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Lloyds Banking Group Plc (LYG)
NYSE:LYG

Lloyds Banking (LYG) AI Stock Analysis

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LYLloyds Banking
(NYSE:LYG)
76Outperform
Lloyds Banking shows a commendable overall performance, driven by strong technical indicators and positive earnings outlook. While financial performance reveals areas needing improvement, the bank's strategic initiatives and shareholder returns bolster confidence. Valuation metrics suggest the stock is fairly priced with potential for growth.

Lloyds Banking (LYG) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Lloyds Banking Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLloyds Banking Group plc (LYG) is a leading British financial institution, headquartered in London, United Kingdom. It operates primarily in the banking and financial services sectors, offering a wide range of products and services including personal and commercial banking, insurance, and wealth management. The group owns several well-known banking brands such as Lloyds Bank, Halifax, Bank of Scotland, and Scottish Widows, which serve millions of customers through a network of branches and digital platforms.
How the Company Makes MoneyLloyds Banking Group generates revenue through a diversified model comprising several key streams. The primary source is net interest income, which is derived from the difference between interest earned on loans and advances to customers and the interest paid on deposits and borrowings. Additionally, the group earns fee-based income from services such as account maintenance, transaction processing, and advisory services. Lloyds also benefits from its insurance division, which provides life, pension, and general insurance products, contributing significantly to its earnings. The wealth management segment further adds to revenue through investment and asset management services. Strategic partnerships and collaborations, particularly in digital banking and financial technology, also play a role in enhancing the group's service offerings and expanding its customer base.

Lloyds Banking Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Lloyds Banking's financial performance is mixed. Strong profitability margins are offset by declining revenue growth. The balance sheet is stable, but cash flow metrics reveal liquidity challenges. Overall, the company is solid but needs to address revenue growth and cash flow conversion.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Lloyds Banking showed a mixed income performance. The gross and net profit margins for 2024 were strong at 25.15% and 3.52% respectively, indicating efficiency in cost management. However, a revenue growth decline of 4.58% compared to 2023 suggests challenges in maintaining top-line growth. The EBIT margin remained robust at 100% due to the nature of banking revenue recognition. Nonetheless, the lack of EBITDA data limits comprehensive profitability analysis.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable structure with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.77 in 2024, showing manageable leverage. The equity ratio at 5.04% and a return on equity of 9.67% suggest a cautious but steady approach to capital utilization. Cash reserves decreased significantly, impacting liquidity positions, but overall, the company maintains a solid asset base.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow metrics highlight some concerns. The free cash flow turned negative in 2024, indicating cash management challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio was negative, showcasing inefficiencies in converting income into cash. Free cash flow to net income ratio was also negative, further emphasizing liquidity strains. This signals potential risks if cash flow management does not improve.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
17.57B18.41B23.00M16.32B15.13B
Gross Profit
17.57B19.21B23.00M16.32B15.13B
EBIT
17.57B11.05B10.52B6.80B1.16B
EBITDA
0.000.000.000.000.00
Net Income Common Stockholders
4.42B5.46B5.46B5.78B1.32B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
62.68B139.41B91.63B76.57B73.56B
Total Assets
906.70B881.45B877.83B886.52B871.27B
Total Debt
80.92B93.67B84.55B84.66B101.66B
Net Debt
18.24B14.65B-7.08B8.09B28.10B
Total Liabilities
860.81B834.09B830.31B84.66B101.66B
Stockholders Equity
45.72B47.16B47.28B52.92B49.18B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-8.76B1.35B18.16B3.39B24.27B
Operating Cash Flow
-4.39B6.81B22.01B6.62B27.17B
Investing Cash Flow
-7.69B-9.82B510.00M-2.54B-4.00B
Financing Cash Flow
-5.93B-8.46B-6.61B-3.23B-5.32B

Lloyds Banking Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.90
Price Trends
50DMA
3.03
Positive
100DMA
2.95
Positive
200DMA
2.93
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.20
Negative
RSI
81.20
Negative
STOCH
87.57
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LYG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.9 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.34, above the 50-day MA of 3.03, and above the 200-day MA of 2.93, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 81.20 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.57 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LYG.

