tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Medpace Holdings (MEDP)
NASDAQ:MEDP
Advertisement

Medpace Holdings (MEDP) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
639 Followers

Top Page

MEDP

Medpace Holdings

(NASDAQ:MEDP)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$693.00
▲(16.66% Upside)
Medpace Holdings demonstrates strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, which are the most significant factors driving the score. Technical analysis indicates strong momentum but also suggests caution due to overbought conditions. The high P/E ratio impacts the valuation score, reflecting potential overvaluation concerns.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Medpace's strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for its services, enhancing its market position and supporting long-term financial stability.
Net New Business Awards
The significant increase in new business awards suggests a strong pipeline and future revenue potential, reinforcing Medpace's competitive edge.
Cash Flow Management
Efficient cash flow generation supports Medpace's ability to invest in growth opportunities and maintain financial flexibility.
Negative Factors
Higher Effective Tax Rate
A higher effective tax rate can reduce net income, impacting profitability and potentially limiting reinvestment in business expansion.
Lower EBITDA Margin
A slight decline in EBITDA margin may indicate rising costs or pricing pressures, which could affect future profitability if not addressed.
Cancellations Impact
Cancellations can disrupt revenue streams and operational planning, posing risks to Medpace's growth trajectory and client relationships.

Medpace Holdings (MEDP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Medpace Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMedpace Holdings, Inc. is a global clinical contract research organization (CRO) that provides comprehensive services for the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and medical device industries. The company specializes in managing the development of new drugs and therapies, offering expertise in clinical trial management, regulatory affairs, and data management. Medpace operates in various therapeutic areas, including oncology, cardiology, and central nervous system disorders, aiming to support its clients from the initial stages of drug development through to regulatory approval and commercialization.
How the Company Makes MoneyMedpace generates revenue primarily through its clinical research services, which include the design, management, and execution of clinical trials for clients in the pharmaceutical and biotech sectors. The company's revenue model is largely fee-for-service, where it charges clients based on the scope and complexity of the services provided, often structured around milestones in the clinical trial process. Key revenue streams include clinical trial management services, laboratory services, and regulatory consulting. Additionally, Medpace has established significant partnerships with leading pharmaceutical companies, which contribute to its earnings by providing a steady stream of projects and enhancing its reputation in the market. The company's focus on specific therapeutic areas allows it to command higher fees due to its specialized knowledge and expertise.

Medpace Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 22, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue and business growth, with significant net new business awards and a record net book-to-bill ratio. Despite these positive aspects, there were challenges related to a higher effective tax rate, lower interest income, and cancellations. Overall, the call demonstrates a strong performance with some areas for improvement.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Net Bookings and Strong Net Book-to-Bill Ratio
Cancellations were well behaved in Q3, permitting record net bookings and a net book-to-bill of 1.20.
Significant Increase in Revenue
Revenue in the third quarter of 2025 was $659.9 million, representing a year-over-year increase of 23.7%.
Strong Growth in Net New Business Awards
Net new business awards entering backlog in the third quarter increased 47.9% from the prior year to $789.6 million.
EBITDA Growth
EBITDA of $148.4 million increased 24.9% compared to $118.8 million in the third quarter of 2024.
Cash Flow and Share Repurchase
Generated $246.2 million in cash flow from operating activities and repurchased approximately 14,649 shares for $4.5 million.
Negative Updates
Higher Effective Tax Rate and Lower Interest Income
Net income growth was below EBITDA growth primarily due to a higher effective tax rate and lower interest income compared to the prior year period.
Lower EBITDA Margin
EBITDA margin for the year-to-date was 21.8% compared to 22% in the prior year period.
Challenges with Cancellations
The business environment was impacted by unusual series of cancellations, though the overall opportunities remained strong.
Company Guidance
During Medpace's third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided a preliminary view of its 2026 financial outlook. The guidance anticipates 2026 revenue to grow in a low double-digit range based on the updated 2025 full-year guidance. EBITDA is expected to increase at a high single-digit pace or greater. The company projects that pass-through costs will remain elevated compared to historical levels, representing between 41% and 42% of revenue. For the third quarter of 2025, Medpace reported revenue of $659.9 million, a 23.7% increase year-over-year, and an EBITDA of $148.4 million, up 24.9% from the previous year. The net book-to-bill ratio was 1.20, with net new business awards entering the backlog up 47.9% year-over-year to $789.6 million. Ending backlog was approximately $3 billion, with expectations that $1.84 billion of this will convert to revenue over the next 12 months. The company also updated its 2025 guidance, expecting total revenue to range from $2.48 billion to $2.53 billion, reflecting a growth of 17.6% to 20% over 2024, with an EBITDA range of $545 million to $555 million.

