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MasterBrand Inc (MBC)
NYSE:MBC
US Market

MasterBrand Inc (MBC) AI Stock Analysis

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MasterBrand Inc

(NYSE:MBC)

60Neutral
MasterBrand Inc scores a 60, reflecting a company with potential but facing significant challenges. Strong cash flow and strategic acquisitions are positives, but declining sales, increased leverage, and bearish technical indicators highlight risks. The fair valuation limits downside, but market volatility could impact short-term performance.

MasterBrand Inc (MBC) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

MasterBrand Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMasterBrand Inc (MBC) is a leading manufacturer and distributor of residential cabinets in North America. The company operates within the home improvement sector, providing a wide range of cabinetry products that cater to various styles and preferences. MBC's core products include semi-custom and custom cabinets, which are used in kitchens, bathrooms, and other areas of the home.
How the Company Makes MoneyMasterBrand Inc makes money primarily through the sale of its cabinetry products to a diverse customer base that includes builders, dealers, and home improvement retailers. The company leverages a broad distribution network, which allows it to reach both professional contractors and individual consumers. Key revenue streams come from its comprehensive portfolio of cabinet brands, each targeting different market segments and price points, enabling MBC to capture a wide range of customers. Additionally, the company may engage in strategic partnerships with large home improvement chains to increase its market penetration and sales volume. The combination of product diversity, strategic distribution, and partnerships contributes significantly to MBC's earnings.

MasterBrand Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
MasterBrand Inc's financial statements present a company balancing strengths and challenges. Operational efficiency and robust cash flow management are noteworthy. However, declining revenue and profit margins, alongside increasing leverage, raise concerns. The company must address these issues to ensure sustainable growth.
Income Statement
72
Positive
MasterBrand Inc shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The gross profit margin remains stable, indicating effective cost management. However, a declining net profit margin over the years highlights potential pressure on earnings. The revenue growth rate is inconsistent, showing a decline in recent periods, which is a concern for future profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins reflect operational efficiency, but recent contractions suggest potential challenges.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet of MasterBrand Inc presents a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is rising, indicating increasing leverage, which could pose a risk if not managed carefully. However, the company maintains a relatively strong equity ratio, suggesting a good cushion against liabilities. Return on Equity (ROE) has seen fluctuations, reflecting inconsistent profitability relative to shareholder investments.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow metrics demonstrate robust operational cash generation, with a high operating cash flow to net income ratio. Despite a decline in free cash flow growth in recent periods, the company retains a healthy free cash flow to net income ratio, indicating efficient cash utilization. However, the significant variations in free cash flow growth rates signal potential volatility in cash management.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.70B2.73B3.28B2.86B2.47B
Gross Profit
877.00M875.90M940.50M783.90M703.00M
EBIT
235.70M306.30M287.10M234.30M196.00M
EBITDA
319.60M368.20M356.00M313.40M273.70M
Net Income Common Stockholders
125.90M182.00M155.40M182.60M145.70M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
120.60M148.70M101.10M141.40M154.30M
Total Assets
2.93B2.38B2.53B3.00B2.71B
Total Debt
1.08B770.20M1.03B63.20M40.60M
Net Debt
961.70M621.50M932.50M-78.20M-113.70M
Total Liabilities
1.64B1.19B1.52B551.10M498.20M
Stockholders Equity
1.29B1.19B1.01B2.45B2.21B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
211.10M348.30M179.70M96.60M177.30M
Operating Cash Flow
292.00M405.60M235.60M148.20M204.60M
Investing Cash Flow
-580.80M-56.90M-55.90M-51.50M-26.70M
Financing Cash Flow
269.60M-299.90M-215.30M-109.70M-179.20M

MasterBrand Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price13.44
Price Trends
50DMA
15.65
Negative
100DMA
16.42
Negative
200DMA
16.34
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.78
Positive
RSI
34.69
Neutral
STOCH
46.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MBC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 13.44 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.83, below the 50-day MA of 15.65, and below the 200-day MA of 16.34, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.78 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MBC.

