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Hayward Holdings (HAYW)
NYSE:HAYW
US Market

Hayward Holdings (HAYW) AI Stock Analysis

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HA

Hayward Holdings

(NYSE:HAYW)

65Neutral
Hayward Holdings demonstrates stable financial fundamentals and strong cash flow, though profitability margins need improvement. The technical indicators suggest a neutral outlook, while the stock's valuation appears relatively high. Recent earnings call provided a positive outlook with some caution due to international challenges. Overall, the stock presents moderate growth prospects with notable potential risks.
Positive Factors
Aftermarket Resilience
Confidence remains in the resiliency of the aftermarket, which accounts for more than 50% of revenues.
Financial Performance
3Q24 adjusted EBITDA was above consensus expectations, indicating stronger than anticipated performance.
Product Innovation
Hayward has shown strong innovation with products such as the microchannel heat pump and its introduction of OmniX products, which we expect to drive share in coming years.
Negative Factors
Consumer Spending Risks
Increasing risks to US consumer spending and the deterioration in housing fundamentals push out expectations for a recovery in the pool market.
Consumer-Led Recession
The risks of a consumer-led recession have risen meaningfully.
Discretionary Spending
More discretionary remodel and upgrade revenue streams likely remain under pressure as consumers push larger spend items to the right.

Hayward Holdings (HAYW) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Hayward Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHayward Holdings, Inc. is a leading global designer, manufacturer, and marketer of a broad portfolio of pool equipment and associated products. The company's offerings encompass a wide array of technologically advanced equipment and systems, including pumps, filters, heaters, automatic cleaners, sanitizers, and pool lighting solutions. Hayward primarily serves residential, commercial, and industrial sectors, providing innovative and energy-efficient solutions that enhance the safety, comfort, and enjoyment of pool environments.
How the Company Makes MoneyHayward Holdings generates revenue through the sale of its diverse range of pool equipment and supplies. The company's key revenue streams include direct sales to distributors, retailers, and buying groups, as well as e-commerce platforms that facilitate the purchase of its products. Hayward also benefits from its extensive network of partnerships with pool builders and service professionals, which enhances product accessibility and brand visibility. Additionally, advancements in smart technology and energy-efficient solutions contribute to increased demand, driving further revenue growth. The company's focus on innovation and robust distribution channels significantly supports its earnings potential.

Hayward Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall, Hayward Holdings presents a stable financial position with consistent revenue growth and effective cash management. While profitability margins have shown some decline, the company's leverage and cash flow metrics are strong, suggesting a solid foundation for future growth. Attention to improving net profit margins and maintaining operational efficiency will be key to sustaining long-term performance.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Hayward Holdings shows a steady revenue growth rate with a notable increase from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin is strong, reflecting efficient production and pricing strategies. However, the net profit margin and EBIT margins have decreased from previous years, indicating increased costs or reduced pricing power.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a healthy debt-to-equity ratio, which has improved slightly over the years, reflecting better leverage management. The return on equity is moderate, suggesting effective use of shareholder capital, though there is room for improvement. The equity ratio shows a balanced asset structure with a stable portion financed by equity.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Hayward Holdings demonstrates positive free cash flow growth, indicating strong cash generation capacity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, reflecting efficient cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio suggests that some cash might be tied up in operations or reinvested, which could be a strategic decision for growth.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.05B992.45M1.31B1.40B875.40M
Gross Profit
530.76M476.95M597.03M655.78M397.00M
EBIT
208.79M175.22M285.57M317.97M124.60M
EBITDA
208.79M227.75M356.87M390.82M188.10M
Net Income Common Stockholders
118.66M80.69M179.35M203.72M43.30M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
196.59M203.10M56.18M265.80M114.90M
Total Assets
2.99B2.95B2.88B2.98B2.61B
Total Debt
964.55M1.16B1.10B985.28M1.30B
Net Debt
767.96M985.03M1.04B719.48M1.19B
Total Liabilities
1.57B1.63B1.65B1.61B2.40B
Stockholders Equity
1.42B1.31B1.22B1.37B209.20M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
187.78M153.55M86.32M160.37M198.20M
Operating Cash Flow
212.07M184.54M115.94M187.51M213.80M
Investing Cash Flow
-54.13M-55.38M-92.57M-48.78M-13.00M
Financing Cash Flow
-136.79M-7.61M-229.24M10.96M-135.10M

Hayward Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price11.94
Price Trends
50DMA
14.11
Negative
100DMA
14.84
Negative
200DMA
14.55
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.17
Positive
RSI
40.63
Neutral
STOCH
22.27
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HAYW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 11.94 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.56, below the 50-day MA of 14.11, and below the 200-day MA of 14.55, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.27 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HAYW.

