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IHS Holding (IHS)
NYSE:IHS

IHS Holding (IHS) AI Stock Analysis

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IH

IHS Holding

(NYSE:IHS)

56Neutral
IHS Holding's overall stock score reflects a mixed picture. Strengths include strong upward momentum and positive earnings call sentiment, highlighting robust revenue and EBITDA growth. However, the company faces significant financial challenges, including declining revenues, negative profitability, and an alarming balance sheet position. The technical analysis shows potential overvaluation in the short term, and the negative P/E ratio indicates ongoing profitability challenges. Investors should weigh these factors carefully, considering the company's strategic initiatives and financial risks.
Positive Factors
Investment Activity in Nigeria
Management noted it is bullish on Nigeria given lack of exposure to U.S. tariff policies, potential carrier capex increases, and stabilizing fiscal conditions.
Strategic Objectives
Continued execution toward its strategic objectives is viewed as positive, maintaining a positive long-term view of IHS as a compelling way to play emerging market growth.
Negative Factors
Asset Dispositions
Management reiterated its strategic priorities of completing $0.5-1.0B in asset dispositions, balance sheet strength and flexibility.
Capex Guidance
IHS reported upside 3Q24 results and lowered its 2024 capex guidance.

IHS Holding (IHS) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

IHS Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIHS Holding Limited, together with its subsidiaries, owns, operates, and develops shared telecommunications infrastructure in Africa, Latin America, Europe, and the Middle East. It offers colocation and lease agreement, build-to-suit, fiber connectivity, and rural telephony solutions. The company serves mobile network operators, internet service providers, broadcasters, security functions, and private corporations. IHS Holding Limited was founded in 2001 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyIHS Holding generates revenue primarily through leasing space on its telecommunications towers to mobile network operators and other wireless service providers. This lease-based model allows MNOs to install their equipment on IHS's infrastructure, enabling them to expand and improve their network coverage without the capital expenditure associated with building their own towers. The company generally enters into long-term contracts with its clients, ensuring a stable and recurring revenue stream. Additionally, IHS may derive income from offering ancillary services such as maintenance, energy management, and site security to its tenants. Strategic partnerships with key telecommunications companies and expansion into new geographic regions also contribute to the company's growth and revenue.

IHS Holding Financial Statement Overview

Summary
IHS Holding is experiencing significant financial distress, with persistent net losses and negative equity. The company faces challenges in profitability and operational efficiency, as indicated by negative margins and declining cash flow, posing a substantial risk to its viability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company shows a declining trend in revenue from the annual report of 2023 to TTM 2024, with a negative net income throughout. Despite a relatively stable gross profit margin, the net profit margin is severely negative, indicating substantial financial losses. EBIT margins have decreased, and EBITDA has turned significantly negative, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a concerning financial structure, with negative stockholders' equity in the TTM 2024, indicating insolvency risk. The debt-to-equity ratio is not meaningful due to negative equity, but total liabilities exceed total assets, exacerbating financial instability. The equity ratio is also negative, reinforcing the precarious financial position.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
The cash flow statement reflects a decrease in operating cash flow and free cash flow from 2023 to TTM 2024. While the company still generates positive free cash flow, the ratios of operating and free cash flow to net income are skewed due to large net losses, indicating cash flow generation challenges amidst financial losses.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.78B2.13B1.96B1.58B1.40B1.23B
Gross Profit
866.24M1.04B804.41M672.34M564.73M420.09M
EBIT
503.79M530.65M-141.07M31.01M331.94M-98.14M
EBITDA
-1.20B-998.47M252.65M591.49M468.08M186.10M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-2.33B-1.98B-470.40M-26.12M-322.68M-423.49M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
293.82M293.82M514.08M916.49M585.42M898.80M
Total Assets
5.36B5.36B6.32B5.47B4.45B4.16B
Total Debt
4.11B4.11B3.95B2.99B2.52B2.24B
Net Debt
3.82B3.82B3.43B2.07B1.93B1.34B
Total Liabilities
5.02B5.02B4.96B3.75B3.22B2.73B
Stockholders Equity
109.85M109.85M1.13B1.58B1.21B1.43B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
19.33M254.68M347.93M347.71M406.06M383.66M
Operating Cash Flow
311.33M853.45M907.30M750.19M635.26M641.94M
Investing Cash Flow
-90.16M-722.25M-1.52B-877.95M-758.51M-235.81M
Financing Cash Flow
-222.29M-162.30M398.24M524.26M-128.14M-138.32M

IHS Holding Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.25
Price Trends
50DMA
3.74
Positive
100DMA
3.40
Positive
200DMA
3.26
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.34
Negative
RSI
85.75
Negative
STOCH
88.77
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IHS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.25 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.95, above the 50-day MA of 3.74, and above the 200-day MA of 3.26, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.34 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 85.75 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.77 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IHS.

