costs than existing restaurants. New restaurants in or near markets with existing restaurants could have a material adverse effect on sales at these existing restaurants. Failure on our part to recognize or respond to these challenges may adversely affect the success of new restaurants and could have a material adverse effect on our Results. Some of our restaurants have higher-than-normal sales volumes during the initial startup period, and our Restaurant-Level Adjusted EBITDA Margins are generally lower in the first 12 months of operation. In new markets, the period before average sales stabilize is less predictable because of our limited knowledge of these markets and consumers' limited awareness of our brand. In addition, our AUV and same-restaurant sales may not increase at the rates our existing restaurants have achieved over the past several years. Our ability to operate new restaurants profitably and increase AUV and same-restaurant sales will depend on many factors, some of which are beyond our control. We employ operating and financial targets, but new restaurants may not meet these targets or may take longer than anticipated to do so. If our new restaurants do not perform as planned, it could have a material adverse effect on our Results. Further, our existing restaurant management systems, financial and management controls and information systems (collectively, our "Infrastructure") may be inadequate to support our planned expansion. We may not enhance our Infrastructure quickly enough or effectively hire, train and retain team members, which could have a material adverse effect on our Results. If we experience a decline in financial performance, we may limit, delay or discontinue restaurant openings, or we may decide to close unprofitable restaurants.
Sales & Marketing - Risk 2
Our marketing programs and any limited time or seasonal offerings may be unsuccessful and could fail to meet expectations, and our new menu items, advertising campaigns, heavy reliance on social media and restaurant designs and remodels may not generate increased sales or profits.
We incur costs and expend other resources on marketing efforts for new and seasonal menu items, advertising campaigns, and restaurant designs and remodels to raise brand awareness and attract and retain guests. As our restaurant count increases and we expand into new markets, we expect to increase our marketing investment. If these initiatives are unsuccessful, we may incur expenses without the benefit of higher revenues, which could have a material adverse effect on our Results. Our marketing efforts rely heavily on the use of social media. Many of our competitors are expanding their use of social media, and new social media platforms are rapidly being developed, potentially making more traditional social media platforms obsolete. We must continuously evolve our social media strategies to maintain customer mindshare and brand relevance, particularly given the rise in digital focus among customers. We also invest in other marketing initiatives across digital channels and build customer awareness of, engagement with, and loyalty to our brand. These initiatives may not be successful, resulting in expenses incurred without higher sales or increased brand recognition. Laws and regulations governing the use of these platforms and devices continue to evolve. The failure by us or our agents to abide by applicable laws and regulations could subject us to investigations, lawsuits, liability, fines or other penalties and have a material adverse effect on our Results. An increase in the use of social media for product promotion and marketing may increase our costs, including those related to compliance, and increase the risk that such materials could contain problematic product or marketing claims or violate applicable regulations.
Sales & Marketing - Risk 3
Our same-restaurant sales may be lower than we expect in future periods.
Same-restaurant sales continue to be critical to profitability because their profit margin is generally higher than the profit margin on new restaurant sales. Initiatives to grow same restaurant sales may be unsuccessful, we may miss our targets, or same-restaurant sales could decrease. Any such events could have a material adverse effect on our Results.
Brand / Reputation1 | 2.4%
Brand / Reputation - Risk 1
Damage to our reputation and negative publicity could have a material adverse effect on our Results.
Our reputation and the perception of our brand are critical to our success. Any incident that erodes our consumer loyalty could significantly damage our business. We may be adversely affected by negative publicity relating to food quality, the safety, sanitation and welfare of our restaurant facilities, guest complaints or litigation, health inspection scores, integrity of our suppliers' food processing and other policies, practices and procedures, team member relationships and welfare or other matters at one or more of our restaurants. Furthermore, similar negative publicity or occurrences with respect to other restaurants could also decrease our guest traffic and have a similar material adverse effect on our business. In addition, the volume of restaurant commentary has increased dramatically with the proliferation of social media platforms. Negative publicity may adversely affect us or some or all of our restaurants, regardless of whether allegations are valid, and we may not be able to respond effectively. For example, we, or other restaurant companies generally, have and could again come under criticism from animal rights and welfare activists for our business practices or those of our suppliers. Such criticisms could impair our brand, our restaurant sales, our hiring, and our expansion plans. If we changed our practices because of concerns about animal welfare, or in response to such criticisms, our costs might increase, or we may have to change our suppliers or our menu. A similar risk exists with respect to food service businesses unrelated to us if customers mistakenly associate such unrelated businesses with our operations. Team member claims against us based on, among other things, alleged wage and hour violations, discrimination, harassment or wrongful termination may create not only legal and financial liability but negative publicity that could adversely affect us and divert our financial and management resources from more productive initiatives. A significant increase in the number of these claims or an increase in the number of successful claims could have a material adverse effect on our Results.
