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Yamaha Corporation (JP:7951)
:7951

Yamaha (7951) AI Stock Analysis

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Yamaha

(OTC:7951)

69Neutral
Yamaha's stock is bolstered by its strong financial performance and strategic initiatives, particularly in the Audio Equipment segment. However, technical indicators and valuation metrics suggest caution, as the stock appears to be in a downward trend and potentially overvalued. The mixed sentiment from the earnings call further tempers expectations, balancing strong operational segments with challenges in the Musical Instrument business and net profit declines.

Yamaha (7951) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Yamaha Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionYamaha Corporation (7951) is a multinational corporation headquartered in Japan, recognized globally for its diverse range of products and services across several sectors. The company is primarily involved in the manufacturing and distribution of musical instruments, audio equipment, and electronic devices. Additionally, Yamaha has a significant presence in the motorcycle and marine industries through its affiliate Yamaha Motor Co., Ltd. Yamaha is renowned for its innovation and quality, making it a leading brand in both consumer and professional markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyYamaha Corporation makes money through a diversified revenue model that includes several key streams. A significant portion of its revenue comes from the sale of musical instruments, such as pianos, guitars, and drums, which are popular worldwide for their quality and craftsmanship. The company also generates income from audio equipment, including speakers and professional audio systems, serving both consumer and commercial clients. Another critical revenue stream is derived from the electronic devices segment, which encompasses a variety of products ranging from semiconductor manufacturing to industrial machinery. Furthermore, Yamaha benefits from its affiliation with Yamaha Motor Co., Ltd., which contributes to earnings through the sales of motorcycles, outboard motors, and other transportation products. Strategic partnerships and a strong global distribution network further enhance Yamaha's ability to reach diverse markets and maintain its competitive edge.

Yamaha Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
471.77B462.87B451.41B408.20B372.63B414.23B
Gross Profit
179.76B171.08B171.14B154.72B142.91B168.26B
EBIT
34.61B33.65B46.48B49.32B35.04B43.33B
EBITDA
53.43B59.22B70.26B61.19B54.79B62.48B
Net Income Common Stockholders
23.21B29.64B38.18B37.27B26.61B34.62B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
120.49B106.45B104.97B176.85B137.92B105.61B
Total Assets
634.13B666.84B594.25B580.93B557.62B474.03B
Total Debt
16.25B17.93B17.67B27.90B28.53B32.06B
Net Debt
-98.58B-83.65B-86.22B-144.60B-100.82B-60.61B
Total Liabilities
138.81B155.03B136.30B165.00B160.67B147.59B
Stockholders Equity
494.00B510.59B456.84B414.77B395.96B325.41B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
38.58B20.92B-35.57B21.49B45.65B36.69B
Operating Cash Flow
61.87B43.84B-14.84B36.02B58.23B57.16B
Investing Cash Flow
7.66B-15.90B-21.56B43.71B-5.79B-21.07B
Financing Cash Flow
-50.41B-37.26B-35.29B-44.43B-20.60B-36.42B

Yamaha Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1031.00
Price Trends
50DMA
1099.19
Negative
100DMA
1088.97
Negative
200DMA
1116.33
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-31.40
Negative
RSI
45.38
Neutral
STOCH
54.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JP:7951, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1031 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1046.55, below the 50-day MA of 1099.19, and below the 200-day MA of 1116.33, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -31.40 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JP:7951.

Yamaha Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$1.72T4.3115.47%4.65%6.27%19.66%
72
Outperform
$3.70T18.297.94%2.48%7.80%-3.16%
71
Outperform
$6.68T6.348.11%4.64%12.25%15.01%
71
Outperform
$1.03T9.739.29%4.21%6.68%-32.72%
69
Neutral
$501.85B22.164.63%2.35%3.69%-18.27%
69
Neutral
$1.30T15.6613.26%1.68%15.31%
60
Neutral
$6.78B11.633.24%4.20%2.36%-21.91%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
JP:7951
Yamaha
1,014.00
-50.03
-4.70%
JP:7272
Yamaha Motor Co
1,101.50
-276.87
-20.09%
JP:6981
Murata Manufacturing Co
2,141.00
-624.66
-22.59%
JP:7012
Kawasaki Heavy Industries
8,013.00
3,455.67
75.83%
JP:7267
Honda Motor Co
1,427.50
-241.83
-14.49%
JP:7270
SUBARU
2,563.00
-576.30
-18.36%

