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Micron (MU)
NASDAQ:MU

Micron (MU) AI Stock Analysis

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MU

Micron

(NASDAQ:MU)

76Outperform
Micron's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance, with significant improvements in revenue growth and profitability. However, technical indicators suggest bearish market sentiment, presenting a risk. The company shows positive strategic direction through corporate events and earnings call guidance, although valuation remains moderate. These factors collectively provide a balanced outlook for Micron's stock.
Positive Factors
Business Reorganization
Micron's announcement that it is reorganizing its business units should be considered a positive as it provides investors with greater visibility into its AI-driven HBM + Cloud positioning and momentum.
Market Positioning
Micron has been the sole provider of LPDDR5X memory for NVIDIA's platforms, positioning it strongly in the market with continued expectations of being the primary supplier.
Negative Factors
Demand Decline
DRAM ship reported a high single-digit percentage quarter-over-quarter decline, indicating a potential decrease in demand for one of MU's key products.
Gross Margins
It appears Micron gross margins could peak below previous upturns, and as a result the price target is lowered to reflect a lower multiple.

Micron (MU) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Micron Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMicron Technology, Inc. is a global leader in the semiconductor industry, specializing in the production of innovative memory and storage solutions. Its product portfolio includes DRAM, NAND, NOR, and 3D XPoint memory technologies, which are used in a variety of sectors, including computing, networking, mobile, automotive, industrial, and consumer electronics. Micron's advanced semiconductor solutions are essential for enabling the digital transformation and data-centric innovations across the globe.
How the Company Makes MoneyMicron makes money primarily by designing, manufacturing, and selling semiconductor memory products. Its revenue model is centered around the production and sale of DRAM and NAND flash memory, which are integral to a wide range of electronic devices. The company serves various markets, including data centers, personal computing, mobile devices, automotive, industrial applications, and consumer electronics. Micron collaborates with major technology companies and original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) to integrate its memory and storage solutions into their products. Additionally, the company invests in research and development to advance its technology and maintain its competitive edge in the market. Key revenue streams include direct sales to OEMs, channel partners, and distributors worldwide.

Micron Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes income from different business units, highlighting which segments drive growth and profitability, and indicating potential areas for strategic focus or divestment.
Chart InsightsMicron's revenue from the Compute and Networking segment is recovering robustly after a challenging period, reflecting strategic gains in DRAM technology and data center demand. The Mobile segment is also rebounding, aligning with the company's positive outlook for shipment growth. However, the Storage segment's dramatic surge in recent quarters suggests a strategic pivot or market opportunity. Despite challenges in the NAND market, Micron's advancements in DRAM and HBM technologies are driving optimism, with expected record revenues and market share stability in 2025, underscoring a strong growth trajectory.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Micron Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Micron's financial performance shows notable improvements across key metrics. The company achieved impressive revenue growth and profitability recovery, supported by strong margins and cash flow generation. The balance sheet remains robust with conservative leverage and high equity levels, positioning the company well for future growth in the semiconductor industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Micron's TTM revenue grew by 24.72% compared to the previous year, indicating strong top-line growth. The gross profit margin improved significantly to 34.73% in TTM, from a negative margin in 2023, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency. Net profit margin increased to 14.92% in TTM, moving from a loss in prior years, highlighting a strong recovery in profitability. Both EBIT and EBITDA margins improved, suggesting better cost management and higher earnings quality.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Micron maintains a solid balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.30, indicating a conservative leverage position. The equity ratio stands at 66.57%, showcasing strong equity backing relative to total assets. Return on equity improved remarkably to 9.61% in TTM, up from negative returns, signaling improved profitability and effective use of equity capital.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Free cash flow grew significantly, with a positive shift in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.80, demonstrating robust cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.68 further supports the company's strong cash flow performance, indicating efficient capital expenditure and healthy cash reserves.
Breakdown
Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
25.11B15.54B30.76B27.70B21.43B
Gross Profit
5.61B-1.42B13.90B10.42B6.55B
EBIT
1.30B-5.75B9.70B6.28B3.00B
EBITDA
9.58B2.49B16.88B12.62B8.83B
Net Income Common Stockholders
778.00M-5.83B8.69B5.86B2.69B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
8.11B9.59B9.33B8.63B8.14B
Total Assets
69.42B64.25B66.28B58.85B53.68B
Total Debt
14.01B13.93B7.52B7.28B7.18B
Net Debt
6.97B5.36B-746.00M-483.00M-448.00M
Total Liabilities
24.29B20.13B16.38B14.92B14.68B
Stockholders Equity
45.13B44.12B49.91B43.93B39.00B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
121.00M-6.12B3.11B2.44B83.00M
Operating Cash Flow
8.51B1.56B15.18B12.47B8.31B
Investing Cash Flow
-8.31B-6.19B-11.59B-10.59B-7.59B
Financing Cash Flow
-1.84B4.98B-2.98B-1.78B-317.00M

Micron Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price79.78
Price Trends
50DMA
87.43
Negative
100DMA
91.95
Negative
200DMA
97.20
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.10
Negative
RSI
51.51
Neutral
STOCH
89.90
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MU, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 79.78 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 74.51, below the 50-day MA of 87.43, and below the 200-day MA of 97.20, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -4.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.90 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for MU.

