Nexstar Media Group (NXST) Risk Analysis

The FCC has open proceedings to determine whether to standardize TV stations' reporting of programming responsive to local needs and interests; whether to modify its network non-duplication and syndicated exclusivity rules; whether to modify its standards for "good faith" retransmission consent negotiations; whether to broaden the definition of "MVPD" to include online video programming distributors; and the appropriate substance and scope of its indecency enforcement policy; and the FCC has initiated reviews of the broadcast ownership rules. In addition, changes in FCC and Department of Justice / Federal Trade Commission rules and guidelines around owning or providing services to multiple stations in a local market, or other rules, could adversely impact us. The FCC also may decide to initiate other new rule-making proceedings on its own or in response to requests from outside parties, any of which might impact our business or operations. The U.S. Congress may also act to amend the Communications Act in a manner that could impact our stations and the stations we provide services to or the television broadcast industry in general. For more information about the regulations that we are subject to, see Item 1, "Business-Federal Regulation."

While we believe our tax positions and reserves are reasonable, the resolutions of certain tax issues related to a past transaction of Tribune are unpredictable and could negatively impact our effective tax rate, net income or cash flows for the period or periods in question. Specifically, we may be faced with additional tax liabilities as a result of our acquisition of Tribune for the transactions contemplated by an agreement, dated August 21, 2009, between Tribune and Chicago Entertainment Ventures, LLC (formerly Chicago Baseball Holdings, LLC) ("CEV LLC"), and its subsidiaries (collectively, "New Cubs LLC"), governing the contribution of certain assets and liabilities related to the business of the Chicago Cubs Major League Baseball franchise then owned by Tribune and its subsidiaries to New Cubs LLC, and related agreements thereto (the "Chicago Cubs Transactions"). We may also be faced with tax liabilities as a result of the federal income tax audits of Tribune for taxable years 2014 and 2015. On June 28, 2016, the Internal Revenue Service ("IRS") issued Tribune a Notice of Deficiency which presented the IRS's position that the gain with respect to the Chicago Cubs Transactions should have been included in Tribune's 2009 taxable income. Accordingly, the IRS proposed a $182 million tax and a $73 million gross valuation misstatement penalty. During the third quarter of 2016, Tribune filed a petition in U.S. Tax Court to contest the IRS's determination. After-tax interest on the aforementioned proposed tax and penalty through December 31, 2024 would be approximately $232 million. In addition, if the IRS prevails in its position, under the tax rules for determining tax basis upon emergence from bankruptcy, the Company would be required to reduce its tax basis in certain assets. The reduction in tax basis would be required to reflect the reduction in the amount of the Company's guarantee of the New Cubs partnership debt which was included in the reported tax basis previously determined upon emergence from bankruptcy and subject to Tribune's 2014 and 2015 federal income tax audits (described below). On September 19, 2019, Tribune became a wholly owned subsidiary of Nexstar following Nexstar's merger with Tribune. Nexstar disagrees with the IRS's position that the Chicago Cubs Transactions generated taxable gain in 2009, the proposed penalty and the IRS's calculation of the gain. If the IRS prevails in its position, the gain on the Chicago Cubs Transactions would be deemed to be taxable in 2009. We estimate that the federal and state income taxes would be approximately $225 million before interest and penalties. Any tax, interest and penalty due will be offset by tax payments made relating to this transaction subsequent to 2009. Tribune made approximately $154 million of tax payments prior to its merger with Nexstar. A bench trial in the U.S. Tax Court took place between October 28, 2019 and November 8, 2019, and closing arguments took place on December 11, 2019. The Tax Court issued a separate opinion on January 6, 2020 holding that the IRS satisfied the procedural requirements for the imposition of the gross valuation misstatement penalty. The judge deferred any litigation of the penalty until a final determination was reached by the Tax Court or Court of Appeals. On October 26, 2021, the Tax Court issued an opinion related to the Chicago Cubs Transactions, which held that Tribune's structure was, in substantial part, in compliance with partnership provisions of the Code and, as a result, did not trigger the entire 2009 taxable gain proposed by the IRS. On October 19, 2022, the Tax Court entered the decision that there is no tax deficiency or penalty due in the 2009 tax year. On January 13, 2023, the IRS filed a notice of appeal to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Seventh Circuit. On February 3, 2023, the Company filed a notice of cross-appeal. On February 15, 2024, the case was argued before the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Seventh Circuit. The Company expects a ruling from the Court of Appeals in 2025. As of December 31, 2024, we believe the tax impact of applying the Tax Court opinion to 2009 and its impact on subsequent years is not material to the Company's accounting for uncertain tax positions or to its Consolidated Financial Statements. Although management believes its estimates and judgments are reasonable, the timing and ultimate resolution are unpredictable and could materially change. Prior to Nexstar's merger with Tribune in September 2019, Tribune was undergoing a federal income tax audit for taxable years 2014 and 2015. In the third quarter of 2020, the IRS completed its audit of Tribune and issued a Revenue Agent's Report which disallowed the reporting of certain assets and liabilities related to Tribune's emergence from Chapter 11 bankruptcy on December 31, 2012. We disagree with the IRS's proposed adjustments to the tax basis of certain assets and the related taxable income impact, and we are contesting the adjustments through the IRS administrative appeal procedures. If the IRS prevails in its position and after taking into account the impact of the Tax Court opinion, Nexstar would be required to reduce its tax basis in certain assets resulting in a $17 million increase in its federal and state taxes payable and a $69 million increase in deferred income tax liability as of December 31, 2024. In accordance with Accounting Standards Codification ("ASC") Topic 740, the Company has reflected $11 million for certain contested issues in its liability for uncertain tax positions at December 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023.