Yamaha Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 5, 2025 | % Change Since: -4.23% | Next Earnings Date: May 8, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presents a mixed sentiment with strong performance in the Audio Equipment segment and strategic reforms being positive, but significant challenges in the Musical Instrument business, impairment losses, and net profit declines weighing negatively. The sentiment is overall balanced.
Highlights
Strong Performance in Audio Equipment
The Audio Equipment segment experienced significant growth with revenue increasing by ¥11.8 billion year-on-year, even without the FX impact. Core operating profit was ¥11.5 billion, also showing an increase irrespective of FX changes.
Strategic Structural Reforms
The company is undergoing structural reforms to optimize production, including consolidating piano production to Japan and China, which is expected to improve P&L by ¥5.5 billion in future years.
Shareholder Returns and Buyback
The company executed a share buyback worth ¥14 billion and announced another round of buyback up to ¥30 billion to enhance shareholder returns and capital efficiency.
Innovation and Sustainability Initiatives
Plans to establish Yamaha Music Innovations Fund, LP with US$50 million to promote innovation, and received the Japan Wood Design Award for sustainability efforts.
Lowlights
Decline in Musical Instrument Business
Revenue from Musical Instruments decreased by ¥3.1 billion year-on-year, affected by weak demand in China and a global market downturn.
Impairment and One-Time Costs
Recorded a ¥3 billion impairment loss for piano manufacturing facilities in Indonesia, with additional ¥3.5 billion in special retirement expenses.
Overall Revenue Decline in Real Terms
Despite an increase in reported revenue due to exchange rates, the real revenue performance was down by 1.7% year-on-year.
Net Profit Decline
Net profit decreased by ¥6.4 billion year-on-year, with a downward revision of ¥4.5 billion from previous projections.
Challenges in China
The Chinese market for pianos shrunk dramatically, leading to a decline in demand and necessitating production reorganization.
Company Guidance
In the recent call, the company provided detailed guidance for the fiscal year ending March 2025, highlighting several key financial metrics and strategic initiatives. The third quarter year-to-date sales revenue reached ¥350.7 billion, marking an increase of ¥8.9 billion year-on-year, although real terms showed a decline of 1.7% when adjusting for exchange rate impacts. The core operating profit increased by ¥4.1 billion year-on-year to ¥31.9 billion, while net profit decreased by ¥6.4 billion to ¥14.3 billion. For the full fiscal year, revenue is projected to remain stable at ¥460 billion, but core operating profit is anticipated to decrease by ¥4 billion to ¥33 billion due to one-time expenses, including ¥3 billion impairment loss related to the reorganization of piano production. The net profit forecast has been revised downward by ¥4.5 billion to ¥13.5 billion. Strategically, the company is consolidating piano production to Japan and China, terminating operations in Indonesia, and incorporating a corporate venture capital in Silicon Valley. Despite challenges in the Chinese market and a shift to higher value-added models, the Audio Equipment segment showed robust growth, with revenue increasing by ¥11.8 billion year-on-year to ¥98 billion.

Yamaha Corporate Events

Yamaha Corporation Strengthens Corporate Governance for Sustainable Growth
Mar 27, 2025

Yamaha Corporation has outlined its corporate governance policies aimed at ensuring sustainable growth and enhancing enterprise value over the medium to long term. The company emphasizes transparency, shareholder rights, and social responsibility while maintaining strong relationships with stakeholders. Yamaha’s governance strategy includes cross-holdings that support sustainable growth and brand value enhancement, with regular reviews to ensure alignment with corporate objectives.

Yamaha Announces Cancellation of Treasury Shares
Mar 26, 2025

Yamaha Corporation has announced the cancellation of 28 million treasury shares, representing 5.27% of its issued shares, following a buyback completed on March 24, 2025. This strategic move is expected to optimize the company’s capital structure and potentially enhance shareholder value by reducing the number of outstanding shares.

Yamaha Completes Treasury Stock Acquisition
Mar 25, 2025

Yamaha Corporation has completed the acquisition of 2,160,700 treasury shares for approximately ¥2.52 billion, as part of a broader plan to acquire up to 35 million shares by November 2025. This move is part of Yamaha’s ongoing strategy to manage its capital structure and enhance shareholder value, reflecting its commitment to optimizing financial operations and market positioning.