Production
Total Risks: 6/42 (14%)Below Sector Average
Employment / Personnel3 | 7.1%
Employment / Personnel - Risk 1
Labor quality, labor shortages or increased labor costs could have a material adverse effect on our Results.
Our success depends upon our ability to attract, motivate and retain enough qualified team members to meet the needs of our new and existing restaurants. Competition for qualified team members in some areas could require higher wages and greater benefits. Our team members are typically paid more than the applicable minimum wage where they work. Increases in federal or state minimum wages, unemployment benefits, higher team member-turnover rates, unionization of restaurant workers, or increases in the federally-mandated or state-mandated minimum wage, change in exempt and non-exempt status, or other employee benefits costs (including costs associated with health insurance coverage or workers' compensation insurance) may also increase wage rates. We invest significant time and money in the qualification and training of our personnel, so failure to retain team members will increase costs without improving Results. Inability to recruit or retain team members could also delay new restaurant openings, could adversely impact existing restaurants, or result in higher team member turnover in existing restaurants, increasing our labor costs and adversely affecting our Results. We may be unable to increase our menu prices in order to pass future increased labor costs on to our guests, in which case our operating margins would be negatively affected. If we increase menu prices to cover increased labor costs, the higher prices could adversely affect demand for our menu items, resulting in lower sales.
Employment / Personnel - Risk 2
We depend on our executive officers and certain other key team members, the loss of whom could have a material adverse effect on our business.
We rely upon the accumulated knowledge, skills and experience of our executive officers and certain other key team members. Our chief executive officer has been with us for more than five years and our executive officers have numerous years of experience in the food service industry. The loss of any of our executive officers could have a material adverse effect on our Results, as we may be unable to find suitable replacements on a timely basis, without incurring increased costs, or at all. There is a high level of competition for experienced, successful executive personnel in our industry. Our inability to meet our executive staffing requirements could have a material adverse effect on our Results.
Employment / Personnel - Risk 3
Changed
Matters relating to employment and labor law could have a material adverse effect, result in litigation or union activities, add significant costs and divert management attention.
Various federal and state labor laws govern our relationships with our team members and affect our operating costs, including the U.S. Occupational Safety and Health Act, which governs worker health and safety, the U.S. Fair Labor Standards Act, which governs such matters as minimum wages and overtime, and a variety of federal, state and local laws that govern employment law matters like employee classifications, unemployment tax rates, workers' compensation rates, family leave, working conditions, safety standards, immigration status, payroll taxes, discrimination, and citizenship requirements. In addition, under the U.S. Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act ("ACA"), we must provide affordable coverage, as defined in ACA, to eligible team members, or make a payment per team member based on ACA's affordability criteria. Additionally, some state and local laws mandate certain levels of health benefits by some employers. Significant additional government regulations and new laws, including mandated increases in minimum wages, changes in exempt and non-exempt status, paid leave, or increased mandated benefits such as health care and insurance costs could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. In addition, changes in federal or state workplace regulations could adversely affect our ability to meet our financial targets. Federal law requires that we verify that our team members have the proper documentation and authorization to work in the U.S. Although we require all workers to provide us with government-specified documentation evidencing their employment eligibility, some of our team members may, without our knowledge, be unauthorized workers. We currently participate in the "E-Verify" program, an Internet-based, free program run by the U.S. government to verify employment eligibility, in Arizona and Florida, which are the only states in which we operate where participation is required. However, use of the "E-Verify" program does not guarantee that we will properly identify all applicants who are ineligible for employment. Unauthorized workers are subject to deportation and we may be subject to fines or penalties if any of our workers are found to be unauthorized. Termination of a significant number of team members who lack work authorization may disrupt our operations, cause temporary increases in our labor costs as we train new team members and result in adverse publicity. We could also become subject to fines, penalties and other costs related to claims that we did not fully comply with all recordkeeping obligations of federal and state immigration compliance laws. As a result of such events, we could experience adverse publicity that may negatively impact our brand and may make it more difficult to hire and keep qualified team members. These factors could materially adversely affect our our business, financial condition and results of operations (collectively, "our Results"). Our business is subject to the risk of litigation by team members, consumers, suppliers, shareholders or others through private actions, class actions, administrative proceedings, regulatory actions or other litigation. The outcome of litigation, particularly class action and regulatory actions, is difficult to assess or quantify. In recent years, restaurant companies, including us, have been subject to lawsuits, including class actions, alleging violations of federal and state laws regarding workplace and employment conditions, discrimination and similar matters. Some lawsuits have resulted in substantial damage awards. Similar lawsuits have been instituted from time to time alleging violations of various federal and state wage and hour laws regarding, among other things, employee meal deductions, overtime eligibility of managers and failure to pay for all hours worked. Whether or not claims against us are valid or whether we are found liable, claims may be expensive to defend and may divert time and money away from our operations and result in increases in our insurance premiums. In addition, they may generate negative publicity, which could reduce guest traffic and sales. Although we believe we maintain adequate levels of insurance, insurance may not be available at all or in sufficient amounts to cover all potential liabilities with respect to these or other matters. A judgment or other liability in excess of our insurance coverage or any adverse publicity resulting from claims could have a material adverse effect on our Results. Certain of our team members at our commissaries in Addison, IL and Aurora, IL voted on April 13, 2023 and April 30, 2024, respectively, in favor of being represented by a union. We filed objections to the 2023 election with the National Labor Relations Board ("NLRB") on April 19, 2023, asserting that the promises made by the union and its agent prevented a free and fair election. We have appealed to the NLRB to set aside the election results. We filed an objection to the 2024 election with the NLRB on May 7, 2024, asserting that the promises made by the union and its agents prevented a free and fair election. Although we have not received other petitions to unionize, it is possible that additional team members may seek to be represented by labor unions in the future. If a significant number of our team members were to become unionized and collective bargaining agreement terms were significantly different from our current compensation arrangements, it could have a material adverse effect on our Results. In addition, a labor dispute involving some or all our team members may harm our reputation, disrupt our operations and reduce our revenues, and resolution of labor disputes could increase our costs. Further, if we enter into a new market with unionized construction companies, or the construction companies in our current markets become unionized, construction and build-out costs for new restaurants in such markets could materially increase.
Supply Chain1 | 2.4%
Supply Chain - Risk 1
We have a limited number of suppliers and distributors for certain key ingredients. If our suppliers or distributors do not fulfill their contractual obligations, we could encounter supply shortages and incur higher costs.
Due to the concentration of our suppliers and distributors ("our vendors"), the cancellation, disruption, delay or inability of these suppliers to deliver these products to our restaurants for any reason may materially and adversely affect our operations until we establish an alternative. We do not control our vendors' operations and our efforts to monitor their performance may be unsuccessful. If our vendors fail to comply with food safety or other laws and regulations, or face allegations of non-compliance, their operations may be disrupted and we may not be able to engage replacement suppliers on commercially reasonable terms or a timely basis, if at all. If our vendors do not fulfill their contractual obligations or we cannot identify alternative sources, we could encounter supply shortages and incur higher costs, which could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations. We have developed contingency plans to mitigate risks related to secondary supply, floor stocking arrangements, product diversification and inventory management, but there can be no assurance that we can obtain commercially reasonable terms or alternative product of equivalent quality.
Costs2 | 4.8%
Costs - Risk 1
We are exposed to risks associated with leasing property including long-term, non-cancelable leases and potential inability to renew expiring leases.
Many of our restaurant leases are non-cancelable with initial terms of 10 to 20 years and typically provide for renewal options in five-year increments. Generally, our leases also require us to pay our share of the costs of real estate taxes, utilities, building operating expenses, insurance and other charges and may include rent escalations. If we close a restaurant, our lease obligations may remain, requiring, among other things, payment of the rent and other costs through the lease term. In addition, as leases expire for restaurants that we continue to operate, we may be unable to negotiate renewals on commercially acceptable terms or at all. As a result, we may close or relocate the restaurant, resulting in unanticipated construction costs, the delay or failure by the landlord to timely deliver the new restaurant location to us, and unfavorable commercial, residential or infrastructure development near our new restaurant location, among other costs and risks. Revenues and profit, if any, generated at a relocated restaurant may not equal those generated at the existing restaurant.