We have various funded, qualified non-contributory defined benefit retirement plans which cover certain employees and former employees. As of December 31, 2024, the pension benefit obligations for these qualified retirement plans were $1.5 billion. The qualified retirement plans also had $1.4 billion in total net assets available, or underfunded by approximately $148 million, to pay benefits to participants enrolled in the plans as of December 31, 2024. There were no significant required contributions to Nexstar's qualified pension benefit plans in 2024. We also have non-contributory unfunded supplemental executive retirement and ERISA excess plans which supplement the coverage of the defined benefit retirement plans to certain employees and former employees. During 2024, Nexstar contributed $4 million to these plans. As of December 31, 2024, the total liability was $37 million. We also have various retiree medical savings account plans which reimburse eligible retired employees for certain medical expenses and unfunded plans that provide certain health and life insurance benefits to certain retired employees. Although we have frozen participation and benefits under all plans, two significant elements in determining the pension expense or credit are the expected return on plan assets and the discount rate used in projecting obligations. Large declines in the stock market and lower discount rates increase the expense and may necessitate higher cash contributions to the qualified retirement plans.

The VIEs are each 100% owned by independent third parties. We have entered into local service agreements with the VIEs, pursuant to which we provide services to their stations. In return for the services we provide, we receive substantially all of the consolidated VIEs' available cash, after satisfaction of their operating costs and any debt obligations. In addition, Nexstar (excluding The CW) guarantees the full payment of all of the obligations incurred under one of our VIEs' (Mission) senior secured credit facility in the event of default. See Item 1, "Business-Stations." In compliance with FCC regulations, the VIEs maintain complete responsibility for and control over programming, finances and personnel for their respective stations. As a result, the VIEs' boards of directors and officers can make decisions with which we disagree and which could reduce the cash flow generated by these stations and, as a consequence, the amounts we receive under our local service agreements with the VIEs.

A significant portion of our revenue comes from its retransmission consent and carriage agreements with MVPDs (mainly cable and satellite television providers) and vMVPDs. These agreements permit the distributors to retransmit our stations' and our cable and broadcast networks' signals to their subscribers in exchange for the payment of compensation to us. If we are unable to renegotiate these agreements on favorable terms, or at all, the failure to do so could have an adverse effect on our business, financial condition, and results of operations. In addition, occasionally these negotiations result in a temporary removal of our stations from the distributor's service, which disruption could have an adverse effect on our operating results. Though we are typically able to renegotiate our retransmission consent agreements on favorable terms, the payments due to us under these agreements are customarily based on a price per subscriber of the applicable distributor. In the past several years, the number of subscribers to MVPDs has declined as the growth of direct internet streaming of video programming to televisions and mobile devices has led consumers to discontinue their cable or satellite service subscriptions. As our retransmission consent agreements include payment terms by subscriber numbers, if the rate of reductions in the number of MVPD subscribers increases, this could also have an adverse effect on our business revenues, financial condition and results of operations. Also, refer to "Risks Related to Our Industry-Intense competition in the television industry and alternative forms of media could limit our growth and profitability." Our affiliation agreements with the Big 4 broadcast networks (ABC, CBS, NBC and FOX) include terms that limit our ability to grant retransmission consent rights to vMVPDs and other service providers that provide video streaming to consumers. As a result, the Big 4 networks generally negotiate directly with vMVPDs for carriage of their local affiliate stations, including certain of our stations. The terms the networks negotiate may be unfavorable or unacceptable to us, as a result of which we may receive reduced revenue from our stations' carriage on vMVPDs or may choose not to permit a vMVPD's carriage of our stations at all, which could materially reduce this revenue source to the Company if we cannot reduce network affiliation fees or generate additional revenue streams from other relationships we have with the Big 4 networks and vMVPDs, and could have an adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.