Yamaha Corporation Acquires Treasury Shares to Enhance Shareholder Value
Mar 3, 2025

Yamaha Corporation announced the acquisition of 25,043,200 treasury shares valued at approximately ¥27.48 billion, as part of a broader share repurchase program authorized by its Board of Directors. This move is aimed at enhancing shareholder value and optimizing capital structure, reflecting Yamaha’s strategic focus on strengthening its financial position and market competitiveness.

Yamaha Corporation Announces Key Management Changes
Feb 26, 2025

Yamaha Corporation announced significant management changes, effective April 1, 2025, including the promotion of Masato Oshiki to Managing Executive Officer and the appointment of several new Executive and Operating Officers. These changes are part of Yamaha’s strategy to strengthen its leadership team and enhance its operational efficiency, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

Yamaha Completes Major Share Repurchase to Boost Capital Efficiency
Feb 18, 2025

Yamaha Corporation has completed the acquisition of 23,799,000 shares of its common stock through the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s Off-Auction Own Share Repurchase Trading, at a cost of ¥1,097.5 per share, totaling ¥26,119,402,500. This move is aimed at enhancing shareholder returns and improving capital efficiency, indicating a strategic effort to strengthen its financial standing and market position.

Yamaha Initiates Significant Treasury Stock Acquisition
Feb 17, 2025

Yamaha Corporation announced its decision to acquire 27 million shares of its own stock through the Tokyo Stock Exchange’s Off-Auction Own Share Repurchase Trading. This move, part of a broader strategy to acquire a maximum of 35 million shares, is aimed at optimizing its capital structure. The acquisition will begin on February 18, 2025, and is expected to impact the company’s shareholder value positively, with key stakeholders like Yamaha Motor Co., Ltd. and Mitsui Sumitomo Insurance Co., Ltd. expressing intentions to sell shares.

Yamaha to Enhance Shareholder Value with Significant Stock Buyback
Feb 5, 2025

Yamaha Corporation has announced its decision to acquire up to 35 million shares of its own common stock, representing 7.3% of outstanding shares, at a maximum total value of ¥30 billion. This move, aimed at improving shareholder returns and capital efficiency, involves purchasing shares on the Tokyo Stock Exchange from February 18, 2025, to November 30, 2025, with plans to cancel all acquired treasury shares, potentially impacting shareholder value and market dynamics.

Yamaha Reports Mixed Results Amid Strategic Shifts
Feb 5, 2025

Yamaha Corporation reported a decline in revenue for the first three quarters of FY2025.3 due to weak performance in its musical instrument business, particularly in China. However, the company saw an increase in core operating profit driven by strong performance in audio equipment and cost reductions. Looking forward, the company anticipates a decrease in full-year core operating profit due to one-time expenses, including special retirement costs related to the consolidation of its piano manufacturing facilities.

Yamaha Revises Financial Forecasts Amid Increased Costs
Feb 5, 2025

Yamaha Corporation has revised its consolidated financial forecasts for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, keeping revenue expectations unchanged but reducing profit forecasts due to increased costs. This adjustment is largely due to unanticipated processing costs in the audio equipment sector and additional expenses related to its Indonesian piano production facilities, affecting its operating profit and earnings per share projections.

Yamaha Reports Increased Revenue Amid Restructuring Challenges
Feb 5, 2025

Yamaha Corporation reported an increase in revenue for the third quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2025, driven by strong sales in digital pianos and professional audio equipment, despite challenges in the musical instruments market due to a slump in China. However, profits decreased due to restructuring costs associated with the closure of Indonesian piano factories. Looking ahead, Yamaha maintains its revenue forecast for the full fiscal year but revises its profit outlook downwards due to additional restructuring costs and one-time processing expenses in the audio equipment segment.

Yamaha Corporation Reports Third Quarter Results with Stock Split Impact
Feb 5, 2025

Yamaha Corporation reported a slight revenue increase through the third quarter of the fiscal year ending March 2025, despite a decrease in core operating and net profits. The company conducted a 3-for-1 stock split, impacting dividends and earnings per share, which could influence shareholder perception and financial stability.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.