Costs - Risk 2
Our insurance may not provide adequate levels of coverage against claims.
We believe that we maintain insurance customary and appropriate for businesses of our size and type. However, there are types of losses we may incur that cannot be insured against or that we believe are not economically reasonable to insure. Such losses could have a material adverse effect on our Results.
Macro & Political
Total Risks: 4/42 (10%)Below Sector Average
Economy & Political Environment1 | 2.4%
Economy & Political Environment - Risk 1
We are vulnerable to changes in economic conditions, increases in food and commodity costs and consumer preferences.
Like other companies in the restaurant industry, we are subject to volatility in food and commodity costs and availability that may be outside of our control, including general economic conditions, inflation, labor shortages, seasonal fluctuations, weather and climate conditions, energy costs, global demand, trade protections and subsidies, food safety issues, infectious diseases, possible terrorist activity, cyberattacks, transportation issues, currency fluctuations, product recalls, and government regulatory schemes. This has affected our profitability and reputation in the past and could do so in the future. While a portion of our commodities are subject to contract pricing, as our contracts expire we may unable to successfully (re)negotiate terms that protect us from inflation or the portion not covered by pricing might increase unexpectedly, creating unplanned price inflation. We experienced 5.5% and 15.2% commodity price inflation for the years ended December 31, 2023 and December 25, 2022, respectively. If the cost of our ingredients increase, we may suspend or permanently discontinue certain menu items rather than pay the increased cost for the ingredients. These changes to our menu could negatively impact our restaurant traffic and operational results during the shortage and thereafter. Additionally, we may be unable to offset a portion or even all of a future cost increase through menu price increases. Competitive conditions may limit our menu pricing flexibility and implementing menu price increases may change our guests' visit frequencies or purchasing patterns. Our industry depends on consumer discretionary spending and is affected by changes in consumer tastes, and macro- and micro-economic conditions (including economic downturns, inflation or increased food or energy costs). Factors such as traffic patterns, weather, fuel prices, local demographics, local regulations and the competitive landscape may adversely affect the performances of our individual locations. Our restaurants are primarily located in high-activity trade areas that often contain retail, lifestyle, and entertainment centers. We depend on high visitor rates in these trade areas to attract guests to our restaurants. A decline in traffic at these locations for a sustained period could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations (collectively, "our Results").
Natural and Human Disruptions3 | 7.1%
Natural and Human Disruptions - Risk 1
Any prolonged disruption in the operations of our two commissaries could harm our business.
We currently operate two commissaries in Illinois, which produce all the Italian beef, gravy and sweet peppers used in our restaurants. While we plan to continue investing in additional supply chain capacity in the future, as necessary, any prolonged disruption in the operations of any of our existing facilities, whether due to technical, operational or labor difficulties, product contamination, destruction or damage to the facility, limited capacity or other reasons, could adversely affect our Results.
Natural and Human Disruptions - Risk 2
Incidents involving food-borne illness and food safety could have an adverse effect.
Food safety is a top priority and we dedicate substantial resources to help ensure that our guests enjoy safe, quality food products. However, food-borne illnesses and other food safety issues have occurred in the past and could occur in the future. Incidents or reports of food-borne or water-borne illness or other food safety issues, food contamination or tampering, team member hygiene and cleanliness failures, improper team member conduct, or guests spreading illness while at our restaurants could lead to product liability or other claims. Such incidents or reports could negatively affect our brand and reputation and could have a material adverse effect on our Results. We cannot guarantee that our food safety controls, procedures and training will be fully effective in preventing all food safety and public health issues at our restaurants. There is no guarantee that our restaurant locations will maintain the high levels of internal controls and training we require. Some food-borne illness incidents could be caused by third-party food suppliers or delivery services or during guest takeout or catered events. The risk may affect multiple restaurant locations. New illnesses resistant to our current precautions may develop in the future, or diseases with long incubation periods could arise, any of which could give rise to retroactive claims or allegations. One or more food safety instances in one of our restaurants could negatively affect sales at nearby or even all our restaurants, especially if highly publicized. Other restaurant chains have experienced incidents related to food-borne illness incidents that have had material adverse impacts on their operations, and it's possible we could suffer a similar impact if a similar incident occurred at one of our restaurants. Additionally, even if food-borne illnesses were not identified at our restaurants, our restaurant sales could be adversely affected if instances of food-borne illnesses at other restaurant chains were highly publicized.