Micron Risk Analysis

Micron disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Micron reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Micron Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$92.30B29.2196.81%0.91%12.19%20.80%
78
Outperform
$123.13B19.6535.19%1.05%4.45%-10.01%
78
Outperform
$91.68B19.9153.14%1.25%20.33%31.89%
MUMU
76
Outperform
$77.73B16.7210.10%0.58%71.05%
AMAMD
73
Outperform
$157.01B96.342.89%13.69%91.75%
59
Neutral
$10.72B10.22-6.67%3.02%7.39%-11.27%
46
Neutral
$87.43B-18.66%2.49%-3.97%-562.40%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MU
Micron
79.78
-34.06
-29.92%
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
96.64
-63.56
-39.68%
AMAT
Applied Materials
151.55
-51.99
-25.54%
INTC
Intel
20.05
-10.99
-35.41%
KLAC
KLA
694.61
-13.00
-1.84%
LRCX
Lam Research
71.42
-20.45
-22.26%

Micron Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 20, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -22.45%|
Next Earnings Date:Jun 25, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance in DRAM, particularly in the data center segment, with record revenues and advancements in technology. However, challenges in the NAND market and pressure on gross margins indicate some areas of concern. Despite these challenges, the company's outlook remains positive with expected record revenues in the coming quarter.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Data Center DRAM Revenue
Data center DRAM revenue reached a new record in fiscal Q2, supported by strong demand for high-capacity DRAM modules and LPDRAM.
HBM Revenue Growth
HBM revenue grew more than 50% sequentially, reaching over $1 billion in quarterly revenue, with shipments ahead of plans.
Advancements in DRAM Technology
Launched 1-gamma node with significant improvements: 20% lower power, 15% better performance, and over 30% improvement in bit density compared to 1-beta DRAM.
Capital Investments and Facility Expansion
Broke ground on an HBM advanced packaging facility in Singapore and completed a construction milestone for a new DRAM fab in Idaho.
Strong Financial Performance
Fiscal Q2 revenue was $8.1 billion, up 38% year-over-year. DRAM revenue increased by 47% year-over-year.
Positive Outlook for Fiscal Q3
Expected record revenue in fiscal Q3 driven by shipment growth in both DRAM and NAND, with projected revenue of $8.8 billion.
Negative Updates
NAND Revenue Decline
NAND revenue decreased by 17% sequentially, with prices declining in the high-teens percentage range.
Gross Margin Pressure
Consolidated gross margin for fiscal Q2 was 37.9%, down 160 basis points sequentially, primarily due to lower NAND pricing and mix shift to consumer-oriented products.
NAND Underutilization and Challenges
NAND industry faced underutilization and structural capacity reductions, impacting the company's gross margins negatively.
Increased Operating Expenses
Projected fiscal 2025 operating expenses to increase by over 10%, reflecting planned increases to support high-value products, including HBM.
Company Guidance
During Micron's Second Quarter 2025 Financial Call, the company provided positive financial guidance and key performance metrics. Micron achieved record revenues in data center DRAM, with HBM revenue growing over 50% sequentially, surpassing $1 billion for the quarter. The company continues to hold its leading position in DRAM technology with the launch of its 1-gamma node, achieving a 20% power reduction, 15% better performance, and over 30% improvement in bit density compared to its 1-beta DRAM. The outlook for fiscal Q3 is promising, with expected revenue of $8.8 billion and EPS of $1.57, driven by shipment growth in both DRAM and NAND. Micron anticipates maintaining its DRAM and NAND market share in calendar 2025, with DRAM bit demand growth projected in the mid- to high teens percentage range. Additionally, the company is on track to increase its HBM market share to align with its overall DRAM supply share by calendar Q4 2025, with strong demand expected to continue into 2026.

Micron Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Micron Expands Credit Facility with HSBC Bank
Positive
Mar 12, 2025

On March 12, 2025, Micron Technology, Inc. entered into a new revolving credit agreement with HSBC Bank USA, replacing its existing $2.5 billion facility with a $3.5 billion revolving credit facility. This strategic financial move, which includes provisions for potential expansion and improved terms, is aimed at supporting the company’s general corporate purposes and enhancing its financial flexibility. The agreement underscores Micron’s commitment to maintaining a robust financial structure, with no outstanding borrowings reported under the new facility as of the filing date.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Micron Appoints New Independent Directors to Board
Positive
Mar 5, 2025

On March 5, 2025, Micron Technology, Inc. announced the appointment of Anna Christine Simons and Teyin Mark Liu to its Board of Directors, both recognized as independent directors under Nasdaq rules. Simons, with extensive experience in global technology and finance, and Liu, a former executive at Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, are expected to provide strategic insights to help Micron capitalize on opportunities in AI and semiconductor markets, thereby strengthening its industry positioning.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.