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Gulfport Energy (GPOR)
NYSE:GPOR

Gulfport Energy (GPOR) AI Stock Analysis

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Gulfport Energy

(NYSE:GPOR)

58Neutral
Gulfport Energy's overall score is driven by financial challenges and valuation concerns, which are offset by strong technical momentum and positive earnings call guidance. Financial performance indicates the need for improvement in revenue and profitability, while technical indicators suggest a positive trend. The earnings call highlights operational efficiency improvements and strategic focus, supporting a cautiously optimistic outlook.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
The company has a peer-leading free cash flow yield that in our view can rerate the stock higher.
Market Confidence
Analyst recommends a BUY rating for Gulfport Energy Corp with a price objective of 227.00 USD, indicating confidence in the stock's potential growth.
Share Buyback
Gulfport Energy reaffirmed its plans to continue earmarking substantially all of its free cash flow towards buybacks, excluding acquisitions.
Negative Factors
Inventory Concerns
The stock underperformed peers by 3.3% on inventory concerns as the TIL count stepped up from 19 to 28 wells.
Production Concerns
Volumes came in ~1% below expectations due to lower-than-expected NGL production.

Gulfport Energy (GPOR) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Gulfport Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGulfport Energy Corporation engages in the exploration, development, acquisition, production of natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids (NGL) in the United States. Its principal properties include Utica Shale covering an area approximately 187,000 net reservoir acres primarily located in Eastern Ohio; and SCOOP covering an area approximately 74,000 net reservoir acres primarily located in Garvin, Grady, and Stephens. As of December 31, 2021, it had 3.9 trillion cubic feet of natural gas equivalent to proved reserves; and proved undeveloped reserves comprising 8 MMbbl oil and 22 MMBbl NGL, and 1,550 Bcf natural gas. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
How the Company Makes MoneyGulfport Energy makes money primarily through the production and sale of natural gas, oil, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). The company's revenue model is centered around extracting these resources from its properties in the Appalachian Basin and South Central Oklahoma, processing them, and selling them to energy markets. Gulfport Energy's key revenue streams include the sale of produced hydrocarbons, which are subject to market price fluctuations. Additionally, the company may enter into hedging contracts to manage commodity price risks, which can also impact its financial performance. Significant factors contributing to Gulfport Energy's earnings include its ability to efficiently develop its reserves, manage operating costs, and maintain strategic partnerships with service providers and other stakeholders in the energy sector.

Gulfport Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Gulfport Energy faces challenges in its income statement with declining revenues and profitability concerns, but maintains a stable balance sheet with moderate leverage. Cash flow generation remains a positive aspect, though high capital expenditures impact free cash flow growth. The company needs to address operational inefficiencies and explore revenue growth opportunities to improve its financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Gulfport Energy has experienced significant volatility in its income statement metrics. The company recorded a substantial net loss in 2024 after a profitable year in 2023. Revenue has been decreasing, with a notable drop in 2024 compared to previous years. The gross profit margin remains high at 100% due to no cost of goods sold reported, but the EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative in 2024 due to high operating expenses. This indicates challenges in maintaining profitability and controlling costs.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a stable but cautious financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively low at 0.41 in 2024, indicating moderate leverage. However, the return on equity has dropped significantly in 2024 due to net losses, and the equity ratio is stable at around 60%. The company has managed to maintain a reasonable level of equity despite the downturn in net income, which is a positive sign of financial resilience.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Gulfport Energy's cash flow statement reveals mixed results. Operating cash flow is strong relative to net income, indicating good cash generation from operations. However, free cash flow growth is weak due to high capital expenditures. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting that the company is generating cash despite net losses. Overall, cash flow management appears cautious but sustainable.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
928.60M1.05B2.33B1.50B801.25M
Gross Profit
505.36M663.02M2.00B809.35M50.95M
EBIT
-236.76M974.85M1.55B755.71M-77.89M
EBITDA
68.24M1.33B822.24M401.29M-1.26B
Net Income Common Stockholders
-261.39M1.47B494.70M138.16M-1.63B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.47M1.93M7.26M3.26M89.86M
Total Assets
2.87B3.27B2.53B2.17B2.54B
Total Debt
708.96M681.68M720.87M713.27M253.74M
Net Debt
707.48M679.75M713.61M710.01M163.88M
Total Liabilities
1.12B1.06B1.65B1.56B2.84B
Stockholders Equity
1.75B2.21B881.13M607.37M-300.50M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
195.94M185.82M278.30M155.70M-271.98M
Operating Cash Flow
650.03M723.18M739.08M465.14M95.30M
Investing Cash Flow
-455.99M-537.23M-458.30M-297.94M-314.59M
Financing Cash Flow
-194.50M-191.28M-276.78M-253.81M303.08M

Gulfport Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price161.93
Price Trends
50DMA
179.19
Negative
100DMA
178.02
Negative
200DMA
162.54
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
2.88
Negative
RSI
61.29
Neutral
STOCH
47.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GPOR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 161.93 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 178.98, below the 50-day MA of 179.19, and below the 200-day MA of 162.54, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 2.88 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GPOR.