Natural and Human Disruptions - Risk 3
Natural disasters, unusual weather conditions, pandemic outbreaks, political events, war and terrorism could disrupt our business and result in lower sales, increased operating costs and capital expenditures.
Our restaurant support center, restaurants, and their respective facilities, as well as certain of our vendors and customers, are located in areas that have been and could be subject to natural disasters such as floods, drought, hurricanes, tornadoes, fires or earthquakes. Because our restaurants are concentrated in the Midwestern United States and parts of the "Sunbelt," adverse weather conditions or changes in weather patterns, including those that may result in electrical and technological failures, may disrupt our business and may adversely affect our sales and operations. Such events could result in physical damage to one or more restaurants, the temporary closure of some or all of our restaurants or our vendors, a workforce shortage, supply chain disruption, or disruption of our technology support or information systems, all of which would increase our costs and disrupt our business. Pandemics, political or social unrest, and acts of war or terrorism in the past, and could in the future, have negative effects on our Results. The events described herein also could have indirect consequences like increased insurance costs if they result in significant loss of property or other insurable damage. Any of these factors, or any combination thereof, could have a material adverse effect on our Results.
Tech & Innovation
Total Risks: 3/42 (7%)Below Sector Average
Trade Secrets1 | 2.4%
Trade Secrets - Risk 1
The failure to protect and maintain our intellectual property, including our trademarks, could have a material adverse effect on our business.
Our intellectual property includes our trademarks and service marks registered with the United States Patent and Trademark Office (including Portillo's), the trade dress of our restaurants, our websites and domain names (including our website at www.portillos.com) and other unregistered intellectual property (collectively, our "IP"). Our success depends on our continued ability to use our IP and licensed third-party intellectual property. We require continued use of our existing trademarks and service marks in order to increase brand awareness and develop our branded products. If our efforts to protect our IP are inadequate or if any third-party misappropriates, infringes, dilutes or otherwise violates our IP, the value of our IP may be harmed. For example, failure to enforce our trademarks, whether in print, on the Internet or through social media or other media, could prevent us from challenging third parties who use trademarks similar to ours, which may cause consumer confusion, harm the public perception of our brand, prevent our brand and branded products from achieving and maintaining market acceptance and cause a material adverse effect on our Results. There can be no assurance that the steps we have taken to protect our IP in the United States will be adequate or will obtain or maintain any competitive advantage. It's possible that third parties will assert claims of infringement, misappropriation or other violations of intellectual property against us, or assert claims that portion of our IP is invalid or unenforceable. Claims decided against us could invalidate or narrow our IP or allow competing uses, which could have a material adverse effect on our Results. Additionally, an infringement or misappropriation claim decided against us could result in our being required to pay damages, cease using our IP, develop or adopt non-infringing intellectual property or acquire a license to the third-party intellectual property that is the subject of the asserted claim. Regardless of outcome, there could be significant expenses associated with the defense of such a claim. We may also from time to time have to assert claims against third parties and initiate litigation in order to enforce our IP. Such litigation could result in substantial costs and diversion of resources, could be protracted with no certainty of success, or could fail to achieve an adequate remedy. Any of these occurrences could have a material adverse effect on our Results.