IHS Holding Risk Analysis

IHS Holding disclosed 81 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. IHS Holding reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

IHS Holding Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CSCSL
75
Outperform
$14.85B18.5332.60%1.14%-1.76%176.01%
AMAMT
73
Outperform
$101.08B44.8991.38%3.00%-3.05%51.74%
73
Outperform
$23.85B31.96-14.67%1.77%-1.18%50.21%
59
Neutral
$29.40B0.71-18.77%4.01%2.13%-47.15%
IHIHS
56
Neutral
$1.75B493.63%-19.49%16.08%
IRIRM
56
Neutral
$25.71B143.93-35.81%3.12%12.22%-2.68%
CCCCI
55
Neutral
$46.33B33.81-124.94%5.88%-5.92%-359.56%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IHS
IHS Holding
5.34
1.86
53.45%
AMT
American Tower
212.80
23.65
12.50%
CSL
Carlisle Companies
348.70
-34.94
-9.11%
CCI
Crown Castle
104.31
6.97
7.16%
IRM
Iron Mountain
90.09
14.16
18.65%
SBAC
SBA Communications
218.69
4.43
2.07%

IHS Holding Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 18, 2025 | % Change Since: 34.27% | Next Earnings Date: May 20, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive overall sentiment, with strong revenue and EBITDA growth, successful strategic initiatives, and effective debt management outweighing the negative impacts of currency volatility and specific regional challenges.
Highlights
Strong Revenue and EBITDA Performance
IHS Holding Limited reported 48% organic revenue growth for 2024, with 6.5% constant currency growth. The adjusted EBITDA reached $928 million, with a margin of 54.3%, up 100 basis points compared to 2023.
CapEx Optimization and Cash Flow Improvement
CapEx was significantly reduced by 56% year-over-year, driving an adjusted levered free cash flow (ALFCF) of $304 million, ahead of guidance.
Leverage Reduction and Strategic Refinancing
Net leverage ratio decreased to 3.7 times from 3.9 times. Significant refinancing efforts included $1.6 billion of debt refinancing to extend maturities and shift debt into local currencies.
Successful Asset Disposal
The sale of IHS Kuwait operations at 14.2 times adjusted EBITDA after leases, highlighting potential undervaluation of IHS assets.
Contract Renewals and Revenue Visibility
Extended commercial contracts with key customers MTN and Airtel, covering over 25,000 tenancies, with 72% of group revenue renewed or extended, improving financial visibility.
Lowlights
Negative Revenue Impact from FX Volatility
Despite strong organic growth, reported revenue declined by approximately 14% year-on-year in Q4 2024 due to significant naira depreciation and new financial terms with MTN Nigeria.
Decreased Colocation Rate in Nigeria
Colocation rate decreased to 1.56 times from 1.59 times in Q4 2023, due to reintegrated towers and tenant churn.
Higher Interest Costs
ALFCF was negatively impacted by increased interest costs following the November bond refinancing.
Partial Revenue Decline in LatAm
Revenue in the LatAm segment decreased by 18% due to FX movements and reduced revenue recognition from Oi.
Company Guidance
During the IHS Holding Limited fourth quarter and full year 2024 earnings call, the company reported strong financial performance, surpassing their guidance for key metrics such as revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted levered free cash flow (ALFCF). Revenue saw a 48% organic growth, driven by a 6.5% constant currency growth and benefits from foreign exchange resets and power indexation. Adjusted EBITDA reached $928 million with a margin of 54.3%, up 100 basis points from 2023, and ALFCF was $304 million, both exceeding expectations. Capital expenditures were below anticipated levels, and the consolidated net leverage ratio decreased to 3.7x by year-end. The company highlighted strategic initiatives, including contract extensions with key customers, resulting in renewed or extended 72% of group revenue, and improved cash flow generation due to reduced withholding tax rates in Nigeria. For 2025, IHS expects continued organic revenue growth, increased adjusted EBITDA and ALFCF, and aims for further deleveraging through asset disposals.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.