Medpace Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Medpace Holdings demonstrates robust financial health with strong revenue and profit growth. The company maintains solid cash flow generation, supporting its operational and strategic initiatives. While the balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio, profitability and cash flow metrics remain strong, suggesting resilience against industry challenges. However, the declining equity ratio and high liabilities warrant careful monitoring.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The company exhibits strong revenue growth, with a notable increase from $925.93M in 2020 to $2.23B in TTM 2025. Gross profit margin has consistently improved, reaching 31.6% in TTM 2025. The net profit margin also shows a healthy trend, rising to 18.7% in TTM 2025. EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong at 21.4% and 22.0% respectively, indicating efficient operations. The company benefits from robust profitability metrics, though rising competition in the industry could pose future challenges.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio has fluctuated but remains manageable at 0.72 in TTM 2025. The equity ratio has declined from 57.4% in 2020 to 11.0% in TTM 2025, indicating a reduction in equity as a proportion of total assets. Return on equity has improved significantly, reaching 242.7% in TTM 2025, reflecting strong profitability. The balance sheet shows a high level of liabilities relative to equity, which could be a risk if cash flows are constrained.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Operating cash flow has grown steadily, with a strong TTM 2025 figure of $614.10M. Free cash flow growth is positive, with a notable increase from $227.34M in 2020 to $595.92M in TTM 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.47, indicating efficient conversion of income into cash. Free cash flow to net income remains strong at 1.42, showcasing the company's ability to generate cash relative to earnings. Cash flows are solid, although high financing cash outflows could impact future liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.36B2.11B1.89B1.46B1.14B925.92M
Gross Profit733.62M656.30M524.50M432.44M328.15M278.73M
EBITDA520.83M476.12M363.15M301.04M219.73M186.57M
Net Income433.01M404.39M282.81M245.37M181.85M145.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.75B2.10B1.66B1.35B1.66B1.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments285.35M669.44M245.45M28.27M461.30M277.77M
Total Debt143.97M149.52M142.12M188.87M130.97M115.14M
Total Liabilities1.46B1.28B1.10B966.11M707.01M584.90M
Stockholders Equity293.64M825.54M558.95M386.39M952.93M805.78M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow703.59M572.27M396.73M351.17M235.06M227.34M
Operating Cash Flow711.24M608.82M433.37M388.05M263.33M258.68M
Investing Cash Flow-34.23M-28.31M-34.63M-38.74M-31.36M-31.21M
Financing Cash Flow-1.05B-154.01M-182.64M-775.77M-44.45M-82.28M

Medpace Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price594.02
Price Trends
50DMA
517.89
Positive
100DMA
448.15
Positive
200DMA
382.54
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
23.02
Negative
RSI
68.02
Neutral
STOCH
60.46
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MEDP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 594.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 552.51, above the 50-day MA of 517.89, and above the 200-day MA of 382.54, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 23.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MEDP.

Medpace Holdings Risk Analysis

Medpace Holdings disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Medpace Holdings reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Medpace Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$16.48B40.9173.70%13.88%23.92%
$57.84B60.1764.87%6.68%18.84%
$10.79B46.443.12%0.29%3.37%
$13.13B22.826.27%-2.46%-17.89%
$8.80B-1.96%-1.21%-115.44%
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MEDP
Medpace Holdings
594.02
265.78
80.97%
CRL
Charles River Labs
178.86
-9.82
-5.20%
ICLR
Icon
168.79
-57.63
-25.45%
IDXX
Idexx Laboratories
722.94
306.96
73.79%
RVTY
Revvity
92.97
-32.64
-25.99%

Medpace Holdings Corporate Events

Medpace Holdings Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 24, 2025

Medpace Holdings Inc. is a global, full-service clinical contract research organization (CRO) that provides Phase I-IV clinical development services to the biotechnology, pharmaceutical, and medical device industries. Headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio, Medpace is known for its scientifically-driven approach to accelerating the development of medical therapeutics.

Medpace Holdings Inc. Reports Strong Q3 2025 Growth
Oct 24, 2025

Medpace Holdings Inc. recently held its third-quarter 2025 earnings call, revealing a strong performance marked by substantial revenue growth and impressive business achievements. The sentiment during the call was predominantly positive, driven by record net new business awards and a robust net book-to-bill ratio. However, the company also faced challenges, including a higher effective tax rate, lower interest income, and some cancellations. Overall, the call underscored Medpace’s solid performance with room for improvement in certain areas.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 26, 2025