Cyber Security1 | 2.4%
Cyber Security - Risk 1
Changed
Security breaches, system interruptions, material failure of our system, or complications with the implementation or usage of our new enterprise resource planning system could disrupt our operations, compromise confidential personally identifying information, subject us to loss, harm our business, and have a material adverse impact on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Our information technology systems, which in some cases rely on third-party providers, have in the past, and may in the future experience service interruptions, degradation or other performance problems because of hardware and software defects or malfunctions, distributed denial-of-service and other cyberattacks, infrastructure changes, human error, earthquakes, hurricanes, floods, fires, natural disasters, power losses, disruptions in telecommunications services, fraud, military or political conflicts, terrorist attacks, computer viruses, ransomware, malware, or other events. Our systems also may be subject to break-ins, sabotage, theft, and intentional acts of vandalism perpetrated by criminal third parties, third parties we do business with, or team members. Our reliance on third parties increases our exposure to such risks as we exercise less control over such persons. While we endeavor to keep all systems current, there can be no guarantee that we can update and maintain our systems at all times. In instances where we are unable to do so, our risk mitigation efforts may fail. Any such failure could lead to website downtime, disruptions to our information technology systems, or malicious behavior by threat actors. In Q2 2024, we completed the implementation of our new ERP system, designed to accurately maintain the Company's financial records, enhance operational functionality, and provide timely information to the Company's management team related to the operation of the business. The ERP system implementation process has required, and will continue to require, the investment of personnel and financial resources as we support post-implementation efforts and system functionality. These post-implementation efforts could result in delays, increased costs, and other difficulties, and disruptions or difficulties in using our ERP system could result in harm to our business. Additionally, if the ERP system does not operate as intended, the effectiveness of our internal controls over financial reporting could be adversely affected or our ability to adequately assess those controls could be further delayed. Our business requires the collection, transmission, and retention of large volumes of guest and team member data, including personally identifiable information, through information technology systems maintained by us or vendors retained by us. In particular, our omni-channel approach relies in large part on our information technology systems to operate successfully and allow for capabilities like mobile order and pay, third-party delivery, and digital menu boards. Like many other companies, we have experienced, and will continue to experience, attempts to compromise our information technology systems. As we expand our business channels, our risk exposure will increase proportionately. The techniques and sophistication used to conduct cyberattacks, as well as the sources and targets of these attacks, change frequently and are often not recognized until such attacks have occurred. While we continue to make significant investment in physical and technological security measures, team member training, and third-party services to anticipate cyberattacks and prevent breaches, protect our information technology networks and infrastructure, and to identify vendors and service providers that could be vulnerable to damage, disruptions, shutdowns, data loss, or breaches due to criminal conduct, team member error, negligence or malfeasance, utility failures, natural disasters or other catastrophic events, we cannot guarantee that we will be successful in preventing every possible instance of cyberattacks, breach, or data loss, any of which could disrupt our operations, resulting in inefficiencies and a loss of profits. Additionally, the cybersecurity and privacy requirements imposed by governmental regulations are evolving. Our systems may not be able to immediately satisfy applicable requirements, and may require significant additional investment and time to do so. A significant theft, loss or misappropriation of, or unauthorized access to, our guests' data or other proprietary data could result in fines, legal claims or proceedings, regulatory investigations and actions, or liability for failure to comply with privacy and information security laws, which could disrupt our operations, damage our reputation and expose us to claims from guests and team members, any of which could have a material adverse effect on our Results. Our cyber insurance and business interruption insurance may not be sufficient to cover all losses that may result from a cybersecurity incident. As a result, if we experience any outsized material impacts from a failure of our systems, our Results could be materially and adversely affected. Our reputation as a brand or as an employer could be adversely affected, which could impair our ability to attract and retain guests and qualified employees.
Technology1 | 2.4%
Technology - Risk 1
The digital and delivery business, and expansion thereof, is uncertain and subject to risk.
We believe digital investments to be a critical differentiator for our business, driving greater and more frequent engagement with new and existing customers. As the digital space continues to evolve, our technology must also evolve to stay competitive. If we do not maintain and innovate competitive digital systems, our digital business and sales may be adversely affected as we lose guests to competitors. We rely on third-parties for our ordering and payment platforms. Services performed by these third-parties have been, and could be in the future, damaged or interrupted by technological issues or cyberattacks, which could negatively impact our sales and harm our reputation. As availability of food delivery services increase, we understand the importance of meeting our guests' needs. We have invested in marketing to promote our delivery partnerships, which could negatively impact our profitability if that channel does not continue to expand. We rely on third-parties to fulfill delivery orders in a timely and professional fashion. If these third-party delivery companies cease doing business with us, do not continue their relationship with us on favorable terms, or cannot make their scheduled deliveries (including a shortage of drivers), it may have a negative impact on our sales or revenue. Errors in providing adequate delivery services may result in guest dissatisfaction, which could also result in guest attrition, loss in sales and damage to our brand image. Additionally, as with any third-party handling food, such delivery services increase the risk of food tampering while in transit. We developed sealed packaging to provide some deterrence against such potential food tampering, but some risk remains. Third-party food delivery services are competitive. If our delivery partners fail to effectively compete with other third-party delivery providers, our delivery business may suffer, resulting in a loss of sales. If any third-party delivery provider we partner with experiences damage to their brand image, we may also see ramifications due to our partnership with them.
See a full breakdown of risk according to category and subcategory. The list starts with the category with the most risk. Click on subcategories to read relevant extracts from the most recent report.

