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Innventure (INV)
NASDAQ:INV
US Market

Innventure (INV) AI Stock Analysis

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Innventure

(NASDAQ:INV)

42Neutral
Innventure's stock is currently under pressure due to significant financial instability and bearish technical indicators. Although the corporate event related to its Accelsius subsidiary is promising, it does not sufficiently offset the financial and technical challenges. The company's negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield further dampen its attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Risk Management
Innventure uses a well-developed framework to minimize risks while maintaining the outsized return potential of founder shares.
Technology Innovation
Accelsius is viewed as the key driver of success due to its rapid commercialization of proprietary liquid cooling technology for AI datacenters.
Negative Factors
Investment Risk
A discounted sum-of-parts approach shows favorable opportunities for aggressive investors due to high risk and high reward potential.

Innventure (INV) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Innventure Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionInnventure (INV) is a company that specializes in identifying and launching high-potential disruptive technologies and innovations. It operates across multiple sectors, including healthcare, energy, and advanced materials, by collaborating with industry leaders to commercialize groundbreaking technologies. The company's core services include technology incubation, strategic partnerships, and providing operational expertise to scale innovations effectively.
How the Company Makes MoneyInnventure makes money primarily through equity positions in the companies it helps to launch and scale. By partnering with multinational corporations and utilizing its proprietary process to identify and nurture disruptive technologies, Innventure earns revenue from successful commercialization and market entry of these innovations. Additional income streams may include licensing agreements, management fees, and potential exits or acquisitions of portfolio companies, which contribute significantly to its earnings. Strategic partnerships with industry giants also play a critical role in its financial success, providing capital, resources, and market access to accelerate growth.

Innventure Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Innventure exhibits financial instability with persistent losses and cash flow challenges. While the balance sheet has improved with positive equity, the income statement and cash flows highlight underlying operational and profitability issues that need addressing.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Innventure shows negative profitability metrics with a declining trend in both gross and net profit margins. Revenue growth is inconsistent, with significant negative EBIT and EBITDA margins indicating operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio thanks to substantial stockholders' equity. However, the company has faced past instances of negative equity, posing potential risks. The equity ratio suggests a moderate reliance on equity financing.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow statements reveal negative free cash flow and operating cash flow over the years, with no significant improvement. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates cash flow inefficiencies.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
988.00K1.22M1.12M942.00K1.85M
Gross Profit
211.00K-3.31M1.12M942.00K1.85M
EBIT
-45.46M-77.07M-23.68M-24.67M-3.15M
EBITDA
-37.75M-77.07M-29.76M-31.89M8.03M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-27.71M-77.22M-30.84M-32.76M6.66M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
7.54M11.12M2.58M7.54M4.34M
Total Assets
27.98M905.29M21.56M27.98M47.23M
Total Debt
5.90M13.65M7.41M5.90M8.77M
Net Debt
-1.65M2.54M4.84M-1.65M4.43M
Total Liabilities
39.17M139.00M40.05M39.17M51.81M
Stockholders Equity
0.00425.52M0.000.000.00
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-27.20M-19.48M-20.12M-9.95M-3.90M
Operating Cash Flow
-25.99M-19.48M-19.48M-9.95M-3.90M
Investing Cash Flow
-8.89M-4.67M-4.67M1.48M564.00K
Financing Cash Flow
47.04M19.17M19.17M11.67M6.08M

Innventure Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.17
Price Trends
50DMA
7.52
Negative
100DMA
9.86
Negative
200DMA
10.48
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.33
Positive
RSI
29.66
Positive
STOCH
14.15
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For INV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.29, below the 50-day MA of 7.52, and below the 200-day MA of 10.48, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.33 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.66 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.15 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for INV.

Innventure Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$231.33M16.075.13%23.75%-5.64%
74
Outperform
$201.51M14.7811.67%5.34%5.28%4.39%
WHWHF
69
Neutral
$226.16M20.843.60%15.83%-27.52%-46.85%
69
Neutral
$152.10M15.674.91%13.93%127.09%2519.30%
62
Neutral
$11.85B9.138.11%79.54%12.80%-5.24%
53
Neutral
$173.78M26.893.77%16.87%-254.03%-74.17%
ININV
42
Neutral
$169.58M-30.24%-1534.66%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
INV
Innventure
3.60
-7.34
-67.09%
OXSQ
Oxford Square Capital
2.42
-0.33
-12.00%
WHF
WhiteHorse
9.79
-1.21
-11.00%
MRCC
Monroe Capital
7.02
0.67
10.55%
SAMG
SilverCrest Asset Management
15.00
0.88
6.23%
SWKH
SWK Holdings
18.88
1.63
9.45%

Innventure Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Innventure’s Accelsius Secures Major Agreement and Launches New System
Positive
Mar 11, 2025

On March 11, 2025, Innventure announced significant developments for its subsidiary, Accelsius, including a 3-year master purchasing agreement with a global thermal management company and the launch of a 250Kw multi-rack cooling system. Accelsius has doubled its workforce and expanded its product line, demonstrating its technology’s capability to cool 4500Ws per socket. These advancements position Accelsius as a leader in the liquid cooling market, with strategic engagements and global adoption accelerating beyond initial plans, enhancing its industry positioning and stakeholder value.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.