Hayward Holdings Risk Analysis

Hayward Holdings disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hayward Holdings reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Hayward Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
ENENS
72
Outperform
$3.39B10.6418.36%1.10%-2.94%22.32%
70
Outperform
$2.21B13.9137.22%0.58%38.27%105.52%
66
Neutral
$3.61B66.734.80%0.50%-10.49%-57.78%
65
Neutral
$2.68B22.298.68%5.96%45.69%
ENENR
62
Neutral
$1.96B34.2237.60%4.42%-0.31%-37.69%
62
Neutral
$2.05B5.7625.00%2.15%-12.01%-38.33%
62
Neutral
$7.68B13.063.21%3.34%3.62%-14.40%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HAYW
Hayward Holdings
11.94
-2.09
-14.90%
AEIS
Advanced Energy
86.71
-12.62
-12.71%
ENR
Energizer Holdings
26.49
-0.05
-0.19%
ENS
EnerSys
81.03
-9.34
-10.34%
POWL
Powell Industries
172.96
43.77
33.88%
ATKR
Atkore International Group
56.70
-115.98
-67.16%

Hayward Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 27, 2025 | % Change Since: -16.97% | Next Earnings Date: May 1, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, significant milestones, and strategic advancements, but also acknowledged challenges in international markets and potential tariff impacts.
Highlights
100-Year Anniversary Celebration
Hayward Holdings, Inc. celebrated its 100th anniversary, marking a century of service and innovation in the pool industry.
Strong Fourth Quarter Performance
Net sales increased 17% to $327 million, with a 20% increase in North America and gross profit margins expanding to a record 51.4%.
Full-Year Financial Success
For the full year 2024, net sales increased 6% to $1.52 billion, with adjusted EBITDA increasing 12% to $277 million, both exceeding guidance.
Operational Excellence and Innovation
Introduced new products like the Microchannel Temperature Control Unit and the OmniPro app, while also consolidating manufacturing and expanding automation.
Balance Sheet Improvement
Net leverage reduced to 2.8x, within the targeted range, with free cash flow increasing 22% to $188 million.
Lowlights
Challenges in Europe and Rest of the World
Net sales in Europe and the rest of the world reduced 8% for the full year, with significant challenges due to lower volumes and macroeconomic factors.
Tariff and Import Concerns
Potential impacts from tariffs on imports from China, Mexico, and Canada, with ongoing evaluation of supply chain and pricing actions.
Pressure on New Construction and Remodel Markets
Continued pressure on new construction and remodel markets, attributed to higher interest rates and lower existing home turnover.
Company Guidance
In the Hayward Holdings, Inc. fourth quarter 2024 earnings call, the company provided detailed guidance for 2025, emphasizing expected sales and earnings growth. For the full year 2025, Hayward Holdings anticipates net sales to increase by approximately 1% to 5%, equating to $1.06 to $1.1 billion. The company expects this growth to be supported by a positive net price contribution of about 2% to 3%, with sales growth driven by modest volume increases in nondiscretionary aftermarket maintenance and potential reductions in discretionary markets like new construction and remodels. The guidance also reflects anticipated adjusted EBITDA in the range of $280 million to $290 million, with strong cash flow generation expected to convert greater than 100% of net income, approximately $160 million. Additionally, Hayward plans to maintain a balanced approach to capital allocation, focusing on strategic growth investments and shareholder returns while adhering to their target leverage range of 2x to 3x net debt to adjusted EBITDA.

Hayward Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Hayward Holdings Expands Board with New Appointment
Positive
Mar 20, 2025

On March 20, 2025, Hayward Holdings expanded its Board of Directors from nine to ten members, appointing Ron Keating as an independent director. Keating, who brings extensive experience in the water industry and global business environments, will serve on the Compensation Committee. His appointment is expected to enhance Hayward’s strategic growth and shareholder value, leveraging his expertise from previous leadership roles at Excelitas Technologies and Evoqua Water Technologies.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.