Lloyds Banking Risk Analysis

Lloyds Banking disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Lloyds Banking reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Lloyds Banking Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$208.45B9.6812.96%5.02%6.79%8.57%
BCBCS
81
Outperform
$53.65B8.538.78%2.62%8.58%35.39%
SASAN
77
Outperform
$94.96B7.6511.61%2.36%11.61%24.35%
LYLYG
76
Outperform
$55.31B11.899.67%3.96%36.29%-19.79%
64
Neutral
$14.34B10.619.28%4.07%18.04%-9.54%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LYG
Lloyds Banking
3.90
1.58
68.10%
BCS
Barclays
16.24
7.64
88.84%
HSBC
HSBC Holdings
61.58
25.98
72.98%
SAN
Banco Santander SA
6.64
2.57
63.14%

Lloyds Banking Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 20, 2025 | % Change Since: 24.20% | Next Earnings Date: Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a robust financial performance in 2024 with strong shareholder distributions and strategic initiative achievements. However, the provision for motor finance commissions and ongoing cost pressures present challenges. The company's strategic progress and financial guidance for 2025 and beyond are positive, but uncertainties remain regarding specific legal and regulatory outcomes.
Highlights
Strong Financial Performance in 2024
Lloyds Bank & Group delivered a robust financial performance in Q4 and 2024, with a statutory profit after tax of £4.5 billion and £5 billion excluding the Q4 motor provision. This equates to a return on tangible equity of 12.3%, or 14% ex-motor.
Significant Shareholder Distributions
The company announced a 15% increase in the ordinary dividend and a share buyback of £1.7 billion, distributing a total of up to £3.6 billion, around 9% of the market cap.
Record Mortgage Lending Growth
Mortgage book grew by £6.1 billion in 2024, or £8 billion excluding legacy book securitizations. The company achieved a 20% share of new lending, around 1 percentage point ahead of stock share.
Strategic Initiatives Exceed Expectations
The company delivered £0.8 billion of additional revenues from strategic initiatives, ahead of the £0.7 billion target, and realized £1.2 billion of gross cost savings.
Deposit Growth and Structural Hedge Benefits
Total deposits were up by over £11 billion, or 2%, to £483 billion. The structural hedge income was £4.2 billion, £0.8 billion higher than 2023, with further growth expected.
Lowlights
Motor Finance Commission Provision
An additional £700 million provision was taken for potential remediation costs relating to motor commission arrangements, totaling £1.15 billion, due to a recent Court of Appeal judgment.
Cost and Inflation Pressures
Operating costs were £9.4 billion in 2024, up 3% year-on-year, in line with guidance but higher than desired due to inflationary pressures and ongoing investments.
Asset Quality Ratio Increase
The asset quality ratio is expected to be circa 25 basis points for 2025, up from the low 10 basis points in 2024, due to the absence of MES benefits and some underlying cost pressures.
Company Guidance
In the call discussing the 2024 fiscal year results, Lloyds Banking Group reported strong financial performance, aligning with their guidance. Key metrics included a 15% increase in the ordinary dividend and a £1.7 billion share buyback, despite a £700 million provision for Motor finance commissions in Q4. The Group achieved a statutory profit after tax of £4.5 billion, or £5 billion excluding the motor provision, indicating a return on tangible equity of 12.3% or 14% ex-motor. Net income for the year reached £17.1 billion, with a net interest margin of 2.95%. Operating costs were £9.4 billion, up 3% year-on-year. The Group also generated capital of 148 basis points, or 177 basis points excluding the motor provision. For 2025, Lloyds expects net interest income to grow to around £13.5 billion, with a continued focus on cost management and strategic initiatives to drive further revenue growth. Their guidance for 2026 includes maintaining a cost-income ratio below 50% and achieving a return on tangible equity greater than 15%.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.