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MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC)
NASDAQ:MFIC

MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC) AI Stock Analysis

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MidCap Financial Investment Corporation

(NASDAQ:MFIC)

69Neutral
MidCap Financial Investment Corporation's stock score is driven by its strong profitability and balance sheet, coupled with attractive valuation metrics such as a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield. However, the company faces challenges with declining revenue and cash flow, as well as below-target leverage and spread compression noted in the earnings call. Technical indicators suggest stability but indicate cautious optimism.
Positive Factors
Asset Management
Management did outline positive developments including partial insurance recovery from planes leased to Russian airlines and 'substantial progress' on selling the majority of remaining aircraft.
Debt Management
Merx' valuation improved as it paid down its revolver by $7.5 million.
Earnings
MFIC reported NOI of $0.44, above the $0.41 estimate, largely due to lower incentive fees.
Negative Factors
Credit Loss
Credit loss appeared to stem from Surf OpCo, which is now marked in the 80s of cost.
Risk Management
Elevated leverage with CLO financing may add risk to the story.
Write-Offs
SHD Oil & Gas was written off, though it had no impact to NAV.

MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

MidCap Financial Investment Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionApollo Investment Corporation is business development company and a closed-end, externally managed, non-diversified management investment company. It is elected to be treated as a business development company (BDC) under the Investment Company Act of 1940 (the 1940 Act) specializing in private equity investments in leveraged buyouts, acquisitions, recapitalizations, growth capital, refinancing and private middle market companies. It provides direct equity capital, mezzanine, first lien secured loans, stretch senior loans, unitranche loans, second lien secured loans and senior secured loans, unsecured debt, and subordinated debt and loans. It also seeks to invest in PIPES transactions. The fund may also invest in securities of public companies that are thinly traded and may acquire investments in the secondary market and structured products. It prefers to invest in preferred equity, common equity / interests and warrants and makes equity co-investments. It may invest in cash equivalents, U.S. government securities, high-quality debt investments that mature in one year or less, high-yield bonds, distressed debt, non-U.S. investments, or securities of public companies that are not thinly traded. It also focuses on other investments such as collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) and credit-linked notes (CLNs). The fund typically invests in construction and building materials, business services, plastics & rubber, advertising, capital equipment, education, cable television, chemicals, consumer products/goods durable and non-durable and customer services, direct marketing, energy – oil & gas, electricity and utilities. The fund also invest in aerospace & defense, wholesale, telecommunications, financial services, hotel, gaming, leisure, restaurants; environmental industries, healthcare and pharmaceuticals, high tech industries, beverages, food and tobacco, manufacturing, media – diversified & production, printing and publishing, retail, automation, aviation and consumer transport, transportation, cargo and distribution. It primarily invests in United States. It primarily invests between $20 million and $250 million in its portfolio companies. The fund seeks to make investments with stated maturities of five to 10 years.
How the Company Makes MoneyMidCap Financial Investment Corporation makes money by providing loans and other credit solutions to middle-market companies. The primary revenue stream comes from the interest income generated on these loans. Additionally, MFIC may earn fees associated with the origination, structuring, and management of these loans. The company's earnings are influenced by factors such as interest rate fluctuations, credit risk management, and strategic partnerships with other financial institutions that may co-invest in loan opportunities.

MidCap Financial Investment Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
MidCap Financial Investment Corporation presents a mixed financial profile. The income statement reflects robust profitability but declining revenue. The balance sheet is strong with zero debt, yet this could limit expansion. Cash flow challenges are evident with a steep drop in free cash flow. While the company maintains profitability, addressing revenue declines and improving cash flow are crucial for future growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
MidCap Financial Investment Corporation shows a positive net profit margin of 89.07% in the TTM, reflecting strong profitability. However, the revenue growth rate is negative at -8.91% from the previous year, indicating a decline in revenue. The EBIT margin stands at 69.91%, showcasing efficient operations. Overall, the company demonstrates solid profitability but faces challenges with revenue growth.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company has a strong equity base with zero total debt in the TTM, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0. The return on equity is high at 7.63%, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is 44.04%, suggesting a balanced asset financing structure. While the lack of debt offers stability, it may limit growth opportunities.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
MFIC's free cash flow growth rate is negative at -92.81% in the TTM, indicating a significant decline in free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.13, suggesting that cash generation is lagging behind income. These metrics highlight potential liquidity challenges despite positive net income.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
121.28M133.15M141.46M96.72M126.73M-95.79M
Gross Profit
141.99M276.50K94.06M96.72M85.92M-191.58M
EBIT
84.77M266.40K103.47M137.38M111.86M-116.06M
EBITDA
33.26M266.40K103.47M137.38M111.86M-116.06M
Net Income Common Stockholders
108.02M118.76M30.59M82.36M111.86M-116.06M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
29.94M122.13M87.09M30.60M54.62M43.68M
Total Assets
2.38B2.50B2.53B2.60B2.54B2.87B
Total Debt
994.49M1.46B1.48B1.55B1.47B1.79B
Net Debt
964.55M1.34B1.40B1.52B1.41B1.75B
Total Liabilities
1.07B1.50B1.54B1.60B1.51B1.85B
Stockholders Equity
1.32B1.01B988.11M1.00B1.04B1.02B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
14.12M196.38M76.07M-2.68M470.67M-482.46M
Operating Cash Flow
14.12M196.38M76.07M-2.68M470.67M-482.46M
Investing Cash Flow
0.0080.19M82.32M0.00373.36M-610.04M
Financing Cash Flow
27.54M-161.36M-101.91M-21.33M-459.70M484.89M