MasterBrand Inc Risk Analysis

MasterBrand Inc disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. MasterBrand Inc reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

MasterBrand Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$892.01M9.3011.09%-6.02%-10.65%
MBMBC
60
Neutral
$1.75B14.2510.12%-0.95%-30.42%
MAMAS
60
Neutral
$15.67B20.04-118.61%1.60%-1.74%-6.91%
60
Neutral
$12.39B10.471.07%3.58%1.64%-18.33%
WHWHR
47
Neutral
$5.24B13.03-12.77%7.40%-14.64%-167.22%
44
Neutral
$515.04M-25.51%-15.09%-358.01%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MBC
MasterBrand Inc
13.44
-4.44
-24.83%
AMWD
American Woodmark
58.89
-36.57
-38.31%
MAS
Masco
71.39
-2.99
-4.02%
WHR
Whirlpool
91.92
-8.72
-8.66%
JELD
JELD-WEN
6.02
-12.75
-67.93%

MasterBrand Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 18, 2025 | % Change Since: -17.19% | Next Earnings Date: May 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presents a mixed picture, with strong cash flow and successful integration of Supreme Cabinetry as notable positives. However, challenges such as a decline in net sales, volume declines in the legacy business, and a negative price/cost relationship due to market choppiness overshadow these highlights. The sentiment leans towards cautious optimism for future growth, with investments in technology and strategic initiatives, but acknowledges significant current challenges.
Highlights
Strong Free Cash Flow
MasterBrand delivered a strong free cash flow of $69 million in Q4, bringing the full year 2024 total to $211 million, aligning with their stated goal of free cash flow in excess of net income.
Successful Supreme Cabinetry Acquisition
The acquisition of Supreme Cabinetry Brands contributed a 9% year-over-year increase to net sales, performing well and in line with expectations.
Strategic Investments in Tech Enabled Initiatives
Continued investment in Tech Enabled initiatives, with plans to invest an additional $15 million in 2025, aiming for long-term financial growth and improved operations.
Positive Trends in Canadian Market
Year-over-year improvements in Canada's repair and remodel market during Q4, with expectations for flat demand in 2025.
Lowlights
Decline in Net Sales
Net sales decreased by 1% in Q4 compared to the same period last year, primarily due to increased choppiness in the repair and remodel business.
Volume Decline in Legacy Business
Year-over-year volume decline of 6% in the legacy business, impacting average selling price and contributing to a 4% decline in net ASP.
Negative Price/Cost Relationship
Continued headwinds from a negative price/cost relationship due to slower price realization amidst inflation pressures.
Market Uncertainty and Choppiness
Choppy market conditions in Q4, particularly in the repair and remodel market, with expectations of continued volatility into early 2025.
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Decline
Adjusted EBITDA margin declined by 150 basis points to 11.2% in Q4, compared to 12.7% in the prior year, due to volume challenges and mix impact on net ASP.
Company Guidance
During MasterBrand's Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance for 2025, expecting overall market demand to decline by low single digits. However, they anticipate mid-single-digit growth in net sales, partly due to the addition of Supreme Cabinetry Brands, which contributed a 9% year-over-year increase in the fourth quarter of 2024. MasterBrand reported a decline in fourth-quarter net sales to $668 million, a 1% decrease from the previous year, driven by a 6% volume decline in the repair and remodel business. The company expects adjusted EBITDA for 2025 to range between $380 million and $410 million, with margins between 13.5% and 14.3%. They plan capital expenditures of $85 million to $95 million, excluding $27 million for the Supreme integration and footprint realignment. Additionally, MasterBrand aims to maintain a goal of free cash flow exceeding net income for the year, with expectations of adjusted diluted earnings per share between $1.40 and $1.57.

MasterBrand Inc Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
MasterBrand Inc Reports Q4 2024 Financial Results
Negative
Feb 18, 2025

MasterBrand, Inc. announced its fourth quarter and full year 2024 financial results, revealing a 1% decrease in net sales and a significant drop in net income by 61% and 31% respectively for the quarter and full year. The company highlighted the challenges faced due to market volatility during the holiday season, which affected volumes and delayed price increase benefits. Despite these challenges, the integration of the Supreme acquisition and strategic initiatives are set to position the company for future growth. MasterBrand expects mid single-digit percentage increases in net sales for 2025, driven by acquisition-related gains and strategic investments, with a focus on outperforming market demands.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.