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National Grid Transco Plc (NGG)
NYSE:NGG
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National Grid Transco
(NYSE:NGG)
73Outperform
National Grid Transco (NGG) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)
Market Cap
$70.69B
Dividend Yield4.78%
Average Volume (3M)834.97K
Price to Earnings (P/E)26.8
Beta (1Y)0.33
Revenue Growth-3.25%
EPS Growth-76.46%
CountryUS
Employees31,425
SectorUtilities
Sector Strength84
IndustryRegulated Electric
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)2.72
Shares Outstanding979,424,740
10 Day Avg. Volume1,388,282
30 Day Avg. Volume834,973
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG RatioN/A
Price to Book (P/B)N/A
Price to Sales (P/S)2.49
Price to Cash Flow (P/CF)9.20
P/FCF Ratio0.00
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering0
National Grid Transco Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company DescriptionNational Grid Transco (NGG) is a leading international electricity and gas company that plays a vital role in delivering energy to millions of customers across the United Kingdom and northeastern United States. The company operates through two main sectors: electricity transmission and gas distribution. It is responsible for the operation and ownership of the high-voltage electricity transmission network in England and Wales, as well as the gas distribution networks in the UK. NGG ensures the safe and reliable delivery of energy, contributing to the stability and efficiency of energy systems.
How the Company Makes MoneyNational Grid Transco generates revenue primarily through regulated utility operations. In the UK, its electricity transmission and gas distribution sectors earn revenue through regulated price controls set by the Office of Gas and Electricity Markets (Ofgem). These price controls determine the allowable revenue that NGG can earn, ensuring a fair return on investment while maintaining affordable prices for consumers. In the US, NGG operates under similar regulatory frameworks, where state utility commissions set rates that guarantee a return on infrastructure investments. Additionally, the company may engage in non-regulated activities, including energy-related services and ventures, which provide supplementary income. Partnerships with government bodies, adherence to regulatory standards, and investments in infrastructure and innovation are significant factors contributing to its financial performance.
National Grid Transco Financial Statement Overview
Summary
National Grid Transco shows solid operational performance but faces challenges with declining revenues and profitability. The high leverage and negative Free Cash Flow are potential risks. The company must focus on improving revenue streams and managing debt levels to enhance financial stability and growth prospects.Income Statement
The income statement shows a decline in Total Revenue and Net Income in the most recent year compared to the previous year, with a significant drop in Net Profit Margin. The Gross Profit Margin is stable, reflecting good control over direct costs. However, the decline in revenue and profits indicates potential challenges in maintaining growth.70
Positive
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet highlights a high Debt-to-Equity Ratio, which could pose a risk if interest rates rise. However, the company maintains a healthy equity base, as evidenced by the Equity Ratio, indicating stability. Increasing liabilities relative to equity could be a concern if not managed properly.65
Positive
Cash Flow
The cash flow statement reveals negative Free Cash Flow in the latest year, primarily due to high capital expenditures. The Operating Cash Flow remains positive, indicating operational efficiency. A negative Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio could affect future liquidity if not improved.60
Neutral
| Breakdown | |||||
| TTM | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income Statement | Total Revenue | ||||
| 19.32B | 19.85B | 21.66B | 18.45B | 13.66B | 14.54B |
| Gross Profit | |||||
| 11.52B | 14.55B | 13.41B | 11.42B | 8.05B | 8.55B |
| EBIT | |||||
| 3.80B | 4.47B | 4.04B | 3.84B | 2.37B | 3.24B |
| EBITDA | |||||
| 6.68B | 6.83B | 5.59B | 6.04B | 3.93B | 3.83B |
| Net Income Common Stockholders | |||||
| 1.81B | 2.29B | 7.80B | 2.35B | 1.64B | 1.26B |
| Balance Sheet | Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | ||||
| 5.11B | 4.25B | 2.77B | 3.35B | 2.50B | 2.07B |
| Total Assets | |||||
| 54.70B | 98.33B | 92.70B | 94.86B | 67.22B | 67.56B |
| Total Debt | |||||
| 25.75B | 47.07B | 42.98B | 45.47B | 31.22B | 30.79B |
| Net Debt | |||||
| 25.07B | 46.52B | 42.82B | 45.26B | 31.06B | 30.72B |
| Total Liabilities | |||||
| 44.47B | 68.43B | 63.13B | 71.00B | 47.36B | 47.77B |
| Stockholders Equity | |||||
| 10.23B | 29.87B | 29.54B | 23.83B | 19.84B | 19.77B |
| Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | ||||
| -989.00M | -514.00M | 573.00M | -119.00M | -804.00M | -1.09B |
| Operating Cash Flow | |||||
| 6.69B | 6.94B | 6.90B | 5.42B | 3.80B | 3.81B |
| Investing Cash Flow | |||||
| -11.48B | -7.50B | 240.00M | -14.22B | -5.21B | -3.34B |
| Financing Cash Flow | |||||
| 5.96B | 987.00M | -7.17B | 8.82B | 1.50B | -649.00M |
National Grid Transco Technical Analysis
Positive
74.35
Price Trends
64.11
Positive
62.18
Positive
63.25
Positive
Market Momentum
2.51
Negative
74.26
Negative
95.21
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NGG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 74.35 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 67.21, above the 50-day MA of 64.11, and above the 200-day MA of 63.25, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.51 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.26 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.21 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NGG.
