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Imperial Petroleum, Inc. (IMPP)
NASDAQ:IMPP
US Market

Imperial Petroleum, Inc. (IMPP) AI Stock Analysis

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Imperial Petroleum, Inc.

(NASDAQ:IMPP)

74Outperform
Imperial Petroleum's stock is supported by strong financial health and a compelling valuation, offset by mixed technical signals and challenges in maintaining revenue growth. The company's robust operational performance and strategic positioning in the market offer resilience against market headwinds, while the low valuation provides an attractive entry point for investors.
Positive Factors
Earnings Performance
Higher interest income and an unrealized foreign exchange gain led to 3Q24 EPS of $0.27, above the $0.26 forecast despite a decline in EPS y/y.
Financial Position
Imperial Petroleum, Inc. has a strong cash position with $206.7M and no debt, which can support ship acquisitions.
Share Value
Despite lower-than-expected earnings, reduced share dilution led to a higher book value per share than estimated.
Negative Factors
Market Demand
The decrease in demand from China for dry bulk and oil has led to sharply lower shipping rates.
Operating Expenses
Total operating expenses of $27.0M, up 47.1% y/y, exceeded the $26.3M forecast due to downtime, leading to lower operating income.
Revenue Impact
Imperial Petroleum's time charter equivalent rates were significantly below forecasts, impacting revenue negatively.

Imperial Petroleum, Inc. (IMPP) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Imperial Petroleum, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionImperial Petroleum, Inc. (IMPP) is a shipping company that operates in the marine transportation sector, focusing primarily on the transportation of petroleum products and other liquid cargoes. The company manages a fleet of vessels that are deployed across various routes worldwide, offering logistics services essential for global energy distribution.
How the Company Makes MoneyImperial Petroleum, Inc. makes money by providing marine transportation services to oil and gas companies, refineries, and other industrial entities that require the movement of liquid cargoes. The company earns revenue primarily through the chartering of its vessels, which can be contracted on a time charter or spot charter basis. Time charters involve leasing vessels for a fixed period, providing steady and predictable income, while spot charters are typically shorter-term agreements that allow the company to capitalize on fluctuating market rates. Additionally, IMPP may engage in strategic partnerships with other shipping companies or stakeholders in the oil and gas industry to optimize fleet utilization and expand market reach. Factors such as global oil demand, fuel prices, and regulatory changes in maritime shipping can significantly influence the company's earnings.

Imperial Petroleum, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Imperial Petroleum demonstrates strong financial performance with high profitability and operational efficiency. The robust balance sheet with minimal debt enhances stability. However, recent revenue and free cash flow declines present potential challenges.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Imperial Petroleum has shown strong revenue growth over the years with a significant increase in gross profit and net income. The 2024 annual report shows a gross profit margin of 45.7% and a net profit margin of 34.0%, indicating strong profitability. However, the revenue decreased from 2023 to 2024, suggesting a potential challenge in maintaining growth. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy, supporting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company exhibits a robust balance sheet with a high equity ratio of 93.6% in 2024, indicating strong financial stability and low reliance on debt. The return on equity (ROE) is impressive at 11.9%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The debt-to-equity ratio is negligible due to low total debt, reducing financial risk.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow from 2023 to 2024, with a free cash flow growth rate of -94.1%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable at 1.55, indicating strong cash generation relative to income. However, the decrease in free cash flow poses a potential liquidity concern.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
147.48M183.73M97.02M17.36M20.30M
Gross Profit
67.39M73.37M32.64M-2.34M367.66K
EBIT
44.14M66.02M29.82M-3.49M-355.30K
EBITDA
62.72M88.59M43.41M5.18M8.25M
Net Income Common Stockholders
50.16M71.13M29.51M-3.78M-403.77K
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
206.73M124.03M118.90M3.39M6.45M
Total Assets
449.51M376.83M366.58M128.47M138.12M
Total Debt
78.76K0.0069.96M27.84M0.00
Net Debt
-79.70M-91.93M19.06M24.45M-6.45M
Total Liabilities
28.84M14.53M84.17M31.72M4.06M
Stockholders Equity
420.67M362.31M282.41M96.75M134.06M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
3.02M51.39M-77.78M5.10M8.14M
Operating Cash Flow
77.70M79.53M40.90M5.24M8.87M
Investing Cash Flow
-94.65M12.29M-186.68M-142.60K-728.00K
Financing Cash Flow
4.81M-57.40M196.95M-6.37M-9.33M

Imperial Petroleum, Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.59
Price Trends
50DMA
2.52
Positive
100DMA
2.76
Negative
200DMA
3.31
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Negative
RSI
61.85
Neutral
STOCH
87.57
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IMPP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.59 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.41, above the 50-day MA of 2.52, and below the 200-day MA of 3.31, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.57 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IMPP.

Imperial Petroleum, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$78.56M1.6812.81%-19.73%-95.29%
PEPED
62
Neutral
$49.10M2.7016.18%28.49%6115.63%
55
Neutral
$7.03B3.43-6.29%6.02%-0.15%-51.34%
PVPVL
54
Neutral
$47.85M16.965.90%4.55%-80.46%-51.76%
52
Neutral
$98.82M8.252.97%-4.20%-96.92%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IMPP
Imperial Petroleum, Inc.
2.62
-0.81
-23.62%
AMPY
Amplify Energy
2.39
-4.94
-67.39%
PVL
Permianville Royalty
1.45
-0.12
-7.64%
PED
Pedevco
0.54
-0.43
-44.33%

Imperial Petroleum, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 13, 2025 | % Change Since: -11.90% | Next Earnings Date: Jun 17, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call highlighted strong operational performance, fleet growth, and a robust financial position despite facing challenges such as declining market rates and foreign exchange losses. The company's strong profitability and cash reserves are notable positives.
Highlights
Strong Operational Utilization
Achieved an operational utilization rate of 86% in Q4 2024, attributed to increased time charter coverage.
Fleet Growth
Increased fleet size with the delivery of the product tanker Clean Imperial, bringing the total fleet to 12 vessels.
Annual Profitability
Ended 2024 with a profit of approximately $50 million and an operating cash flow close to $78 million.
Debt-Free Capital Structure
Maintained a debt-free status, facilitating robust cash flow generation.
Cash Reserves
A hefty cash base of close to $207 million, with a 67% increase in available cash placed under time deposits.
Lowlights
Decline in Market Rates
Revenues for Q4 2024 were $26.2 million, marking a $3.5 million decline compared to the same period in 2023, due to lower market rates.
Foreign Exchange Loss
Incurred a $3.3 million foreign exchange loss due to the strengthening of the U.S. dollar.
Weaker Market Conditions
The second half of 2024 saw softer market conditions with a decline in daily rates for tankers.
Company Guidance
During the Q4 and full-year 2024 conference call, Imperial Petroleum reported on its operational and financial performance amidst atypical market conditions. The company achieved an operational utilization rate of 86% for Q4 and 78.3% for the entire year, with 29% of fleet days dedicated to time charter activity. Despite softer market conditions impacting quarterly revenues, which totaled $26 million, the company maintained strong operating income of nearly $5 million and a net income of $3.9 million. Annual results were robust, with a net income of $50 million and operating cash flow approximating $78 million. The fleet expanded to 12 vessels following the addition of the Clean Imperial tanker. Imperial Petroleum highlighted a debt-free balance sheet and a stable cash base of $207 million, signaling a 67% increase in available cash over the year. Looking forward, the company aims to capitalize on growth opportunities and sustain profitability in 2025, with anticipated oil demand growth driven by emerging economies and a recovering Chinese market.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.