Gulfport Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$4.81B5.3819.67%2.51%23.47%0.80%
EQEQT
76
Outperform
$27.55B102.881.30%1.37%3.00%-90.88%
ARAR
70
Outperform
$10.41B185.370.82%-4.22%-77.20%
58
Neutral
$2.90B16.69-13.60%-11.68%-123.15%
57
Neutral
$7.70B4.18-3.52%8.32%0.35%-64.68%
RRRRC
56
Neutral
$8.07B30.636.88%0.99%-7.57%-69.25%
CNCNX
54
Neutral
$4.30B9.01-2.14%-4.26%-105.72%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GPOR
Gulfport Energy
161.93
1.14
0.71%
CNX
CNX Resources
29.20
5.08
21.06%
EQT
EQT
46.11
9.86
27.20%
MTDR
Matador Resources
38.38
-29.40
-43.38%
RRC
Range Resources
33.45
-2.06
-5.80%
AR
Antero Resources
33.46
3.49
11.64%

Gulfport Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 25, 2025 | % Change Since: -9.02% | Next Earnings Date: May 6, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong performance by Gulfport Energy with significant improvements in operational efficiency and free cash flow generation, despite minor challenges such as a non-cash impairment and slight cost increases. The positive aspects significantly outweigh the negatives, indicating a positive outlook for the company.
Highlights
Significant Liquids Production Growth
Gulfport Energy's 2025 development program is expected to grow the company's liquids production by 30% year over year.
Strong Free Cash Flow Generation
The company expects 2025 adjusted free cash flow to more than double compared to 2024 results, driven by efficiency gains and an optimized capital program.
Operational Efficiency Improvements
Efficiency gains include a 20% reduction in drilling and completion capital per foot of completed lateral compared to 2024, with improvements in drilling and completion cycle times.
Successful Stock Repurchase Program
In 2024, Gulfport repurchased approximately 7% of its common shares outstanding and returned 96% of available adjusted free cash flow to shareholders.
Strong Fourth Quarter Financial Performance
The company reported adjusted EBITDA of $203 million and generated $125 million in adjusted free cash flow during the fourth quarter of 2024.
Lowlights
Non-Cash Impairment Due to Low SEC Prices
Gulfport recorded a non-cash impairment in the fourth quarter based on low SEC natural gas prices.
Slight Increase in Operating Costs
The company's focus on more liquids-rich activity will lead to a slight increase in 2025 per-unit LOE and midstream costs compared to 2024.
Company Guidance
In the Gulfport Energy Corporation's Q4 2024 earnings call, the company provided detailed guidance for 2025, highlighting a focus on maintaining flat total production and base capital investment while increasing liquids production by 30% year-over-year. The total capital spend for 2025 is projected between $370 million to $395 million, with $35 million to $40 million allocated for maintenance land and leasehold investment. Gulfport aims to achieve a 20% reduction in drilling and completion capital costs per foot of completed lateral compared to 2024, driven by operational efficiencies and well mix optimization. The company plans to return substantially all adjusted free cash flow, excluding discretionary acreage acquisitions, through common stock repurchases. Liquids production is expected to reach 18.0 to 20.5 thousand barrels per day, with total equivalent production remaining relatively flat compared to 2024. Gulfport's strategy includes focusing on the Utica Lean Condensate and Marcellus assets to drive its 2025 development program, supported by a strong hedge position covering 50% of 2025 natural gas production at an average floor price of $3.62 per MMBtu.

Gulfport Energy Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Gulfport Energy Plans 30% Liquids Production Increase in 2025
Positive
Feb 25, 2025

Gulfport Energy reported its financial and operational results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, highlighting a net production of 1.06 Bcfe per day and a 13% increase in net liquids production compared to the previous year. Looking ahead to 2025, the company plans to increase its net daily liquids production by over 30% and maintain flat year-over-year net daily equivalent production, while reducing drilling and completion capital costs by 20%. Gulfport aims to allocate most of its adjusted free cash flow towards common share repurchases, reflecting its strategy to enhance shareholder value and capitalize on an improving natural gas environment.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.