FAQ

What are “Risk Factors”?
Risk factors are any situations or occurrences that could make investing in a company risky.
    The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) requires that publicly traded companies disclose their most significant risk factors. This is so that potential investors can consider any risks before they make an investment.
      They also offer companies protection, as a company can use risk factors as liability protection. This could happen if a company underperforms and investors take legal action as a result.
        It is worth noting that smaller companies, that is those with a public float of under $75 million on the last business day, do not have to include risk factors in their 10-K and 10-Q forms, although some may choose to do so.
          How do companies disclose their risk factors?
          Publicly traded companies initially disclose their risk factors to the SEC through their S-1 filings as part of the IPO process.
            Additionally, companies must provide a complete list of risk factors in their Annual Reports (Form 10-K) or (Form 20-F) for “foreign private issuers”.
              Quarterly Reports also include a section on risk factors (Form 10-Q) where companies are only required to update any changes since the previous report.
                According to the SEC, risk factors should be reported concisely, logically and in “plain English” so investors can understand them.
                  How can I use TipRanks risk factors in my stock research?
                  Use the Risk Factors tab to get data about the risk factors of any company in which you are considering investing.
                    You can easily see the most significant risks a company is facing. Additionally, you can find out which risk factors a company has added, removed or adjusted since its previous disclosure. You can also see how a company’s risk factors compare to others in its sector.
                      Without reading company reports or participating in conference calls, you would most likely not have access to this sort of information, which is usually not included in press releases or other public announcements.
                        A simplified analysis of risk factors is unique to TipRanks.
                          What are all the risk factor categories?
                          TipRanks has identified 6 major categories of risk factors and a number of subcategories for each. You can see how these categories are broken down in the list below.
                          1. Financial & Corporate
                          • Accounting & Financial Operations - risks related to accounting loss, value of intangible assets, financial statements, value of intangible assets, financial reporting, estimates, guidance, company profitability, dividends, fluctuating results.
                          • Share Price & Shareholder Rights – risks related to things that impact share prices and the rights of shareholders, including analyst ratings, major shareholder activity, trade volatility, liquidity of shares, anti-takeover provisions, international listing, dual listing.
                          • Debt & Financing – risks related to debt, funding, financing and interest rates, financial investments.
                          • Corporate Activity and Growth – risks related to restructuring, M&As, joint ventures, execution of corporate strategy, strategic alliances.
                          2. Legal & Regulatory
                          • Litigation and Legal Liabilities – risks related to litigation/ lawsuits against the company.
                          • Regulation – risks related to compliance, GDPR, and new legislation.
                          • Environmental / Social – risks related to environmental regulation and to data privacy.
                          • Taxation & Government Incentives – risks related to taxation and changes in government incentives.
                          3. Production
                          • Costs – risks related to costs of production including commodity prices, future contracts, inventory.
                          • Supply Chain – risks related to the company’s suppliers.
                          • Manufacturing – risks related to the company’s manufacturing process including product quality and product recalls.
                          • Human Capital – risks related to recruitment, training and retention of key employees, employee relationships & unions labor disputes, pension, and post retirement benefits, medical, health and welfare benefits, employee misconduct, employee litigation.
                          4. Technology & Innovation
                          • Innovation / R&D – risks related to innovation and new product development.
                          • Technology – risks related to the company’s reliance on technology.
                          • Cyber Security – risks related to securing the company’s digital assets and from cyber attacks.
                          • Trade Secrets & Patents – risks related to the company’s ability to protect its intellectual property and to infringement claims against the company as well as piracy and unlicensed copying.
                          5. Ability to Sell
                          • Demand – risks related to the demand of the company’s goods and services including seasonality, reliance on key customers.
                          • Competition – risks related to the company’s competition including substitutes.
                          • Sales & Marketing – risks related to sales, marketing, and distribution channels, pricing, and market penetration.
                          • Brand & Reputation – risks related to the company’s brand and reputation.
                          6. Macro & Political
                          • Economy & Political Environment – risks related to changes in economic and political conditions.
                          • Natural and Human Disruptions – risks related to catastrophes, floods, storms, terror, earthquakes, coronavirus pandemic/COVID-19.
                          • International Operations – risks related to the global nature of the company.
                          • Capital Markets – risks related to exchange rates and trade, cryptocurrency.
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