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JJill Inc (JILL)
NYSE:JILL
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JJill
(NYSE:JILL)
70Outperform
Positive Factors
Dividends
The company announced a 14.3% increase to its quarterly dividend, up to $0.08, with newly announced share buybacks.
Financial Health
J.Jill announced a $25M share buyback, signaling confidence in the company's financial health and future prospects.
Leadership
Incoming CEO Mary Ellen Coyne brings a strong and relevant track record.
Negative Factors
Consumer Demand
JILL faced challenges in February and overall consumer demand remains muted.
Guidance
Guidance for 1Q25 and FY25 was below expectations, reflecting challenges in consumer sentiment.
Macroeconomic Risks
The largest risk is macro in nature, should negative comp be more sustained further into the year, resulting in a cut to guidance.
JJill (JILL) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)
Market Cap
$299.60M
Dividend Yield1.07%
Average Volume (3M)124.76K
Price to Earnings (P/E)7.5
Beta (1Y)1.38
Revenue Growth1.02%
EPS Growth4.66%
CountryUS
Employees1,115
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength52
IndustryApparel - Retail
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)2.64
Shares Outstanding15,340,378
10 Day Avg. Volume183,178
30 Day Avg. Volume124,756
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.61
Price to Book (P/B)N/A
Price to Sales (P/S)0.45
Price to Cash Flow (P/CF)N/A
P/FCF Ratio33.10
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$29.25Price Target Upside53.95% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering5
JJill Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company DescriptionJ.Jill, Inc. operates as an omnichannel retailer for women's apparel under the J.Jill brand in the United States. The company offers knit and woven tops, bottoms, and dresses, as well as sweaters and outerwear; footwear; and accessories, including scarves, jewelry, and hosiery. The company markets its products through retail stores, website, and catalogs. As of March 22, 2022, it operated 253 stores. The company was founded in 1959 and is headquartered in Quincy, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyJ.Jill generates revenue primarily through the sale of women's apparel and accessories in its retail stores and online platforms. The company's revenue streams are diversified across its brick-and-mortar locations and its direct-to-consumer channels, including its e-commerce website and catalog sales. J.Jill's business model is strengthened by its focus on maintaining a strong brand identity and customer loyalty. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with suppliers and logistics providers, which help optimize its supply chain and distribution capabilities. Additionally, J.Jill's marketing efforts, including targeted promotions and loyalty programs, play a significant role in driving sales and attracting repeat customers.
JJill Financial Statement Overview
Summary
JJill's financial statements reflect strong gross margins and cash flow, but face challenges in revenue growth and leverage. The company exhibits solid operational cash flows, providing a good cushion for debt servicing. However, declining revenues and moderate leverage pose risks that need addressing to ensure long-term financial health.Income Statement
JJill's income statement shows a mixed performance. The gross profit margin stands at 75.37% for TTM, indicating strong cost management and pricing strategy. However, the net profit margin of 7.01% suggests relatively low profitability, possibly due to operational inefficiencies or higher non-operating expenses. Revenue has shown a declining trend over recent years, with a negative growth rate of -6.93% from the previous year, which is concerning for future earnings potential. Despite this, the EBIT margin of 13.45% and EBITDA margin of 15.06% indicate decent operational efficiency.72
Positive
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.32 for TTM, indicating a significant reliance on debt financing. The return on equity is strong at 37.32% for TTM, suggesting efficient use of equity capital. However, the equity ratio is 25.31%, pointing to a low proportion of equity financing, which can be risky if earnings decline. The company has improved its equity position from previous negative levels, reflecting better financial stability.65
Positive
Cash Flow
JJill's cash flow metrics are robust, demonstrating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.61 for TTM, indicating high-quality earnings. The free cash flow has grown significantly, reflected in the free cash flow growth rate of 112.12% from the previous year, signaling effective cash management and investment strategies. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 2.49, highlighting the company's ability to convert income into cash.78
Positive
| Breakdown | |||||
| TTM | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2022 | Mar 2021 | Mar 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income Statement | Total Revenue | ||||
| 562.76M | 604.66M | 615.27M | 585.21M | 421.26M | 691.35M | Gross Profit |
| 424.03M | 427.40M | 422.05M | 394.44M | 242.88M | 428.58M | EBIT |
| 75.67M | 86.05M | 54.39M | 29.46M | -100.57M | -18.41M | EBITDA |
| 84.74M | 99.07M | 104.49M | 28.22M | -135.65M | -74.10M | Net Income Common Stockholders |
| 39.48M | 36.20M | 42.17M | -28.14M | -141.41M | -128.57M |
| Balance Sheet | Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | ||||
| 87.05M | 62.17M | 87.05M | 35.96M | 4.41M | 21.53M | Total Assets |
| 466.42M | 428.18M | 466.42M | 451.85M | 499.57M | 633.99M | Total Debt |
| 366.29M | 295.22M | 366.29M | 385.29M | 459.65M | 476.67M | Net Debt |
| 279.24M | 233.05M | 279.24M | 349.33M | 455.24M | 455.15M | Total Liabilities |
| 466.64M | 390.96M | 466.64M | 496.50M | 598.48M | 595.42M | Stockholders Equity |
| -219.00K | 37.22M | -219.00K | -44.66M | -98.91M | 38.56M |
| Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | ||||
| 98.36M | 46.38M | 59.36M | 69.53M | -38.62M | 14.43M | Operating Cash Flow |
| 102.92M | 63.31M | 74.42M | 75.00M | -34.81M | 32.65M | Investing Cash Flow |
| -22.32M | -16.93M | -15.07M | -5.47M | -3.81M | -18.22M | Financing Cash Flow |
| -141.05M | -71.26M | -8.26M | -37.98M | 21.50M | -59.11M |
JJill Technical Analysis
Negative
19.00
Price Trends
23.14
Negative
24.90
Negative
27.71
Negative
Market Momentum
-1.13
Negative
39.31
Neutral
44.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For JILL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 19 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.42, below the 50-day MA of 23.14, and below the 200-day MA of 27.71, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 39.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for JILL.