MidCap Financial Investment Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.13
Price Trends
50DMA
13.36
Negative
100DMA
13.20
Positive
200DMA
13.11
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Negative
RSI
53.42
Neutral
STOCH
88.39
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MFIC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.96, below the 50-day MA of 13.36, and above the 200-day MA of 13.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.39 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MFIC.

MidCap Financial Investment Corporation Risk Analysis

MidCap Financial Investment Corporation disclosed 84 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. MidCap Financial Investment Corporation reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

MidCap Financial Investment Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$15.22B9.1512.40%8.64%19.95%-10.57%
74
Outperform
$5.13B10.0919.26%5.13%51.80%12.05%
72
Outperform
$1.45B22.533.96%14.61%-28.04%-69.52%
69
Neutral
10.318.20%11.63%37.04%16.88%
64
Neutral
$14.53B10.258.67%4.22%16.51%-12.20%
63
Neutral
$1.88B0.78%16.31%-31.63%-0.75%
58
Neutral
$681.47M-8.57%16.98%8.24%-207.60%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MFIC
MidCap Financial Investment Corporation
13.24
-0.04
-0.30%
MAIN
Main Street Capital
57.47
13.75
31.45%
PSEC
Prospect Capital
4.18
-0.67
-13.81%
ARCC
Ares Capital
22.36
3.35
17.62%
TCPC
BlackRock TCP Capital
8.01
-0.92
-10.30%
GSBD
Goldman Sachs BDC
12.33
-1.27
-9.34%

MidCap Financial Investment Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 25, 2025 | % Change Since: -5.13% | Next Earnings Date: May 15, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong ROE, successful CLO pricing, and significant new commitments as positive aspects. However, challenges such as a decrease in NAV per share, a decline in weighted average yield, and issues with non-accrual investments were also noted. Overall, the sentiment of the call was balanced with both positive achievements and notable challenges.
Highlights
Strong Annualized Return on Equity (ROE)
MFIC reported an annualized ROE of 10.5% for the December quarter and 11.2% for the full year.
Significant New Commitments
MFIC made $255 million in new commitments during the December quarter and $1.06 billion for the full year.
Successful CLO Pricing
MFIC priced a $529 million CLO, the second on-balance-sheet CLO, with a blended cost of 161 basis points spread, significantly tighter than previous levels.
Merx Insurance Claims Settlement
MFIC settled a portion of its contingent insurance claims related to the Merx Russia fleet during the first quarter.
Dividend Declaration
The Board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.38 per share for shareholders of record as of March 11th, 2025.
Lowlights
Decrease in NAV per Share
Net Asset Value (NAV) per share decreased to $14.98 at the end of December, down $0.12 or approximately 0.8%.
Decline in Weighted Average Yield
The weighted average yield at cost on the direct origination portfolio decreased to 11% for the December quarter from 11.6% in the September quarter.
Non-Accrual Investments
Investments on non-accrual were 1.3% of the portfolio at fair value, with some positions acquired from the CEFs still on non-accrual.
GAAP Net Income Per Share
GAAP net income per share was $0.26 for the December quarter, lower than the net investment income per share of $0.40.
Company Guidance
In the earnings conference call for MidCap Financial Investment Corporation (MFIC) covering the fourth quarter of 2024, several key metrics were discussed. The company reported a net investment income (NII) per share of $0.40 for the quarter and $1.71 for the full year, with a quarterly annualized return on equity (ROE) of 10.5% and a yearly ROE of 11.2%. GAAP net income per share was $0.26 for the quarter and $1.27 for the year. The NAV per share declined by $0.12 to $14.98, representing a 0.8% decrease. During the quarter, MFIC made $255 million in new commitments, contributing to a full year total of $1.06 billion. The company aims to reach a target leverage of approximately 1.4 times in the next few quarters, leveraging its affiliation with MidCap Financial, which closed $6.6 billion in commitments in the fourth quarter and $21.3 billion for the year. MFIC's investment in Merx, an aircraft leasing business, was valued at $183 million, with a blended yield of 3.2% at fair value. The call also highlighted the economic backdrop for 2025, noting strong consumer spending and a low probability of recession, while addressing risks like tariffs and federal layoffs. The company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.38 per share, payable in March 2025.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.