National Grid Transco Risk Analysis
National Grid Transco disclosed 9 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. National Grid Transco reported the most risks in the “Macro & Political” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
National Grid Transco Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
73 Outperform | $58.73B | 18.90 | 11.37% | 3.43% | 2.76% | 31.53% | |
73 Outperform | $70.69B | 26.76 | 5.18% | 4.78% | -3.25% | -76.46% | |
72 Outperform | $46.67B | 18.85 | 9.34% | 3.33% | 5.98% | 4.99% | |
69 Neutral | $39.73B | 20.06 | 10.43% | 3.21% | -5.25% | 7.11% | |
64 Neutral | $44.37B | 21.36 | 7.91% | 5.13% | -10.79% | 18.04% | |
62 Neutral | $8.60B | 12.04 | 6.29% | 4.50% | 3.04% | -9.39% | |
60 Neutral | $40.01B | 22.64 | 11.22% | 2.92% | 6.13% | -31.01% |
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
NGG
National Grid Transco
74.35
15.16
25.61%
AEP
American Electric Power
108.15
25.76
31.27%
D
Dominion Energy
53.40
5.09
10.54%
EXC
Exelon
47.37
11.26
31.18%
PEG
Public Service Enterprise
82.00
17.51
27.15%
XEL
Xcel Energy
71.39
18.04
33.81%
National Grid Transco Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date: Nov 7, 2024 | % Change Since: 17.85% | Next Earnings Date: May 15, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call conveyed a positive outlook with strong financial performance, record capital investment, and strategic progress. While there are challenges in the supply chain and regulatory negotiations ahead, the company's strategic initiatives and growth plans are well underway and supported by recent financial moves.Highlights
Strong Financial Performance
National Grid reported a 15% increase in underlying operating profit, amounting to £2 billion, with underlying earnings per share rising 8% to 28.1p.
Record Capital Investment
The company achieved a record £4.6 billion in capital investment in the first half, up 19% year-on-year, driven by major projects in both the UK and US.
Successful Rights Issue
Completion of a £7 billion rights issue positioned the balance sheet to support growth, allowing for a £60 billion investment over five years.
Progress on Strategic Milestones
Sale of the final 20% stake in the UK gas transmission business for £686 million and progress on major projects like the London Power Tunnels.
Regulatory Advances
New rates agreed for the New York gas business and Massachusetts electric business, enhancing investment visibility.
Lowlights
Challenges in Transformer Supply Chain
Longer lead times for supergrid transformers acknowledged, with efforts to manage supply chain risks continuing.
Potential Regulatory Challenges
Ongoing need to negotiate favorable terms with Ofgem and ensure attractive financial frameworks in light of extensive regulatory developments.
Company Guidance
During the call, National Grid provided comprehensive guidance on their future investment strategy and financial performance. The company plans to invest around £60 billion in its network over the next five years, with an expected asset growth rate of approximately 10% annually. In the first half of the fiscal year, they achieved a record capital investment of £4.6 billion, marking a 19% year-on-year increase. In the U.K., their construction is underway on various ASTI projects, while in the U.S., regulated capital expenditure rose by 20% year-on-year, partially due to a $4 billion upstate upgrade program. Financially, National Grid reported a 15% increase in underlying operating profit to £2 billion, driven by strong performance across regulated businesses and resulting in an 8% rise in underlying earnings per share to 28.1p. The company declared an interim dividend of 15.84p per share, reflecting their commitment to delivering sustainable shareholder returns.Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.