JJill Risk Analysis
JJill disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. JJill reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
JJill Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
70 Outperform | $299.60M | 7.49 | 55.23% | 1.07% | 1.02% | 4.66% | |
64 Neutral | $293.93M | 9.65 | 12.37% | 3.38% | -8.73% | 0.31% | |
62 Neutral | $274.98M | 8.16 | 15.57% | 1.01% | -2.88% | -14.25% | |
59 Neutral | $284.15M | 7.47 | 110.27% | ― | -5.86% | 672.77% | |
59 Neutral | $12.17B | 11.04 | -1.10% | 3.77% | 1.26% | -19.70% | |
52 Neutral | $285.28M | ― | -0.50% | ― | 1.57% | 98.64% | |
48 Neutral | $51.50M | ― | 8.84% | ― | -14.96% | 90.64% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
JILL
JJill
19.00
-11.63
-37.97%
JAKK
Jakks Pacific
24.79
2.08
9.16%
WEYS
Weyco Group
30.08
2.50
9.06%
ZUMZ
Zumiez
14.67
0.21
1.45%
PBPB
Potbelly
9.81
-1.40
-12.49%
ISPO
Inspirato
4.05
0.08
2.02%
JJill Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date: Mar 19, 2025 | % Change Since: 2.10% | Next Earnings Date: Jun 4, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a balanced sentiment, with J.Jill demonstrating resilience through strong adjusted EBITDA margins and cash flow, successful implementation of new systems, and continued customer engagement. However, challenges such as promotional pressures, adverse weather, and consumer sentiment, along with elevated inventories, tempered the overall outlook.Highlights
Strong Adjusted EBITDA Margin and Cash Flow
For the fourth consecutive year, J.Jill delivered a strong adjusted EBITDA margin and significant free cash flow, enabling investments in growth initiatives, including new stores, systems, and shareholder returns.
Increase in Customer Engagement
J.Jill saw strength in customer engagement, particularly from the best customer cohort and increased traction in social media and email marketing channels.
Expansion of Store Count
Over the past two years, J.Jill opened nine net new stores, including eight in fiscal 2024, with positive performance, particularly in reentry markets.
Successful OMS Implementation
The new Order Management System (OMS) was successfully implemented early in the year, expected to enhance omnichannel capabilities and drive margin benefits.
Lowlights
Promotional Challenges
The consumer showed increased price sensitivity, particularly in the direct channel, impacting promotional strategies and markdown sales.
Adverse Weather and Consumer Sentiment
Adverse weather in February and uncertainty in consumer sentiment led to slower-than-expected sales at the start of fiscal 2025.
Difficult Year-over-Year Comparisons
J.Jill faced difficult comparisons to a strong performance in Q1 2024, exacerbated by adverse weather and OMS implementation impacts.
Inventory and Freight Costs
Reported inventories were elevated due to strategic actions to mitigate shipping lane disruptions, with expected normalization in Q2 2025.
Company Guidance
During the J.Jill, Inc. Q4 2024 earnings call, the company provided financial guidance for fiscal 2025, emphasizing the challenges and opportunities ahead. They reported full-year 2024 sales of approximately $611 million with a 1.5% comp sales growth and a gross margin of 70.4%. Adjusted EBITDA for the year was $107 million, and adjusted net income per diluted share was $3.47, with free cash flow totaling $47 million. For fiscal 2025, J.Jill projects a sales increase between 1% and 3%, with comp sales ranging from flat to a 2% increase. The company anticipates adjusted EBITDA between $101 million and $106 million. They expect gross margins to remain relatively flat year-over-year, despite headwinds from markdown pressures and consumer uncertainty. The company plans to open five to ten new stores and invest about $25 million in capital expenditures, focusing on new stores and completing their order management system (OMS) rollout. J.Jill aims to generate approximately $40 million in free cash flow in 2025, continuing their strategic investments and shareholder return initiatives, including dividends and share buybacks.JJill Corporate Events
Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
J.Jill Announces Retention Agreement with HR Chief
Positive
Mar 28, 2025
On March 24, 2025, J.Jill, Inc. announced a retention agreement with Maria Martinez, its Senior Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer, to reward and incentivize her performance. The agreement includes a retention bonus of $477,400 in stock-settled Restricted Stock Units, with vesting conditions tied to her continued employment, highlighting the company’s commitment to retaining key leadership and ensuring stability in its human resources strategy.
Executive/Board Changes
J.Jill Appoints Mary Ellen Coyne as New CEO
Positive
Feb 27, 2025
On February 27, 2025, J.Jill, Inc. announced the appointment of Mary Ellen Coyne as the new Chief Executive Officer and President, effective May 1, 2025, succeeding Claire Spofford, who will retire on April 30, 2025. Coyne, previously the CEO of J. McLaughlin, brings over three decades of retail industry experience, including significant roles at Ralph Lauren, and is expected to lead J.Jill into its next growth phase, enhancing customer experience and shareholder value.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.